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  • 19
    Oct
    2012
    10:59am, EDT

    State jobless data offers mixed picture for Obama and Romney

    By Michael O'Brien, NBC News
    Follow @mpoindc

     

    The economy remains the top issue for voters, and a new set of data released Friday paints a picture of an uneven economic recovery in a series of battleground states.

    Of the nine states categorized as "battleground states" by NBC News, five had state unemployment rates below the national unemployment rate of 7.8 percent in September, according to preliminary estimates released Friday by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

    The other four states suffered from a higher-than-average jobless rates, the highest of which was in Nevada; the BLS said that 11.8 percent of Nevadans were unemployed through September, the highest unemployment rate of all 50 states. (One U.S. territory, Puerto Rico, had a higher jobless rate.)

    Friday's news is the last series of state-level unemployement data voters will receive before Election Day. One last national jobs report is due Nov. 2, the Friday before voters head to the polls.

    President Barack Obama and Republican nominee Mitt Romney have each made jobs the centerpiece of their respective campaigns. The president got a boost earlier this month when the BLS report showed the unemployment rate dropping below 8 percent for the first time in years, disarming Romney of one of his most potent cudgels versus the president.

    But as each Obama and Romney travel the country over the next 18 days looking to secure the 270 electoral votes they need to win the White House, economic optimism might be brighter in some states and still dim in others.

    The five states with unemployment rates below 7.8 percent included Iowa (5.2 percent), New Hampshire (5.7 percent), Ohio (7.0 percent), Virginia (5.9 percent) and Wisconsin (7.3 percent).

    The four battleground states with unemployment rates above the national average are Colorado (8.0 percent), Florida (8.7 percent), Nevada and North Carolina (9.6 percent).

    If, for purposes of speculation, Obama were to win the battleground states with jobless rates beneath 7.8 percent along with all of the other states considered more safely in his column, he would win the Electoral College, 288-250.

    But politics, of course, are not that simple. For instance, the number of employees on nonfarm payrolls in Ohio actually decreased between August and September, though the unemployment rate dropped from 7.2 percent to 7 percent over the same period.

    But as Obama argues that the economy is moving forward and Romney asserts that the recovery has not been sufficiently robust, it's helpful to remember how those arguments might sound different to voters in differing states.

    228 comments

    There isn't enough spin in the world to change the fact President Obama is bringing us back from the greatest economic collapse since the Great Depression! Even though he has had ZERO cooperation from the tea bagging obstructionists in Congress! Now almost half of the country wants to go back to the …

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  • 17
    Oct
    2012
    2:14pm, EDT

    Obama mocks Romney's 'binders' comment at post-debate rally

    By NBC's Ali Weinberg
    Follow @AliNBCNews

     

    Updated 4:22 p.m. - MOUNT VERNON, IA -- President Barack Obama seized on Republican nominee Mitt Romney’s rhetoric and record on Wednesday with the same aggression he displayed during his second face-to-face meeting with Romney at last night's town hall debate.

    President Obama delivers remarks at a grassroots event in Mount Vernon, Iowa, at Cornell College's Richard and Norma Small Multi-Sport Center.

    Speaking this afternoon in Iowa, the president was quick to revive Romney's response Tuesday night to a question about pay equity between the sexes, in which he touted his record of hiring women as Massachusetts governor by saying he had “binders full of women” who were qualified to be hired.

    “I’ve gotta tell you, we don’t have to collect a bunch of binders to find qualified, talented, terrific young women ready to work and teach in these fields right now!” Obama exclaimed as a crowd of 2,800 at Cornell College, outside Cedar Rapids, cheered.

    Related: Sharp exchanges at second debate

    He also hit Romney over his sales pitch for lowering taxes, saying Romney’s plan is not to be trusted because it contains so few specifics.

    “Iowa, you know, everybody here's heard of the New Deal, you've heard of the Fair Deal, you've heard of the Square Deal. Mitt Romney's trying to sell you a sketchy deal,” he said, using the same adjective – “sketchy” – that he premiered last night at Hofstra.

    Many of Obama's attacks were similar to those he voiced during last night's debate. That differed from Obama's post-debate appearance after his first debate versus Romney, where the president's attacks seemed as thought they came a day late.

    Robert Gibbs, Senior Advisor for the Obama Campaign, joins The Daily Rundown's Chuck Todd to talk about the President's performance in the debate, and touches on the President's debate remarks on the 9/11 Libya attacks.

    One such attack was ridiculing Romney’s “five-point plan” as a “one-point plan” given its lack of specifics and goal of, as Obama says, raising taxes on the middle class to pay for a tax cut for the wealthy. 

    Despite deploying lines Wednesday that he seemed to believe succeeded the night before, Obama still played down his own performance, telling the crowd that he’s “still trying to figure out how to get the hang of this thing, debating it.”

    “But we’re working on it. We’ll keep on improving as time goes on. I’ve got one left,” he told the crowd.

    And he has one campaign event left Wednesday, in the thick of the swing state of Ohio.

    The Romney campaign responded to Obama's event with a response that noted Obama said at the debate, that "there are some jobs that are not going to come back" because of the uneven economic recovery.

    "President Obama has no new ideas, no vision for the future, and is simply giving up. The choice in this election couldn’t be clearer. Mitt Romney has bold new ideas that will cut taxes for middle-class families, create 12 million new jobs with higher take-home pay, and cut spending to put our nation on a course toward a balanced budget,” spokesman Ryan Williams said in a statement.

    2417 comments

    Go gettem Obama. Dont let up.

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  • 10
    Oct
    2012
    4:27pm, EDT

    Romney vows to be 'a pro-life president' after newspaper interview

    By Michael O'Brien, NBC News
    Follow @mpoindc

     

    Mitt Romney vowed he would govern as a "pro-life president" after telling an Iowa newspaper on Tuesday that he wouldn't seek legislation affecting access to abortion.

    The Republican presidential nominee, speaking to reporters during a stop Wednesday afternoon in Ohio, said he would act immediately as president to eliminate funding for Planned Parenthood and reinstate the so-called "Mexico City Policy," which prohibits the use of federal funds for promoting of performing abortions abroad.

    Slideshow: On the campaign trail

    The latest national poll suggests GOP presidential nominee Mitt Romney has gained ground with women voters, something his campaign is hoping to build on. NBC's Peter Alexander reports.

    "I think I've said time and again. I'm a pro-life candidate. I'll be a pro-life president," Romney said. "The actions I'll take immediately are to remove funding for Planned Parenthood. It will not be part of my budget. And also I've indicated I'll reverse the Mexico City position of the president. I will reinstate the Mexico City policy."

    RELATED: Obama team says Romney 'trying to cover up' views on abortion

    Romney told the editorial board of the Des Moines Register that he has "no legislation with regards to abortion that I’m familiar with that would become part of my agenda."

    His campaign subsequently said Romney would "of course support legislation aimed at providing greater protections for life," prompting the Obama campaign to pounce, and accuse their Republican opponent of obfuscating his true position on abortion rights.

    "We're not saying that he's changed his mind on these issues, we're saying he's trying to cover up his beliefs," Obama campaign deputy campaign manager Stephanie Cutter said in a Wednesday conference call.

    1809 comments

    My GOD this person Willard Romney just can't take a position and stick with it. That man lies so much, it's hard to imagine anyone voting for him and dismissing all of his repeated lies on every position.

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  • 9
    Oct
    2012
    3:20pm, EDT

    Romney says he met SEAL who was killed in Libya attack

    By NBC's Jamie Novogrod
    Follow @JamieNBCNews

     

    VAN METER, Iowa -- Mitt Romney said Tuesday that he had actually met one of the Navy SEALs to have been killed in the Sept. 11 attacks on the American consulate in Benghazi, Libya.

    Evan Vucci / AP

    Republican presidential candidate, former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney shakes hands during a campaign rally, Tuesday, Oct. 9, 2012, in Van Meter, Iowa.

    A day after delivering a major foreign policy speech -- which included sharp criticism of President Barack Obama's response to the terrorist attack -- Romney acknowledged having met the SEAL, Glen Doherty, during a past holiday party.

    "This is kind of a strange story so bear with me here," Romney told an audience on a farm outside of Des Moines.  He went on to say that he and his wife, Ann Romney, had been invited to a neighborhood Christmas party a few years ago, but they inadvertently went to the wrong party.

    "We were a little embarrassed, but they treated us well nonetheless.  And I got to meet some really interesting people," Romney continued. 

    One of them, Romney said, was a former Navy SEAL from Romney's home state of Massachusetts.

    "He told me that he keeps going back to the Middle East," Romney recalled.

    "He cares very deeply about the people there. He served in the military there, went back from time to time to offer security services and so forth to people there. You can imagine how I felt when I found out that he was one of the two former Navy SEALS killed in Benghazi on September 11th."

    The events in Benghazi have become a charged issue in the campaign, as Obama defends himself against charges that the consulate was poorly protected.

    The attack resulted in the death of U.S. Ambassador Christopher Stevens, the first ambassador killed in the line duty in three decades. Three other Americans were killed, including two former U.S. Navy SEALs working as security contractors.

    The Romney campaign later confirmed to reporters that the man Romney met at that party in La Jolla, CA, several years ago was Doherty, of Winchester, Mass.

    A neighbor of Romney's reached out to the candidate last week to notify Romney of the coincidence. Doherty's sister said the campaign had notified her family that Romney would speak about the late SEAL, and the family set up a foundation in his honor in anticipation of the mention.

    737 comments

    Romney is a liar. I'd like to smack Romney's smirk off of his face. Romney is a greedy, lying and ruthless coward. IF romney was president: He'd send woman back to the middle ages.

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  • 2
    Oct
    2012
    2:36pm, EDT

    In Iowa, Ryan looks to add detail to Romney's plans

    By NBC's Alex Moe

    CLINTON, Iowa -- Republican vice presidential hopeful Paul Ryan sought to add some specifics to Mitt Romney's proposals on Tuesday amid criticism that the GOP ticket hadn't fully detailed its plans.

    Responding to a woman's question about why Ryan wouldn't answer a question this past Sunday on Fox News about the Romney-Ryan tax plan's math, Ryan argued the television format didn't give him enough time.

    Kevin Schmidt / AP

    Republican vice presidential candidate Paul Ryan speaks to a crowd in Clinton, Iowa Tuesday, Oct. 2, 2012.

    “When you get into math conversation, it can take a little while. Let me give you some specific answers right now,” the Wisconsin congressman said early Tuesday morning standing outside the Clinton County Courthouse. He continued to tick through their 5-point plan for a strong middle class including about energy, education, trade.

    “The problem is, it just took me about 5 minutes to go into all of this with you and when you are on a 30-second TV show, you can’t do it as much. But the point is, go to our website, you can see all this,” Ryan said after a several minute riff about their policies. “Mitt Romney has put more specifics, more details about how to grow the economy, about how to save Medicare, Social Security, about how to prevent the debt crisis than the incumbent President of the United States has.”

    President Obama’s re-election campaign shot back at these claims in a statement.

    "Congressman Ryan can't attend his own campaign rallies without being called out for failing to provide specifics about what Mitt Romney would do if elected. That's because just one day before the first debate, Mitt Romney has refused to say which deductions he'd cut for the middle class in order to pay for his $250,000 tax cuts for multi-millionaires,” spokesman Danny Kanner wrote. “And he's refused to say how he'd replace Obamacare or Wall Street reform to protect middle class families or prevent the big banks from writing their own rules again. They won't share those details with the country because they know that the details are bad for middle class Americans.”

    Campaign senior adviser Kevin Madden explains Mitt Romney's mood heading into Wednesday's debate and how the team is interpreting the GOP nominee's recent decline in the polls.

    Ryan’s stop here along the Mississippi River was a homecoming for his wife, Janna, and her two sisters and father, who joined at the event in Eastern Iowa. Prudence Petersen Little, Janna’s mother, moved to a house in Clinton when she was very young and Janna’s grandmother remained in the home until 2004.

    The Ryans stopped by the red-painted home following the town hall here to meet with the new owners and the three Little girls reminisced on memories of visiting when they were growing up.

    The congressman finishes off Tuesday in the Hawkeye State with two more events in Muscatine and Burlington.

    56 comments

    You mean like this? Trust us... *wink wink* "Obviously," Ryan said, "the numbers add up, we have shown that." Says, a proven certifiable serial LIAR! Only in ConservatiVille is the sky plaid & unicorns roam freely! lol

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  • 20
    Sep
    2012
    6:30pm, EDT

    Polls: Obama ahead in Colorado, Iowa and Wisconsin

    Kevin Lamarque / Reuters

    President Barack Obama shakes hands after holding a round table discussion with first time voters at OMG Burger in Miami on Sept. 20, 2012.

    By Mark Murray, NBC News Senior Political Editor

    President Barack Obama leads Mitt Romney in Colorado, Iowa and Wisconsin, reaching the key 50 percent support threshold in all three battlegrounds, according to the latest NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist polls of these states.

    In both Colorado and Wisconsin, Obama is ahead by 5 points among likely voters (including those leaning toward a candidate), 50 percent to 45 percent.

    And in Iowa, the president’s edge over Romney is 8 points, 50 percent to 42 percent.

    Read the Colorado poll results here (.pdf)

    Among a wider sample of registered voters, Obama’s lead is even larger – 6 points in Colorado, 8 in Wisconsin and 11 in Iowa.

    While Obama still hasn't closed the deal, says Marist College pollster Lee Miringoff, “The advantage is his in all three states.”

    He adds, “It is very important in an election when you start closing in on 50 [percent]. In politics that is a big number.”

    The results from these new polls are similar to the NBC/WSJ/Marist surveys of Florida, Ohio and Virginia that were released last week. Those showed Obama ahead in all three battlegrounds. And they’re consistent with this week’s national NBC/WSJ poll (conducted by different pollsters) that found Obama up by 5 points among likely voters, 50 percent to 45 percent.

    Romney’s favorability vs. Obama’s
    These new surveys – conducted after the political firestorm over last week’s attacks on U.S. embassies in Libya and Egypt, and during the melee over a leaked video of Romney talking about the “47 percent” of Americans who are dependent on government and believe they are victims – also show the Republican’s favorability rating in an unenviable place.

    Slideshow: On the campaign trail

    Reuters, Getty Images

    In the final push in the 2012 presidential election, candidates Mitt Romney and Barack Obama make their last appeals to voters.

    Launch slideshow

    A plurality of likely voters view Romney in a negative light in all three states. In Colorado, it’s 43 percent favorable to 50 percent unfavorable; in Iowa, it’s 42 percent to 50 percent; and in Wisconsin, it’s 43 percent to 46 percent.

    By contrast, out of last week’s polls in Florida, Ohio and Virginia, just one of them – Ohio – found Romney’s favorable/unfavorable rating under water.

    Read the Wisconsin poll results here (.pdf)

    Meanwhile, Obama’s favorable/unfavorable scores in Colorado (51 percent to 45 percent), Iowa (53 percent to 42 percent), and Wisconsin (51 percent to 44 percent) are all above water.

    Romney casts himself as 'change' candidate in seizing on Obama comment

    Yet the president’s job approval rating in these states is a bit lower – 47 percent in Colorado, 48 percent in Wisconsin, and 49 percent in Iowa.

    Tied on the economy
    According to these polls, Obama and Romney are essentially battling to a tie on the question of which candidate would do a better job in handling the economy. In Wisconsin, 46 percent of likely voters pick Romney, while 45 percent select Obama.

    But in Colorado, the president gets 48 percent, and the GOP nominee gets 46 percent. And in Iowa, Obama is up by four points, 47 percent to 43 percent.

    Read the Iowa poll results here (.pdf)

    Yet when it comes to which candidate would do a better job on foreign policy, the president enjoys a double-digit advantage in all three states.

    Other notable numbers

    • In Republican running mate Paul Ryan’s home state of Wisconsin, his favorable/unfavorable score among likely voters is 49 percent to 40 percent (versus 51 percent to 44 percent for Obama, 43 percent to 46 percent for Romney, and 42 percent to 45 percent for Vice President Joe Biden).
    • In Wisconsin’s competitive Senate contest, Democrat Tammy Baldwin gets support from 48 percent of likely voters, and Republican Tommy Thompson gets 46 percent.
    • Obama is ahead among independents in all three states – by 1 point in Wisconsin, 10 points in Iowa and 11 points in Colorado.
    • And there’s a significant gender gap in these three states, with the president up by double digits among women and with Romney slightly ahead among men.

    The NBC/WSJ/Marist polls were conducted Sept. 16-18 of 971 likely voters in Colorado (which has a margin of error of plus-minus 3.1 percentage points), 898 likely voters in Iowa (plus-minus 3.3 percentage points) and 968 likely voters in Wisconsin (plus-minus 3.2 percentage points).

    NBC's Domenico Montanaro and Chris Cillizza discuss on MSNBC's Andrea Mitchell Reports Mitt Romney's new moderate tone and new battleground polls showing an advantage for President Barack Obama.

    About a quarter of all likely voters in these three states were interviewed by cell phone.

    NBC’s Natalie Cucchiara contributed to this report.

     

    2257 comments

    Obama is ahead among independents in all three states – by 1 point in Wisconsin, 10 points in Iowa and 11 points in Colorado. That kinda puts the kibosh on the Tea Party's claim that independents will not vote for Obama.

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  • 18
    Sep
    2012
    2:08pm, EDT

    Biden holds his tongue on Romney fundraiser comments

    By NBC's Carrie Dann
    Follow @CarrieNBCNews

     

    OTTUMWA, IA -- Vice President Joe Biden, the man who is often the first to charge into the political fray on President Barack Obama's behalf, held his tongue Tuesday in regard to a controversy involving Mitt Romney.

    Asked by reporters to comment on the GOP presidential nominee's surreptitiously recorded comments referencing 47 percent of Americans do not "take personal responsibility" and feel "entitled" to government benefits, Biden said only that he'll let Romney's words "speak for themselves."

    Related: Conservatives reaction mixed to Romney 47 percent video

    Biden, appearing at a campaign event in swing state Iowa, did not mention today's firestorm over the Romney comments during a 25-minute speech to about 450 supporters, concentrating instead on familiar attacks over the GOP ticket's Medicare and tax proposals.

    Recommended: Leaked video is the latest hit for Romney

    The Romney remarks were recorded at a fundraiser earlier this year and leaked to magazine Mother Jones. Late yesterday, the candidate said the sentiment was expressed in an "inartful" way but that he stands by his overall philosophy of smaller government.

    Biden next heads to Grinnell, Iowa this afternoon before wrapping up his 2-day tour of the Hawkeye State.

    127 comments

    stay classy...

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  • 7
    Sep
    2012
    7:24pm, EDT

    Romney turns up intensity on day one of fall sprint

    Brian Snyder / Reuters

    Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney takes questions from reporters Friday at the airport in Sergeant Bluff, Iowa.

    By NBC's Garrett Haake

    ABOARD THE ROMNEY CAMPAIGN PLANE -- After a week of debate prep and minimal campaigning while Democrats soaked up the political spotlight in Charlotte, N.C., Mitt Romney on Friday opened day one of the fall campaign sprint to Nov. 6 by launching himself out of the starting blocks like Usain Bolt at the Olympics.

    Aided by access to an ever-growing pot of general election money, the former Massachusetts governor's campaign announced Friday it was taking to the airwaves with no fewer than 15 new television ads in eight swing states.

    Follow @GarrettNBCNews

    When the tepid August jobs report numbers were announced at 8:30 a.m. Friday, Romney aides told reporters he'd make himself available for a morning press conference, a rarity for the traveling press following either candidate this cycle. That session with reporters would ultimately be crammed in on the tarmac in Sioux City, Iowa, between Romney's one-on-one interview with Fox News' Brett Baier and the first of two large swing-state rallies of the day.

    At his rally in Orange City, in a deeply conservative corner of Iowa carried easily by Rick Santorum in January's caucuses, Romney hammered the president for an "extraordinarily disappointing" convention speech, and tried to offer his own hopeful take on the nation's future.

    "I know there’s a lot of bad news out there, but I’m looking beyond the bad news," Romney said. "I’m looking over the hill and seeing what’s going to happen just down the road just a bit. And what’s going to happen is America’s about to come roaring back. I’m absolutely convinced."

    Friday evening, Romney was scheduled to host another rally in New Hampshire in a baseball stadium, inviting direct comparison with President Barack Obama, who also held a rally in the Granite State Friday morning.

    The full court press continues this weekend, when Romney will attend a rally in Virginia and take in a NASCAR race. On Sunday, Romney will appear in an exclusive interview on NBC's “Meet the Press,” his first appearance on the most-watched Sunday public affairs show since announcing his second run for president. Viewers who change the channel to ABC or CBS will find interviews with Rep. Paul Ryan, Romney's running mate, who Friday held his own rally in Sparks, Nev.

    With 60 days to go, it’s a marathon, and a sprint.

    2159 comments

    I am really disappointed that some voters will try to vote back in the party that started the whole mess during Bush.

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  • 7
    Sep
    2012
    6:34pm, EDT

    Romney attacks Obama on convention speech and jobs numbers

    Evan Vucci / AP

    Republican presidential candidate greets supporters Friday during a campaign rally in Orange City, Iowa.

    By NBC's Jamie Novogrod

    ORANGE CITY, Iowa -- In his first rally since President Barack Obama accepted the Democratic nomination for president, Mitt Romney on Friday called Obama's speech in Charlotte, N.C., "extraordinarily disappointing" and castigated Obama for not proposing how to solve joblessness.

    Follow @JamieNBCNews

    "I read that this morning, you perhaps got the chance to do that," Romney said of the speech, suggesting he didn't watch the event live on television Thursday night.

    "But if you did, perhaps like me you found it extraordinary disappointing -- surprisingly disappointing," Romney continued, adding later, "I was surprised by his address because I expected him to confront the major challenges of the last four years, which is an economy which has not produced the jobs that the American people need."


    Romney made the remarks to several thousand people inside a basketball gym at Northwestern College, a small Christian liberal arts school here in conservative northwest Iowa.

    Campaign officials said 2,600 people were inside the gym, and another 800 to 1000 people were inside an overflow room, which Romney visited briefly afterward.

    The event came on the same day the Labor Department released a sour jobs report showing employers added 96,000 jobs in August and that more than 350,000 people had stopped looking for work.

    "It’s just simply unimaginable," Romney said of the numbers.  "The president said that by this time we’d be at 5.4 percent unemployment. 5.4 percent. Instead, we’re at about 8 percent."

    Romney said the difference accounts for 9 million people who could be working.

    Earlier Friday, Romney called the report a "hangover" after the Democrats' "party" in Charlotte.

    "This is a tough time for the middle class of America," Romney told reporters on a tarmac in Sioux City.  "There's almost nothing the president has done in the past three and a half, four years that gives the American people confidence that he knows what he's doing when it comes to jobs and the economy."

    Before Romney took the stage here in Orange City, campaign aides tossed to the crowd blue foam gloves designed to look like baseball mitts. 

    A scoreboard inside the gym had been programmed to list one team as "Mitt" and the other "Romney."  Scores were listed as 11 and 6, a reference to the Nov. 6 general election.

    Romney was introduced by two Iowa Republicans, Gov. Terry Branstad and Rep. Steve King, who represents the 5th district here and is running for re-election.

    Making an apparent pitch for Romney's conservative credentials, King told the crowd that Obama "undermines" the values of northwest Iowa "day after day after day."

    "Don't doubt this man's faith. Don't doubt his conviction," King said of Romney.  "Do not doubt his patriotism or his faith, and his love for Jesus Christ, our savior."

    Romney later urged the crowd inside the overflow room to re-elect King.

    "I wanna make sure he's in Washington when I get there so we can do the things we're promising doing," Romney said.

    627 comments

    After Mitten's speech at the RNC, he better just shut his face. That had to be the worst speech I have ever heard, and rated 38%(the worst in history) by his listeners. And as far as Jobs, NitMitt hasn't got a clue....... - O&Joe 2012

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  • 4
    Sep
    2012
    11:51am, EDT

    Iowa Democrats prepare for starring role in fall campaign

    By Tom Curry, NBC News national affairs writer

    Updated at 4:30pm ET Iowa is crucial to President Barack Obama winning a second term and just in case the Iowa delegates at the Democratic convention in Charlotte, N.C., might forget that fact, even for a moment, an all-star cast of speakers is showing up at the Iowa delegation’s breakfasts this week to flatter them, exhort them and remind them of how important they are.

    John Brecher / NBC News

    Newark, New Jersey Mayor Cory Booker speaks to Iowa delegates at their breakfast event prior to the Democratic National Convention on Monday, Sept. 3, in Charlotte, North Carolina.

    The Iowa delegates gave rousing welcomes to mayors Antonio Villaraigosa of Los Angeles and Cory Booker of Newark, N.J., Monday morning at the delegation’s breakfast.

    Related -- First Thoughts: The enthusiasm gap

    Noting that he had worked as a union organizer for 25 years before being elected to the California legislature, Villaraigosa said Democrats’ grass roots organization is the key to victory. “We’re going to be knocking on doors, we’re going to be calling voters; we know that Iowa is critical to this election and I hope to visit.”

    In fact, the Los Angeles mayor will be the keynote speaker at the Iowa Democratic Party’s annual Jefferson-Jackson dinner on Oct. 20.  

    Booker warned the delegates of the lack of fervor that cost Democrats the New Jersey governor’s race in 2009. “If we had the same kind of enthusiasm, the same kind of energy, the same kind of organizing, the same kind of voter turnout that we did in 2008, we would have easily won in 2009,” Booker said. “The point is very simple: it’s not about them, it is about us, it is about how well we organize, how much we go door to door.”

    Booker mentioned to the Iowans that his great-grandparents moved to Iowa from Alabama and that his grandmother was born in Des Moines in 1918. Telling the delegates that the election has big consequences – such as who appoints the next Supreme Court justice – Booker again brought up his family roots in assessing the election’s impact: “What’s exciting to me is that just like my personal family history, it’s going to turn on the state of Iowa.”

    John Brecher / NBC News

    Sue Dvorsky, Chair of the Iowa Democratic Party, listens to Newark Mayor Cory Booker speak to Iowa delegates at their breakfast event prior to the Democratic National Convention on Monday in Charlotte, North Carolina.

    Iowa is where it all began for Obama with his dramatic caucus win in 2008 and it might be where victory is decided on Nov. 6. The importance of the state’s six electoral votes was underscored again this week by the rival campaigns’ scheduling: Republican vice presidential candidate Paul Ryan will be speaking at rallies in Adel and Cedar Rapids, Iowa, on Tuesday.

    And Obama is heading back to Iowa the day after his acceptance speech to rally young voters at the University of Iowa – after just having campaigned in Sioux City and Urbandale on Saturday.

    Iowa ranks sixth among the states in the amount of money being spent on TV ads by each side, behind Florida, Ohio, Virginia, North Carolina, and Colorado, according to NBC ad tracking data. The Obama campaign and Democratic outside groups have spent $22 million in Iowa so far, compared to $24 million spent by the Romney campaign and GOP outside groups.

    Recommended: Over 800 Latino delegates ready to rally for Obama as Democratic convention begins today

    Alluding to the enthusiasm gap that Booker warned against, delegate Dennis Roseman, a retired University of Iowa mathematics professor and an active and early Obama supporter in 2008, said that things today are different from four years ago when Obama won Iowa in the caucuses and again in November.

    “Four years ago was very exciting, it was all very new, it was all about change and what’s possible,” Roseman said. “We didn’t have the depth of the economic problems that we are facing right now. Even though things are improving, people’s attitudes are somewhat negative, having suffered through a lot. So right now it’s a struggle, no doubt about it.”

    In Charlotte, N.C., Michelle Obama is gearing up to speak at the first night of the Democratic National Convention, touting the president's record on women's issues amidst criticism from the Republican campaign over the state of the economy. NBC's Chuck Todd reports.

    He added, “We’re doing really well in our part of the state and there’s a lot of enthusiasm – but we have a big state and we have to really fight hard to stave off either complacency or a certain amount of negativism.”

    A big student vote for Obama is vital. In 2008, Obama won 70 percent of the vote in Johnson County, home of the University of Iowa, with a margin of more than 30,000 votes over Republican John McCain.

    Recommended: Obama courts labor voters in auto industry's footprint

    Since Iowa is already a state with very high voter registration, Sue Dvorsky, chair of the Iowa Democratic Party, said the Democrats concentrate on adding new voters by registering college and university students “which can’t happen until they get back (to school in September) so now that effort is full-blown.”

    Obama’s Friday campaign event at the University of Iowa will focus on college students “because we know that’s where our new registrants are,” Dvorsky said.

    Republicans point to the 28,000 increase in active GOP voter registrations since 2008, but Dvorsky explained this by pointing to competitive GOP intraparty battles which had spurred interest among Republicans. “They’ve had three consecutive primaries. They had a very, very vigorous gubernatorial primary in 2010 that we didn’t have, then they had the (presidential) caucuses with multiple candidates and multiple winners that we didn’t have. And then they had a record number of primaries against their own (state legislature) incumbents – from the Right.”

    As for the Republican advantage in voter registration (as of August), Dvorsky said she anticipated that when the Iowa Secretary of State’s office releases new numbers on Tuesday “we will have bitten into that substantially.”

    She added that Republicans greatly improved their voter turnout effort in 2010, for example, “their vote by mail went by about 100 percent.”

    Democrats are going to showcase their party's rising stars this week at the DNC and a number of those stars are Democratic mayors. Charlotte Mayor Anthony Foxx and Minneapolis Mayor R.T. Rybak join The Daily Rundown to discuss.

    But she portrays the Iowa GOP as divided among the Ron Paul forces, the Rick Santorum backers, and Mitt Romney’s supporters, calling it “a party that is still fairly fractured.”

    Recommended: Some big-name Democrats will be skipping Charlotte

    She also pointed to another motivation for Democrats to turn out on Election Day: the battle for control of the state Senate – the last line of defense for Democrats against legislation they oppose, since Gov. Terry Branstad is a Republican and the state House is Republican-controlled.

    The Democrats now hold a one-seat majority in the state Senate. On Election Day, there will be 26 competitive state Senate elections.

    “We believe we are in an existential position: we have (a) one seat (majority) in the Senate,” she said. “It must be retained. There is no option for us to fail.”

    Asked about the Republicans’ great success in 2010 elections in Iowa and whether that’s a harbinger for this November, State Senate Majority Leader Mike Gronstal said, “You can point to 2010 and I can point to 2011 – last fall, a special election in a suburban district, Cedar Rapids, handpicked by the Republicans to pick up after appointing a Democratic state senator to the Iowa Utilities Board. They thought that was a seat they were pretty much guaranteed to get back” and create a tie in the state Senate.

    But, Gronstal said, “We put together a great get-out-the-vote effort. We do that better than the Republicans in Iowa and we won that election handily in the end.”

    Obama must rely on that same kind of get-out-the-vote effort on Nov. 6 to keep Iowa in his column.

    315 comments

    I have 3 questions to the Republicans. 1. How many jobs did Mitt Romney create as Governor & CEO? 2. Name 5 achievements of Mitt Romney 3. Where does he stand on any issue? I am willing to bet you have no clue! I will be waiting for answers

    Show more
    Explore related topics: economy, white-house, jobs, ia, featured, dnc-2012, decision-2012, appfeatured
  • 3
    Sep
    2012
    2:48pm, EDT

    RNC chairman: Romney would win if election were today

    By NBC's Jamie Novogrod
    Follow @JamieNBCNews

     

    CHARLOTTE, N.C. -- Mitt Romney would be elected president if the election were held today, the Republican National Committee's chairman boldly predicted Monday.

    RNC Chairman Reince Priebus predicted a Romney victory based on projected wins in several swing states (polls of which are less definitively optimistic for Romney).

    "I feel real good that if the election was held today, we’d be winning today. If the election is tied, we’re going to win the election," Priebus said during a press conference today kicking off the GOP’s "rapid response" effort during the Democratic National Convention.

    "Independents are not going to suddenly have an epiphany," Priebus continued, "and decide that everything is great."

    Pressed by a reporter on which states Romney would win if the election were held today, Priebus doubled down.

    "For one, I think we win Wisconsin today," Priebus said of his home state, adding: "I think we win Florida today. I think we win Virginia. I think that we win Iowa."

    Priebus said Romney would be close in Ohio, a state he called a "toss-up."

    Yet demonstrating the GOP’s not-so easy electoral map in November, Romney winning Wisconsin, Florida, Virginia, and Iowa would still leave him short of the 270 electoral votes needed to win the presidency, especially if Romney doesn’t carry Ohio.

    The GOP will hold press conferences several times daily this week, inside a television studio nestled in the basement of Charlotte’s NASCAR museum.

    "Today, the thrill and pixie dust of Barack Obama’s presidency is gone. Americans feel no hope, and have seen a change for the worst," Priebus told reporters. "Democrats are dispirited.  Enthusiasm is clearly on the Republican side."

    Priebus was joined today by Rep. Jason Chaffetz (R-UT). Other officials slated to participate in the GOP effort here include Virginia Gov. Bob McDonnell and South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley.

    1787 comments

    Well, okay, but the election ISN'T today, and even if it were the Electoral College map says otherwise. But, whatever gets you through the day...

    Show more
    Explore related topics: va, mitt-romney, barack-obama, fl, ia, oh, wi, paul-ryan, first-read, reince-priebus, decision-2012
  • 1
    Sep
    2012
    9:18pm, EDT

    Obama begins 'Road to Charlotte' tour in Iowa with slam at 'backwards' GOP

    President Barack Obama kicked off his "Road to Charlotte" tour with stops in multiple states on Saturday. NBC's Kristen Welker reports.

    By NBC's Shawna Thomas

    SIOUX CITY, Iowa – President Barack Obama began his "Road to Charlotte" tour Saturday in Iowa, the state that started it all back in 2008.

    Follow @ShawnaNBCNews

    While this was the formal start of the push to highlight his upcoming speech Thursday at the Democratic National Convention in Charlotte, N.C., the president has been stumping in Iowa pretty regularly this year. Saturday’s visit marked his seventh trip to the Hawkeye state. While Iowa only has six electoral votes, the campaign is determined to prove that the president can once again win over a state that has been politically leaning red since Obama was elected.


    In Urbandale, outside of the capital city of Des Moines, the president began to renew his case with his version of a "recap" of this past week's Republican National Convention in Tampa.

    "Everything is bad, it’s Obama’s fault and Governor Romney is the only one who knows the secret to creating jobs and growing the economy," the president said sarcastically. "That was the pitch. There was a lot of talk about hard truths and bold choices, but nobody ever actually bothered to tell you what they were."

    And then he pledged to give the answers he claimed the Republicans glossed over.

    "This Thursday night, I will offer you what I believe is a better path forward, a path that grows this economy, creates more good jobs, strengthens the middle class. And the good news is you get to choose which path we take. We can take their path or we can take the path that I'm going to present."

    His speeches in both Urbandale and Sioux City were energetic with new, pointed criticisms of GOP presidential nominee Mitt Romney and his running mate, Rep. Paul Ryan, R-Wis.

    Harkening back again to Romney's speech in Tampa, the president reminded the crowd that Romney didn’t mention the troops serving in Afghanistan.

    "Governor Romney had nothing to say about Afghanistan last week, let alone offer a plan for the 33,000 troops who will have come home from the war by the end of this month. He said ending the war in Iraq was 'tragic.' I said we’d end that war -- and we did."

    Larry Downing / Reuters

    President Barack Obama speaks to thousands of supporters Saturday at a campaign event at the Living History Farms in Urbandale, Iowa.

    The Obama campaign theme emblazoned on banners at events is "Forward," symbolizing the president's repeated criticisms that Romney's plans will take the country "backwards." But the president newly riffed on this Saturday when he said of the Republican convention, "What they offered over those three days was more often than not an agenda that was better suited for the last century. It was a rerun. We’d seen it before. You might as well have watched it on a black-and-white TV."

    But missing from the pair of fiery speeches in Iowa were new ideas from the president. He presented the plans he's been pushing throughout the year. If he has new ideas, he's clearly saving them for Thursday.

    Shawna Thomas / NBC News

    A sign using the Sioux City, Iowa, airport code Saturday gives President Barack Obama a derogatory greeting on the side of a hangar.

    His remarks Saturday were a reworked mash-up that allowed him to choose applause lines that have worked well since he officially took to the trail in May. 

    But waiting for the president when he landed was a sign that he still has a ways to go to win over Iowa again, literally. Spread across a hangar at the airport where Air Force One landed was a handmade sign proclaiming "Obama welcome to SUX and We Did Build This" ("welcome to" was in small letters; to be fair, SUX is the airport code for Sioux City, but the sign was meant to be derogatory).

    The president continues his tour through Colorado, Ohio, Virginia and Louisiana before heading to Charlotte to give one of the most important speeches of his political career.

    2197 comments

    To whomever put up that sign, sure you built it....but not without help. There had to be government-built highways to deliver the parts to build that hangar.

    Show more
    Explore related topics: barack-obama, ia, shawna-thomas, decision-2012, obama-embed
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