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  • NBC-Politico debate now set for Sept. 7

    Update your calendars: The NBC-Politico-Reagan Library GOP presidential debate has been moved from Sept. 14 to Sept. 7.

    “After consulting with a number of the campaigns about our September debate, we’ve made the decision to move it up one week to September 7, 2011,” said John Heubusch, executive director for the Ronald Reagan Presidential Foundation, in a news release. “This new date works better for the campaigns, and positions the Reagan Library debate as the first stop post-Labor Day when campaigns are in full swing and voter interest is high.”

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  • Source: U.S. recovers hard drives, computers from raid

    The strike team at Abbottabad retrieved 10 hard drives, five computers and more than 100 storage devices: disks, DVDs, and thumb drives, a U.S. intelligence official said.

    In addition, the team retrieved written material, not further described, but in the past, U.S. forces have retrieved notebooks and address books that were helpful in locating other terrorists. The U.S. intelligence community is willingly releasing this materal, hoping that those who believe their names and personal data are on those devices will go to ground, thus reducing even further the terrorist threat.

    U.S. officials did not initally have information on how much if any of the material was encrypted, or to what level. One official speculated that since the compound had no Internet access there was limited need for encryption.

    Two U.S. officials tell NBC News say that public affairs specialists at agencies involved in Sunday's raid had discussed what to do with "death photos" of bin Laden in meetings over the past several months -- that it was part of the planning for the raids.

    Neither official disclosed what the outcome of the discussions was but noted that everyone knew the ultimate decision would rest with the White House. The same official said he did not expect a decision today, but said it would not surprise him that much.

  • Disability-rights group steps up Ryan protests

     

    The disability rights group, ADAPT, whose members are lining the halls of Longworth protesting the block-grant provisions in Rep. Paul Ryan's 2012 budget have escalated their protest --  11 members of the group were sitting in the front room of his personal office chanting, "We want Ryan. No more block grants."

    Those members started to wheel themselves out, and at the urging of the leader of the group, stood and sat in the middle of the hall and chanted, "We want Ryan."

    Dozens of Capitol Police have gathered near the protesters, and they've pulled up busses outside, so arrest of some of the members seems imminent.

    Yesterday, 91 members were arrested after staging a protest in the Cannon House office building. They were able to meet with Ryan's chief of staff yesterday as well.

  • Kerry: 'Make lemonade out of lemons' with Pakistan

    Chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee John Kerry spoke to reporters off-camera after the Democratic Policy lunch this afternoon expressing concern about a further deterioration of U.S.- Pakistani relations in the wake of the bin Laden killing.

    Kerry said he spoke to Secretary of State Hillary Clinton last night, and they talked about trying to leverage this moment into hitting a "reset" button between the two countries.

    "We have to be thoughtful about trying to make lemonade out of lemons," he said. He added, "If you want a radical Islamist government having possession of nuclear weapons and running Pakistan, then you can go off in a knee-jerk way that makes matters worse. I'm not making matters worse. And I think we have to be very thoughtful about this.”

    Kerry said he was in no way defending the Pakistanis, but he said their cooperation was crucial in being able to track the couriers and survey the compound.

    "We just got Osama bin Laden,” he said, emphatically. “And one of the reasons we got him is because we had intelligence people, who were there and able to do the work. If we lose that, then you put America at greater risk in my judgment, so I'd be very careful."

    Kerry, who traveled to Pakistan in February to try to negotiate the release of CIA contactor Raymond Davis, said the hostility at that moment "was as high and as tense as I've ever seen it." He said the relationship has been at its "low ebb" in the last few months.

    On whether the administration should release a photo of bin Laden, Kerry said it would be "premature."

    “Frankly, there's a lot of evidence that there's a pretty broad acceptance that he's dead,” Kerry said, “and I think the facts of this case are pretty compelling, so i think its premature”

    He said he had not personally seen the bin Laden photos, but they have been described to him in detail, and they are “graphic.”

  • Graham: 'Catastrophic blunder' to end Afghanistan involvement

    A key Republican lawmaker on national security issues warned Tuesday that it would be a "huge mistake and a catastrophic blunder" to interpret the killing of Osama bin Laden as an end to the need for U.S. involvement in Iraq and Afghanistan.

    Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-S.C.), a member of the Senate Armed Services Committee, said at a press conference that -- despite the celebrations over the al Qaeda leader's death -- the Obama administration should "go slow when it goes to troop withdrawals" in Afghanistan.

    Graham said he is confident that the president will not be prompted to accelerate troop withdrawals in July because "he understands the signal it will send." But, he added, he intends to ask CIA chief Leon Panetta whether the successful operation to eliminate bin Laden will ultimately be used by the administration as an "excuse" for a faster drawdown.

    Panetta will brief members of Congress this afternoon in closed-door briefings on both sides of the Capitol.

    Atop lawmakers' lists of questions for Panetta and other administration officials with knowledge of the U.S. raid on bin Laden's compound in Pakistan will be how the operation could affect already tense relations between the two nations. The Pakistani government has stated concerns about the unilateral nature of the raid on its soil in Abbottabad.

    "You cannot trust them and you cannot abandon them," Graham said of Pakistan.

    The South Carolina senator threw some cold water on one point that some in his party are eager to highlight: that specific enhanced interrogation techniques may have delivered information that led U.S. intelligence authorities to bin Laden's location.

    While criticizing the Obama administration's ban on CIA operatives' use of such tactics, he called the claim that waterboarding was essential to bin Laden's capture "a misstatement."

    "I do not believe this is a time to celebrate waterboarding," Graham said. "I believe this is a time to celebrate hard work."

  • Poll: Nine-point bounce for Obama after bin Laden news

    Less than 48 hours after President Barack Obama announced the death of the man who orchestrated the 9/11 attacks, one new poll shows the president’s approval rating has jumped up by nine points, with Americans’ opinions of his handling of terrorism reaching the highest point during Obama’s presidency.

    The overnight poll, conducted by The Washington Post and the Pew Research Center, found that 56 percent of respondents approve of Obama’s performance as president, up nine points from similar polls last month.  That boost includes a substantial bump of 10 points among independents.

    The poll, conducted Monday night, offers a first glimpse of the coveted “bounce” that the president could benefit from in the wake of the successful covert operation to hunt down Osama bin Laden, although subsequent multi-evening polls are likely to give a fuller picture of the nation’s reaction to the news.

    In the Post-Pew poll, 69 percent of respondents said that they approve of Obama’s handling of the threat of terrorism, the highest rating since he became president in 2009. And more than three-quarters of Americans believe that Obama deserves credit for bin Laden’s death, with 35 percent saying he should get “a great deal” of credit for the terrorist leader’s killing.  

    (That number falls substantially among GOP respondents. While about six-in-ten self-identified Republicans say the president deserves “some” recognition for the successful operation in Abbottabad, just 17 percent say he is worthy of “a great deal” of credit. Over 80 percent of Republicans say that laurel should go to former President George W. Bush.)

    A CNN poll conducted immediately in the wake of bin Laden’s death found only a one point increase in Obama’s approval rating compared to a survey taken over the weekend before the Sunday announcement. In that poll, 52 percent of respondents said they approve of the president’s job performance, while 67 percent gave him a thumbs up for his handling of terrorism.

    It’s worth noting that, while the Post-Pew poll’s nine point bounce would represent a healthy surge for a president recently weighed down by high gas prices and persistent unemployment, Americans remain pessimistic about the nation’s economic situation.  Monday night’s poll showed that only 40 percent of respondents say they approve of Obama’s handling of the economy, compared to 55 percent who disapprove. That’s almost identical to the same measure last month.

    And, as one of us wrote yesterday, even a major poll bump doesn’t ensure a successful re-election race, and pessimism about the economy can be an important factor in the half-life of a bounce.

  • Most aggressive 'enhanced interrogation' 'proved useless'

    NBC's Michael Isikoff's piece on msnbc.com on whether "enhanced interrogations techniques," a.k.a. torture, led to the finding of Osama bin Laden provides good context and details. Excerpts below.

    VIDEO: Did enhanced interrogation find bin Laden?

    Here are some excerpts:

    The behind-the-scenes story of how bin Laden was finally located is yet to be fully told, but emerging details seem likely to reignite the debate over whether “enhanced interrogation” techniques and other aggressive methods that have been widely criticized by human rights groups provided useful – or timely -- intelligence about al-Qaida. While some current and former U.S. officials credited those interrogations Monday with producing the big break in the case, others countered that they failed to produce what turned out to be the most crucial piece of intelligence of all: the identity and whereabouts of the most important figure in bin Laden courier's network. ...

    While Liz Cheney and other conservatives on Monday tried to portray the bin Laden raid as vindication of the intelligence community’s tough interrogations of “high-value” detainees, other details suggest that the most aggressive “enhanced interrogation” techniques -- including waterboarding, against other detainees, particularly 9/11 mastermind Khaled Sheikh Mohammed -- proved useless in learning the identity of the bin Laden courier. ...

    “They waterboarded KSM (Khaled Sheikh Mohammed) 183 times and he still didn’t give the guy up,” said one former U.S. counterterrorism official who asked not to be identified. “Come on. And you want to tell me that enhanced interrogation techniques worked?" ...

    In the end, U.S. officials say, it took years of patient intelligence work -- including information gleaned from multiple detainees and other sources of intelligence -- to enable the CIA to figure out who the courier was.

    “Four years ago, we uncovered his identify,” said a senior U.S. official. Two years later, the U.S. officials were able to trace the courier and his brother to the area in Pakistan where they finally found bin Laden.

  • Panetta: 'Al Qaeda still remains a threat'

    In an interview with NBC's Brian Williams, CIA head Leon Panetta -- who is President Obama's choice to replace Defense Secretary Robert Gates -- said there's no question that the world is safer without Osama bin Laden.

    "But Panetta added, "I also don't think we ought to kid ourselves that killing Osama bin Laden kills al Qaeda. Al Qaeda still remains a threat."

    BRIAN WILLIAMS: Is the world safer?

    LEON PANETTA: Brian, I don't think there's any question that, you know, when you get the number one terrorist in the world that we're a little safer today than we were when he was alive. But I also don't think we ought to kid ourselves that killing Osama bin Laden kills al Qaeda. Al Qaeda still remains a threat. They're still going to try to attack our country. And I think we have to continue to be vigilant and continue the effort to ultimately defeat these guys. We've damaged them, but we still have to defeat them.

     

    Visit msnbc.com for breaking news, world news, and news about the economy

  • A game-changer? Two different opinions

    In his column today, political analyst Charlie Cook doesn't believe that Osama bin Laden's death will be a game-changer for President Obama.

    The numbers of long-term unemployed are troubling. The enormous growth in demand for energy, particularly oil and gasoline in China, India, and other emerging economies threatens to keep energy prices unstable. Add to that the political instability in the
    Middle East and North Africa, which are trouble spots from energy, security, and humanitarian perspectives.

    But for Obama and Democrats, this is a B-12 shot in the arm, or adrenaline, a great rush and a welcomed respite. But it’s not a cure.

    Andrew Sullivan has a different opinion: It smashes the perceptions that Obama is a weak leader and doesn't believe in "American exceptionalism."

    But the capture and killing of bin Laden ... does two things instantly: it tells us that an American named Barack Hussein Obama ordered the operation that killed Osama bin Laden. A man who symbolizes an integrative, tolerant, multicultural future defeated the symbol of a twisted, dark, fundamentalist past. A man who represents the human continuum of the developing and developed worlds defeated a man who seeks only one world and Shariah rule over all of it. And it also tells those who have been bombarded with lies and rumors and disgusting smears that this president, whatever they have been told, is no weakling, no terror-lover, no alien. He is as American as every new passport holder and every ancient Southern or Yankee family.

    In the past several months, we've seen Obama's approval ratings surge above 50% (after his accomplishments in the lame-duck session of Congress and after the Tucson shootings), and we've seen it return to the mid- to high-40s (after higher gas prices and increased instability in the Middle East).

    This seems to suggest two things:
    1) Despite the worst of news for Obama -- high gas prices, Middle East instability, partisan messiness in averting a government shutdown -- Obama's base of support keeps him in the mid-40s. So if things do get better, he gets closer to that important 50% threshold.

    2) Despite the best of news for him before Sunday -- after his Giffords speech -- his approval rating in the NBC/WSJ poll reached 53%, which would still result in a competitive general-election. (Obama defeated McCain in 2008, 53%-46%.)

    Yet, as we wrote on Monday, what's more important for Obama's 2012 prospects than his poll numbers is the nation's overall psyche. Despite good economic news over the past few months -- the unemployment rate has decline, job creation is up -- the United States remains in a four-year national funk.

    Obama’s presidential victory in 2008 boosted spirits (particularly Democratic ones), despite the sinking economy. And the GOP’s midterm wins in 2010 boosted Republican and Tea Party spirits. Yet nothing has united Democrats, Republicans, independents, and everyone else -- until now. As President Obama remarked last night, “Let us think back to the sense of unity that prevailed on 9/11. I know that it has, at times, frayed. Yet today’s achievement is a testament to the greatness of our country and the determination of the American people.” There was never going to be a V-E Day after 9/11, but this is as close as the country will get to one.

  • First Thoughts: Now what?

    Now what -- for U.S.-Pakistan relations, the Afghanistan war, relations in Congress, the GOP presidential field, and Obama’s political capital?... The next few weeks will be a test if poll bounces still exist in today’s media environment… What will the U.S. government release to further confirm bin Laden’s death?...  Republicans look to end the “silly season”… Filling the void in the GOP race… A free-for-all in NV’s special election… And Seattle’s finest -- Dennis Kucinich?

    *** Now what? If there’s a theme to the second day after Osama bin Laden’s death, it’s this: Now what? Now what for U.S.-Pakistan relations? (Congress isn’t taking too kindly to the fact that bin Laden was residing in a relatively affluent part of the country, so expect some hearings in the days and weeks ahead.) Now what for the war in Afghanistan? (Speaker Boehner made a statement yesterday that the U.S. engagement there is now even more important.) Now what for relations in Congress? (“It is my fervent hope that we can harness some of that unity and some of that pride to confront the many challenges that we still face,” President Obama said at a bipartisan dinner he hosted last night.) Now what for the GOP presidential field? (The first debate -- minus Romney, Bachmann, and Gingrich -- takes place on Thursday.) And now what for Obama’s political capital? (On the same day of that GOP debate, he heads to Ground Zero.)

    *** Where’s the bounce? Speaking of Obama’s political capital, our friends at the GOP polling firm Public Opinion Strategies yesterday released historical data showing that, outside of 9/11, a president’s approval rating jumps an average of 13 points and lasts an average of 22 weeks after a big national-security story. But do bumps like this exist anymore with the facts that the public is more informed and more defined in their political views, that news travels so fast, and that news cycles end so quickly? Frankly, this event will be the test of that.

    *** Where’s the further evidence? Here’s another question worth pondering: What will the U.S. government release -- and when -- to further confirm bin Laden’s death? There is video and photographic evidence of both the capture/kill of bin Laden and of the burial at sea. Administration officials haven't made a decision on whether to release anything just yet; in fact, they note the reaction among bin Laden's cohorts indicates THEY know he's dead. That said, conspiracy theories take hold in some parts of the world rather easily, so expect something more to be released. The question is when. Perhaps in concert with the Thursday presidential visit to Ground Zero makes the most sense?

    *** Victory always has 100 fathers: Nearly two and a half years after leaving office, it’s striking to see all of the Bush administration aides and officials popping up on TV. And it’s even more striking how Republicans are clinging to the news that the hunt to bin Laden’s compound originated from enhanced interrogation techniques six years ago. It’s more proof that victory has 100 fathers, while defeat is always an orphan. Perhaps we shouldn't be surprised that somehow this debate about interrogations has popped up again, but it seems a bit of a reach to somehow directly connect the successful Sunday operation with a string of intelligence gathered six years earlier. Is it not possible that this intelligence would not have been discovered at all? It seems pains are being taken here to make a case for something that no one can prove definitively. 

    *** An end to the silly season? As for the Republican presidential field, Politico’s Martin writes that U.S. forces killing bin Laden is a wake-up call for the entire party. “In the span of 100 hours, the spectacle of a national discussion over President Obama’s long-form birth certificate—sparked by the pronouncements of a real estate developer who doubles as a reality show celebrity—gave way to a moment of utmost seriousness, defined by the president’s somber delivery of history-making news. The hope among establishment Republicans is that the succession of events will trigger an end to what they see as the silly season – that party activists will sober up and end their flirtation with the fringe.”

    *** Filling the void: It was one of the big punch lines at Saturday’s White House Correspondents Dinner; it was the front-page subject of Sunday’s New York Times; and it’s the biggest story (so far) of the early race for the GOP presidential nomination -- Republicans aren’t happy with their field. That means two things: 1) some early GOP handwringing, and 2) candidates will inevitably try to fill the void. As Hotline recently observed, nature -- as well as politics -- abhors a vacuum. So just two days before the first GOP presidential debate, Jon Huntsman has returned from China and is set to deliver a commencement address in South Carolina on Saturday. And Mitch Daniels, after saying he will sign an anti-Planned Parenthood bill into law, seems closer to a run than he did a week ago. On Friday, Daniels allies emailed national political reporters about his accomplishments in Indiana this year (they wouldn’t do that if Daniels wasn’t at least eyeing a bid), and he delivers an education speech on Wednesday in DC.  

    *** A free-for-all in Nevada’s special: Yesterday, Nevada Secretary of State Ross Miller (D) announced that the special congressional election to fill Dean Heller's (R) House seat will be a free-for-all contest without a primary. The C.W. is that either this helps Sharron Angle (R) if she runs (because she would be the most recognizable candidate) or it could help the Democrats win (because the GOP vote gets split up). The NRCC wasn't too happy with news: “This blatantly partisan ruling from Harry Reid’s political machine is only the beginning of what will surely be a long and drawn out process,” an NRCC spokesman said. The special takes place on Sept. 13.

    *** Seattle, here I come? The Daily Caller reports that Ohio Rep. Dennis Kucinich is thinking of moving -- to Washington state. "According to Kucinich’s communications director Nathan White, 'After people found out that Congressman Kucinich’s district could be eliminated or substantially altered in congressional redistricting by the Ohio Legislature’s Republican majority, Congressman Kucinich received requests from people in twenty states, including Washington State, encouraging him to move and run in their area.'" More from White: "'As he has repeatedly said, he fully intends to remain in Congress; he just doesn’t know in what district he will run. In the meantime, he is devoted to serving Ohio’s 10th district as it currently stands.'"

    Countdown to NY-26 special election: 21 days
    Countdown to Iowa GOP straw poll: 101 days
    Countdown to NV-2 special election: 133 days
    Countdown to Election Day 2011: 189 days
    Countdown to the Iowa caucuses: 279 days
    * Note: When the IA caucuses take place depends on whether other states move up

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  • Obama agenda: How it happened

    The New York Times front-pages, “For years, the agonizing search for Osama bin Laden kept coming up empty. Then last July, Pakistanis working for the Central Intelligence Agency drove up behind a white Suzuki navigating the bustling streets near Peshawar, Pakistan, and wrote down the car’s license plate. The man in the car was Bin Laden’s most trusted courier, and over the next month C.I.A. operatives would track him throughout central Pakistan. Ultimately, administration officials said, he led them to a sprawling compound at the end of a long dirt road and surrounded by tall security fences in a wealthy hamlet 35 miles from the Pakistani capital.”

    “On a moonless night eight months later, 79 American commandos in four helicopters descended on the compound, the officials said. Shots rang out. A helicopter stalled and would not take off. Pakistani authorities, kept in the dark by their allies in Washington, scrambled forces as the American commandos rushed to finish their mission and leave before a confrontation. Of the five dead, one was a tall, bearded man with a bloodied face and a bullet in his head. A member of the Navy Seals snapped his picture with a camera and uploaded it to analysts who fed it into a facial recognition program.”

    As NBC’s Savannah Guthrie reported on “Nightly News” last night, the operation had a code word to indicate the successful kill or capture of bin Laden: "Geronimo.” A senior US official told Guthrie that the actual transmission from the ground commander at the compound to the operational commander in Afghanistan was: "For God and country: Geronimo, Geronimo, Geronimo."

    More from Guthrie: The intel community located the bin Laden courier's compound in August. At that point, surveillance and planning commenced.

    Obama was presented with four main options ("courses of actions" or COAs in admin parlance) in mid March. One option was to drop 32 2,000-lb JDAMs from stealth bombers. It was planned out of Whiteman AFB, but ultimately rejected. The concern was it would obliterate the entire neighborhood and produce no DNA, no body, and significant collateral damage. Other options were a joint raid with Pakistanis or a clandestine operation -- both rejected.

    The special ops team conducted two "rehearsals" on April 7 and 13 at a mock compound on U.S. soil. After those practice sessions, the commander told the president, "This option can work."

    “Dramatic details emerged yesterday of how American commandos cornered and killed Osama bin Laden in his Pakistani hideout, and President Obama pronounced the world a ‘better place’ without the Al Qaeda leader,” the Boston Globe adds. Here’s an interactive slide show describing the raid.

    The Washington Post: “It was a search that employed Predator drones, sophisticated signal interception equipment, networks of informants, and teams of analysts who scrutinized every video and audio recording from the al-Qaeda leader for inadvertent clues. In the end, ‘he was more or less hiding in plain sight,’ a senior U.S. intelligence official said. ‘The only resident of the compound that was taken from the site was Osama bin Laden. He died — almost certainly — from a bullet to the head.’”

    “For President Obama — whom Republicans have called weak on defense and indecisive on foreign policy — the killing of Osama bin Laden represents a key moment in his presidency,” the Boston Globe’s Viser writes. But, he warns: “Still, the contours of the 2012 campaign are unlikely to change — and by the time voters go to the polls, this could be a distant memory. The race is almost certain to hinge not on issues of foreign policy, but on the domestic issues that have dogged Obama.”

    “Elected officials and campaign operatives were careful Monday to avoid any suggestion that Osama bin Laden’s death would have political consequences,” Roll Call writes. “It was clear, however, that the Obama administration’s successful hunting of the world’s top terrorist shifted the 2012 electoral landscape, giving the president and his party new credibility on a potent issue as violence rages across the Middle East. But it also became evident that the road to politicize bin Laden’s death is lined with peril.”

    Yet “both conservatives and liberals praised President Obama’s operation to kill Osama bin Laden, but they also used the occasion to try to score political points for their respective parties,” The Hill writes.

    Stu Rothenberg: “Politically, the killing should boost the president’s standing immediately, since he delivered good news and will certainly receive credit for the successful result. Obama now has an extremely useful credential that he can use to deflect Republican criticism on foreign policy and to demonstrate his leadership and decisiveness, two qualities he has had trouble displaying.” However: “But the bump in the polls that the president should receive is likely to be short-lived,” because of domestic issues.

    Charlie Cook: “Democrats will fervently hope that the public will see this as a seminal moment in which people begin to see and appreciate President Obama in a new light, much as President Bill Clinton’s speech after the 1995 Oklahoma City bombing, in retrospect, was a turning point for his presidency. But it might be a mistake to assume that it is a more enduring gamechanger in terms of the politics of 2012 or that it will recast Obama as much as it did for Clinton.”

    The New York Post’s cover: “How we did it!”

    The New York Daily News: “How we nailed him.”

    The Blagojevich trial started again yesterday.

  • Congress: Ensign’s exit

    “Sen. John Ensign on Monday capped off a 15-year Congressional career with a speech to a nearly empty Senate chamber, striking notes alternately apologetic and defensive,” Roll Call writes.

    Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-SC) criticized the decision to bury bin Laden’s body at sea. "To me, that didn't make a lot of sense," Graham said during an interview with conservative radio talk show host Laura Ingraham. The Hill points out that he “was buried at sea within 24 hours of his death in accordance with Islamic law.”

    “A Senate vote on the House budget resolution authored by Rep. Paul Ryan (R-Wis.) “probably” won’t happen this week, a Democratic aide told The Hill on Monday.”

    “A GOP bill to cut off funding for part of the healthcare reform law could ultimately shift decision-making power from the states to the federal government, Democrats and nonpartisan analysts say,” The Hill reports. “The bill, scheduled for a House floor vote Tuesday, would eliminate grants to help the states establish health insurance exchanges. But it wouldn’t strip the federal government’s power to run an exchange in any state that doesn’t set up its own.”

  • 2012: An end to the silly season? Maybe

    Establishment Republicans are hoping that Osama bin Laden’s death represents the end of the silly season among 2012 Republican presidential hopefuls who have up to this point focused on birth certificates and the threat of nationwide Sharia law, Politico writes.

    GINGRICH: Gingrich will not participate in the May 5th South Carolina presidential debate, Human Events writes (and NBC confirms)

    Gingrich was supposed to give a presentation on Pope John Paul II at the Basilica of St. John in Des Moines, IA, on May 16, but basilica officials canceled the event because Gingrich is now weighing a run for the presidency and his speech could be considered a conflict of interest, the Des Moines Register reports.

    MOORE: Former Alabama Chief Justice Roy Moore, who was removed from office in 2003 when he refused to remove a monument of the Ten Commandments from the state’s Supreme Court building, will participate in a Tea Party rally in South Carolina on Thursday before the debate. He is also planning a four-day tour of the Palmetto State on May 23, the Spartanburg Herald-Journal writes.

    PALIN: During a veterans’ charity fundraiser at Colorado Christian University, Sarah Palin commended President Obama and former President George W. Bush and the military, although she did not mention Obama (only “the president”) by name in her speech, The Hill reports. "We thank President Bush for having made the right calls to set up this victory," Palin said.

    Per NBC’s Catherine Chomiak, Palin said that bin Laden met justice at the hands of America's finest. She said the success of the mission was the result of diligence and a "testament to the military's dedication." She also urged that those who kill in the name of religion must be stopped.

    PAWLENTY: Although Pawlenty is sometimes characterized as the establishment’s alternative to Mitt Romney, he’s also been courting the Tea Party diligently, especially in New Hampshire where he is “most actively positioning himself to play well among a libertarian-leaning electorate that tends to care more about what candidates say about finances than they do about faith,” Real Clear Politics writes.

    Pawlenty will be in Iowa over the next two days with stops in Ames, Adel and the Des Moines area, the AP writes.

    ROMNEY: Romney’s camp announced yesterday he won’t be participating in Thursday’s South Carolina debate. The New York Times: “Mr. Romney had previously indicated that he was not planning to attend the debate, and he seems not to have been persuaded to change his mind by Tim Pawlenty, the former governor of Minnesota, who last week made a plea for more of the potential Republican field to join him on stage in South Carolina.”

    Romney returns to New Hampshire today, where he will have a meeting with business leaders in Nashua, the Nashua Telegraph reports. “As a courtesy, Greater Nashua Chamber of Commerce President Chris Williams was helping to set up the private sit-down for Romney.”

    SANTORUM: While he praised “all those involved” in the killing of Osama Bin Laden, Rick Santorum told Radio Iowa that the news doesn’t mean President Obama will prevail in the 2012 election: “According to Santorum, Obama has made the U.S. less safe by the way he’s handled Egypt, Iran, Libya, and Syria.”

    Santorum spoke at Dordt College in Iowa yesterday, his last stop as part of the Presidential Lecture Series sponsored by conservative group the Family Leader, according to the Des Moines Register. He told the crowd that government is only set up “to protect your inalienable rights. It wasn’t to build a stronger economy. It wasn’t to order society. It wasn’t to create roads and bridges. It was to protect your freedom.”

  • More 2012: Bin Laden politics in FL

    FLORIDA: “Democratic US Senator Bill Nelson said yesterday that if Republican lawmakers get their way, some of the people who helped plan and carry out the killing of Al Qaeda leader Osama bin Laden could lose their votes in Florida elections,” AP writes in reference to a bill being that “would be a requirement that absentee ballots are signed the same way as voter registration cards.” Nelson said, “Should we deny those very military that carried out this very successful decapitating of the Al Qaeda snake, should we deny them because they have signed their voter registration card in a different way than they signed their absentee ballot overseas?”

    IOWA: “First Lady Michelle Obama's speech at the University of Northern Iowa next week is no doubt the highest profile graduation event in the state, but it's also a reminder of Iowa's role in the presidential election,” the Waterloo-Cedar Falls Courier writes. 

    NEVADA: “Sen. John Ensign on Monday capped off a 15-year Congressional career with a speech to a nearly empty Senate chamber, striking notes alternately apologetic and defensive,” Roll Call writes.

  • Boehner: Afghanistan now more important

    From NBC's Shawna Thomas
    House Speaker John Boehner sees the death of Osama bin Laden as proof that U.S. involvement in Afghanistan and Pakistan is a necessity for the country’s safety. "It's important that we remain vigilant in our efforts to defeat terrorist enemies and protect the American people,” he said during a late afternoon press conference at the Capitol.  “This makes our engagement in places like Pakistan and Afghanistan more important not less.”

    Surrounded by most of the Republican leadership in the House, Boehner began with talk of unity. “The tragic events of 9/11 10 years ago remind us that we’re all Americans and that what unites us as Americans is far greater than what divides us.” He honored the troops and the intelligence community, as well as those who died on September 11, but he and three other members who spoke -- Majority Leader Eric Cantor, Majority Whip Kevin McCarthy and GOP Conference Chair Jeb Hensarling -- all seemed to express a renewed commitment to American armed forces. Their choice of words was striking in the context of the continued spending debate. (Remember, the Defense Department was appropriated billions more than what it got last in fiscal year 2010 in last month’s compromise, but is a huge piece of the spending pie that will have to be dealt with.)

    Hensarling, who was last to speak, congratulated President Obama, while reminding everyone that the war isn’t over. “One thing that has not changed after today is that the price of liberty remains eternal vigilance,” he said.

  • Kerry: US-Pakistan relationship 'has been tested'

    From NBC's Lauren Stephenson
    Questions are being raised today on Capitol Hill as to what Pakistan knew about the compound where Osama bin Laden was hiding out, just 35 miles north of Islamabad.

    "I think everybody in America is scratching their heads and saying, 'Wow, you know, just north, near a military training school, how could this be?' And obviously we're going to have to search that," John Kerry, chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, said Monday on MSNBC's "Andrea Mitchell Reports." 

    Despite nearly $20 billion in civilian, government and military aid the United States has given to Pakistan since 9/11 -- not to mention the billions before 2001 -- Osama bin Laden was able to live in a one-million-dollar compound located only two miles from Pakistan's equivalent of West Point.

    When pressed on the United States' lack of trust of the Pakistani government, Kerry admitted that there have been problems in the relationship.

    "Over the course of the last year, we have run into some difficulties. The relationship has been tested. We had the Raymond Davis incident. We had some politicians in the country, in their country, in Pakistan, grossly exploiting this for their own benefit at the expense of the United States. I think that made a lot of people recoil." 

    Despite the tension, Kerry acknowledged the Pakistani government has "allowed us to do a lot," including the ability to conduct drone strikes and have people on the ground.

    While the revelation Osama bin Laden lived in a sprawling compound in a populous area has caused many to question the trustworthiness of the Pakistani government, the Massachusetts senator said he "was encouraged by the statement that Pakistan made today. Maybe that is an indicator of an awareness that the scale has tipped a little bit in this thing. And that they have to make a different set of calculations."

  • How high - and long - could Obama's approval bounce be?

    Today’s news cycle will address remaining key questions about the death of Osama bin Laden – how he was located, who knew what when, and what exactly happened in the 40 minutes leading up to the shooting of the world’s most wanted terrorist.

    But, soon afterwards, the question on the minds of many political reporters – and the president’s political opponents – will be about “the bounce.”

    The al Qaeda leader’s dramatic death is the kind of news story almost certain to register the coveted presidential approval ratings spike that has historically followed a major development in domestic or foreign affairs.

    But how high – and for how long – can bounces really be?  

    The most dramatic presidential rally effect in the history of Gallup polling was the whopping 35 percent jump in President George W. Bush’s approval rating after the September 11 attack. Bush’s approval before the terrorist assault was a tepid 51 percent but leapt to 86 percent by September 15.  He soared at over 80 percent approval for six subsequent months.

    Bush also benefitted from a seven point boost in the aftermath of Saddam Hussein’s capture on December 13, 2003, but the bounce faded by the end of the following month.

    With the exception of the post-9/11 bump, presidential bounces for major national security events average about 13 percentage points and last for four to five months, according to Republican pollster Bill McInturff of Public Opinion Strategies.

    The attack at Pearl Harbor, for example, boosted President Roosevelt’s approval by 11 percent – with effects lasting almost a year. The halting of U.S. bombings in North Vietnam was worth 14 points on President Lyndon Johnson’s approval score, for a duration of about 20 weeks. And the Cuban Missile Crisis bumped up President John Kennedy’s ratings by 12 percent for a duration of about 40 weeks.

    But it’s worth noting that, while major presidential bounces can hugely alter the arc of an incumbent party’s election strategy, even the most dramatic approval bumps don’t ensure a first-term president’s future success.  

    While the younger Bush rode his national security bona fides to a (narrow) re-election in 2004, his father was less lucky despite making similarly striking gains in the polls in the second half of his four-year term.

    Days before the beginning of Operation Desert Shield in August 1990, about 60 percent of Americans gave President George H.W. Bush a thumbs up on his job performance.  By the time American troops began withdrawing from the Persian Gulf in March, his approval ratings grazed the nine-in-ten mark, peaking at 89 percent at the beginning of that month.

    But – with a souring economy and a series of missteps that underscored perceptions that he was out of touch with regular Americans – Bush ultimately dropped below 30 percent, virtually ensuring his defeat in his 1992 re-election race.

    According to Gallup, the key day to watch its tracking poll – comprised of a three-day rolling average -- will be this coming Thursday, which will be the first day when all three nights’ interviews with respondents will be after Sunday night’s big announcement.

    Obama’s most recent approval rating, published by Gallup before the bin Laden news, stands at 46 percent.

  • NV special to be free-for-all election

    Nevada Secretary of State Ross Miller today announced that the special congressional election to fill Dean Heller's (R) House seat will be a free-for-all contest without a primary.

    The Conventional Wisdom is that either this helps Sharron Angle (R) if she runs (because she would be the most recognizable candidate) or it could help the Democrats win (because the GOP vote gets split up).

    Heller was recently named to replace John Ensign in the Senate.

    The AP:

    Nevada's chief election officer says there will be no limit on the number of candidates who can enter the state's first special election to replace a sitting U.S. House member... There will not be a primary. Voters will pick from a free-for-all ballot.

    Republicans had argued that the never-before-used election law allowed for political parties to choose their candidates.

    The special is slated to take place on Sept. 13.

    *** UPDATE *** The National Republican Congressional Committee clearly isn't happy with the ruling. “This blatantly partisan ruling from Harry Reid’s political machine is only the beginning of what will surely be a long and drawn out process,” said an NRCC spokesman.

  • Obama: 'This is a good day for America'

    Before he awarded two posthumous Medals of Honor to Korean War veterans, President Obama today made his second public remarks about Osama Bin Laden's death, saying that the country had "kept its commitment to see that justice is done," and calling today "a good day for America."

    He said that the country "is a better place because of the death of Osama Bin Laden" and praised the celebrations at the White House, Ground Zero and elsewhere as displays of patriotism.

    "Today we are reminded that as a nation, there's nothing we can't do when we put our shoulders to the wheel, when we work together, when we remember the sense of unity that defines us as Americans," Obama said.

  • DNA analysis confirms it was Bin Laden

    From NBC's Andrea Mitchell
    A senior official tells NBC News that the U.S. has now completed the DNA analysis, and it has come back with 100% certainty. It is Osama bin Laden.

    Also, NBC News has been told that the CIA'S facial recognition technology has identified Bin Laden's face with 95% certainty -- after comparing it to known pictures of Bin him. That is considered very high accuracy.

    And one of Bin Laden's wives was in the compound -- and survived -- identified him.

    Asked how the sea burial complies with Islamic law, officials say the Koran is not specific to burial -- as long as the body of the diseased is cleansed quickly. There is no single authoriative Islamic text on burial.

    Officials have no answer on how Pakistan intelligence wouldnt know about the compound, less than two miles from what is colloquially referred to as their "West Point."

  • Scott Brown would need waiver to train in Afghanistan

    Massachusetts Sen. Scott Brown (R), a member of the National Guard, released a statement today saying he has requested to conduct his annual training in Afghanistan.

    "As a Lieutenant Colonel in the Massachusetts Army National Guard, I have service obligations that I fulfill each year," Brown said in the statement. "Following in the tradition of other lawmakers who have completed their military service requirements overseas, this year I have requested to conduct my annual training in Afghanistan. Doing so will help me to better understand our ongoing mission in that country, and provide me first-hand experience for my duties on the Senate Armed Services, Homeland Security, and Veterans Affairs committees."

    There is some question, however, as to whether that would be allowed for a candidate for office or an elected official generally. It appears he would need a waiver from the Defense Secretary in order to do so, and it's something Sen. Mark Kirk (R), when he was a congressman, ran into.

    According to Section 4.2.2 of a Feb. 19, 2009 Defense Department Directive called, “Political Activities by Members of the Armed Forces”:

    4.2.2. A regular member, or a retired regular or Reserve Component member on active duty under a call or order to active duty for more than 270 days, may not be a nominee or candidate for the offices described in subparagraph 4.2.1., except when the Secretary concerned grants permission.

    4.2.2.3. Such permission is required regardless of whether evidence of nomination or candidacy for civil office is filed prior to commencing active duty service or whether the member is an incumbent.

    4.2.2.4. If a member covered by the prohibition in subparagraph 4.2.2. becomes a nominee or candidate for civil office prior to commencing active duty, then the member must request permission in writing and submit the request to the Secretary concerned before entering active duty. The member must understand that if the Secretary concerned does not grant permission, then the member must immediately decline the nomination or withdraw as a candidate.

    And:

    4.1.2. A member of the Armed Forces on active duty shall not:

    4.1.2.1. Participate in partisan political fundraising activities (except as permitted in subparagraph 4.1.1.7.), rallies, conventions (including making speeches in the course thereof), management of campaigns, or debates, either on one’s own behalf or on that of another, without respect to uniform or inference or appearance of official sponsorship, approval, or endorsement. Participation includes more than mere attendance as a spectator. (See subparagraph 4.1.1.9.)

    4.1.2.2. Use official authority or influence to interfere with an election, affect the course or outcome of an election, solicit votes for a particular candidate or issue, or require or solicit political contributions from others.

    4.1.2.3. Allow or cause to be published partisan political articles, letters, or endorsements signed or written by the member that solicits votes for or against a partisan political party, candidate, or cause. This is distinguished from a letter to the editor as permitted under the conditions noted in subparagraph 4.1.1.6.

    4.1.2.4. Serve in any official capacity with or be listed as a sponsor of a partisan political club.

    4.1.2.5. Speak before a partisan political gathering, including any gathering that promotes a partisan political party, candidate, or cause.

    4.1.2.6. Participate in any radio, television, or other program or group discussion as an advocate for or against a partisan political party, candidate, or cause.

    4.1.2.7. Conduct a political opinion survey under the auspices of a partisan political club or group or distribute partisan political literature.

    4.1.2.8. Perform clerical or other duties for a partisan political committee or candidate during a campaign, on an election day, or after an election day during the process of closing out a campaign.

    4.1.2.9. Solicit or otherwise engage in fundraising activities in Federal offices or facilities, including military reservations, for any political cause or candidate.

    4.1.2.10. March or ride in a partisan political parade.

    4.1.2.11. Display a large political sign, banner, or poster (as distinguished from a bumper sticker) on a private vehicle.

    4.1.2.12. Display a partisan political sign, poster, banner, or similar device visible to the public at one’s residence on a military installation, even if that residence is part of a privatized housing development.

    4.1.2.13. Participate in any organized effort to provide voters with transportation to the polls if the effort is organized by or associated with a partisan political party, cause, or candidate.

    4.1.2.14. Sell tickets for or otherwise actively promote partisan political dinners and similar fundraising events.

    4.1.2.15. Attend partisan political events as an official representative of the Armed Forces, except as a member of a joint Armed Forces color guard at the opening ceremonies of the national conventions of the Republican, Democratic, or other political parties recognized by the Federal Elections Committee or as otherwise authorized by the Secretary concerned.

    4.1.2.16. Make a campaign contribution to, or receive or solicit (on one’s own behalf) a campaign contribution from, any other member of the Armed Forces on active duty. Any contributions not prohibited by this subparagraph remain subject to the gift provisions of sections 2635.301-2635.304 of title 5, Code of Federal Regulations (Reference (f)). See subparagraph 4.1.2.1. for general prohibitions on partisan fundraising activity.

    4.1.3. Commissioned officers shall not use contemptuous words as prohibited by section 888 of Reference (b) or participate in activities proscribed by DoD Directives 5200.2 and 1325.6 (References (g) and (h), respectively).

    4.1.4. Subject to any other restrictions in law, a member of the Armed Forces not on active duty may take the actions or participate in the activities permitted in subparagraph 4.1.1., and may take the actions and participate in the activities prohibited in subparagraph 4.1.2, provided the member is not in uniform and does not otherwise act in a manner that could reasonably give rise to the inference or appearance of official sponsorship, approval, or endorsement.

  • Romney won't attend Thursday's GOP debate

    In First Thoughts this morning, we predicted that Mitt Romney -- who hadn't yet declared if he would attend -- would probably not show up to Thursday's GOP presidential debate in South Carolina, especially after last night's news.

    And now we can confirm he WON'T be in attendance.

    Per a statement from top Romney aide Matt Rhoades:

    "Gov. Romney will not be participating in this week's South Carolina debate because it's still early, the field is too unsettled and he's not yet an announced candidate. Fox News and the South Carolina Republican Party have both been notified of this decision. Gov. Romney is planning to visit South Carolina on May 21st and he looks forward to debating there closer to their primary." 

    Michele Bachmann also won't be attending the debate.

  • The scene in the Situation Room

    From NBC's Savannah Guthrie and Bob Windrem
    Officials tell NBC News that President Barack Obama was able to monitor the assault on the compound that housed Osama Bin Laden in real time Sunday night from the Situation Room.

    The president received "audio and visual" updates from the scene as it was unfolding, said one U.S. official.

    When the team on the ground reported back that they had killed the organization's leader, at approximately 3:55pm ET on Sunday, applause broke out in the Situation Room.

    According to current and former officials, CIA Director Leon Panetta was also able to watch the operation in real time from the CIA, conferring live with Vice Admiral William H. McRaven, head of the Joint Special Operations Command, who was in Afghanistan.

    Full video of the assault is unlikely to be released because it contains operations information.

    Two moments during the raid were particularly "heartstopping," according to one official.

    The first was when the operation's helicopters first arrived at the scene. The plan was for the choppers to hover and lower 12 Seals to the ground rather than land.  But one of the choppers stopped working due to a lack of air within the high compound walls.

    It made a soft landing (not a crash)  on the ground and the raid went forward. At that point a third "emergency" chopper on standby came to the scene.

    As the team returned with bin Laden's body, they blew up the broken chopper, which resulted in a "massive explosion." The team exited in two helicopters.

    The other tense moment came when the choppers were leaving the country but remained within Pakistani airspace. The Pakistanis, seeing the choppers and not knowing if they were friendly or not, scrambled their fighter jets, causing white knuckles before the helicopters were able to leave.

    NBC's Courtney Kube contributed.

  • Clinton to al Qaeda: 'You cannot wait us out; you cannot defeat us'

    From NBC's Courtney Kube
    Secretary of State Hillary Clinton just came to the Treaty Room to praise the courageous men and women who have toiled for years to track down Osama bin Laden, to remember the victims of bin Laden's and Al Qaeda's violence, and to warn that the fight against al Qaeda does not end with this death.

    "Even as we mark this milestone, we should not forget that the battle to stop Al Qaeda and its syndicate of terror will not end with the death of bin Laden," Clinton said.

    Clinton offered an ominous warning to those members of al Qaeda still hiding out, but also offered them an olive branch. "You cannot wait us out; you cannot defeat us," she said, but added, "but you can make the choice to abandon Al Qaeda and participate in a peaceful political process."

    Despite the fact the U.S. did not tell the Pakistanis about this operation until it was complete, Clinton said that the close cooperation with Pakistan has put "unprecedented pressure" on al Qaeda and its leadership, and that "continued cooperation will be just as important in the days ahead."

  • First Thoughts: A game-changer

    Osama bin Laden’s death is a political game-changer, though the size (and duration) of its impact is unknown… Does it change the nation’s psyche?... Does it change the nation’s policy in Afghanistan?... One thing’s for sure: It makes all the other issues -- Trump, the birth certificate, even the substantive debate over the debt ceiling -- seem small by comparison… Recalling Obama’s words on Al Qaeda and Pakistan back in Aug. 2007, and how his Democratic rivals attacked him for it… At 11:55 am ET, Obama awards two U.S. soldiers from the Korean War the Medal of Honor posthumously… And at 8:15 pm, he and the first lady host a dinner for bipartisan congressional leaders and their spouses.

    From NBC’s Chuck Todd, Mark Murray, Domenico Montanaro, and Ali Weinberg
    *** A game-changer: The 9/11 terrorist attacks fundamentally transformed American politics. They ensured that the 2004 presidential election would be fought over national security; they resulted in Democrats picking John Kerry as their nominee and Republicans picking New York City as their convention site; and they ultimately led to Bush’s re-election, albeit in a closely contested race. While it’s doubtful that Osama bin Laden’s death will have as long of a political impact -- especially in this fast-changing, short-term memory media landscape -- it will surely shape the contours of next year’s presidential race. For starters, it will hover over the first Republican debate set for this Thursday, even if it’s not a direct question. It also will highlight the GOP field’s foreign-policy and national-security credentials, or their lack thereof. And it amounts to Barack Obama’s top achievement as president. Last night changes everything (for now), but we also know how quickly it can dissipate.

    *** Does it change the nation’s psyche? Indeed, the size of the impact is unknown, and it will play out in the weeks and months ahead, especially with an unemployment rate near 9% and with gasoline prices hitting $4 a gallon. But it could serve to change the nation’s psyche. Put simply, the United States has been in a national funk over the past four years. Obama’s presidential victory in 2008 boosted spirits (particularly Democratic ones), despite the sinking economy. And the GOP’s midterm wins in 2010 boosted Republican and Tea Party spirits. Yet nothing has united Democrats, Republicans, independents, and everyone else -- until now. As President Obama remarked last night, “Let us think back to the sense of unity that prevailed on 9/11. I know that it has, at times, frayed. Yet today’s achievement is a testament to the greatness of our country and the determination of the American people.” There was never going to be a V-E Day after 9/11, but this is as close as the country will get to one.  

    *** Does it change the nation’s policy in Afghanistan? Yet there is something we do know for sure: Bin Laden’s death will impact the debate about the war in Afghanistan. “This is the epicenter of violent extremism practiced by al Qaeda,” Obama said when he announced the U.S. troop increase to Afghanistan. “It is from here that we were attacked on 9/11, and it is from here that new attacks are being plotted as I speak.” The beginning of the troop withdrawal is already set for this summer, but calls for a more intense and rapid draw-down will only increase. Of course, there will be a serious -- and political -- debate about what the future U.S. policy toward Afghanistan (and Pakistan, too) should be, especially given that it's hard to believe Pakistan somehow overlooked bin Laden living in an affluent military veteran suburb of Islamabad. In fact, because of Pakistan's questionable reliability as an ally, it complicates the picture with Afghanistan and doesn't make "declaring victory and coming home" such a cut and dried decision. Still, make no mistake: Last night’s news changes things…

    *** It does make everything else seem so small: Bin Laden’s death also makes the past two week’s worth of political conversation look so small by comparison. Donald Trump. The president’s birth certificate. Friday’s GOP cattle call in New Hampshire. Even the upcoming battle to raise the nation’s debt ceiling. As for Trump, if he wasn’t already embarrassed by the jokes at his expense on Saturday night, he has to be embarrassed about all of his recent charges (“Where is Obama’s birth certificate?” “Where are his college grades?” “Who wrote his book?”) And as for the more substantive debate over the debt ceiling, last night’s news will have an impact as well. Everything looks so small by comparison, at least for now. One last point: This probably guarantees that Mitt Romney -- who has been on the fence about attending -- doesn’t show up at Thursday’s GOP presidential debate.

    *** Naïve? Ironically, Bin Laden’s death -- in Pakistan -- recalls one of Obama’s supposed "lowest" moments during the ’08 presidential campaign, in Aug. 2007. In an Aug. 1 speech, per NBC’s John Bailey, Obama delivered these words: “If we have actionable intelligence about high-value terrorist targets and [Pakistan] President Musharraf will not act, we will." At a debate two weeks later, Obama’s Democratic rivals used those remarks to paint Obama as either naïve or inexperienced. Said Hillary Clinton: “Pakistan is on a knife's edge. It is easily, unfortunately, a target for the jihadists. And, therefore, you've got to be very careful about what it is you say with respect to Pakistan.” Said Chris Dodd: “The only person that separates us from a jihadist government in Pakistan with nuclear weapons is President Musharraf. And, therefore, I thought it was irresponsible to engage in that kind of a suggestion here. That's dangerous. Words mean something in campaigns.” And said Edwards: “Musharraf is not a wonderful leader, but he provides some stability in Pakistan. And there is a great risk, if he's overthrown, about a radical government taking over.”

    *** "If we have Osama bin Laden in our sights and we've exhausted all other options, we should take him out”: Here was Obama's answer to the criticism: "Well, you know, to prepare for this debate, I rode in the bumper cars at the [Iowa] state fair." He went on to say, "If we have Osama bin Laden in our sights and we've exhausted all other options, we should take him out before he plans to kill another 3,000 Americans. I think that's common sense." Indeed, Bin Laden’s death is a tacit rebuke of all those who questioned Obama's toughness on foreign policy and bats down the criticism from the right that Obama's rhetoric is too soft (he doesn't say "Global War on Terror!"). Obama supporters will say it proves it's not tough talk that matters -- but rather action. 

    *** Obama’s day: At 11:55 am ET, the president awards two U.S. soldiers the Medal of Honor posthumously. And at 8:15 pm, he and the first lady host a dinner for bipartisan congressional leaders and their spouses.

    Countdown to NY-26 special election: 22 days
    Countdown to Iowa GOP straw poll: 102 days
    Countdown to Election Day 2011: 190 days
    Countdown to the Iowa caucuses: 280 days
    * Note: When the IA caucuses take place depends on whether other states move up

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