First Thoughts: Budget battle resumes

Budget battle resumes… On drones and executive power: Congress vs. the public… Obama’s Spring Break -- to Israel… President today to tap female CEO to replace Salazar as head of Interior Dept… GOP focuses more on changing tone than changing policies… But one exception: Eric Cantor now supports the DREAM Act… And the “Oh, crap” moments from the 2012 campaign.

The Daily Rundown's Chuck Todd reports on President Barack Obama's budget plan.

*** Budget battle resumes: Goodbye fiscal cliff and debt ceiling; hello to the effort to delay or suspend the sequester -- the automatic defense and other spending cuts set to take effect on March 1. Roll Call: “This time, the scale may be smaller but the game is the same — in the president’s eyes, either congressional Republicans agree to more new tax revenue or they will bear responsibility for the economic damage and hundreds of thousands of lost jobs from the sequester taking effect.” In his brief remarks yesterday, President Obama tried to send two other messages besides the demand for more revenue to delay the sequester. First, the White House wants to dispel the notion that it’s comfortable with the sequester, something that many Democrats (and some Republicans) thought was NOT clear. “Deep, indiscriminate cuts to things like education and training, energy and national security will cost us jobs, and it will slow down our recovery,” Obama said. Second, Obama signaled that once the sequester is delayed, he wants Congress to work its will resolving the outstanding budget issues. “Congress is already working towards a budget that would permanently replace the sequester. At the very least, we should give them the chance to come up with this budget instead of making indiscriminate cuts now that will cost us jobs and significantly slow down our recovery.” What does this mean? The White House is prepared to see Congress work the old-fashioned way: The Senate passes a budget (with White House input), the House passes a budget (maybe all of this done before the August recess at the latest), and then the House and Senate actually negotiate a budget to send to the president for his signature. So no more Boehner-Obama talks, no more Biden-McConnell discussions.

Joshua Roberts / Reuters

President Barack Obama calls on Congress to pass a small package of spending cuts and tax reforms that would delay the larger, automatic "sequester" cuts from going into effect during an announcement in the White House briefing room, Feb. 5, 2013.

*** White House vs. House Republicans -- again: For their part, House Republicans are opposing any more revenue to delay the sequester. “We believe there is a better way to reduce the deficit, but Americans do not support sacrificing real spending cuts for more tax hikes,” Speaker John Boehner said yesterday. “The president’s sequester should be replaced with spending cuts and reforms that will start us on the path to balancing the budget in 10 years.” But Republicans are divided here. Some, particularly those in the Senate (like John McCain) don’t want the sequester to take place, given its cuts in defense spending. But many House Republicans (like Paul Ryan) are becoming more and more comfortable with the sequester taking place -- as a way to cut spending. Meanwhile, Politico reports that Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell “warned Senate Republicans in a private meeting on Tuesday that spending cuts the GOP seeks are going to require a fight. ‘Nobody said cutting spending would be easy, we need to fight,’ McConnell told Republicans on Tuesday, according to a source with knowledge of the statement.”

*** On drones and executive power: Congress vs. the public: The drone story remains in the news today, and there are two ways to look at this issue. One, the Obama White House has a political problem with Congress here, especially with John Brennan’s confirmation hearing to lead the CIA taking place tomorrow. A senator to keep an eye on here is Sen. Ron Wyden (D-OR). But two, the White House doesn’t seem to have as much of a political problem with the public. As we wrote yesterday, the public -- like it did in the Bush years -- is content to go after the bad guys, regardless of concerns about a slippery slope. And here is a reason why this drone story might not extend beyond the Brennan hearings: The political opposition has been mostly quiet. As we’ve seen with other political controversies (say Benghazi or Fast and Furious), one party heavily leaning into a story extends its life, no matter the merits. But we’re not seeing that from the GOP, at least not yet. The scrutiny so far is coming from the left and the news media, and that’s it. We’re really surprised at the lack of outrage from Congress so far. Why aren’t more members of Congress upset that a second branch of government doesn’t have any oversight over this executive branch program?  

*** Obama’s Spring Break -- to Israel: As we reported yesterday, Obama this spring will make his first visit to Israel as president, and he also will travel to the West Bank and Jordan. (Obama made a stop to Israel during his 2008 presidential campaign.) The New York Times notes the potential politics behind Obama’s visit, given the rocky relations between the president and Israeli PM Netanyahu. “While Mr. Obama won a clear victory in November, Mr. Netanyahu emerged from elections last month in a weakened state. His party won enough seats for him to retain office, but he will be forced to recruit centrist lawmakers for a coalition that might temper his policies. He has until March 16 to present his new government.” The Israeli press is reporting that Obama’s visit will take place on March 20. By the way, No way the president would agree to go to Israel unless Netanyahu wasn’t promising SOME progress on the peace talks. And given Netanyahu’s new precarious domestic political situation, it seems inevitable that there would be a jump start in the peace talks.

*** Obama to tap female CEO to replace Salazar at Interior Department: NBC News confirms this scoop from the Washington Post: “President Obama on Wednesday will nominate Recreational Equipment Inc. (REI) chief executive Sally Jewell to head the Interior Department, according to a White House official who asked not to be identified because the public announcement has not yet been made. The choice of Jewell — who began her career as an engineer for Mobil Oil Corp. and worked as a commercial banker before heading a nearly $2 billion outdoors equipment company — represents an unconventional choice for a post usually reserved for career politicians from the West.  But while she boasts less public policy experience than other candidates who had been under consideration, Jewell — who will have to be confirmed by the Senate — has earned national recognition for her management skills and support for outdoor recreation and habitat conservation.”

*** Let’s talk about tone, baby… Let’s talk about you and me: After their defeats last November, do Republicans modify their policies? Or their tone? NBC’s Mike O’Brien writes that most Republicans -- so far -- have opted for Door No. 2, deciding “that a more articulate re-statement of the party's long-held principles will suffice in their effort to attract new voters to the GOP.” And that’s probably to best way to view House Majority Leader Eric Cantor’s speech yesterday to the conservative American Enterprise Institute. With one exception (more on that below), Cantor’s address was mostly a repackaging of policies he and other Republicans have previously backed, albeit with a much softer and more inviting tone. Yet here is the challenge for Republicans as they focus more on tone than policies: Majorities of Americans rejected some of the party’s central principles, according to the exit polls from the November presidential election. For instance, 60% said income tax rates should either go up on all Americans or those with incomes above $250,000; 59% said abortion should be legal in all or most cases; and 65% favored giving illegal immigrants a path to legal status. It’s rare to find politicians in Washington who believe their political beliefs cost them an election or a policy defeat; they almost ALWAYS blame communications.

*** To DREAM the impossible DREAM: The one clear policy shift that Cantor signaled in his speech, however, was on the topic of immigration. He appeared to back the primary thrust of the DREAM Act, despite voting against that legislation in 2010. “One of the great founding principles of our country was that children would not be punished for the mistakes of their parents,” Cantor said, per NBC’s Luke Russert. “It is time to provide an opportunity for legal residence and citizenship for those who were brought to this country as children and who know no other home.” That shift by Cantor tells you that the politics of immigration have changed. Another example: At the House hearing yesterday on immigration reform, House Republicans said they favored a path to legal residency -- but not citizenship -- for illegal immigrants, the New York Times notes. That’s a significant policy difference, which will be debated in the weeks ahead. But it’s also a sign that this is 2005-2007, when even a discussion of legal residency produced cries of “amnesty.” By the way, Republican Govs. Susana Martinez of New Mexico and Brian Sandoval of Nevada hold a conference call at 10:00 am ET to announce the formation of the Future Majority Caucus -- an effort by the Republican State Leadership Committee to recruit and elect more female and minority Republican candidates to statewide office.

*** The “Oh, crap” moments of 2012: Yesterday, at the University of Chicago, one of us moderated a panel with top officials from the Obama and Romney campaigns. We asked them what their “Oh, crap” -- cleaned up here for language -- moments of the campaign were. Eric Fehrnstrom of the Romney campaign answered Gingrich winning South Carolina; Beth Myers of the Romney camp said it was Romney’s three-state loss to Santorum (on Colorado, Minnesota, and Missouri); Romney strategist Stuart Stevens said it was the close primary race in Michigan; Obama campaign manager Jim Messina said it was their worry that Romney might wrap up the nomination after the New Hampshire primary. And speaking of “Oh, crap” moments, NBC’s Luke Russert explored what happened to that empty chair Clint Eastwood spoke to at the GOP convention in Tampa. As it turns out, the chair now sits in RNC Chair Reince Preibus’ office. 

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Discuss this post

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Winger

One word

Loser

    Reply#54 - Wed Feb 6, 2013 11:36 PM EST

    Here’s the REAL
    SCANDAL

    How did
    GOP/Conservatives hijack the minds of Americans?

    Why do their
    policies cause so much damage and what do they hope to gain?

    Who benefits from electing these in opposition of their Government duties?

    Could this be a
    criminal enterprise and worthy of the RICO Act?

    Average
    Americans are confused on what is in our best interest and stability?

    Why Bush/Cheney
    was not charged for lying and war crimes?

    Did those wars
    and tax cuts really caused the nation’s debt?

    WTFHAPPENED

      Reply#55 - Thu Feb 7, 2013 7:56 AM EST

      Because they have simple minded middle Americans votes as long as they claim to be pro life.

        #55.1 - Thu Feb 7, 2013 8:50 AM EST

        Pro life is that the opposite of Pro Killer?

        • 1 vote
        #55.2 - Thu Feb 7, 2013 1:03 PM EST
        Reply

        The GOP systematically
        crimpled America with Hate of civil rights, greed and self-imposed authority.
        Since the time of Reagan they created a war on the poor, discriminated against ethnic
        groups, started illegal wars, gave tax cuts to suck up the surplus, stacked the
        deck to fill state legislative branches to push their agenda, divided the
        nation with stupid notions, and promised to vote NO for anything to help the
        nation for the past 5 years. Now we see what happens when GOP runs the purse
        under the table issuing resolutions to pay for wars, used tax cuts to give
        money to the wealthy but ran up debt and other unfunded policies that has shown
        up in the debt. Passed laws that allowed Wall Street to rum amock.Then had the
        audacity to blame Obama with TARP started by Bush, refused to raise ceiling
        causing credit downgrade and haven’t done their jobs for 5 years and want Obama
        to absorbed their malfeasance into a budget to blame Obama - no wonder he won’t
        give a budget now. It’s the GOP baby and they must take the blame (for not
        helping). The only spending other debts they gave us is unemployment simply because
        their policies outsourced the jobs to lower wages for corporate profits. The
        wars did not profit oil companies, the out sourced wars drained the defense
        budget through contractors and now the nation must down grade the military and
        the only solution from GOP is blame Obama. Their plots just keep blowing up in
        their faces but they continue to blame Obama. No wonder nobody believes or
        trust this stupid logic. Americans do and will remember all their plots and
        strategies. No Need for GOP Make-Over.

        WTFHAPPENED

        • 2 votes
        Reply#56 - Thu Feb 7, 2013 8:18 AM EST

        No budget since guess who took office, there's a reason for that,,,,,,

        • 1 vote
        Reply#57 - Thu Feb 7, 2013 8:31 AM EST

        Without a budget the Congress has to use a continuing resolution to fund the government. That means that they can only spend at the level of the last budget, no more.

        • 1 vote
        #57.1 - Thu Feb 7, 2013 8:38 AM EST

        What do you mean "no more"? If the budget was 2.4T and we had a deficit of 1.2-1.4T each of the past 4 years, then we spent more than the budget allows.

        This is why we need to freeze the debt ceiling. We can get by on 2.4T a year. And we need to get by on about 2T if we have any hope of paying down our debt.

          #57.2 - Thu Feb 7, 2013 2:19 PM EST

          djo_34

          J. Willard doesn't understand that math, special schools with armed guards for DEMOCRATES elites don't teach math that makes budgets balance.

          All that stimulus was to bring down unemployment, still over 7 %. "I guess shovel ready wasn't so shovel ready after all", said Barry.

          Doesn't really matter though it is all Bushs fault that Barry is a failure.

            #57.3 - Fri Feb 8, 2013 12:46 PM EST
            Reply

            Dems & Obama still full steam ahead on new taxes, Repubs ok with big sequester cuts. Combine new taxes with big budget cuts and the anemic 1.4% growth rate we have right will look pretty good next year.

              Reply#58 - Thu Feb 7, 2013 11:58 AM EST

              I am all for letting the sequester happen. Probably the ONLY way we will ever see any real cuts in spending made.

              What I don't understand is politicians from both sides complaining about the very thing both sides agreed to. If it wasn't a good policy, why did the WH ask for it, why did the Senate and House both agree to it? Now everyone got what they wanted (the sequester) and both sides are crying?

              • 2 votes
              Reply#59 - Thu Feb 7, 2013 1:46 PM EST

              The WH, Obama and Jack Lew, concocted sequestration because it provides for many things that they ultimately want if their attempt at blackmail fails. It was a fail-safe that they never thought would come to fruition. On Jan 1, the blackmail worked and taxes were raised with no spending cuts. Then the debt ceiling was pushed until May.

              The problem is, it is a win-win politically for Obama. And that is all Obama cares about.

              Military spending isn't the same as cutting welfare or medicare. Military spending generates jobs and revenue in the private sector. It creates technology and products which trickly down to the private sector which helps businesses and consumers. It is the worst possible portion of the budget to cut.

              So Republicans have to decide if they want to let sequestration take effect and try convincing the public that it is Obama who is to blame when we go into a deep recession or do they cave in again and give Obama everything he wanted without getting anything in return.

              Republicans got played. But in the end, the American people are getting killed either way. We can choose to be slowly reduced to ashes via Obama or just let sequestration take effect and hold the line on the debt ceiling. Let the government grind to a halt and force Obama to cut the non-essentials.

              I'm with you Mike... I'll take sequestration and raise you a frozen debt ceiling. Someone has to stop this maniac from crippling the country for good.

              • 2 votes
              #59.1 - Thu Feb 7, 2013 2:46 PM EST
              Reply

              Here we go again stupid Marxist socialist democraps spouting out the liberal Lie's. This Presidents word is no good he agreed to a temporary revenue increase and promised to cut the deficit. Now he is backing down from his word through you liberal lemmings. He has no honor just lies and you stupid people will follow him to your demise. I choose not to commit suicide by a dumb ass president. I will give you credit tho the film was funny.

              • 1 vote
              Reply#60 - Thu Feb 7, 2013 3:39 PM EST

              On April 27, 1995, Sen. Dianne Feinstein (D-CA) spoke at the US Senate hearing on terrorism shortly after the Oklahoma City bombing.

              During the hearing, she referenced her concealed carry permit and how she carried a gun with her in the 1970's, citing the urge to arm yourself for protection- in her case from threats.

              She states:

              "I know the sense of helplessness that people feel. I know the urge to arm yourself because that's what I did. I was trained in firearms. I walked to the hospital when my husband was sick. I carried a concealed weapon and I made the determination if somebody was going to try and take me out, I was going to take them with me."

                Reply#61 - Fri Feb 8, 2013 10:40 AM EST

                Forget about the budget for now, it's time to get IMPEACHMENT PRECEEDINGS ready for Obama, he is guilty of being out of action while the Benghazi incident was going on in real time, Obama knew all the while that they were in imminent danger, and did nothing ,, WHY ? the re-election, that's why,,, They all knew (Clinton, Panetta, Rice, OBAMA, and others in the white house who were in the loop) putting politics in front of saving American lives is what Obama choose to do, no communication what so ever, between Panetta & Obama while those Americans were able to be saved, but OBAMA choose to remain out of the loop to protect his re-election is criminal and should be treated that way,,,, father of this country, that's a fu*king bad joke,,,,,,

                  Reply#62 - Fri Feb 8, 2013 10:46 AM EST

                  Every Republican repeats the phrase, "it's a spending problem" even to the point far too many believe them. Even the so-called Democrats when confronted with those few words fail miserably with a response. Look at the UK on its way to a triple recession for their austerity measures. Please Democrats talk about the inequality of our tax system that favor those at the top from every other American. Talk about how loopholes that favor those at the top and stop buying into "its a spending problem".

                    Reply#63 - Sun Feb 10, 2013 2:50 PM EST
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