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  • 22
    Apr
    2013
    9:08am, EDT

    Off to the races: VA GOV -- Romney in reverse

    Ken Vogel and Maggie Haberman: “The GOP didn’t have an answer for Big Democratic Data in 2012, costing them in close races from Congress to the White House. Now, they’ve got lots of answers — possibly too many — and a feisty rivalry is brewing between tea party upstarts, nonpartisan data geeks, operatives linked to the Koch brothers and insiders like Karl Rove.” (The Kochs are also trying to buy newspapers, the New York Times says.)

    “As if President Barack Obama’s political machine hasn’t left them battered and bruised enough, Republicans are fretting that it could help Democrats win the House next year,” Politico writes. “The president’s deep-pocketed political arm, Organizing for Action, can’t by law spend most of its money on elections, and officials insist it won’t play directly in the 2014 midterm. But Republicans aren’t buying it: They’re convinced OFA will find other, indirect ways to help Democrats capture the House and allow Obama to finish his presidency unchecked by Congress.”

    The Hill: “The Republican National Committee raised $18.02 million in the first three months of this year and has $8.67 million cash on hand, Chairman Reince Priebus announced Friday. About a third of that sum, or $6.3 million, was raised in March alone, and the committee had no debt at the end of the quarter.”

    CALIFORNIA: Eric Garcetti leads Wendy Greuel 50%-40% in the L.A. mayor’s race in a USC Price/L.A. Times poll. The runoff is May 21.

    MASSACHUSETTS: Rep. Ed Markey leads the field for the Massachusetts Senate special election. He’s ahead of Stephen Lynch (D) 44%-34% in the Democratic primary for the Senate special election and bests Gabriel Gomez (R) 51%-36% for the general election in a Western New England University poll. Gomez leads the GOP field 33%-27% over Michael Sullivan. The primary is May 28. June 25 is the general.

    NEW YORK: Another poll – Quinnipiac - has Anthony Weiner in second place behind Christine Quinn, 28%-15%. Quinn is short of the 40% needed to avoid a runoff, but Weiner has a net-negative favorability, 33%-41%. The primary is Sept. 10.

    VIRGINIA: Ken Cucinelli is going after Terry McAuliffe on tax returns calling for him to “release the documents” in a new video. It’s the Mitt Romney campaign in reverse. First, Republicans went after McAuliffe for his business record. Now, they’re making calls for him to release his tax returns, using clips of President Obama, David Axelrod, Debbie Wasserman Schultz, Bill Clinton, and even McAuliffe himself (!) criticizing Romney for not releasing his tax returns.

    16 comments

    I think one of the main reasons that I won't never vote republican again is this. The republicans have moved so far away from the main stream that they no longer represent the ideals of true republicans. Instead of being the party that has boasted about small government, they have become the party o …

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  • 17
    Apr
    2013
    12:00pm, EDT

    Paul not ready to embrace Rubio, Gang of Eight immigration legislation

    By Domenico Montanaro, Deputy Political Editor, NBC News
    Follow @DomenicoNBC

     

    Despite his stated support for comprehensive-immigration reform, Rand Paul, R-Ky., is not fully on board with Marco Rubio, R-Fla., and the Gang of Eight’s immigration attempt.

    “Generally, I am for immigration reform. It’s not that I’m going to be for anything with no rules, though,” the Kentucky senator told reporters at a breakfast Wednesday hosted by the Christian Science Monitor.

    Related: As Senate's immigration 'Gang' releases text, House group speaks up

    Paul said that he has not studied the details of the proposal yet, but despite the legislation’s various new border-security requirements, he’s not completely convinced. Paul said he is supportive of a path to citizenship, but not a new, separate, or special one for the millions of people in the United States illegally. He was skeptical that there was not what he called a “new pathway” for citizenship in the legislation.

    “I don’t want a new pathway,” Paul said, noting that the “same pathway” would give a “better chance of passing immigration reform.” He added, "It’s important for conservatives that it’s no new pathway to citizenship,” Paul said, proposing that workers get a work visa and go to the back of the line like someone in Mexico City. “Get in the same line."

    Paul said that he would insist on immigration legislation going through the House, would have at least one, and up to three or four, amendments to the bill. He wants what he calls “trust but verify,” that would include an annual report to Congress on border security with opinions of governors included that has stats on how many immigrants crossed the border and were returned to their home country. And he wants it voted on by Congress. He also wants to make sure that immigrants with work visas cannot vote and do not get social welfare benefits.

    "So in order to get it," Paul said, referring to passage of the legislation, "they need to at least engage with people like me, who want immigration reform."

    Early in his talk, Paul also -- unprompted -- brought up Paul Ryan, R-Wis., another possible 2016 rival, when discussing Medicare. But it wasn’t exactly to praise him. He was going through his fixes to Medicare, including raising the eligibility age gradually, means testing benefits and premiums, as well as other options.

    “It’s similar to Paul Ryan,” Paul said, “but he doesn’t actually do it.”

    Paul’s willingness to attempt to poke holes in the Gang of Eight proposal, something Rubio has been out front on, as well as his subtle criticism of Ryan on Medicare -- and in turn, how to tackle debt and deficits -- shows how Paul might try to carve out space for himself in a 2016 Republican presidential primary, if he decides to run. It’s something he appears to be leaning toward and openly said he is weighing.

    “I want to be part of the national debate,” Paul said. “Whether I run or not, to be considering is something that gives me a larger microphone.”

    He said he will continue travels to early states, hitting New Hampshire this spring and South Carolina this summer.

    “We’re considering it,” Paul said. “We won’t make a decision before 2014.”

    Paul accuses Obama of using Newtown families as ‘props’

    Paul also weighed in the gun debate. He said he’s firmly against the compromise background-check legislation proposed by West Virginia Democrat Joe Manchin and Pennsylvania Republican Pat Toomey, deriding it as “window dressing.” And he accused President Barack Obama of using the Newtown families as “props.”

    “When I see the fathers and the mothers and them testifying --  and I know they’re coming voluntarily, and they want to come and be part of this debate,” Paul said, “but it still saddens me just to see them, and I think that in some cases the president has used them as props -- and that disappoints me.”

    Paul said he does not want to be seen, however, as not caring, but he believes the background check legislation will do nothing to prevent other Newtowns from happening again.

    “The face I want to present is that I do care about those kids,” Paul said, adding that he’s supporting Ted Cruz’s, R-Texas, legislation to shift money to support more prosecutions.

    “Make sure that the background checks we have are working,” he said, adding that people like the shooter at Sandy Hook are not deterred even by the death penalty, why would they be deterred by stricter background checks? And he claimed 90 percent of crimes committed with a gun are with ones obtained illegally.

    80 comments

    “I want to be part of the national debate,” Paul said. “Whether I run or not, to be considering is something that gives me a larger microphone.” Awwweee Rand, again, it's all about you and nothing about what's right for the country. Good grief!

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  • 12
    Apr
    2013
    9:11am, EDT

    Off to the races: Ryan calls for 'common ground' on abortion

    Tony Perkins of the Family Research Council is urging social conservatives to stop giving to the Republican National Committee. "Until the RNC and the other national Republican organizations grow a backbone and start defending core principles, don’t send them a dime of your hard-earned money,” CNN reports. “If you want to invest in the political process, and I encourage you to do so, give directly to candidates who reflect your values and organizations you trust-like FRC Action."

    NBC’s Michael O’Brien reported Wednesday: “Thirteen social conservatives, representing various influential groups, wrote Priebus ahead of the RNC's quarterly meeting this week in Los Angeles to sternly rebuke the conclusions of a post-election report that advised Republican elected officials to adopt a softer tone toward social issues. ‘We respectfully warn GOP Leadership that an abandonment of its principles will necessarily result in the abandonment of our constituents to their support,’ concludes the letter.”

    RYAN: “Rep. Paul Ryan, the Republican vice presidential nominee in 2012 and an abortion opponent, said Thursday that anti-abortion activists should try to build a broad coalition and find common ground with supporters of abortion rights as a way to advance their agenda,” AP writes. “Ryan, R-Wis., said in a speech to the Susan B. Anthony List that those who oppose abortion ‘need to work with people who consider themselves pro-choice — because our task isn’t to purge our ranks. It’s to grow them. We don’t want a country where abortion is simply outlawed. We want a country where it isn’t even considered,’ he said.”

    Flashback to Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal (R)’s Wall Street Journal op-ed in December: “As a conservative Republican, I believe that we have been stupid to let the Democrats demagogue the contraceptives issue and pretend, during debates about health-care insurance, that Republicans are somehow against birth control. It's a disingenuous political argument they make. As an unapologetic pro-life Republican, I also believe that every adult (18 years old and over) who wants contraception should be able to purchase it. But anyone who has a religious objection to contraception should not be forced by government health-care edicts to purchase it for others. And parents who believe, as I do, that their teenage children shouldn't be involved with sex at all do not deserve ridicule.”

    But Ryan also said, per The Hill and Political Wire: "Our critics say we should abandon our pro-life beliefs. But that would only demoralize our voters. It's an odd strategy, I think: the cynical ploy followed by the thumping defeat."

    NEW YORK: Anthony Weiner’s comeback may be coming up short. The New York Daily News: “Anthony Weiner’s trial balloon is falling flat. The former congressman’s revelation that he’s considering a run for mayor after a cringeworthy sexting scandal has failed to send past supporters stampeding to his side. The Daily News interviewed nearly a dozen people who played key roles in the Democrat’s 2005 mayoral campaign as advisers, supporters or contributions. The reactions, for the most part, ranged from ambivalence to opposition, with only a few urging him to try again.”

    VIRGINIA: Beth Reinhard: “It’s not easy to be the new Ken Cuccinelli. The new Cuccinelli, the Republican frontrunner in the Virginia governor’s race, is more likely these days to be calling for job growth and education reform than he is to be railing against abortion and gay marriage. But the old Cuccinelli, the state attorney general who crusaded for conservative values, keeps cropping up, offering a steady stream of fodder for opponents determined to frame him as a right-wing ideologue.”

    21 comments

    More evidence that republican heads are exploding. Trail mix?

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  • 11
    Apr
    2013
    12:13pm, EDT

    Poll: Rubio popular with Latinos – but not as popular as Clinton, Obama

    By Domenico Montanaro, Deputy Political Editor, NBC News

    In the early jockeying for the 2016 presidential race, one of Sen. Marco Rubio’s, R-Fla., major selling points is that he brings diversity and can expand the party’s influence with Hispanic voters, especially after the shellacking the GOP took with the demographic group in 2012.

    Unlike other Republicans, Hispanics view Rubio more positively than negatively -- 23 percent viewed him favorably while 12 percent viewed him negatively, according to an oversample of 300 Latinos in the latest NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Telemundo poll. Another 40 percent either did not know him or had no opinion.

    Of course, elections are choices, and a potential major obstacle for Rubio in 2016 could be Hillary Clinton, if she decides to run. The former secretary of state, New York senator, and first lady of a popular former Democratic president, was the most popular politician among Hispanics in the poll.

    Barack Obama is still very popular with the group -- he has a 62 percent job approval, for example, when Americans at large gave him just a 47 percent rating. And he has a sky-high 64 percent positive, 19 percent negative rating with Hispanics.

    But Clinton is even more popular. She’s viewed positively by 65 percent of Hispanics with just 13 percent giving her a negative rating.

    In the Sept. 2012 NBC/WSJ poll, Mitt Romney was also viewed positively by 23 percent of Hispanics, but he had a 53 percent negative rating. He wound up losing 71 percent of Hispanics, one of the fastest-growing groups in the country who made up 10 percent of the electorate in 2012.

    That was the worst showing by a Republican presidential candidate since Bob Dole in 1996 -- and Hispanics were half the size of the electorate than they were last year.

    Hispanics are largely undecided about Rubio, but he starts off positive, and there’s room to for him to grow.

    “Senator Rubio has impressive name identification for a first-term U.S. Senator with roughly six out of ten Hispanic/Latinos who recognize his name and a solid 23% positive versus 12% negative rating,” said Republican pollster Bill McInturff, who conducted the survey with Democrat Peter D. Hart. “Among Hispanics 40-years-old and older, his positive/negative numbers improve to 32%/13%. Compellingly, he maintains a modest net positive even among Hispanic Democrats (18% positive/15% negative).”

    Still, the conservative Florida senator who speaks Spanish fluently and is a son of Cuban immigrants, faces some obvious challenges.

    Hispanics, though somewhat socially conservative, tend to be economically liberal, view the Republican Party negatively, and largely line up with Democrats on a range of issues, from guns to immigration.

    On immigration, Rubio faces a tricky test in the next few months. He is helping to shepherd comprehensive legislation through Congress with a principal task of selling it to conservatives, especially when it comes to a path for citizenship for immigrants in the United States illegally.

    Many conservatives, especially in the House and in the grassroots rank and file, are staunchly opposed to a path for citizenship.

    Four-in-five Hispanics, on the other hand, are in favor of one. So, as Rubio tries to make the sell to conservatives and get something through they can support, he’s also going to have to convince Latinos, who are closely watching the immigration debate, that what he pushes for will be strong enough.

    It’s also not clear how Rubio’s Cuban heritage would play or if it would matter – 51 percent of Hispanics in the poll said they were of Mexican descent versus just 4 percent who said they had Cuban roots. Another 16 percent said their families hail from Central and South America, and 8 percent were from Puerto Rico.

    By the way, former President George W. Bush’s time away from the spotlight has done him some good with Hispanics. But he is still overwhelmingly viewed negatively (44 percent negative versus 29 percent positive). But both numbers are improvements from 2008 at the tail end of his presidency. In September 2008, just 21 percent of Hispanics had a positive impression of him versus 68 percent, who had a negative one.

    On the issues, Hispanics continue to be more in line with Democrats than Republicans -- 56 percent identified as Democrats and just 20 percent identified as Republicans.

    On gun restrictions, Hispanics are more liberal than other Americans with 70 percent believing laws on guns sales should be stricter. Just 55 percent of all adults believed the same.

    On the budget, about half of Hispanics -- 49 percent -- think the sequester will have no impact on them or their families, lower than the 58 percent of all Americans who said so.

    More Hispanics -- 41 percent -- said they believe the sequester cuts will hurt the economy rather than help. But, interestingly, three-in-10 think the spending cuts are a good thing and would help the economy. That’s nearly double that of all adults who said the same -- 16 percent.

    Some interesting demographic notes:

    - 56 percent of Hispanics identified as Democrats and just 20 percent identified as Republicans.
    - Yet, just 23 percent identify themselves as liberal and 38 percent identify as conservatives, which is similar to the split among all Americans – 25 percent liberal, 26 percent conservative.
    - Of all Americans, 44 percent identified as Democrats, 35 percent as Republicans.
    - 51 percent of Hispanics say they have at least some college education versus 72 percent of the rest of Americans.

    The oversample of 300 Hispanics or Latinos was conducted as part of the larger NBC/WSJ poll from April 5-8. It has a margin of error is +/- 5.7%.

    277 comments

    Marco Rubio is of Cuban parentage and there the connection to Hispanics ends. He panders to the group, but when the chips are down, its all about Marco. He has had the good fortune to have been in the right place at the right time, played the cards right and voila we have a contender.

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  • 4
    Apr
    2013
    9:06am, EDT

    Off to the races: Reading the Hillary tea leaves

    Maggie Haberman reads some Hillary Clinton tea leaves.

    “After more than 13 hours of debate that was at moments impassioned and agonized, the General Assembly early Thursday approved an historic and far-reaching gun-control bill that proponents said was their toughest-in-the-nation response to the Dec. 14 Newtown school massacre,” The Hartford Courant writes. “The state House of Representatives at 2:26 a.m. gave final legislative approval to the bill by a vote of 105 to 44, with 2 absent. Of the 98 House Democrats present, 13 voted no; and 31 of the 51 Republicans in the hall voted no.”

    USA Today: “Connecticut has approved far-reaching gun control legislation that will be the toughest in the United States. Following hours of respectful and at times somber debate, the House voted early Thursday in favor of the 139-page bill crafted by leaders from both major parties in the Democratic-controlled General Assembly. It passed the Senate in a 26-10 vote on Wednesday.” It will be signed into law today.

    The Baltimore Sun: “The House of Delegates voted Wednesday to give Maryland one of the toughest gun laws in the nation, passing a bill that would ban the sale of assault-type weapons, set a 10-bullet limit on magazines and require fingerprints and a license to buy a handgun. Delegates altered the Senate's bill during more than 10 hours of emotional floor debate that lasted over two days. Key lawmakers said they expect the differences to be resolved quickly and the legislation sent to Gov. Martin O'Malley for his promised signature. After the 78-61 vote, O'Malley said the House strengthened his proposal, which he has called his top legislative priority of the session.”

    National Journal wraps gun legislation in the states with a handy guide.

    The NRCC is going to copy Buzzfeed in a website redesign.

    IOWA: The Des Moines Register: “As he ponders whether to run for U.S. Senate, Republican Steve King isn’t moderating his views to appeal to more middle-of-the-road Iowa voters. He’s doing the opposite. In an email to supporters [Wednesday], King said he’s ‘living proof conservatives don’t have to sacrifice everything we believe in to win elections.’” And: “King wrote that he wins elections by talking about the economy as well as ‘talking about social issues—abortion, illegal immigration, and gay marriage.’”

    MASSACHUSETTS: “They rolled together through the cornfields of Iowa, the retirement villages of Florida, and the icy mountain towns of New Hampshire, hoping they might one day serve together in the White House,” the Boston Globe writes. “But Mitt Romney’s former aides, from the most senior strategists to the young advance staff, have splintered and taken up with rival candidates in the Massachusetts Senate race, creating an intriguing subplot to the main event.”

    21 comments

    Jim's paranoia lives on. Jim it must suck to be this scared all the time. Chill man the boogeymen aren't after you.

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  • 26
    Mar
    2013
    9:08am, EDT

    Off to the races: Priebus defends GOP platform on gay marriage

    Reince Priebus is defending the RNC platform, which stands against same-sex marriage, but also is saying there should be room for dissenting views within the party on the subject.  "We do have a platform, and we adhere to that platform,” Priebus told USA Today. “But it doesn't mean that we divide and subtract people from our party.” He added, "I don't believe we need to act like Old Testament heretics.” Republicans "have to strike a balance between principle and grace and respect."

    Paul vs. Rubio, cont’d… From Louisville, KY, Manu Raju writes, “Florida Sen. Marco Rubio swung by Rand Paul’s home state here on Monday where he effectively made one thing clear: He’s no Rand Paul — particularly on foreign policy. In a soaring speech on the University of Louisville campus, Rubio made the case for American military might around the world, vowing that the U.S cannot ‘retreat’ from international conflicts, must encourage democracy and continue spending money overseas aimed at bolstering the country’s image. He didn’t mention Paul by name, other than when he corrected a questioner who thought a speech he delivered recently called for the elimination of the Department of Education.”

    Scott Walker, who heads to Iowa later this year, is writing a book.

    Chris Christie has yet another 70% approval rating. Quinnipiac has it at 70%-23%. He leads in his reelection bid 60%-25% over state Sen. Barbara Buono (D).

    SOUTH DAKOTA: The AP: “The anticipated retirement announcement from South Dakota Sen. Tim Johnson gives Republicans one of their best chances of picking up a seat in their quest to regain control, as the veteran moderate Democrat steps aside. Johnson, the chairman of the Senate Banking Committee, is expected to say Tuesday afternoon that he will not seek a fourth term in the Senate next year. The fifth Senate Democrat to call it quits, Johnson was facing a potentially difficult challenge from popular Republican Gov. Mike Rounds and still coping with the constraints of a 2006 brain hemorrhage that left his speech impaired and limited his mobility.”

    9 comments

    Stuck on stupid if you ask me. I think the question has to be ask, how would two people of the same sex being married involve your marriage in any way? Why shouldn't homosexual couples be as miserable as heterosexual couples? Ok thats two questions.

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  • 25
    Mar
    2013
    9:25am, EDT

    Off to the races: Jeb says Obama hasn't been respectful to Bush 43

    Jeb Bush said on CNN that President Obama hasn’t been as respectful of his brother George W. Bush “as he should have been.” His brother "is like the most focused, disciplined guy — to imagine being a former president and not having an opinion on anything over the last four years? … Really? I mean, to have that discipline, to be respectful of the president that hasn't been as respectful of him as he should have been? Man, I could have never done that."

    The AP: “Vice President Joe Biden will headline major Democratic fundraisers in South Carolina and Michigan, two states that could play a major role in the 2016 presidential election. … Biden will travel to Detroit in April to address the Michigan Democratic Party’s annual Jefferson Jackson Dinner. He’ll go to Columbia in May when South Carolina Democrats hold their dinner.”

    USA Today: “Joe Biden's speaking schedule isn't going to quell talk of his presidential ambitions.”

    Jonathan Martin: “What the heck has happened to Paul Ryan? Just months removed from being on the GOP ticket, he has faded from the national political conversation in a way that’s remarkable for a politician possessed with youth, fame and ambition.” But: “Sources close to Ryan caution that his congressional focus at the moment ought not be confused with lack of interest in 2016 but seen, rather, in the context of somebody with a demanding day job.”

    And: “In conversations with scores of Republicans in Washington and beyond, it’s striking how little organic support or even interest there is for a Ryan presidential bid so soon after Mitt Romney elevated the Wisconsin wonk to the highest levels of national political stardom.”

    Pass the Cheetos, man… Rand Paul on FOX Sunday said he doesn’t promote pot use, but doesn’t support putting people in jail for it, either.  “I don't want to encourage people to do it,” he said. “I think even marijuana is a bad thing to do. I think it takes away your incentive to work and show up and do the things that you should be doing. I don't think that it's a good idea. I don't want to promote that but I also don't want to put people in jail who make a mistake.”

    He also made this point: "Look, the last two presidents could have conceivably been put in jail for their drug use and I really think - look what would've happened, it would've ruined their lives. They got lucky. But a lot of poor kids, particularly in the inner city, don't get lucky and they don't have good attorneys and they go to jail for some of these things and I think it's a big mistake.”

    KENTUCKY: Ashley Judd made reference to the Senate race, joking in a speech over the weekend that her mother wanted to “turn her garage into a campaign headquarters,” according to a local affiliate in Cincinnati. 

    MASSACHUSETTS: Senate Democratic and Republican hopefuls debate separately on Wednesday. Republicans will debate again Thursday.

    MICHIGAN: Ex-Gov. Jennifer Granholm (D) won’t be running for the open Senate seat.

    54 comments

    Poor Jeb, there is that Bush "it is all about US" mentality that gets those entitled preps into so much trouble. What is galling to the Bush family is that Georgie has been sidelined and ignored. Of COURSE little George does not express an opinion.

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  • 21
    Mar
    2013
    9:11am, EDT

    Off to the races: Primary positioning

    Hillary Clinton beats Jeb Bush and Marco Rubio in Florida if she were to run, according to Quinnipiac. Clinton bests Bush 51%-40% and Rubio 52%-41%

    Here’s how different the Democratic and Republican primaries are shaping up to be… The Star Ledger: “Gov. Chris Christie said today he's undecided on whether the state should ban the controversial use of ‘gay conversion therapy,’ but the Republican governor still opposes same-sex marriage. Christie said that he only knows little about the method. California enacted a law prohibiting the practice, but a federal court has blocked its implementation.”

    Christie on Rob Portman’s decision to be in favor of same-sex marriage: "But as far as how it affects my view, no, because that question implies that somehow this is a political judgment and for me it's not."

    MASSACHUSETTS: Deval Patrick announced that he was running for a third term yesterday despite having professed not to. It set off eight minutes of scurrying to figure out what was going on. Patrick then said he was just kidding.

    A Massachusetts Republican sheriff joked about Obama and assassination. Political Wire: “The Quincy Patriot Ledger reports Massachusetts sheriff Joseph McDonald (R) is defending a joke he made about President Obama during a breakfast for Republicans when he said the ghost of Abraham Lincoln visited Obama in his dreams and gave him advice on how to improve the country: ‘Go to the theater.’”

    He says, hey! It was a joke.

    WEST VIRGINIA: “Though for the last several weeks, Democratic hopes of retaining Sen. Jay Rockefeller's seat in 2014 have looked bleak, it seems party operatives may have finally found their unicorn in West Virginia: a wealthy, pro-coal, pro-business Democrat in the style of Sen. Joe Manchin, D-W.V. Attorney Nick Preservati has spoken with the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee about running for the seat, in conversations that the committee found "encouraging," according to a source with knowledge of the discussions,” National Journal writes.

    15 comments

    Hillary Clinton beats Jeb Bush and Marco Rubio in Florida if she were to run, according to Quinnipiac. Clinton bests Bush 51%-40% and Rubio 52%-41%

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  • 19
    Mar
    2013
    7:03pm, EDT

    Team of rivals: Rand and Rubio jockey for '16 spotlight

    By Michael O'Brien, Political Reporter, NBC News
    Follow @mpoindc

     

    They both were elected in 2010 under the Tea Party banner after beating primary opponents favored by the Republican establishment. They’re both rising stars in the modern GOP, and, last weekend, they finished first and second place in a straw poll of conservatives’ pick of a presidential nominee for 2016.

    And as they both maneuver to mount their own campaigns that year – or, at least, preserve the option of doing so – Sens. Rand Paul, R-Ky., and Marco Rubio, R-Fla., must share the spotlight. Intentionally or not, they’re already jockeying to do so.

    Both senators have carefully worked to build their national profiles following the 2012 election, using high-profile opportunities to plot slightly different paths toward the same goal.

    On no issue is that more apparent than immigration.

    Rubio had joined with three other Senate Republicans and four Senate Democrats in recent months to forge a bipartisan framework on a comprehensive overhaul to immigration laws that would provide undocumented immigrants a pathway to citizenship. The Florida senator embarked on a media tour in the weeks following the framework’s unveiling to sell the plan to skeptical conservatives, doing the legwork to build political cover for the plan (and gain valuable exposure to the Republican base in the meanwhile).

    Sen. Rand Paul explains portions of his immigration reform plan on Tuesday while speaking at the U.S. Hispanic Chamber of Commerce Legislative Summit.

    Paul made clear with a speech on Tuesday – in which he unveiled his own plan creating an eventual pathway to citizenship – that Rubio isn’t the only GOP player on the issue. 

    “Immigration reform will not occur until conservative Republicans, like myself, become part of the solution,” Paul told the U.S. Hispanic Chamber of Commerce. “I am here today to begin that conversation.” 

    Both Paul and Rubio might support the broader goal of immigration reform; they both took strides to carve out public roles for themselves in the process. 

    For her part, Rubio ally Ana Navarro said the notion of a rivalry between the two men was “overblown by the media.” 

    “Rand Paul is a leader in the Republican Party, and he should add his voice to the debate on immigration. His voice can and does make a difference,” she said. “The bottom line is, this is not an issue Marco or any one senator individually can or should carry alone on his shoulders. The more people helping to carry the ball, the more likely we will cross the finish line.” 

    But while the two senators might not share a formal rivalry, they are undoubtedly two of the GOP’s biggest stars right now whose utterances alone command attention.

    Look no further than last week’s Conservative Political Action Conference, where Paul and Rubio finished first and second, respectively, in the gathering’s closely-watched straw poll. A quarter of straw poll participants supported Paul and 23 percent threw their support behind Rubio. (The two gave back-to-back speeches on Thursday at CPAC.) The next closest finisher in the straw poll checked in at 7 percent.

    The close finish between the two senators reflects all the work beyond immigration they’ve each done to burnish their profiles in 2013.

    Republican leaders, of course, tapped Rubio to deliver their official response to President Barack Obama’s State of the Union address – a speech that was generally well received for its content, if ridiculed for the Florida senator’s awkward pause for a swig of bottled water.

    Delivering the official Tea Party response to the State of the Union that very evening? None other than Paul.

    Sen. Marco Rubio talks with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and President Shimon Peres during Rubio's trip to Israel.

    Rubio has also built up his foreign policy credentials by taking a trip in February to Israel and Jordan, and delivering major policy addresses (including one about that trip abroad).

    Paul, meanwhile, drew considerable attention for his filibuster of Obama’s nominee to head the CIA on March 6, a 13-hour affair that won him praise from fellow Republicans. (Rubio at one point appeared on the Senate floor to deliver his own remarks in favor of Paul’s efforts.)

    "Rand has made progress with the filibuster," said Dave Carney, the chief strategist for Texas Gov. Rick Perry's presidential campaign and a political consultant based in the influential primary state of New Hampshire. "Neither one has huge advantage here as of now."

    Both senators are undeniably positioning themselves with 2016 in mind. Paul is at least open about that, acknowledging his potential interest in seeking the Republican nomination (like his father, former Rep. Ron Paul, R-Texas) in several interviews. The Iowa GOP on Tuesday announced that Paul would headline their Lincoln Day dinner, further stoking speculation.

    Rubio’s team is quicker to downplay the Florida senator’s ambitions, dismissing any talk of a presidential campaign as far too premature, just a few months removed from the last campaign.

    But as each of them jockey for pole position heading into 2016, it may fall to the differences between Rubio and Paul to distinguish themselves from each other. For starters, Paul tends to emphasize a more libertarian and cautious foreign policy, while Rubio has generally been more willing to strike hawkish tones.

    Both senators’ CPAC speeches are also instructive in parsing out how they make their pitch to conservatives.

    Paul made a firm appeal, for instance, to revolutionize the Republican Party, and return the GOP to its small-government, libertarian roots.

    “They want leaders that won't feed them a line of crap or sell them short. They aren't afraid of individual liberty,” he said of the new generation of young conservatives, calling the current GOP establishment “stale and moss-covered.”

    Rubio, by contrast, emphasized his own biography as the son of immigrants, and stressed aspirational tone in his speech to CPAC.

    “We don’t need a new idea, the idea is America, and it still works,” the Florida senator said.

    1046 comments

    They both were elected in 2010 under the Tea Party banner after beating primary opponents favored by the Republican establishment. Let's see, should I vote for Laurel or Hardy?

    Show more
    Explore related topics: senate, immigration, capitol-hill, marco-rubio, rand-paul, appfeatured, decision-2016
  • 19
    Mar
    2013
    12:18pm, EDT

    Does Rand Paul support a pathway to citizenship for undocumented immigrants?

    By Michael O'Brien, Political Reporter, NBC News
    Follow @mpoindc

     

    Did Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul, R, endorse a pathway to citizenship in his speech before the U.S. Hispanic Chamber of Commerce this morning?

    Sen. Rand Paul explains portions of his immigration reform plan on Tuesday while speaking at the U.S. Hispanic Chamber of Commerce Legislative Summit.

    That’s what an Associated Press article previewing the speech said, as well as a report shortly before Paul’s speech published by Buzzfeed.

    But the Kentucky senator made no mention of citizenship itself in his speech; he focused his remarks on the need for creating a “legal” status for the 12 million undocumented immigrants currently in the United States.

    And an unnamed Paul adviser subsequently disputed to the Washington Post the idea that the popular conservative senator had, in fact, backed citizenship for undocumented immigrants.

    “The AP story was wrong, which spurred a lot of erroneous reports,” the adviser told the Post. “He does not mention ‘path to citizenship’ in his speech at all.”

    The difference between citizenship and legal status might seem semantic, but it is an important distinction in the legislative battle over comprehensive immigration reform. Democrats believe that citizenship is an essential element of any final deal, and the bipartisan “Group of Eight” in the Senate working toward a compromise includes such a path in its framework.

    The speech was good enough to win praise from Democratic Sen. Charles Schumer, N.Y., a major Senate proponent of citizenship.

    "The consensus continues to grow in favor of immigration reform that contains a path to citizenship," Schumer said in a statement. "While there are certainly differences between our emerging product and Senator Paul's outline, there is also a lot of common ground."

    Paul explained the finer details of his plan to reporters following his speech. In essence, his plan would distribute indefinite work visas to qualified undocumented immigrants in stages, allowing them legal status in the United States. Once those workers have visas, they would then have the option of applying for citizenship – though not necessarily with any preferential or expedited pathway.

    “You get in the same lines, you get in the line wherever you sign up, you don’t go to the front of any line,” he explained. “And I know that sounds silly, but front or back of the line seems to be this thing that’s really important to people. So what I would say is, you have the option to get in the line without going home. That’s the main difference from what we have now, as well as you get a work visa if you want to work.”

    He also said he wasn’t necessarily comfortable with forcing those seeking citizenship to pay fines.

    “And I’m not a huge fan of the fines, necessarily,” he said. “I think a lot of these immigrants are workers who don’t have a lot of money.”

    A major sticking point, though, for Paul is subjecting certification of border security to a vote in Congress. In his plan, lawmakers would have an annual option to vote on an administration’s report that the border has been secured before moving forward with the visa process. He said he would try to amend the Group of Eight’s eventual legislation to include something like this.

    “I want to try to amend their package, and I would likely vote for it if I could get mine on,” he said, adding that he wasn’t sure whether failing to do so would lose his support.

    The conflicting comments and careful language, though, reflect the political difficulty for conservatives in embracing comprehensive immigration reform, especially if it involves a pathway to citizenship. And he took strides to quell those concerns in his speech.

    “My plan will not grant amnesty or move anyone to the front of the line,” he said.

    244 comments

    Does Rand Paul support a path to citizenship for undocumented workers? I doubt it; he doesn't support desegrated lunch counters. But Paul does support banning hormonal contraception and invitro fertilization--where's that leave him on the libertarian scale of get government out of our lives?

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    Explore related topics: immigration, capitol-hill, first-read, rand-paul, appfeatured, decision-2016
  • 18
    Mar
    2013
    10:56am, EDT

    Hillary Clinton backs gay marriage

    Saul Loeb / AFP - Getty Images file photo

    Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton

    By Mark Murray, NBC News

    In a video posted on the website of the Human Rights Campaign, a gay-rights group, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton comes out in favor of gay marriage.

    These are her first comments backing gay marriage since leaving the State Department, and they could potentially hint at her 2016 ambitions. (After President Obama, Vice President Biden, and other Democrats have endorsed gay marriage, it's likely that the future Democratic nominee -- in 2016 and beyond -- will have to back it.)

    Watch on YouTube

    "I support marriage for lesbian and gay couples," Clinton says in the video. "I support it personally and as a matter of policy and law embedded in a broader effort to advance equality and opportunity for LGBT Americans and for all Americans."

    Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton was featured in a human rights campaign ad, showing her support for marriage equality. NBC's Mark Murray reports.

    She continues, "Like so many others, my views have been shaped over time by people I have known and loved, by my experience representing our nation on the world stage, my devotion to law and human rights, and the guiding principles of my faith."

    3036 comments

    She won't get my vote if she runs. I am tired of having this wierd, perverted life style shoved in my face.

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    Explore related topics: featured, hillary-clinton, first-read, appfeatured, decision-2016
  • Updated
    18
    Mar
    2013
    12:37pm, EDT

    GOP report calls for sweeping reforms to compete in 2016

    By Michael O'Brien, Political Reporter, NBC News
    Follow @mpoindc

     

    The Republican National Committee released an audacious set of recommendations on Monday aimed at revitalizing the party following the drubbing suffered by GOP candidates last November, calling for sweeping changes to the party's infrastructure, outreach and nominating process to contend for the White House in 2016.

    The RNC's 100-page report, the "Growth and Opportunity Project," is the election autopsy ordered by Chairman Reince Priebus last fall.

    While speaking Monday at a National Press Club breakfast, RNC Chairman Reince Priebus reflects on what may have gone wrong for the GOP during the 2012 presidential campaign.

    Culled from more than 52,000 contacts with voters, party consultants and elected officials, it calls for drastic changes to almost every major element of the modern Republican Party.

    "When Republicans lost in November, it was a wake-up call. And in response I initiated the most public and most comprehensive post-election review in the history of any national party," Priebus said Monday morning at the National Press Club. "As it makes clear, there’s no one reason we lost. Our message was weak; our ground game was insufficient; we weren’t inclusive; we were behind in both data and digital; our primary and debate process needed improvement."

    In essence, the report argues for a more data-driven Republican Party in which the RNC assumes increased authority for party-building efforts.

    The report calls for increased outreach to women, young voters and minorities — especially Hispanics. The document acknowledges the GOP’s policy on immigration has become a “litmus test” for what will be a key constituency necessary for the party’s success in the next four years and beyond.

    "We are not a policy committee, but among the steps Republicans take in the Hispanic community and beyond, we must embrace and champion comprehensive immigration reform," the report says, nodding at other points to the bipartisan reform efforts currently before Congress. "If we do not, our Party’s appeal will continue to shrink to its core constituencies only."

    The report also notes a growing generational divide on the issue of gay rights, calling the issue a "gateway" for young voters deciding whether to align with the GOP.

    "We can't grow the party by division and subtraction," Priebus said during a question-and-answer session at the press club. "We can only build it by addition and multiplication."

    But the report is hardly focused on social issues alone. Its top recurring theme arguably involves building a robust Republican data infrastructure, and applying a commitment to testing and analysis of almost every operation of the RNC.

    Priebus is advised to hire a chief technology officer and digital officer by the end of April, and give them wide latitude to inform aspects of the party from fundraising to media strategy and messaging and beyond.

    "Those teams will work together to integrate their respective areas throughout the RNC and provide a data-driven focus for the rest of the organization," Priebus said. "And they will be the new center of gravity within the organization."

    The GOP's digital revamp — as with most of the other elements of the report — was prompted by the Obama campaign's far more sophisticated operation in 2012.

    Handout / Getty Images

    Chairman of the Republican National Committee, Reince Priebus, appears on ''Face the Nation'' on March 17, 2013 in Washington, D.C.

    Many of the reforms proposed by the Growth and Opportunity Project, however, will encounter stiff resistance in corners of the Republican Party and broader conservative movement — because of a deep distrust of the official GOP among the grassroots. 

    Former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin encapsulated the sentiment during her speech on Saturday before the Conservative Political Action Conference. 

    "Now is the time to furlough the consultants, and tune out the pollsters, send the focus groups home, and toss the political scripts," she said, "because if we truly know what we believe, we don't need professionals to tell us."

    And some of the report's declarations are sure to ruffle feathers on the Right.

    The report says bluntly at one point that "third-party groups that promote purity are hurting our electoral prospects," an indirect reference to groups like the Club for Growth, which has promoted challenges to Republicans regarded as more electable who are accused of transgressing against conservative principle.

    A spokesman for the Club for Growth had no comment about the report, and Ari Fleischer, one of the leaders of the GOP project, argued that success would involve overcoming resistance from fellow Republicans.

    "Successful parties learn and grow, and you do the best learning after you lose," he said at a press conference Monday morning.

    The report also calls super PACs a "wild card" that threaten to weaken an eventual nominee due to the onslaught of negative advertising during primaries. (2012 Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney suffered from this type of friendly fire during his slog to the nomination.)

    The report calls for broader changes to the Republican primary system, too, especially as it relates to picking a presidential candidate. It calls for prohibiting primary debates before Sept. 1, 2015, and limiting the total number of debates to 10 or 12 -- and possibly docking delegates from candidates who ignore the rules.

    The report also calls for holding the Republican National Convention in late June or July, necessitating that the primary process concludes between late April and mid-May. 

    To accomplish that, the Growth and Opportunity Project recommends for a major — and likely contentious — overhaul to the primary calendar in which groups of states in a similar region would vote on the same date. The so-called "regional primary system" would follow traditional nominating contests in states like Iowa and New Hampshire, for which there would be an exception. 

    Furthermore, the report recommends that Republicans ditch caucuses and conventions — venues in which conservative activists traditionally dominate — in favor of primaries for picking a nominee.

    Among the report's assorted other recommendations:

    • Establish a new "Growth and Opportunity Inclusion Council" tasked with reaching out to Hispanics, African Americans, Asians and Pacific Islanders, Native Americans and other minority communities;
    • Commit an initial $10 million to improving outreach to minority communities;
    • Set up an "RNC Celebrity Task Force of personalities in the entertainment industry" to attract young voters, and encourage Republican leaders to "participate in and actively prepare for interviews" on the Daily Show, the Colbert Report and other media aimed toward younger Americans;
    • Place a greater emphasis on early voting in political strategy, messaging and budgeting;
    • Invest in full-time field staff in states beginning at a much earlier point in election cycles;
    • Convene a quarterly summit of Republican pollsters, ensure an accurate model of likely voters and turnout for polling, and recommend that GOP polls include a 25 percent subsample of respondents who can be reached by cell phone only;
    • Explore making more efficient television advertising purchases, including possibly shifting resources away from paid media and toward organizational efforts and alternative methods of voter contact;
    • Work with outside conservative groups (to the extent that it's legal) to better define different organizations' responsibilities;
    • Encourage a well-funded conservative group (akin to Democrats' group, American Bridge) dedicated to full-time tracking and research of Democratic candidates;
    • Expand the RNC's low-dollar fundraising program, and seek more efficient finance staffing;
    • "Convince Congress to remove the biennial aggregate contribution limits," or, absent that, seek to increase the contribution limits for federal campaigns;
    • Abolish the public financing system for presidential campaigns, including the matching funds program;
    • Replace taxpayer funding of national party conventions with a system in which party committees could raise additional funds for the conventions;
    • Allow party committees to raise additional funds to support the maintenance of their buildings and facilities.

    This story was originally published on Mon Mar 18, 2013 6:58 AM EDT

    1922 comments

    Stop talking about it. That shows even more weakness. Where is your leadership? All you have is the NO vote.

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