In a surprising twist of political fortunes casting a deep impact on the South Carolina political landscape, Sen. Jim DeMint (R-SC) announced today that he would resign his U.S. Senate seat to take over the helm of the Heritage Foundation, a conservative think tank.
Not surprisingly, DeMint's announcement has set off a flurry of speculation over whom Republican Gov. Nikki Haley would choose to replace the Tea Party-backed DeMint.
The Palmetto State will now hold three marquee statewide contests in 2014 -- two Senate seats and the governorship -- creating potential opportunities for several South Carolina Republicans.
"It puts us right in the middle of the political epicenter," said former South Carolina GOP Chairman Katon Dawson. "It will showcase how diverse of a field we have and which we don't get enough credit for," he said.
The big question remains whether Haley will opt to name a "place holder" (in the light of Paul Kirk in Massachusetts or Ted Kauffman of Delaware) who publicly announces intentions not to seek the special election in 2014, and run herself for the open-seat instead of re-election for governor. Or does she choose a successor to DeMint who will have the resources and credibility to defend the seat in a special election in two years?
"Whether it's a guardian or a replacement who defends the seat in two years, we have a deep bench of conservative candidates in South Carolina," said Dawson. "Gov. Haley will avoid the noise, make the right choice and it will be a strong decision," he said.
If Haley chooses the second option, three potential placeholders are Deputy Chief of Staff Ted Pitts (a former SC legislator), Nathan Ballentine (a current member of the South Carolina assembly with strong ties to Haley), and former Attorney General Henry McMaster (who competed against Haley for governor in 2010).
Republicans familiar with Haley's thinking don't believe that shadow ideology of either DeMint or Sen. Lindsey Graham will play a role in her selection.
"She's going to pick someone who lines up with her own philosophy rather than a clone of DeMint or Graham," the GOP source said.
There has been speculation in recent weeks that Lindsey Graham -- who is known to seek compromise and broker deals in the Senate and who recently said he could violate the Grover Norquist pledge -- would face a primary opponent. DeMint's announcement possibly changes the political landscape much to Graham's benefit.
"I don't think there is a happier person in South Carolina right now, than Lindsey Graham," said Joel Sawyer a South Carolina Republican operative. "I don't think anyone saw this coming," he said.
If he is forced to face a primary, a field of modest candidates taking aim at Graham will be better for the two-term incumbent versus a strong credible challenger jockeying to face him one on one. The conventional wisdom suggests than a serious well-resourced candidate will likely choose to seek the open seat than battle Graham in costly primary.
U.S. Reps. Tim Scott and Mick Mulvaney have also been mentioned as possible contenders for an open Senate seat or as a candidate for governor should Haley run for the Senate seat.
"He is definitely interested in running for the Senate," said a Mulvaney ally who requested anonymity to speak more candidly. "He has expressed interest about seeking the seat if Sen. DeMint were to retire and now we will wait to see who the governor appoints and assess the race after she's made a decision," they said.
"Mulvaney is a rock star in South Carolina," Dawson said. "He took on a budget chairman who was in office for 28 years [Democrat John Spratt], and no one thought he could win."


Big Bird?
Oh *SNAP* thanks to President Obama being re-elected he still has his day J-O-B!
Maybe Willard will loan Haley his binders full of women for her to comb through...
It's going to be a difficult job replacing an obstructionist as experienced as little Jimmy!
Joe ‘You Lie’ Wilson could replace DeMint, or Nikki Haley could pick herself.
The seat will be up for reelection again in 2014 so it should be someone that can win reelection. Recent picks haven't worked out very well.
Feisty - I'm not sure Big Bird could fill DeMints seat. We shouldn't confuse puckered up with ... er, um.. what is that DeMint scandal again?
Nikki will choose whoever looks best in a three cornered hat and votes no. As for any future senate seat wish for herself, she would likely take on Lindsey in a primary.
Nikki is as good at selection as Madeline Kahn is in History of the World Part 1 .. "no, no, no, no, no, yes, no, no YUHEEEESSSSSSSSSS!! Ole. Nikki knows how to go down on an up elevator. She is a Republican after all.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z6eTTaY1a6M
Mark "Appalachian Trail" Sanford and his South American girlfriend.
Lookie. The Red Communist slunt is still spewing her vomit. Hey Feisty, get a job you mooching, lazy slug.
Anger
Management
Classes
I once met a Red Commie, he was just like a Republican, RED to the core. Why do those hard right wingers adopt the color of Red for their party? They must be commies, and slunts to boot.
Stephen Colbert. Easy choice. Very re-electable. National recognition. Loves SC. Already has $900k in superPAC funds.
DeMint a super-conservative loser put his tail between his legs and opted to go to Heritage for $$$$$. It's all about the money. As for his tea party friends he'd dump them in an instant. He also realizes that President Obama has not only won re-election but is about to gather in some Republican votes to raise tax rates. DeMint can then claim, in true Nathan Therm tradition, " it wasn't me. I wasn't there. Maybe it was you but it wasn't me".
A little known fact about the last election is that 30% of white people did not vote. This is much higher than prior elections and probably accounts for strong Obama showing more so than minority voting (for example, 98% of blacks voted for Obama last election versus 94% this election). I suspect it reflects disenchantment of the far right with the Republican party. Factors that may have played into this include Romney being a Mormon and his back-tracking on abortion. Many Democrats may cheer this but, historically, disenfranchisement is the start of political instability for a country.
So you are saying that 30% of the white vote stuck their heads up their butts in the last election. Why would they do that, and where are any facts to support this very secret hidden fact? What more likely happened is, like Republican friends of mine, they decided not to vote for a presidential candidate, given their Republican candidate was no where near their views on what the party represented. He wouldn't vote Obama based upon party, be he also wouldn't vote Romney, based upon outmoded ideology.
So then, you agree with Richard but it's hard to admit a win for failure. There is no secret, it was not a democrat win, it was a republican loss... "time shall tell"
Get Used Too IT...
Representative Tim Scott, Would be in my humble opinion the logical and best choice to be Sen. DeMint's successor. I've met him, and he seems to be A fine person and A man of impeccable moral character and resolve. Some one I could count as a friend if I knew him better. also he has a great smile...
Very good definition, great new word. however low info. voters won't be able to spell it correctly & they will probably think it is a new Obama phone app.
I suppose we should just,
"Get used too it"
A chimpanzee would add more common sense to the seat that DeMint is vacating and a blind ,deaf old dog would be a better choice to replace Mitch McConnell. Thank God, that Ashley Judd has changed her mind and is considering running for McConnell ,the "TURTLE" 's office of Senator from Kentucky. That would be a 1,000, 000 % better choice than MCconnell.