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  • Congress: Rangel likely to represent himself

    When does this ever turn out well? "Rep. Charles Rangel (D-N.Y.) will likely represent himself at his mid-November ethics trial, setting up a potential spectacle less than two weeks after what’s expected to be a disappointing -- if not devastating -- election for Democrats," The Hill says.

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  • Obama agenda: Gaspard out?

    "The skids are greased for the top New Yorker in the White House to be out of a job because of the expected GOP tsunami, the Daily News has learned. Political director Patrick Gaspard has told friends he expects to be the fall guy if Republicans romp in the Nov. 2 election, sources confirmed."

    "Vice President Biden headlined a pair of New York cash bashes on Tuesday, gobbling up donors' dollars for Long Island Rep. Tim Bishop and Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand," The New York Daily News reports.

    The reasons why Dems are on the verge of losing the House… And why Republicans could fall short… Why the anger and high emotions we’re seeing feel different from past cycles… GOP continues to expand the House playing field… Our primer on midterm turnout… Wrapping up the final Crist-Meek-Rubio debate… Matt Lauer’s challenge to Brown and Whitman… And profiling PA-17.


    From Chuck Todd, Mark Murray, Domenico Montanaro, and Ali Weinberg

    FIRST THOUGHTS.

    *** Why Dems are on the verge of losing the House: Over the last two days, we’ve explained how Republicans could win control of the House, or how Democrats could be able to hold on to their majority. Today, we turn to the why. Here’s why Democrats are on the verge of losing the House and maybe (though much less likely) the Senate. Part of it would be history (a president's party almost always loses seats in a midterm cycle). Part of it would be the nation's disinclination of one-party control. Much of it would be due to the nation's high unemployment rate (9.6%), and the economic stimulus' inability to reduce it substantially over the past two years. Just those four items in one stew would be enough to put Democrats on the verge of a loss in House control, but it doesn't end there. Another culprit would be Democrats’ inability to sell the public on the health-care law and their inability to fire up their base. Outside GOP money has played a role, too, by expanding the playing field. And there's this: Democrats, after two years in FULL control, were unable to deliver on their biggest thematic promise to change the way the Washington works.

    *** Why Republicans could fall short: And if Republicans are unable to win the House and rack up substantial Senate gains? Part of it would be the sheer number of seats they need to gain to win majorities (39 for the House and 10 for the Senate). Part of it would be the Tea Party pushing the GOP too far to the right, especially in non-GOP friendly states and districts. And much of it would be due to the Republican Party's inability to develop new ideas after its defeats in '06 and '08 (after all, our poll shows the GOP with a lower fav/unfav than the Dem Party).

    *** Why this cycle feels different: We’ve seen plenty of anger, frustration, and high emotions in past campaigns. But the anger this cycle -- culminating in Monday’s stomping in Kentucky -- feels so much more different. Just think back to the contentious town halls in the summer of 2009, Joe Wilson’s “You lie,” and Newt Gingrich agreeing that the best way to describe the president is as a Kenyan anti-colonialist. More recently, we’ve seen the Carl Paladino phenomenon, a candidate’s security detail handcuffing a reporter, and Frank Caprio telling the president to “shove it.” And then there's all the women candidates (from both parties) aggressively saying, "Man up." Maybe our memories are too short, but the level of anger, disrespect, and incivility seems to be at an all-time high right now.

    *** 1992 and 2010: The only comparison to now that comes to mind is 1992 after the congressional check-writing scandal. Folks forget: The reason a Ross Perot and Pat Buchanan had openings was due to distrust of the parties and Washington in general. And 1992 and 1994 were more intertwined than people realize -- just as in some ways 2008 and 2010 are both alike and different in some ways. The same national disappointment in 1992 and 1994 propelled Bill Clinton into the presidency and Republicans into the congressional majority two years later. Is that what's happening here -- hunger for change propels Obama in 2008 and Republicans two years later? But it's also not THAT easy of an explanation. The long-term discontent needs to be factored in as well. The 1992 and 1994 cycles didn't have the long-term frustration; these last two, actually three cycles (toss in 2006) include a worry of LONG term discontent.

    *** Expanding the House playing field: Those of us who live in the DC area are seeing just how wide the House field is expanding, with the DCCC now running TV ads to protect Virginia Rep. Gerry Connolly, who represents a district Obama won with 57% of the vote in 2008. As Hotline reports, the DCCC has purchased “$21.6 million worth of air time in 66 districts… Among those 66 districts, many were once considered safe Democratic seats, including those held by Reps. Gerry Connolly (D-Va.), Gary Peters (D-Mich.), Bruce Braley (D-Iowa) and Raul Grijalva (D-Ariz.). Only three of the seats in which Democrats are advertising are held by Republicans.” Bottom line: Democrats are doing what they can -- just so they might be able to get their congressional majority back in 2012. And the reason Dems are having to go into these once-safe seats is largely due to outside GOP groups. Democrats aren’t going to win or lose the House because of these groups. But these groups are impacting the size of the wave that’s coming… Any gain over 52 seats may be directly attributable to the GOP outside groups. By the way, if Democrats had this kind of extra money in 2006, they would have gained the extra 20 seats in 2006 that they eventually picked up two years later. http://bit.ly/9oht8u

    *** Midterm turnout: In yet another effort to turn out younger voters, President Obama this afternoon tapes an appearance for Jon Stewart’s “Daily Show,” which will air later tonight. With so much focus on turnout, it’s important to offer this reminder: Historically, fewer people turn out to vote in midterm elections than in presidential contests -- about 30% less, on average, since 1980. For instance, in 2006, the turnout was 86 million (more than 40% of the eligible voting population). In 2008, however, it was 133 million (almost 62% of the eligible voting population). Also, don’t miss MSNBC.com’s Carrie Dann’s preview of Saturday’s Stewart/Colbert rally. http://bit.ly/cBx57g

    *** The final Crist-Meek-Rubio debate: For “TODAY” this morning, here's how NBC's Kelly O'Donnell reported on last night's final Florida Senate debate, which was moderated by NBC’s David Gregory: "All three candidates knocked the Republican Party, including the Republican, Marco Rubio... 'Now, I think the Republican Party is to blame for much of what's happened in Washington.'" Here’s the Miami Herald’s write-up: “In Crist's last chance to chip away at front-runner Marco Rubio, with only one week left before the election, the governor frequently found himself playing defense in response to tough questions from moderator David Gregory… In three separate lines of questioning, Gregory pressed Crist to explain his defection from the Republican Party, unwillingness to say which party he would caucus with in Congress if elected and his changed positions on issues like adoption by same-sex couples, which he now favors.” http://bit.ly/bXr5cj

    *** Tear down these negative ads: “Jerry Brown and Meg Whitman were pressed by NBC's Matt Lauer to end their negative advertising for the final week of the gubernatorial campaign,” the L.A. Times reports. “Lauer, who moderated a discussion involving the two candidates and Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger, asked each of the candidates to take down their negative ads until Election Day. Brown flinched at first, saying ‘negativity is in the eye of the beholder,’ but came around when the crowd began to articulate its disapproval.” More: “Whitman said she would continue to air ads that show where Brown stands on the issues. ‘I will take down any ads that can be construed as a negative attack. But I don't think we can take down the ads that talk about where Gov. Brown is on the issues,’ Whitman said.” http://lat.ms/b2t5BW

    *** 75 House races to watch: PA-17: The Democratic nominee is Rep. Tim Holden, who was first elected in 1992. The GOP nominee is state Sen. Dave Argall. In 2008, McCain won 51% in this district, while Bush won 58% in 2004. As of Oct. 13, Murphy had about $163,000 cash on hand, versus Argall’s $55,000. Holden voted for the stimulus, but against both cap-and-trade and health care. Cook rates the race as Likely Democratic; Rothenberg rates it Democrat Favored.

    Countdown to Election Day 2010: 6 days


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    THE MIDTERMS: House playing field expands

    USA Today: “The battle for control of the Senate focused on a handful of tossup races Tuesday, even as the fight for the House expanded into more Democratic districts.” http://usat.ly/cqSw3P

    Hotline adds, “The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee is making a last ditch effort to survive a GOP wave by blanketing the airwaves in more than 60 districts in the final week of the campaign. According to FEC filings late Tuesday, the DCCC purchased $21.6 million worth of air time in 66 districts. The ad buys represent the breadth of the GOP 's momentum. Among those 66 districts, many were once considered safe Democratic seats, including those held by Reps. Gerry Connolly (D-Va.), Gary Peters (D-Mich.), Bruce Braley (D-Iowa) and Raul Grijalva (D-Ariz.). Only three of the seats in which Democrats are advertising are held by Republicans.” http://bit.ly/9oht8u

    Based on its latest round of district polls, The Hill has this headline: "Midterm blowout: 50 or more Dem seats set to fall in the election." From its story: "Of the 42 districts polled for The Hill, all but two of which are currently Democratic, 31 had Republicans in the lead. Democrats were up in just seven, and four were tied. In addition, there are some 15 Democratic districts that are so far into the GOP win column that they weren’t polled. That would suggest at least 46 GOP pickups, plus whatever the party gets out of another 40 or 50 seats that some experts believe are in play." http://bit.ly/aHkEA4

    And it finds: "Longtime Democratic incumbents are a seriously endangered species. ... Budget Committee Chairman John Spratt (D-S.C.) is down 10 percentage points, while Reps. Allen Boyd (D-Fla.) and Chet Edwards (D-Texas) are each losing by 12. Rep. Paul Kanjorski (D-Pa.), who is serving his 13th term, is trailing by five." http://bit.ly/c6eJjf

    Despite the GOP’s outside-group advantage, the New York Times reminds us that Democratic candidates have the spending edge over their GOP counterparts. “Even with a recent surge in fund-raising for Republican candidates, Democratic candidates have outraised their opponents over all by more than 30 percent in the 109 House races The New York Times has identified as in play. And Democratic candidates have significantly outspent their Republican counterparts over the last few months in those contests, $119 million to $79 million.” http://nyti.ms/c00Eh7

    ALASKA: "Alaska GOP Senate hopeful Joe Miller was suspended for three days and referred to an employee assistance program after admitting to improperly using three government computers, then cleaning the caches to cover up the activities, according to personnel records released Tuesday under court order. The personnel records were obtained by The Associated Press, the Alaska Dispatch, the Fairbanks Daily News-Miner and the Anchorage Daily News, under open records requests and a subsequent lawsuit. Miller had until Tuesday afternoon to appeal the release, but chose not to." http://bit.ly/b2b87L

    "The Alaska Division of Elections has come under fire for providing a list of certified write-in candidates to voters at polling places, an unprecedented move that critics suggest was done to aid Republican Sen. Lisa Murkowski, who is running as a write-in," Roll Call reports. "The state Republican and Democratic parties have joined to sue the Division of Elections to force the agency to stop providing the list, the Anchorage Daily News reported Tuesday." http://bit.ly/a3VRKq

    CONNECTICUT: The AP looks at state Attorney General Richard Blumenthal's wealth. His wife's family is part owner of the Empire State Building. Their fortune is estimated to be between $55.3 million and $107 million. (Blumenthal's opponent, Linda McMahon has already spent more than $40 million of her own money on the Senate bid and has vowed to give $50 million. http://bit.ly/8Z0d29

    KENTUCKY: Is that an apology? Rand Paul supporter Tim Profitt, who stomped on the neck and head of a MoveOn.org supporter said of his actions: “I’m sorry that it came to that, and I apologize if it appeared overly forceful, but I was concerned about Rand’s safety,” Profitt told the AP. And, per Roll Call: "He said the video made the confrontation appear worse than it was." The man has been banned from future Paul events. http://bit.ly/bTdeHt

    NEVADA: Angle's using decoys now? "Sharron Angle used a decoy to dupe a pack of reporters who were waiting for the Senate candidate outside a campaign event in Nevada on Monday," The New York Daily News writes. "As Angle wrapped up a closed-to-the-press appearance at the Microsoft Licensing office in Reno, a campaign staffer in a car near a group of assembled reporters was overheard saying loudly into a phone, 'She’s ready? She’s coming out now?' the Las Vegas Sun reported. Two women then got into the car while Angle apparently slipped away through another exit, avoiding the reporters, The Sun reported." http://bit.ly/d1L6Ev

    WEST VIRGINIA: The Boston Globe sums it up: "Governor Joe Manchin is running what seems to be a classic Republican campaign for the US Senate in West Virginia." http://bit.ly/99dF8A

    YESTERDAY’S DEBATES: Last rumble in Florida

    “The portable fan that Gov. Charlie Crist insists on at every public appearance could be seen and even heard during Tuesday's televised debate, but it didn't keep the independent U.S. Senate candidate out of the hot seat,” the Miami Herald writes. “In Crist's last chance to chip away at front-runner Marco Rubio, with only one week left before the election, the governor frequently found himself playing defense in response to tough questions from moderator David Gregory of NBC`s Meet the Press.”

    “In three separate lines of questioning, Gregory pressed Crist to explain his defection from the Republican Party, unwillingness to say which party he would caucus with in Congress if elected and his changed positions on issues like adoption by same-sex couples, which he now favors. Holding up a copy of the Republican platform, Gregory asked, `’Were you unaware that was an entrenched part of the Republican Party, or did somehow you change for political expediency?’” http://bit.ly/bXr5cj

    GOP WATCH: Enter the lobbyists

    The New York Times writes how Washington lobbyists are raising money for Dave Camp, Republican congressman who would assume the powerful Ways and Means Committee if Republicans take back the House. “Across Washington, lobbyists have been working behind the scenes now for months to prepare for this possible power shift. Former aides to Mr. Camp, who now work as lobbyists, are checking in with their onetime boss, chatting with him and his aides about staff appointments he might make when he takes over the Ways and Means Committee, and what tax or health care issues will be at the top of his agenda. Other lobbyists have gone to his staff to try to get to the head of the line in presenting proposed tax changes that will benefit their clients.” http://nyti.ms/bOqkXW

    White House Communications Director Dan Pfeiffer blogs, “This should come as no surprise given the track record of Congressional Republicans over the past two years. Rather than listen to the American people, Congressional Republicans have repeatedly shown their loyalty to these special interests by retreating behind closed doors to strategize with their lobbyists on the most critical issues for the American people.” http://bit.ly/aVEUjZ

    The Washington Post runs a front-page profile of the man who might be the next House speaker. John Boehner’s “rise is partly the result of a tireless fundraising operation that has poured money into fellow Republicans' campaigns, and partly a reward for his willingness to fashion himself into the uncompromising leader of the opposition to President Obama... Yet he insists he will be a very different kind of politician if the GOP wins Congress and he is elected speaker. He'll help bring the animosity between the two sides under control, he says, by allowing Democrats greater freedom to have their say on the floor of the House and letting them bring their proposals to a vote.” http://wapo.st/cdiQrq

    Who needs 2010? "Leading GOP candidates for president are getting an early start on 2012 in the last days of the 2010 campaign season," The Hill writes. "Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney (R), for instance, plans campaign stops this week on behalf of Republican candidates in Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina, which just happen to host the first three contests for nominating a Republican presidential candidate. But the perceived GOP front-runner for 2012 is hardly alone. Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty (R), former Sen. Rick Santorum (R-Pa.) and Mississippi Gov. Haley Barbour, the chairman of the Republican Governors Association, will all make stops this week in Iowa, which hosts the first-in-the-nation caucuses in January 2012." http://bit.ly/dzILez

    Today, Barbour, Virginia Gov. Bob McDonnell, and Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal are in Iowa, Wisconsin and Illinois.

    Source watch: Former Rep. Susan Molinari has left Bracewell Giuliani to start her own lobbying firm. http://bit.ly/aNyVd2

    CONGRESS: Rangel likely to represent himself

    When does this ever turn out well? "Rep. Charles Rangel (D-N.Y.) will likely represent himself at his mid-November ethics trial, setting up a potential spectacle less than two weeks after what’s expected to be a disappointing -- if not devastating -- election for Democrats," The Hill says. http://bit.ly/bSVSWf

    OBAMA AGENDA: Gaspard out?

    "The skids are greased for the top New Yorker in the White House to be out of a job because of the expected GOP tsunami, the Daily News has learned. Political director Patrick Gaspard has told friends he expects to be the fall guy if Republicans romp in the Nov. 2 election, sources confirmed." http://bit.ly/avIgg1

    "Vice President Biden headlined a pair of New York cash bashes on Tuesday, gobbling up donors' dollars for Long Island Rep. Tim Bishop and Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand," The New York Daily News reports. http://bit.ly/9omCab

  • Whitman, Brown duel over negative ads

    From NBC's Adam Verdugo
    LONG BEACH, Calif. -- For the first time during this election cycle, the current governor of California, Arnold Schwarzenegger, shared the same stage with the two candidates vying be his successor -- Republican Meg Whitman and Democrat Jerry Brown.

    The discussion was emblematic of the nasty campaign in the Golden State, where both candidates have flooded the airwaves with tough ads and personal attacks. NBC’s Matt Lauer emceed the event, which was part of a women's conference hosted by California's First Lady Maria Shriver.

    Lauer asked both candidates if they would suspend their negative ads in the final six days of the race.

    “Sometimes negativity is in the eye of the beholder,” Brown responded, adding that if his rival was willing to agree to the terms, he would as well.

    But Whitman was not so quick to commit. “I will take down any ads that can even be remotely construed as a personal attack,” she said. But she refused to take down commercials depicting “where Governor Brown stands on the issues.”

    “It’s okay to have a discussion around the issues,” she said, but “the things that I’ve been called in this campaign – it’s not fair to the voters of California.”

    (Earlier this month, a Brown aide was recorded using a sexual slur to describe Whitman in a voice mail message leaked to the press.)

    “Should I leave it in the hands of Governor Schwarzenegger?” Lauer offered, suggesting that the outgoing governor should serve as a referee. But Schwarzenegger, a Republican who has declined to endorse in the race, demurred.

    A recent Suffolk University poll showed Brown leading Whitman 50 percent to 42 percent.

    Before the gubernatorial candidates took the stage, Lauer spoke with Schwarzenegger alone. He said that, beside the decision to marry Maria Shriver, his decision to run for governor was the best decision he ever made.

    What was the Governor’s advice to his successor?: “It can’t always go your way.”

    He said politics have been too polarizing as of late and that it was much more attractive for candidates to talk about their vision for the future.

    Lauer said that beside the fact that one candidate is a Democrat and one candidate is a Republican, little has been said about another obvious difference: their gender. Was there any benefit of having a different gender’s perspective on how to govern California, Lauer asked in front of a mostly female audience.

    “Most of my cabinet secretaries are women. My chief-of-staff is a woman,” Schwarzenegger noted. His chief-of-staff, Susan Kennedy, has always been a “go-to” on his staff, he added.

    “I would not know how to do this job without her,” he said.

    Lauer, noting that the governor didn’t really answer his question, asked a follow-up. But Schwarzenegger again demurred, prompting television cameras to zero in on his wife, who shook her head with a smile.

    What does the governor think about his own term in office? Does he think that he left California in a better place than when he found it?

    Schwarzenegger pointed to the state's recent redistricting reforms, new open primary system, and pension reform.

    A recent Reuters/Ipsos poll showed the governor's approval rating languishing at just 31 percent.

    But Schwarzenegger takes the long view.

    “You don’t just think about your administration," he replied. "You think about the long term.”

    Msnbc.com's Carrie Dann contributed.

  • McCain campaigns for Raese, defends attacks on Dems


    Charles Town, WV -- Sen. John McCain (R-AZ) showed up here ready to shake hands, sign autographs, and encourage the people along W. Washington Street to meet and vote for GOP Senate nominee John Raese (R), whom he described as a “fiscal conservative” and an “old friend.”

    (One description of Raese that didn’t come up today was “crazy.” When asked about opponent Joe Manchin’s newest ad that describes many of Raese’s more controversial ideas as “crazy,” Raese chose not to respond.)

    As McCain and Raese walked down the street together, greeting veterans and flanked by cameras, the Arizona senator told a local candidate, “When I heard John say he was more conservative than the Tea Partiers, that’s my man.”

    Later at a street corner press conference McCain did not back down from the harsh tone he has taken while campaigning against Sens. Barbara Boxer (D-CA) and Patty Murray (D-WA.) His response: “These are harsh times.” In reference to his comments specifically about Murray, McCain said, “I have been on the floor for 20 years saying that earmarking is a corrupt practice ... so why should I be reluctant to say it when one of the most ardent practitioners of it ... will continue on that path?”

    He was less harsh towards Raese’s opponent and joked, “I did notice that Gov. Manchin is running away from President Obama as fast as he can... If I can make a suggestion, I would suggest that the governor become a Republican and run against [Dem Sen. Jay] Rockefeller next time.”

  • Obama to Sharpton: 2010 election as important as 2008


    As part of an ongoing effort to energize his Democratic base ahead of the mid-term election on Nov. 2, President Obama spoke with the Rev. Al Sharpton on his radio show Tuesday afternoon, calling on his supporters to show up at the polls so that he can continue to carry out his agenda.

    The roughly 10-minute conversation followed a similar discussion the president had with Eddie "Piolin" Sotero, host of Univision's popular, syndicated, Spanish-language radio show "Piolin por la Manana", which aired Monday.

    "Anybody who is concerned about the direction of the country has to understand that this election is as important as 2008," Obama told Sharpton.

    There are as many as 100 competitive races for seats in the House of Representatives this year and the vast majority of them are held by Democrats. Many analysts expect Republicans to gain dozens of seats in the House, enough to gain control of the chamber. Obama performed strongly among minority voters in the presidential election and with one week to go, he is stepping up efforts to get out the vote in the black and Hispanic communities.

    The president himself voted today, White House Press Secretary Robert Gibbs told reporters during the press briefing, casting his absentee ballot for Democratic candidate for the Senate, Alexi Giannoulias, and for governor, Pat Quinn.

    In the radio interview, the president stressed the middle class tax cuts included in the stimulus package, billions of dollars in neighborhood stabilization funds that he said were helping people in struggling communities get back to work, programs to help people avoid foreclosure and help for small businesses as steps his administration has taken to help ordinary people.

    "All these provisions that we've put in place over the last two years are making big difference in the community, but that doesn't excuse the fact that we've still got a long way to go," he said in response to a question from Sharpton about his message to voters discouraged by the state of the economy. "Digging ourselves out of this hole is gonna take some time and understandably people feel frustrated and impatient; I feel impatient about it. But the question is are we gonna make sure that we continue on the progress that we're on or that we go back to the policies that got us into this mess in the first place."

    The president said the Republican Party was focused on things like tax cuts for the rich and cuts to education funding rather than helping middle class Americans and young people.

    "If we don't have strong leaders in Congress who are supportive of this agenda, who are supportive of moving the country forward," the president said. "If instead we've got folks who want to move backwards to the same failed policies that got us into this mess in the first place, then it's going to be very difficult for me to keep making progress and do what folks want to see me do over the next two years."

    Obama also encouraged people who live in areas where they can vote early to go out and do it, directing people to the website www.raiseyourvote.com for information on how to do so. (His wife also touted the site in this video.)

  • Palin makes more endorsements


    Former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin (R) has endorsed eight more GOP candidates on her Facebook page in the past week, including four today. On Oct. 21, Palin put her social-networking support behind Idaho Gov. Butch Otter (who's running for re-election), Sean Bielat (who's challenging Rep. Barney Frank in Massachusetts), Stephen Fincher (running for an open congressional seat in Tennessee), and Randy Hultgren (who's challenging Rep. Bill Foster in Illinois).

    And today, she backed Dick Muri (challenging Rep. Adam Smith in Washington state), Rob Steele (taking on Rep. John Dingell in Michigan), Ilario Pantano (facing off against Rep. Mike McIntyre in North Carolina), and Chuck Wilkerson (who's challenging Rep. Henry Waxman in California).

    Strikingly, fewer than half of these contests are competitive -- Fincher's race in Tennessee, McIntyre vs. Pantano in North Carolina, Foster vs. Hultgren in Illinois.

  • Michelle Obama reflects on reluctance to get into politics


    LONG BEACH, Calif. -- Michelle Obama returned to The Women’s Conference today to address a group of 14,000 attendees, most of whom were women. She noted the last time she was at the conference was a few years ago in which she appeared in a panel with four other wives of presidential candidates. It was one of the highlights of being on the campaign, she said, because it was a “chance to step back and breathe.”

    “It had taken a little convincing to persuade me that this whole running-for-president thing was a good idea,” she said. “And by ‘a little’ convincing, I actually mean it was a lot. We had two young daughters at home.”

    She said that even once she was on board she was reluctant to go out on the campaign trail. “I didn’t like the idea of leaving my girls for days on end. I didn’t have a whole lot of experience on the stump. And to tell you the truth, I was scared. I was worried that I’d say the wrong thing. I was nervous that someone might ask a question that I didn’t know that answer to.”


    She was criticized by her husband’s opponents for comments she made during the 2008 campaign and became a lightning rod for the right.

    “I have a tendency to do that thing that a lot of women do," she said, "where you get 99 things right, but spend all your time beating yourself up about the one thing you messed up."

    She also took the opportunity to speak about an issue that has become a priority for her as first lady. It was an issue, she admits, she wasn’t aware of before she hit the campaign trail: military families.

    She highlighted their struggles: having to move every few years; helping kids adjust to new schools; finding jobs in new towns with no connections or how to ace an interview with an employer who’s reluctant to hire someone who might move in a few years.

    These were issues that many women face but Obama sought to portray the additional challenges added when there are other obstacles unique to military families.

    “How do you keep your fears and anxieties from your kids when, as one mother wrote me – and this is a quote: ‘A good day is when a military chaplain does not knock on my door.’”

    Or, she said, when for Christmas, “The only gift your little girl asks for is for her father to come home.”

    “I had no idea,” Obama said.

    She acknowledged Jill Biden as a strong partner with her on the issue. “With Joe Biden came Jill Biden, who is a blue star mom and knows a thing or tow about military families,” she said.

    Jill Biden, who spoke moments before the first lady, talked about her own experiences being a military mom.

    “I will never forget the day when my son told me he was joining the National Guard,” Biden said. “I was worried every single day he was deployed in Iraq.”

    She noted the troops she has come across as she’s traveled to military bases. “I am particularly humbled by the female soldiers I meet,” adding that women make up 15% of the military and serve in leadership positions of every branch of service.

    Maria Shriver, who introduced the first lady, noted that it was the last time she’d be standing before the crowd as the first lady of California. It was a kind of farewell speech for her, as she thanked her staff and conference organizers who have helped put on the conference for the last seven years. At the same time, it was an introspective look at her time as first lady of California and the journey leading up to it.

    “I was wrong trying to talk Arnold out of running for governor,” she admitted. “I, myself, didn’t like growing up in a political family.” She was afraid, she said. “I thank him for not listening to me.”

    She recalled her mother telling her not to stand in the way of someone else’s dream. In many ways, her speech was a tribute to her late mother, Eunice Kennedy Shriver.

    She thanked her kids for handling their situation with “grace,” saying that her family 1 democrat 1 republican and 2 decline to states.

    She said at first, she was reluctant to accept a job that she was told was to design the governor’s Christmas ornaments. She was afraid of giving up her career at NBC News. But in the end, she says, she’s grateful for the experience. “The role of first lady,” she said, “forces you to define not just the role, but yourself as well.”

    “My past and my present have prepared me well for my future.” She said she’s learned not to be afraid. “Being outside your comfort zone doesn’t mean you can’t handle it, doesn’t mean you can’t do it,” she said. “It means you’re uncomfortable.”

    “I’ve struggled a bit this year,” she said, since her mother died. She also talked about her father’s struggle with Alzheimer’s and how painful it is for her at times.

    On the closed circuit feed in the press-filing center there were cutaways of women in the audience wiping tears from their faces.

    As for what she’ll do after her time as first lady of California is up. “I’ve never made a big decision in my life without my mother,” she said.

    “People here are dreamers,” she said. “I feel comfortable here.”

    “I’m going to let go of my need to jump into action, my need to have a perfect plan.”

  • Obama to stump for Perriello on Friday


    First Read has learned that President Obama will add a new campaign stop to his schedule: Charlottesville, VA on Oct. 29. The president will campaign for freshman Rep. Tom Perriello (D), who just unveiled a new TV ad today that attempts to draw attention to a more conservative third-party candidate in order to siphon votes away from Republican nominee Robert Hurt.

    Speaking of that ad, the Hurt campaign is releasing statements from some of the conservatives featured in the ad who are criticizing Hurt. Here is one:

    Tom Perriello's most recent negative campaign ad is another shameful attempt by the Perriello campaign to avoid talking about his record in Congress," said Mike McPadden, who ran against Hurt in the GOP primary. "It is sad that Mr. Perriello’s record as our congressman is so poor that he has to stoop to these levels in his desperate attempt to hold on to the fifth district seat. To portray Robert Hurt as anything but a staunch conservative is ridiculous and disingenuous."

    *** UPDATE *** Here is the response to Obama's visit from the Hurt campaign: "We gladly welcome President Obama to the 5th District as he campaigns on behalf of his favorite Congressman, Tom Perriello. His visit will further solidify the idea in the minds of voters that Congressman Perriello has been nothing more than a lap dog for the job killing Obama-Pelosi agenda, representing their interests, not the interests of Central and Southside Virginians. The Obama-Perriello rally will be a great time for the pair to explain to voters how their failed policies have led to over 11,000 jobs lost in the District, skyrocketing debt, a government takeover of health care, and an intrusive federal government."

  • Fiorina hospitalized

    Carly Fiorina's (R) Senate campaign in California just released this statement:

    "Carly learned more than a year and a half ago that she, like millions of women, had breast cancer. After successfully battling cancer, she had reconstructive surgery this summer and remains cancer free today. However, this morning Carly came down with an infection associated with the reconstructive surgery and, as a result, she was admitted to the hospital to receive antibiotics to treat this infection. While this will impact her campaign schedule today, Carly is upbeat and her doctors expect her to make a quick and full recovery and be back out on the campaign trail soon. Carly is looking forward to getting back to her full campaign schedule and to defeating Barbara Boxer on November 2."

    *** UPDATE *** Says Barbara Boxer campaign manager Rose Kapolczynski: "We wish Carly Fiorina a speedy recovery and hope she is able to return to her normal schedule soon."

  • Woman Up!

    AP

    Lt. Gov. Jari Askins (D-OK), left, and U.S. Rep. Mary Fallin (R-OK), at a business forum in Oklahoma City, OK, on July 28.


    Gender has been a recurring theme this election cycle. Nevada Senate candidate Sharron Angle (R) has repeatedly challenged her opponent saying, “Man up, Harry Reid.” Sarah Palin has used the phrase. In Delaware, Christine O’Donnell (R) called her primary opponent, congressman Mike Castle, “unmanly” and said he should get his “man pants on.” Even Kentucky Senate candidate Rand Paul (R) told his Democratic opponent to “Man up.” And it’s not just Republicans: In Missouri, Democratic candidate Robin Carnahan used the phrase against Roy Blunt.

    But in a female vs. female gubernatorial contest, one candidate is challenging another on motherhood.

    The motherhood card was thrown by U.S. Rep. Mary Fallin (R-OK) in a debate last week as she explained what made her more qualified to be governor than her opponent, Lt. Gov. Jari Askins (D-OK).

    “I think my experience is one of the things that sets me apart as a candidate for Governor. First of all, being a mother, having children, raising a family,” Fallin said.

    Askins expressed her readiness for the job in an interview on MSNBC. “There have been wonderful leaders both in Oklahoma and certainly around the country that have not chosen to have children,” she continued, “and my experience…I think really equips me for the governing side of the position of governor.”

    Does motherhood really qualify you to run a state? And if so, what if you biologically cannot have children? Should that disqualify you from running for political office?

    Askins has tremendous qualifications serving as lieutenant governor and as a former state legislator, judge, and attorney. Fallin is equally as qualified to be governor as she currently serves as a congressman and is the former lieutenant governor, state legislator, and having worked in the private sector.

    The key difference apparently, according to Fallin, is that she is married to her new husband and they have a combined six children. Askins, however, is a 57-year-old single female.

    This all arises during in a cycle when the number of women candidates in the House, Senate and governors’ races have broken records. A record-tying 10 female gubernatorial candidates are their parties’ nominees. This Oklahoma race and the one in New Mexico, are only the third and fourth times there has been a woman vs. woman gubernatorial election.

    No matter the outcome of this contentious “motherhood” debate, one gain for women is assured: Oklahoma will have its first female governor.

  • 'All Aboard'... Call it the 'Crazy Train' election

    We said in First Thoughts that things are certainly getting crazy one week out. Well, Joe Manchin is taking that literally. His closing ad actually calls opponent John Raese's ideas "crazy."

    This isn't the first instance of a Democrat using "crazy" to in reference Sharron Angle. Harry Reid in a Web video mockingly sells Sharron Angle "crazy juice."

    Not to mention how much the word "extreme" has been used.

  • First Thoughts: One week out

    One week to go, and it’s getting crazy out there… Laying out Democrats’ tricky path to holding on to the House… How Dems are hoping third-party candidates end up taking away votes from GOP nominees… McCain -- after helping Fiorina and Rossi -- stumps for John Raese in West Virginia at 1:30 pm ET… Profiling PA-8… Blumenthal leads in Q-poll by 12 points… And the Q-poll also has Kasich up by six and Portman ahead by 17 in Ohio.


    *** One week out: How do we know we’re one week out from Election Day? Because everyone is going crazy right now. Before last night’s final Jack Conway-vs.-Rand Paul debate, a Paul supporter stomped on a MoveOn activist. In Florida, Democratic gubernatorial nominee Alex Sink was accused of cheating at last night’s debate (her makeup artist reportedly passed her a note from the campaign during the debate). As we noted yesterday, the Democratic gubernatorial in Rhode Island told President Obama to “shove it” for remaining neutral in the race. And we learned that Mississippi Congressman Gene Taylor (D) said he didn’t vote for Obama in 2008 (so he voted for Nancy Pelosi for speaker, but not Obama in ’08?). October's campaign phrases that pay: "Shove It" and "Man Up." Can you tell it’s a week out? It’s a fitting conclusion to a nutty campaign year.

    *** How Dems keep the House: Despite the polls and predictions of big GOP gains, there is a visible path to Democrats holding on to the House. It’s a tricky path, but it’s a path we’ve seen traveled before in politics (John McCain's presidential primary in '08), sports (the Red Sox vs. the Yankees in '04), and even movies (the blackjack scene in "The Hangover") -- to win, you have to run the table. Here’s a race-by-race guide how they could do it. First, Democrats need to win the four or five GOP-held seats they’re counting on (DE-AL, FL-25, HI-1, IL-10, LA-2), which would increase the Republicans’ Magic Number from 39 to 43 or 44 (i.e., the GOP needs to pick up 43 or 44 seats to win back the House).

    *** The must-win races (or close to it): Then Democrats need to triumph in the Toss-Up contests where they’re still competing. In the 7:00 pm ET poll-closing states, the key races to watch are: GA-2 (Sanford Bishop) GA-8 (Jim Marshall), IN-2 (Joe Donnelly), IN-9 (Baron Hill), and SC-5 (John Spratt). In the 7:30 pm ET states, they’re OH-18 (Zack Space) and WV-1 (the Mollohan open). In the 8:00 pm ET states, they’re AL-2 (Bobby Bright), IL-17 (Phil Hare), MA-10 (Delahunt open), MS-4 (Gene Taylor), MO-4 (Ike Skelton), NH-2 (Hodes open), NJ-3 (John Adler), PA-8 (Patrick Murphy), and PA-10 (Chris Carney). And in the 9:00 pm ET poll-closing states, they’re CO-3 (John Salazar), MI-7 (Mark Schauer), NY-20 (Scott Murphy), NY-23 (Bill Owens), NY-24 (Michael Arcuri), SD-AL (Stephanie Herseth-Sandlin), and WI-7 (Obey open). If Democrats can win an overwhelming majority of these races, they’re on track to keeping their losses below 40. If not, Republicans will win the majority. It’s that simple.

    *** Third parties to rescue Democrats? There’s another way Democrats are hoping to win some competitive contests next week: by having third-party candidates take votes away from the GOP nominees. Check out this TV ad Rep. Tom Perriello (D) is airing in the competitive VA-5 contest, which is a blatant effort to get conservatives to vote for someone OTHER than GOP nominee Robert Hurt: “ANNCR: What do real conservatives say about Robert Hurt? ALBERMALE REPUBLICAN: Robert Hurt is a career politician, Robert Hurt in my opinion has shown no leadership. REPUBLICAN ACTIVIST: Robert Hurt would be the opposite of where I am on fiscal issues because of his 1.4 billion dollar tax increase.” If Perriello wins this contest, it’s because the third-party candidates (Jeff Clark and Bradley Rees) will end up taking votes away from Hurt. Should Democrats hold the House, they'll do it on the backs of candidates like Perriello and a dozen other winners who somehow survive, even though they've gotten less than 50% of the vote. There are a dozen or so competitive races where Democrats are hoping the anti-Washington atmosphere captures the minds of some angry voters to vote against BOTH major parties. It's a stretch to count on this, but it's better than simply lighting a candle.

    *** McCain’s heavy lifting: While the political world loves to focus on Sarah Palin and her campaign activities, it’s John McCain who’s been doing a lot of the heavy lifting for GOP candidates in competitive races these last two weeks. After pitching in for Carly Fiorina (where he accused Barbara Boxer of waving the white flag of surrender) and Dino Rossi (saying in a conference call that Patty Murray engaged in the “corrupt” practice of earmarks), McCain today stumps for John Raese in West Virginia at 1:30 pm ET. It’s a reminder who has a better pull with swing voters.

    *** 75 House races to watch: PA-8: The Democratic nominee is two-term incumbent Rep. Patrick Murphy, who was first elected in 2006. The GOP nominee is former Rep. Mike Fitzpatrick. In 2008, Obama won 54% in this district, while Kerry won 51% in 2004. As of Oct. 13, Murphy had nearly $600,000 in the bank, versus Fitzpatrick’s nearly $500,000. Murphy voted for the stimulus, cap-and-trade, and health care. Both Cook and Rothenberg rate the race as Toss Up.

    *** More midterm news: In California, Jerry Brown has a new TV ad that uses Meg Whitman’s words against her. In Connecticut, a new Quinnipiac poll has Richard Blumenthal leading Linda McMahon by 12 points among likely voters (54%-42%)… In Ohio, Quinnipiac has John Kasich leading the gubernatorial contest by six points (49%-43%) and Rob Portman ahead in the Senate race by 17 points (53%-36%)… And in Washington state, Patty Murray has a new TV ad hitting Dino Rossi.

    Countdown to Election Day 2010: 7 days

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  • Yesterday's debates: Contempt and craziness

    FLORIDA: "Rick Scott and Alex Sink displayed contempt for each other in their final TV debate Monday, giving a nationwide TV audience a glimpse of the mounting tension in the close race for Florida governor," the Miami Herald recounts. "Three times Scott criticized Sink for smiling or laughing as he criticized her. 'What are you smiling about? You don't care about seniors? Is that the deal?' Scott said, accusing Sink's former bank of ripping off customers... `You're reinventing history,' Sink said. `You've spent a lifetime reinventing the truth, Rick.'"

    Did Sink cheat at the debate? That’s what the St. Pete Times’ Adam Smith reports, “If you watched the debate, you may have noted Rick Scott accusing the Alex Sink campaign of slipping her a note against the rules. He's correct. Violating their mutual agreement against notes, Sink makeup artist came in during a commercial break and showed her a phone with a message: ‘The attorney who [w]on the Sykes suit said alex sink did nothing wrong. Tell not to let him keep talking about her.’”

    KENTUCKY: Before a Rand Paul-Jack Conway debate, Paul supporters roughed up a MoveOn.org supporter, pushing her head into the concrete sidewalk. One man is clearly seen stomping on the woman’s neck/head. Here's the video.

    More from the Herald-Leader: "At one point, violence broke out when Lauren Valle of MoveOn.org approached Paul and tried to give him an 'employee of the month award' from Republicorp. Republicorp is a fake business MoveOn created to symbolize what it says is the merger of the GOP and business interests controlling political speech. Television video shows Valle, of Washington, D.C., being pushed to the ground and at least one foot stepping down on her head."


    Here’s Paul’s statement on the incident, per NBC’s Kelly O’Donnell: "We understand that there was an altercation outside of the debate between supporters of both sides and that is incredibly unfortunate. Violence of any kind has no place in our civil discourse and we urge supporters on all sides to be civil to one another as tensions rise heading toward this very important election. We are relieved to hear that the woman in question was not injured."

    The Lexington Herald-Leader reports on the debate: “In a spirited debate on statewide and national television Monday night, Democrat Jack Conway and Republican Rand Paul accused each other of misrepresenting their views on issues ranging from civil rights to a national sales tax in their race for the U.S. Senate.”

  • The midterms: Surpassing $2 billion in campaign spending

    The Washington Post: “House and Senate candidates have already shattered fundraising records for a midterm election and are on their way to surpassing $2 billion in spending for the first time, according to new campaign finance data. To put it another way: That's the equivalent of about $4 million for every congressional seat up for grabs this year.”

    “There are always concerns about voter fraud on Election Day, but this year many new groups are popping up to keep an eye on the polls. That, in turn, has some people worried that legitimate voters will be intimidated and discouraged from voting,” NPR reports. More: “Chad Dunn, general counsel for the Texas Democratic Party, says the most aggressive poll watching in early voting has been at African-American and Latino precincts, which lean Democratic. ‘These poll watchers would follow a voter after they were checked in, hover behind them, try to look over their shoulder as they're voting,’ Dunn said. ‘Sometimes misinformation was being provided to voters in terms of how they could vote or where they could vote.’ The county attorney's office and the U.S. Justice Department are now investigating, though no charges have been filed. Still, tensions are high, and the county attorney is recommending that election officials put tape on the floor to separate poll watchers and voters.”

    Stu Rothenberg looks at how big the House wave could be, but: “The magnitude of the GOP victory could be evident relatively early in the evening. If Republicans defeat Democratic incumbents Joe Donnelly (Ind.) and/or Ben Chandler (Ky.), or if North Carolina Reps. McIntyre, Shuler and Etheridge fall, massive Democratic losses are likely. On the other hand, if Reps. Baron Hill (Ind.) and Jim Marshall (Ga.) pull off upsets, or if either Virginia Democrats Nye or Perriello win, it could well be a sign that the GOP wave hasn’t materialized as expected.”


    CALIFORNIA: "California Attorney General Jerry Brown (D) is up with a new TV ad that uses former eBay CEO Meg Whitman's (R) own words against her," the Washington Post writes. "The ad features footage of a TV interview in which Whitman says, 'You know, thirty years ago, anything was possible in this state,' followed by words on screen that ask: 'You know who was Governor 30 years ago? Jerry Brown.'"

    “The campaign to pass Proposition 19, the measure to legalize marijuana in California, will hit television sets in the Los Angeles area Tuesday with a commercial that features retired San Jose Police Chief Joseph D. McNamara endorsing the initiative,” the L.A. Times writes. “The ad is the first that the Yes on 19 campaign has put on television. Dan Newman, a spokesman, said the campaign will spend $170,000 to run it on cable channels through election day.”

    “Voters across California are divided on the issue of legalizing the recreational use of marijuana, but the division is especially true for black voters throughout the state,” NPR reports. “The California NAACP is endorsing Proposition 19. But some black religious leaders fear that passing the ballot measure would only hurt already struggling communities.”

    CONNECTICUT: A Quinnipiac poll shows Blumenthal up 54%-42%.

    DELAWARE: Who’s God rooting for? “Delaware GOP Senate candidate Christine O'Donnell suggested Monday that the power of prayer contributed to a bump for her in the polls,” The Hill reports. This was based on a robo-Rasmussen poll showing her down 11 points.

    Here's a link to that interview with O'Donnell.

    ILLINOIS: “Illinois Democratic Governor Pat Quinn stole a page from the ‘Glee’ songbook in a new political ad -- which will begin airing Tuesday -- that attacks his Republican challenger, Illinois state Senator Bill Brady,” the New York Post writes. The ad mimics the FOX high school musical show’s ‘Here’s what you missed’ recap that starts each episode. ‘Too busy watching ‘Glee’ to keep up with the Governor's race. Here’s what you missed,’ the fast-talking narrator says.”

    IOWA: Roll Call goes to IA-2 and finds Rep. Dave Loebsack in a tough race in a rematch for reelection.

    MISSISSIPPI: Democratic Rep. Gene Taylor (MS-4) says don’t blame him, he voted for McCain. “I did not vote for Obama,” Taylor said. “I voted for Sen. McCain. Better the devil you know.” Then, how does he explain voting for Pelosi for speaker?

    NEVADA: "An aide to Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid repeatedly lied to federal immigration and FBI agents and submitted false federal documents to the Department of Homeland Security to cover up her illegal seven-year marriage to a Lebanese national who was the subject of an Oklahoma City Joint Terror Task Force investigation, FoxNews.com has learned," Fox News reported last night. "Diana Tejada, Reid’s Hispanic Press Secretary, admitted to receiving payment for “some of her expenses” in exchange for fraudulently marrying Bassam Mahmoud Tarhini in 2003, strictly so he could obtain permanent U.S. residency, according to court documents."

    NEW YORK: If I could term back time… Mike Bloomberg who became mayor of New York for an unprecedented third term, now supports restoring the limit on New York mayors to two terms.

    The New York Daily News profiles George Pataki, the former moderate governor and his shift to the right. It also notes that his Tea Party-themed group Revere America has spent about $400,000 on TV ads against Rep. John Hall in NY-19. Pataki is from Poughkeepsie, which is in the district. Revere America has spent about $2 million on ads against Democrats overall, the Daily News reports.

    OHIO: A Quinnipiac poll has John Kasich (R) up 49%-43% over incumbent Ted Strickland (D) in the governor’s race among likely voters. Strickland had trailed by 10 in the Quinnipiac poll a week ago. Rob Portman (R) leads Lee Fisher (D) in the Senate race 53%-36%.

    RHODE ISLAND: White House Deputy Press Secretary Bill Burton “chalked up Caprio's comments to election-time fervor. ‘We're entering the final week of the election season, and emotions are running pretty high,’ Burton said to reporters while aboard Air Force One. He added, ‘So I don't think anybody is surprised to see people feeling particularly strongly about these races,’” the Wall Street Journal reports.

    RNC Chairman Michael Steele “confirmed that he'd met with Rhode Island gubernatorial candidate Frank Caprio at RNC headquarters in February, but said he didn't talk to Caprio about running as a Republican,” the Providence Journal reports. “Caprio is a lifelong Democrat, but he was viewed as more conservative than the other Democrat running for governor at the time, Attorney General Patrick C. Lynch (who dropped out in July).”

    President Obama wasn’t the only national political figure in Rhode Island yesterday, the Boston Globe writes. Sen. Scott Brown stumped for Rep. John Loughlin who is running against Providence Mayor David Cicilline, for whom Obama campagined, to replace Democratic Sen. Patrick Kennedy in Congress.

    TEXAS: "The Texas governor's race moved into its final full week on Monday with a new poll showing Republican incumbent Rick Perry with a 10-percentage point lead over Democratic challenger Bill White," the Fort Worth Star-Telegram writes. "The latest University of Texas/Texas Triune poll shows Perry leading White by a 50-40 percentage point margin."

    WASHINGTON: “Pumping up a heavily female crowd on Monday, first lady Michelle Obama said Washington voters must send Democratic Sen. Patty Murray back to Washington, D.C., to help carry out President Barack Obama's agenda,” the AP writes. “‘This election isn't just about all that we've accomplished these past couple of years. This election is about all that we have left to do in the months and years ahead,’ Mrs. Obama said. ‘And Washington, let me just say this: My husband can't do this alone.’”

    WEST VIRGINIA: “Arizona Senator and former Presidential Candidate John McCain will make a stop in West Virginia Tuesday to support Republican U.S. Senate Candidate John Raese,” West Virginia Metro News reports.

  • Obama agenda: Deficit reduction, education, energy

    “Preparing for political life after a bruising election, President Barack Obama will put greater emphasis on fiscal discipline, a nod to a nation sick of spending and to a Congress poised to become more Republican, conservative and determined to stop him,” the AP’s Feller reports. “He is already giving clues about how he will govern in the last two years of his term. Obama will try to make gains on deficit reduction, education and energy. He will enforce his health care and financial overhauls and try to protect them from repeal should Republicans win control of Capitol Hill. He will use executive authority when blocked by Congress, and steel for scrutiny and investigations if the GOP is in charge. While trying to save money, Obama will have to decide whether to bend to Republican and growing Democratic pressure to extend Bush-era tax cuts, even for the wealthy, that expire at year's end.”

  • Congress: Can’t live with Harry Reid, can’t live without him

    The Washington Post profiles the vulnerable Senate majority leader. “Gritty and stoic, Reid embodies Nevada's paradoxical relationship with the federal government, a can't-live-with-him, can't-live without-him dilemma that has turned his quest for a fifth Senate term into the fight of his long career. Win or lose, most of Reid's elections have been decided by whisker-thin margins and his battle against tea party star Sharron Angle figures to be another. But the dynamics of this one are different. Never before has Nevada been so tired of Reid - and yet so dependent on him.”

  • GOP watch: Less government in Indiana

    “U.S. Census Bureau data from the 2008 Annual Survey of Public Employment and Payroll revealed that Indiana had the fewest public employees per capita. Illinois was just behind, and Wisconsin was ranked third,” Real Clear’s McPike reports. “As [Indiana Gov. Mitch] Daniels ponders a bid for the presidency in 2012, the example he set with the Hoosier State's government could set a tone for contenders in the GOP primary now that limiting government has emerged as a leading campaign issue for Republicans this year.”

  • Obama courts Latino vote on radio show


    President Obama discussed immigration reform, health care, and the economy during an interview on Univision's popular "Piolin por la Manana" radio program on Monday -- part of a White House effort to drive turnout among Latino voters.

    "There is no place in the country where the Latino vote doesn't matter," the president told show host Eddie "Piolin" Sotelo.

    Immigration reform dominated the interview on the syndicated program, which was taped Friday in Glendale, CA.

    After a glowing introduction that incorporated clips from past Obama speeches, Sotelo joked that he would give the president a choice of topics to talk about it: A) immigration reform, B) immigration reform, C) immigration reform, or D) all of the above. He went on to say that many Hispanics were "disappointed" that the president had not been able to get comprehensive immigration reform legislation passed -- something he vowed to push for during the presidential campaign.

    The president said he, too, was disappointed, but that he needed more Republican support to pass a bill, a common refrain from a White House that struggled to get major legislation -- like the health-care overhaul -- through the Senate despite having a majority.

    "I have not backed off this issue," Obama said. "But -- somebody said the other day -- I'm president. I'm not king."

    He said he would continue to push for passage of a comprehensive overhaul of the rules governing immigration, adding that getting such legislation through Congress was one reason next week's election was so important.

    "If the Latino community decides to sit out this election, there will be fewer votes" for immigration reform, he said, explaining that people like Sharron Angle (R), the GOP Senate candidate in Nevada, were against reform.

    The president slammed what he termed a "cynical" ad that ran in Nevada calling on Hispanics not to vote.

    He defended increased deportations of illegal immigrants with criminal records and, in an effort to broaden the conversation, talked about how the health-care bill would help the Hispanic community and how changes the Democratic Congress has made to student loan programs were giving more Hispanic youth access to college.

    On another key issue, the Dream Act, the president said it was important to make a "strategic decision" after talking to immigrant-rights groups and the congressional Hispanic Caucus about whether it made sense to pass a small piece of legislation dealing with the issue or try to include it in a larger bill that would address other issues of concern to the Hispanic community.

    "Piolin por la Manana" airs in Spanish. The president's interview was conducted in English, and was followed by a discussion with Univision news Anchor Jorge Ramos in Spanish, meant to highlight the main takeaways for listeners.

  • McCain slams Murray on 'corrupt practice' of earmarking

    From msnbc.com's Tom Curry:

    John McCain wouldn’t be John McCain without his acerbic remarks and his hatred of earmarks.

    In a conference call with reporters Monday on behalf of Washington GOP Senate candidate Dino Rossi, McCain railed against Rossi’s opponent, three-term Sen. Patty Murray and her work getting earmarks for her state.

    When a reporter asked whether McCain thought Murray was acting corruptly, he replied, "I think it’s a corrupt practice. I know it's a corrupt practice – as I said, that’s why we have former members of Congress in prison -- and she engages in that corrupt practice. Now whether she's actually corrupt or not, I will let other people make judgment, but it certainly is a corrupt practice, earmarking and pork-barrel spending. And I’ve seen it with my very own eyes. I’ve seen staffers turned into lobbyists who then make lots and lots of money."

    The Seattle Times reported last month that five of Murray’s former aides who have become lobbyists helped to obtain Murray-sponsored earmarks in the 2011 defense appropriations bill.

    Julie Edwards, Murray campaign spokeswoman called McCain’s comments “simply despicable.”

    “This is typical of the kind of dirty, hypocritical campaign Dino Rossi has run since the very beginning,” Edwards said. “As a state senator, he asked for earmarks, received earmarks, bragged about his earmarks and included earmarks in the budget he says he wrote. And he has a long documented history of intertwining his business dealings with individuals who lobbied him in the state senate.”

  • Toomey on his 'fictitious' Tea Party 'connection'


    MEDIA, Pa. -- It's about a week before the election and, frankly, the Republican candidate for Arlen Specter's (D-PA) Senate seat seemed pretty calm this morning. As part of his "More Jobs, Less Government" tour, he started his day in West Chester, Pa., at Penn's Table restaurant shaking a few hands and then headed over to a meeting with small business leaders. He gave standard prepared remarks and then took a couple of more questions from the media before kicking the cameras and reporters out of the roundtable.

    Pat Toomey was focused on continuing to paint his Democratic opponent Rep. Joe Sestak as someone in lockstep with Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-CA). The only questions getting something that resembled a rise out of him had to do with being lumped in with other Tea Party candidates throughout the country and if the close proximity (as in the Delaware media market bleeding into the Pennsylvania media market) of Christine O'Donnell's race was making his race harder.

    Toomey said it was the media and Sestak who are encouraging the "fictitious connection" between him and O'Donnell: "I don't get this from anyone except members of the press. Frankly I don't think anybody is confused, confusing the candidates. I've been campaigning for 18 months now. I've got a very clear message for that entire time." Toomey continued, "I don't see the issue."

    When asked if he would be willing to form some kind of coalition with other new senators who were backed by Tea Party organizations he responded that he wanted to "work with everybody who wants to move this country forward and encourage job growth and restore fiscal discipline." He then rattled off three names of Democrats that he found common ground with while he was in the House of Representatives, including favorite GOP target, Rep. Barney Frank (D-MA).

    "I had a press conference with Barney Frank in which we both talked about the need for our NATO allies to shoulder more of their share of the burden of the cost of the war in Kosovo, which was underway at the time," Toomey said. "So my record is very clear. I'll work with colleagues on either side of the aisle if it's for the good of Pennsylvania."

    Oddly enough Frank was also a name he linked his opponent with earlier in the press conference when talking about Sestak's fiscal irresponsibility.

    "Joe Sestak was a guy, as late as 2007, joining with Barney Frank and the most liberal members of the House to vote against even basic common sense regulations on these institutions," said Toomey when talking about his attempts to reign in Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac when he was still a member of the House.

  • Palin takes shot at Murkowski 'family dynasty'


    Recently embattled Tea Party favorite Joe Miller, the GOP nominee for Senate in Alaska is once again falling back on his most effective weapon -- former Gov. Sarah Palin.

    In a fundraising letter sent to Miller supporters today, Palin aggressively goes after fellow Alaska Republican Lisa Murkowski, who’s mounting a write-in campaign after her August loss to Miller in the GOP primary.

    Palin, whose long had a tense relationship with the Murkowski family dating back to 2002 when then Gov. Frank Murkowski passed over Palin and appointed his daughter Lisa to the U.S. Senate, doesn’t hold much back.

    After calling Miller the “only true conservative in the race” Palin paints Murkowski as being part of the Washington “status quo” and says she’s beholden to special interests:

    “While Lisa Murkowski and her special interests have nothing to lose in this race, Alaskans and conservatives across the country have everything to lose.”

    Palin then takes a swing at the Murkowski family by saying, “Joe Miller will fight for the people of Alaska, and this great country. Public service should be an honor not a family dynasty.”

    Palin is not the only national Tea Party figure to bash Murkowski in recent days. Last week South Carolina Sen. Jim DeMint (R-SC) used his Senate Conservatives Fund to air an anti-Murkowski ad that questioned her stance on abortion and suggested that Miller was the only pro-life candidate in the race.

    A CNN/Time poll from last week showed the race between Miller and Murkowski tied, each getting 37% of the vote. Democrat Scott McAdams came in third with 23%.

  • O'Donnell talks about her faith, double standard

    In an interview with CBN's David Brody, Delaware Senate nominee Christine O'Donnell (R) talked about her Christian faith and how it has shaped her candidacy:

    God is the reason that I’m running. If I didn’t believe that there were a cause greater than myself worth fighting for, if I didn’t believe that it takes a complete dying of self to make things right in this Election cycle I would not be running and when you die to yourself you rely on a power greater than yourself so prayer is what’s gotten us all through. The day that we saw a spike in the polls was a day that some people had a prayer meeting for me that morning for this campaign so I believe that prayer plays a direct role in this campaign and I always ask please pray for the campaign; please pray for our staff; please pray specifically that the eyes of the voters be opened.

    And here she is discussing at what she sees as a double standard in how her campaign has been covered:

    There’s certainly a double standard. And I don’t often quote Gloria Steinem, but she said you can look at a double standard if they wouldn’t attack the male opponent that way and there’s no doubt that they wouldn’t say the things they’re saying about me, they wouldn’t do the things that they’re doing if I weren’t a woman. I’m not whining but there certainly is a double standard especially when it comes to conservative woman.”

  • Winning by losing?

    In the last couple of days, the New York Times' Peter Baker and National Journal's Matthew Dowd have argued that Democrats losing the House could actually help President Obama as we begin to pivot to 2012.

    Here's Baker:

    The reality of presidential politics is that it helps to have an enemy. With Democrats controlling the White House and Congress, they shoulder responsibility for the country’s troubles. No amount of venting about George W. Bush or the filibuster rule has convinced the public otherwise. But if Republicans capture Congress, Mr. Obama will finally have a foil heading toward his own re-election battle in 2012.

    Here's Dowd:

    The president needs Republicans to pick up the House or the Senate so he can either: 1) Blame Republicans for what does or does not happen in the next Congress; or 2) Reach authentically across the aisle to get things done in a bipartisan way and tell his own party that he has to do it. Either scenario would help the president’s political standing going into his reelection.

  • Voter confidence ticks up for Dems, but still indicates big losses

    Voter confidence in the president and his party has ticked up slightly in the October monthly average, but is still at lows that historically indicate big gains by the party out of power.

    NBC’s Voter Confidence Index is now -36, up from -41 two weeks ago, after the AP-GFK and Pew Research polls were factored in. The data shows the uptick is a result of a steady job approval rating for President Obama and a slight improvement in Americans’ views on the direction of the country.

    But the VCI is among the lowest of President Obama’s presidency. Last month, it was -39. Historically, it is worse than 1994 (when Democrats lost 54 seats) and 1982 (when Republicans lost 26 House seats). It is better, however, than 2006, when it was at an all-time low of -65, and Republicans lost 30 House seats.

    For more on the VCI, click here: VCI.msnbc.com.

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