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  • 28
    Sep
    2012
    12:13pm, EDT

    Before you pick that debate tie, consider...

    Producer Will Rabbe of The Chris Matthews Show, a syndicated public-affairs program that runs on Sundays, took a look back at the debates and, for fun, kept track of the color ties presidential candidates wore -- and what patterns may have emerged.

    By NBC's Will Rabbe

    Does it matter whether a candidate wears a red-or-blue necktie in the presidential debates?

    Well, since the first televised in color in 1976, there have been a total of 22 Presidential debates, each with two major candidates. Therefore, there have been a total of 44 ties worn in debates over the last 9 elections.

    Of those 44, a candidate has chosen to wear a red tie 30 times, a blue tie only seven times and a tie that is both colors or neither a total of seven times as well. (We’ll call this “other”).

    Red has been the go-to choice for most candidates by a large margin -- but what’s more interesting is how infrequently a candidate wears a blue tie. (George W. Bush, from a party known for red, wore blue most often).

    The “other” category, which includes ties that are both colors, such as blue and red striped in equal ratios, and ties that are neither color, such as grey or brown, are worn 16% of the time. 

    There is obviously no correlation between a candidate’s choice of tie and their rate of success (unless you’re willing to delve into the subconscious preferences of the audience), but this begs the question: what color has most often been worn by a winner?

    If you count the number of times the individual color has been worn by the eventual winner, divided by how many times the color has been worn in total, the results are counter-intuitive: a candidate who has worn red has won only won 13 of 30 times, giving the tie a mere 43 percent success rate.

    Candidates who have worn a blue tie won four out of seven times, a rate of 57 percent, and a candidate who has worn “both/neither” has won the most, in five of seven instances, with a success rate of 71 percent.

    The most notable candidates who fall into this “other” category? Reagan in 1980 wore a brown tie; Clinton was partial to striped ties in 1992; and Obama in 2008, who dared to wear a grey tie in the second debate.

    82 comments

    Hand down! Willard should go with a giant red bow tie to distract from the yellow streak running down his back!

    Show more
    Explore related topics: mitt-romney, barack-obama, first-read, decision-2012, will-rabbe
  • 26
    Jul
    2012
    5:03pm, EDT

    The Eagleton affair: When a VP selection went terribly wrong

    By NBC's Will Rabbe
    Follow @WillRabbe

     

    Before there was the controversial Sarah Palin pick in 2008, there was Thomas Eagleton, George McGovern’s ill-fated selection in 1972. The Eagleton affair, in fact, ultimately changed how vice-presidential running mates are now made.

    With Mitt Romney set to pick his running mate soon, it's important to consider the lessons of 1972, the year that ultimately changed how Vice Presidential Candidates are selected.

    With political watchers on veepstakes alert for Mitt Romney’s eventual VP pick, below a mini-documentary on the Eagleton affair.

    A little backstory: When McGovern arrived at the Democratic convention in Miami during the summer of '72, his campaign priority was to fend off rival Hubert Humphrey's last-ditch attempt to win the nomination through an obscure rule change. Picking a running mate was relegated to the backburner. After officially gaining the nod, McGovern was left with only an hour and a half to choose a No. 2 -- and he hastily settled on Sen. Thomas Eagleton (D-MO), a man with whom McGovern had only spoken twice.

    "Vetting" the candidate was an afterthought, a decision that came to exemplify VP selection gone bad.  

    49 comments

    Whether McGovern or McCain, it is best to pick a known entity. Interesting, both of the presidential candidates, who made the worse choices, names start with "Mc". I remember the Eagleton selection and the aftermath when the news broke about his treatment for mental health problems.

    Show more
    Explore related topics: mitt-romney, sarah-palin, veepstakes, decision-2012, will-rabbe

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Chuck Todd became NBC News’ political director in March 2007. He also serves as NBC News' on-air political analyst for "NBC Nightly News with Brian Williams," "Today," "Meet the Press and MSNBC, including "Hardball with Chris Matthews."

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Mark Murray is NBC News' Senior Political Editor. Since joining the network in 2003, he has reported on and written about political races, trends, and issues -- including the 2003 California recall, the 2004 Bush-Kerry presidential race, the 2006 midterm elections, the 2008 presidential contest, the 2010 midterms, and the 2012 presidential race.

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Domenico Montanaro is NBC News' Deputy Political Editor. He writes, reports and edits for First Read, the network's political blog, provides editorial guidance for NBC's broadcast shows and online content, and appears on air. He has covered the 2008 and 2012 presidential elections for NBC and has reported from Capitol Hill.

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