Bush travels to Tipp City, OH to make remarks on the global war on terrorism at 1:00 pm ET.
NBC's Mike Viqueira says today will be the day that Pelosi and the House Democratic leadership agree to begin the House-Senate conference on the Iraq supplemental. It's a formality on the floor involving a motion and a vote. The trouble for Democrats is that Republicans can offer a motion of their own to "instruct" the conferees, and they will use the opportunity to force a vote to instruct the conference to throw out all references to timelines for withdrawal. Pelosi and Democrats have been working to make sure they don't get embarrassed on this vote, which is non-binding but still could cause them problems -- if for no other reason than for appearances. Republicans would argue, "Why should Bush cave in on the legislation if the Democrats can't even get a majority in the House?"
Viq adds that Pelosi and Democrats are in a very difficult position at this point. First, there is some question over whether a House-Senate conference can pass a bill with a firm withdrawal deadline like the House has; without it, they are down to the soft "goal" the Senate version contains. So the anti-war left, which has already had to hold its nose and vote for what it considers a distant deadline of late summer 2008, would then be forced to vote on something yet weaker.
It could then get even worse for them, Viq says. Assuming that the legislation passes both chambers and the president still vetoes it (even without the hard deadline), the Democrats will then have choose between a very high stakes game of chicken as the clock ticks on funding for military men and materiel. Democrats have already sworn that they would not endanger funding for the troops, so they would have to find a fallback position, likely having to do with performance "benchmarks" for the Iraqi government to meet -- or perhaps approving short-term funding and having Bush come back at three- or four-month intervals. The bottom line is that unless Bush blinks, Democrats would end up passing something without any kind of deadline. The left wouldn't go for it, and they would lose maybe 50 votes from their base. That means they would need GOP support.
Perhaps that's why the Democrats' meeting with Bush yesterday was relatively friendly. After days of repeated harsh rhetoric between them and Bush over the Iraq supplemental, NBC's Ken Strickland says the Democrats' tone was dramatically softer after they emerged from their meeting yesterday with Bush. "We came in the spirit of hope," said Speaker Nancy Pelosi, adding later, "We extended the hand of friendship." Even Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, who just two days ago said his only offer in negotiating the bill was for Bush to "sign it," stayed above the fray. "We believe [Bush] must search his soul, his conscience, and find out what is the right thing for the American people." Reid called the meeting "a good exchange."
That said, Reid, Sen. Ted Kennedy, and state legislators from across the country hold a press conference at 12:30 pm ET to state their opposition to Bush's war strategy.
The Washington Post reports that congressional Democrats appear to be "moving to make their proposed timetable for withdrawing U.S. troops from Iraq an 'advisory.'" More: "The compromise language would keep the deadlines included in the original House bill but make them nonbinding, as the Senate version did, and would allow President Bush to waive troop-readiness standards, lawmakers said. Bush has vowed to veto legislation with timetables in it, calling it a schedule of surrender, but Democrats hope to show that they are being flexible and the president rigid by softening the terms. The compromises may cost Democrats votes among antiwar liberals, but they hope to pick up some Republicans."
The Wall Street Journal adds, "Democrats know they will have to soften their demands for a fixed date to withdraw U.S. forces, but Mr. Bush could be forced to accept language requiring the Iraqi government to do more to meet political and military benchmarks."