NBC's Mark Murray and Domenico Montanaro discuss what a possible Fiscal Cliff deal might look like and what all of the players have at stake.
Thanks to Frank "Grimey" Grimes for the question!
Video edited by NBC's Jordan Frasier.
TRANSCRIPT:
DOMENICO MONTANARO: I'm Domenico Montanaro, with another edition of Inside the Boiler Room here with Mark Murray inside our 'boiler room' I guess. It used to look a lot more like a boiler room when we did these more low budget but anyway we have two questions, we are going to combine them from DaNoid and Frank "Grimey" Grimes. DaNoid asks: "If there is a deal to be made to avoid the "Fiscal Cliff", what should we ultimately expect to see from that deal, who has to give more towards making the deal, Democrats or Republicans, and when should we expect to see a deal?" Frank "grimey" Grimes, always a prolific question asker says, "Who stands to gain or lose the most (from a political perspective," and we always like the political perspective, "in the upcoming negotiations on the "fiscal cliff"?
MARK MURRAY: Wow those are some really great questions. I do think we see the broad outlines of what the deal might end up looking like to answer DaNoid's question. It is going to involve either higher tax rates or more revenue or actually a combination of the two which you probably are going to get to see at the end of the day. The Obama White House is basically saying, and Democrats, rates are going to have to go up. These Bush tax cuts are going to have to be gone for good, and the question is maybe they are eliminated but there is something you end up getting in the longer term with some sort of tax reform, or maybe the White House ends up saying, 'Look, you know, the Bush tax cuts on capital gains have to go up but on income they dont.' There are a lot of ways you can negotiate it but it seems to be, the deal is going to be taxes or tax revenues or tax rates have to go up and that Democrats are going to have to give a little on entitlements. Right now we are in this negotiating stage of who is putting out the offers as kind of a wait-and-see approach. As far as when we actually might end up getting a deal, a really smart Democrat said to me expect around the middle of December and that is particularly why you are getting closer to the deadline you usually end up getting these deals right now but don't expect anything for the next couple of weeks.
DOMENICO MONTANARO: Yeah, I agree that there wouldn't be probably something for the next couple of weeks. I do think that it comes down to this idea that we've said that everybody agrees they need to raise some money from the rich but they don't know how, if it is going to be revenue or tax rates. Then the other side of the ledger is what do Democrats give on Medicare? It seems to be that the phrase "means testing" has become popular. You heard (Rep.) Jim Clyburn say it, the assistant leader, you've heard Republicans talk about it. So we will see what they can do, if there is something small on Medicare they would end up doing or something a little bit bigger. I would lean toward something smaller.
MARK MURRAY: And then to answer Grimey's question on who has the most to lose, probably I would think the answeris Washington and actually the governance. Both President Obama and House Republicans, they all ended up winning re-election, so they have plenty of time before- you know President Obama is not going to run again, House Republicans have two more years. You can make the argument that if this thing turns into a huge problem that somehow all of these sides can actually repair their reputations, which is possible. But after the debt ceiling fight, it almost seems as if Washington at large--I think people are looking to see if it actually--if people can make the tough decisions, make compromises to actually give faith that you know what, when the chips are down political leaders can actually come together. We saw that after Hurricane Sandy where Chris Christie was there with President Obama. I think people are looking to see if there can be a deal where John Boehner and Barack Obama, Mitch McConnell are all together and they can cut some type of deal.
DOMENICO MONTANARO: Well Chris Christie wasn't without criticism from the right, and you are going to hear all those kind of disparate voices from the fringes on both sides who aren't happy with whatever deal might wind up being struck. The thing is, I think Democrats start out with an advantage on this. Polling is showing that if there is no deal people will blame Republicans. But it's all about perception. As the negotiations continue, who does it appear to be that is more willing to work with the other side, versus the side that looks like they are more entrenched in their position. That perception over the next few weeks is really going to determine who wins or who loses politically if there is no deal, but I think at the end of the day everyone was hurt in the debt ceiling fight, everyone will be hurt if something isn't done with this "fiscal cliff".
MARK MURRAY: That is a great answer and great questions from DaNoid and Grimey!


keep drilling that home guys, it will be the Republicans fault, ahhhh, our media at work. They are priceless. Last time I checked all politicians were to blame for this effing mess. The blame game is so old. Wake up America! We just missed the chance to flush all career politicians out of office. You need to ask yourselves, if you sucked this bad at your job would you still have one?? I think not. Why do we keep the same useless people in DC?
Voter Mentality: "My representative is fine. It's YOUR representative that is the problem."
It's why people keep yelling for term limits...if you're in Mississippi and you can't stand Nancy Pelosi you can't vote her out so you want to amend the Constitution to do it for you.
what the hell are you talking about?? I am reffering to them all, you guys are the ones with blinders on. You re-elect the same twits and then bitch that it's the other guys fault. They all need weeded out. Maybe, just maybe, things would take a better path. But, God forbid we try it. Keep the same losers!
I vote against the incumbent in my district in the primary, every time.
However, there is no way on this earth I will ever vote for the current Republican party.
I love this country too much to allow evil to take it over.
see, that is the problem. I never vote straight ticket and I am willing to give any new person a shot if the incumbents aren't worth putting back in. Romney wasn't great, but the current administration isn't doing anything. So I was willing to give it a try. Guess what in 4 years if it still sucks, get rid of him. That is how it needs to work. Career politicians need to go bye bye. Regardless of party!
Apparently you interpreted my comment as a representation of my own thoughts. This is not so as I was speaking for the "voter" in general...and obviously there are exceptions to every rule.
This election was proof when you look at the low turnover rate compared to the record-low approval ratings...the majority of voters have spoken and they have determined that they like their representation in Congress and that it must be the problem of someone else's representative.
The bottom line is the people will blame the Weeper and the do nothing republicans if taxes go up on the middle class. 2014 will be hell for the tea-republicans.
You people really need to realize that all these politicians are in the same bed and right now it's just a blame game.The only ones that are going to lose is US!! the people who vote.When taxes go up across the board both parties will be to blame since it will take both parties to pass it.If you people really want change let's oust all the politicians we have in there now and replace them with people who care about this country and can balance a check book.
Way too many cliff threads, my typing fingers no longer have any nails to hang on with ... isn't there some juicy sex scandal?
Congrats to Grimy and DaNoid! Is this what Hanukkah must be like, a gift every day?! :)
Thanks, Mark and Domenico, for the great information and again for answering the "little people" questions!
Congrats, Da Noid and Frank! Great questions.
You would think by now that cooler heads would prevail in the Republican Party since they certainly got some blowback from the electorate in the last election. If they continue to posture for the low information Fox "news" constituent, they will alienate more and more of middle America.
I have problems with using the word winning when it comes to House seats as they are for the most part gerrymandered to insure a win. It is hard to lose holding a straight flush.
I have problems with "but I think at the end of the day everyone was hurt in the debt ceiling fight". I don't believe everyone was hurt in this and the financial meltdown. It seems there are plenty who are insulated from every down turn or wrong decision.
Maybe the problem is those who do not want to compromise, but instead fight for the country and our democracy. If we all believed as some who want to throw out the baby with the wash water, we would be doomed to radical, extreme behavior. We need to save what is beneficial for our nation, and get rid of the behavior that benefits only a small, ideological element of our society. To accept the belief that the greatest nation on earth is totally disfunctional is to quit on what is great about America. Why not save what is good but cut out the cancer? This is the American way. We have a diverse society which requires compromise to maintain a strong, healthy environment. We need to follow morals, and use our constitution as a guide, but it is not necessary to tear down what is good about our democracy.
Grimey & DaNoid: good questions!!!
IMO, the Republicans have the most to lose and the farthest to go at this time. President Obama does not have to run for election again (how's that for a need for term limits) so he is able to negotiate without fear of losing the
bribessupport fromcorporate mafiaconstituents.After two years of attempting to repeal the ACA 33 different times and getting only 151 bills past the Republican filibusters in the Senate, its time the GOP get something done.
Read the morning paper to discover a thought rerun on that 2008 tax concept on the 401k takeover by big government. It's on the Obama agenda again.
Imagine, big gov taking your funding and paying you 3% per year interest with a partial payout when you retire. The statements made was not all participate, and it isn't fair to the majority of wage earners. Really? Since when is fair an issue for those who work hard - it only seems to be a Progressive concept.
If Obama is going to take money from earners, I trust the Fed, State, and Union funds will be a part of this plan, or it really won't be a fair solution.
Don't you just love these professional politicians who dictate without having to follow their own direction?
At the GOP/Tea Begger "Caucus Conspiracy" on Janruary 20, 2009. The GOP 'Fourteen Felon's" took their "Blood Oath" to destroy the US Economy. The Tea Beggers have every intention of sending the US Economy over the 'fiscal cliff.' The GOP/Tea Begger 'conspirators' have no intention of ever 'compromising' with the President. The GOP/RNC do not want the American People to ever know about their "Caucus Conspiracy." The depths of the GOP/RNC "Blood Oath" are very 'treasonous.' It is not a shock at all that the GOP/Tea Beggers want our nation to go over the 'fiscal cliff.'
Help ! Help !! The paranoids are after you .... look out from behind !!!! You are such a drama queen ! Ever try anything besides PURE FICTION ???
Boehner and Obama had a deal ... only Obama kept CHANGING the deal.
It is very clear that the GOP/Tea Beggers are in complete denial about their "Caucus Conspiracy." The only 'paranoids' here are the GOP/Tea Beggers that attended their 'conspiracy.' Keep burying the what really happened on Janruary 20, 2009. Just wait Tea Beggers. Until all of America gets the whole story of the GOP/Tea Begger "Caucus Conspiracy." This is not fiction however, it is the reality of the GOP/Tea Beggers! That is fact.
Forget all the political talk and just let the cuts and taxes happen. I am tired of listening to these fools. None of them really give a dam about us or the country. With global warming and Ice melting, there are more important things to take care of than a bunch of spoiled politicans. I am sick to death with these lying, primping and pimping fools.
You folks in the US got some problems? Yeah, I cashed out 3 years ago and moved to Asia. You know, that place where your money is. LOL
You are the smart one. How nice to look at this mess from far away.
What a joke! Unlimited raising of the debt ceiling. That IS funny. What a bunch of yahoos. Why did people vote for them? Oh, that's right. They lied. And lied and lied and lied.
The Republican's should go home in protest to the garbage President Obama and Geitner presented.
No Katie5555,
Protest?? Yes, of course. But present their reasons to disregard Obama's pipe dreams before the American people. Don't just go home like those losers in Wisconsin tried. Explain the reality, and gravity of the Government's financial situation. Explain it every day.
It seems many Americans are ill informed, or are in massive denial over our fiscal predicament.
If this is treated as a campaign by Obama, then, fine, let's start campaigning with the truth.