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  • 19
    Apr
    2012
    5:00pm, EDT

    NBC/WSJ poll: Concerns over gas prices increase

    By NBC's Mark Murray
    Follow @mmurraypolitics

    The new NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll shows that 63% of respondents say that higher gas prices have had either a "great deal" or "quite a bit" of impact on them and their families.

    That percentage is up from March, when just under half -- 49% -- said that about the higher gas prices.

    In this poll, 38% said the higher prices were having a "great deal" of impact; 25% said they were having "quite a bit" of impact; 23% said they had "just some" impact; and only 14% said they had "not much" impact at all.

    The full NBC/WSJ poll -- which was taken of 1,000 respondents (250 reached by cell phone) and which has an overall margin of error of plus-minus 3.1 percentage points -- will be released at 6:30 pm ET.

    41 comments

    ...but "Big Oil" is making obscene profits.

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  • 19
    Apr
    2012
    1:00pm, EDT

    NBC/WSJ poll: Romney's image improves but remains a net-negative

    By NBC's Mark Murray
    Follow @mmurraypolitics

     

    Since emerging as the Republican Party's presumptive nominee, Mitt Romney has seen his favorability score increase to its highest mark, according to a new NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll.

    But that score still remains a net-negative, and it trails President Obama's.

    In the poll, 33% view Romney positively -- which is higher than it has ever been in the survey -- versus 36% who view him negatively. That's an improvement from March, when his score was 28% positive-39% negative.

    Much of this can be attributed to Republicans who have begun to coalesce around Romney. In March, his score with them was 50%-16%; now it's 62%-12%.

    By comparison, Obama's positive/negative score is 48%-39%, and those numbers have been fairly consistent over the past two years.

    Looking inside these numbers, two other things stand out:
    -- The gender gap is helping Obama: His positive/negative score is even among men (44%-42%), but he has a big advantage with women (51%-37%).
    -- There isn't much of a gender gap for Romney (both men and women view him pretty evenly), but his big gap is with Latinos (23%-42% vs. Obama's 57%-26%).

    A final point: Both Romney and Obama aren't as popular as their wives. Ann Romney's positive/negative score in the poll is 27%-17%, and First Lady Michelle Obama's is 54%-20%.

    The full NBC/WSJ poll -- which was conducted April 13-17 of 1,000 respondents (250 of which were reached by cell phone), and which it has an overall margin of error of plus-minus 3.1 percentage points -- will be released at 6:30 pm ET.

    882 comments

    Willard is a uncharismatic chameleon... plain & simple! Republicans may be coalescing around him, but the rest of America doesn't seem to be buying what Willard is peddling!

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  • 13
    Apr
    2012
    3:22pm, EDT

    The Week That Was: The general election kicks off

    With Rick Santorum out of the GOP race, Mark Murray and Domenico Montanaro look back at the week that kicked off the general election including debate over the Buffett rule and escalation in the war on women.

    Edited by NBC's Matt Loffman.

    70 comments

    It was quite a week. Mitt was gloating that he'd won and along comes a spider named George W. Bush to ruin his day. As for the Rosen comment, that will be a short-lived gift for Mittens because everything else he's said indicating he's part of the GOP's War on Women is all caught on tape. It isn't a …

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  • 13
    Apr
    2012
    11:34am, EDT

    Obama campaign urges Romney to release tax returns

    By NBC's Mark Murray
    Follow @mmurraypolitics

     

    With President Obama's and Vice President Biden's 2011 tax returns now posted online, the Obama campaign is calling on Mitt Romney to release his -- as well as those going back several years.

    “Mitt Romney’s defiance of decades of precedent set by presidential candidates on both sides of the aisle, including his own father, begs the question -- what does he have to hide?" Obama Campaign Manager Jim Messina asked in a statement. "Did he exploit loopholes in the tax code by keeping his investments offshore and is that why he’s protecting those loopholes now? Why did he open a Swiss bank account instead of an American bank account and establish a corporation in Bermuda instead of on our shores? Did he pay a lower income tax rate than the 13.9 percent he paid in 2010 and is that why he opposes the Buffett Rule to ensure millionaires don’t pay less taxes than middle-class families?”

    Files / AFP - Getty Images

    With President Obama's and Vice President Biden's 2011 tax returns now posted online, the Obama campaign is calling on Mitt Romney to release his.

    Earlier this year, Romney released his 2010 tax returns, which showed he paid an effective tax rate of 13.9%, as well as an estimate of his 2011 returns.

    According to Obama's 2011 returns, he paid an effective tax rate of about 20%, and Biden paid about 23%.

    *** UPDATE *** Romney spokeswoman Andrea Saul replies, "It’s no surprise with the worst job creation record in modern history that President Obama would try to distract Americans from the real issues with a series of sideshows. Gov. Romney has already released his 2010 return and an estimate of his 2011 income and taxes. He will release his full 2011 return when it is filed."

    702 comments

    Yes, Gov. Romney - show us how your version of capitalism works, please!

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  • 19
    Dec
    2011
    11:35am, EST

    Inside the Boiler Room: Send us your questions!

    We are gearing up for our last installments of 'Inside the Boiler Room' for 2011! Please post your questions for Mark Murray and Domenico Montanaro below. 

    You can also tweet us, @NBCFirstRead, @mmurraypolitics or@DomenicoNBC, or post on our Facebook page.

    66 comments

    Why does the defense budget continue to expand when virtually everyone agrees we have to cut spending?

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  • 2
    Dec
    2011
    11:07am, EST

    Inside the Boiler Room: Does Romney take Gingrich's rise in the polls seriously?

    By Natalie Cucchiara

    Inside the Boiler Room NBC's Mark Murray and Domenico Montanaro debate how serious the campaign of Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney is taking GOP hopeful and former House Speaker Newt Gingrich's rise in the polls, and whether the Romney camp will now reconsider Iowa.

    Thanks to phinephancy-4252115 for the question! Keep an eye out for the next editions of Inside the Boiler Room and don't forget to post your questions for Mark Murray and Domenico Montanaro. You can also tweet us, @NBCFirstRead,@mmurraypolitics or @DomenicoNBC, or post on our Facebook page.

    Video edited and transcribed by NBC's Morgan Parmet. 

    TRANSCRIPT:

    MARK MURRAY: Welcome to the latest edition of inside the boiler room. I'm Mark Murray joined by my colleague Domenico Montanaro. Domenico, we have a question from phinephancy. This is phinephancy's first question, I think, inside the boiler room. How serious is the Romney campaign taking Newt Gingrich's rise in the polls? Will they now reconsider Iowa?

    DOMENICO MONTANARO: Well, we know they're reconsidering Iowa a little bit. They went up with their first TV ad. So they're actually going to play there a little bit. I think they're taking New Gingrich's rise a little bit more seriously than they were a week ago. You know we've started to see a back and forth over about two or three days. Newt Gingrich called Mitt Romney the former front runner.

    MARK MURRAY: Right. 

    DOMENICO MONTANARO: And Romney hit him back calling him a lifelong politician. Newt Gingrich hit him back. Romney hit him back. So, you know, I think it's going to be a really interesting next 30 days. 

    MARK MURRAY: Right, the only question is is this two man race going to stay? I mean remember it wasn't too long ago we thought we had a two man race between Rick Perry and Mitt Romney in August and September. Look how that ended up turning out. One other thing about Mitt Romney. He's actually going to have Chris Christie campaigning for him. I mean yes, there is a play going on for Iowa. They might not be all in, but this is now a significant contest and the stakes are very high.

    DOMENICO MONTANARO: They're like two legs in. 

    MARK MURRAY: Right. 

    DOMENICO MONTANARO: One other small thing, The Hill newspaper today had a blind item from a member of congress Republican saying Newt Gingrich's finger is always six inches away from the self-destruct button. 

    MARK MURRAY: (laughs)

    DOMENICO MONTANARO: So, you know, that's what a lot of people are talking about. If he's able to maintain the message discipline and he said himself he needs to be more disciplined. If he maintains that discipline, maybe he can be the guy over the next 30 days to compete with Romney head to head. 

    MARK MURRAY: We have about 30 days to go until Iowa.

    DOMENICO MONTANARO: We'll see.

    MARK MURRAY: We'll see. Thanks.

    128 comments

    Congrats phinephancy for having your question selected! This should help cheer you up today! Drinks are on us at the Dew Drop Inn later! 'o)

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  • 14
    Nov
    2011
    1:02pm, EST

    Inside the Boiler Room: The Veepstakes

    Follow @DomenicoNBC Follow @MMurrayPolitics
    By Natalie Cucchiara

    Mark Murray and Domenico Montanaro weigh the possibility of Sen. Marco Rubio, R-Fla., or Gov. Bob McDonnell, R-Va. as a vice presidential candidate on the 2012 ticket.

    NOTE: Since we taped this segment, Republicans won control of the state Senate in Virginia. Both Democrats and Republicans hold 20 seats in the Virginia Senate. Republican Lt. Gov. Bill Bolling holds the tie-breaking vote, giving Republicans their one-vote advantage.

    Thanks to Bob-1887910 for the question! Keep an eye out later in the week for our next Inside the Boiler Room segments!

    TRANSCRIPT: 

    DOMENICO MONTANARO: Welcome again to another edition of Inside the Boiler Room. Well, we have another question from Bob 1887910 we always love to be able to get comments from Bob and he says: “If my immensely popular Governor Bob McDonnell helps flips the State Senate to the GOP next week, giving Republicans unprecedented full control of Virginia government, will he then top Marco Rubio in the Veepstakes rankings?” A lot there.

    MARK MURRAY: Well, right. Here’s how I kind of look at the GOP Veepstakes stakes right now. Marco Rubio had kind of a tough row with that Washington Post report about when his parents came to the United States. You can get into the particulars, but it came to the point that he hasn’t yet been vetted. You can almost look at him “1A,” Bob McDonnell “1B.” What McDonnell essentially ends up giving you is somebody who could, is a popular governor of a battleground state in Virginia, so automatically they might think, look you know we’re going to have a problem in Virginia. If you get Bob McDonnell. He could also end up helping if say, Mitt Romney is the nominee. Sure some of that evangelical, social conservative--

    DOMENICO MONTANARO: -- Sure, a lot of people don’t know he takes a very moderate tone, he’s been a moderate governor, but he went to Liberty University and is a strong Evangelical.

    MARK MURRAY: Yeah, absolutely. So, and one other thing to keep in mind about Bob McDonnell: his job runs out in 2013. And so when you’re looking at Marco Rubio’s world, he’s only been in the senate for one year, he has big ambitions. Chris Christie of course, he might end up running for re-election. Bob McDonnell is actually going to need a job, come pretty soon because he’s terminated, you only get one term as governor. And so, if you are the republican nominee, he ends up making a lot of sense.

    DOMENICO MONTANARO: Yeah, that’s definitely true. Rubio, you’re right, took a hit because of that story. You know there are also some other issues with Rubio as to whether or not you know, he’s experienced enough, but Barak Obama had that issue. And you know, whether or not he actually appeals to, what demographic he appeals to, you know, who knows. But, picking him would be all about Florida. If Republicans felt that they couldn’t win Florida. His popularity there--

    MARK MURRAY: And you know the Latino vote too, potentially--

    DOMENICO MONTANARO: Well, in Florida. But, and then when you look at somebody else, Chris Christie, you know could be another person, you know, John McCain picked Sarah Palin, that most of us had taken her of the veep list because of issues back in Alaska that we thought, she’s under investigation, he’s not going to pick her. But he did because she could fire up the base. Nobody fires up the base like Chris Christie does. So you know, maybe there’s somebody like him. And McDonnell also, aside from the state senate stuff, which you mention would be a nice feather in his cap, just what he’s done with jobs in the state. You know, he beat out Maryland for these defense contractor jobs. He understands federal workers, and he can speak that way because they are a large constituency group in Northern Virginia. So, I think that he, because of that, is an attractive candidate because he’s not going to make too many mistakes.

    MARK MURRAY: He is. The one thing that, to note about Virginia though, is that all of their recent governors have been very popular. You  have Mark Warner with his job growth, Tim Cain was very popular and now you have Bob McDonnell. One of the reasons Virginia is doing so well is it’s so close to Washington, DC. There’ve been a ton of jobs, the defense contractors, etc. and it doesn’t look like the rest of the nation just yet. But, I mean, I think that he, right now Bob McDonnell certainly looks like a 1A or 1B to me on whoever is on the veepstakes next.

    DOMENICO MONTANARO: They’re real popular until you give them a second term, right. We’ll see.

    Transcribed by NBC's Annie Emberland and Laura Olson.

    89 comments

    Congrats Bobby lots of #'s on having your question selected! Are you satisfied now or will your perpetual whining continue? Personally, my choice for Veep is either Bachmann or Cain! Any of the 'A' list Republicans have enough sense to sit this out until 2016! You can't go wrong pandering for the st …

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  • 10
    Nov
    2011
    11:06am, EST

    Inside the Boiler Room: Battle of the Swing States

    NBC's Mark Murray and Domenico Montanaro give their thoughts on what issues could move the swing states to vote one way or another.
    Thanks to Frank "Grimey" Grimes for the question!

    Edited by NBC's Morgan Parmet. Transcribed by NBC's Laura Emberland.
    TRANSCRIPT:

    MARK MURRAY: Welcome back to Inside the Boiler Room. Domenico, we have a question from Frank “Grimey” Grimes. This must be Grimey’s like sixth or seventh question he’s…

    DOMENICO MONTANARO: I wonder if he gets like an award.

    MARK MURRAY: There will have to be an award. After this election cycle, we will give an award to our—in some form or fashion.

    DOMENICO MONTANARO: He heard it here!

    MARK MURRAY: Yeah, you heard it here first, breaking news! Domenico, Grimey’s question is this—it’s fairly obvious that the overriding issue in the 2012 election will be the economy. However, the Presidency will be won or lost based on battles fought in a handful of swing states. What are some of the other issues that could move a swing state one way or another outside the economy? Grimey mentions one example would be like Social Security and Florida. Your take?

    DOMENICO MONTANARO: Yeah, it’s a really good question because, yes, the economy is going to be the overarching issue, even in states where there might be some other issues, like Virginia where jobs is a big issue, of course. You know, federal government spending, things like that, are still going to be on—but let’s look at a few other states. So, if you think about social security in Florida, this is exactly why Mitt Romney tried to slam home the fact that Rick Perry had called Social Security a Ponzi scheme. He’s been playing for the general election the entire time. You know, he took a pause from that strategy in having to hit Perry, but that’s why you heard him, you know, not talk about, not talk, you know, hit him more on Social Security. Other things, like the auto bailout in Michigan, you know in Michigan, in Rustbelt states, the auto bailout, if it’s Mitt Romney versus President Obama—there is Mitt Romney saying that he thought that, you know…

    MARK MURRAY: The government bailout wasn’t a good idea. 

    DOMENICO MONTANARO: That they needed to go bankrupt. You know, in Nevada, you know, look at home foreclosures, in Nevada, Florida, Arizona—these are key states! Home foreclosures are very high. One in 118 homes in Nevada is foreclosed on. Mitt Romney has that comment where he said that we need to let the foreclosure market bottom out, and the DNC has been pushing these comments. And we’ve been seeing that, you know, played everywhere. Immigration, if you look at the West, Colorado, Nevada, New Mexico are President Obama’s firewall we like to say. And if he wins those states then that’s—you know it could fire up one way or the other in Arizona too. You never know. They want to make that a potential toss up states with Democrats and try to make Republicans spend money there, but we’ll see, you know, if that issue can resonate. Hispanics, Hispanics, Hispanics is what people have told us, that that is going to be the new Florida, Florida, Florida. And that also translates to Florida, but it translates to, you know, the Southwest in particular. You look at union issues, collective bargaining rights, Wisconsin and Ohio, key swing states. We’ve seen less, a lessening of attention on that issue, but on the margins, where this could be a very close election, those margins matter.

    MARK MURRAY: Well, absolutely. A couple other issues, Grimey mentioned Florida and you were talking about Social Security -- Medicare. Don’t forget that, because that’s going to be a very big issue as well. You’re going to see Democrats play that a lot and also, energy in states like Ohio, Pennsylvania, even Virginia on both sides of the issue. Particularly some coal-producing states, and about oil production there. So..

    DOMENICO MONTANARO: It’s part of Rick Perry’s jobs plan.

    MARK MURRAY: It’s going to be chock-full of issues. And of course, when you look at even broader, like nation-based issues on the future of the Supreme Court, on you know, issues like abortion, other things. We’re gonna have plenty of stuff to cover in a general election.

    DOMENICO MONTANARO: And of course, foreign policy is going to be an over-arching issue. You know, and they’re going to talk about it. But, you know, still you come back to it. A lot of times the people try to push those issues that are second and third on the totem pole, are the people who are kind of coming from behind because the main issues isn’t helping them. So you’re going to hear a lot about these other issues from the White House because the economy is not doing well.

    MARK MURRAY: Right

    DOMENICO MONTANARO: If the economy starts to trend in a better direction, you’ll start hearing them talk about the economy 24/7 and how it’s going better. It it’s not, you’re going to hear republicans talk about the economy and not the White House.

    MARK MURRAY: That’s a great response and a great question from Grimey. 

    84 comments

    DOMENICO MONTANARO: That they needed to go bankrupt Regarding Mitt Romney's take on the Auto Bailouts. NEWSFLASH GUYS! GM AND CHRYSLER DID GO BANKRUPUT! That is Romney's whole point. Even after the bailouts, the companies had to file for bankruptcy. He believes there was a better way to do this with …

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Chuck Todd

Chuck Todd became NBC News’ political director in March 2007. He also serves as NBC News' on-air political analyst for "NBC Nightly News with Brian Williams," "Today," "Meet the Press and MSNBC, including "Hardball with Chris Matthews."

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Domenico Montanaro is NBC News' Deputy Political Editor. He writes, reports and edits for First Read, the network's political blog, provides editorial guidance for NBC's broadcast shows and online content, and appears on air. He has covered the 2008 and 2012 presidential elections for NBC and has reported from Capitol Hill.

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