President Obama stands to lose as many as 340,000 votes as a result of Hurricane Sandy, not enough to affect the outcome in heavily Democratic Northeastern states, but something that could make a difference in the popular vote if the results of Tuesday’s presidential race are as close as polls indicate, a First Read analysis finds.
“Sandy has the potential to reduce Obama's national popular vote share by depressing turnout in highly Democratic areas along the Eastern Seaboard,” Dr. Michael McDonald of George Mason University, who studies turnout, told First Read. “The storm is unlikely to change the Electoral College outcome, as Obama is heavily favored to win the affected states. A turnout drop could be the difference in a close national election, and thus could shape the political discourse over important policy issues in a possible Obama second term.”
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For example, assuming 2008 vote totals and a 15 percent reduction in turnout in the coastal counties most affected by Hurricane Sandy in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, and Rhode Island, Obama would lose a net of 340,000 votes, including 247,000 out of New York, 60,000 from New Jersey, 29,000 from Connecticut, and 3,600 from Rhode Island.
Officials in states hit by Hurricane Sandy are now deciding how to hold an election next Tuesday in communities where residents have been displaced and there's still no power. NBC's Tom Curry discusses.
Officially, four times in American history has a candidate become president while losing the popular vote -- John Quincy Adams in 1824, Rutherford B. Hayes in 1876, Benjamin Harrison in 1888, and George W. Bush in 2000. (Some political scientists believe it’s actually five, and that John F. Kennedy lost the popular vote in 1960.) Most recently, the country was divided in 2000 when Al Gore won the popular vote by 540,000, but lost the Electoral College narrowly because of 537 votes in Florida.
It would be even more accurate to dive into individual precincts, but here’s a rough a county-by-county breakdown:
New York: GRAND TOTAL: Obama -247,000
New York – Obama -86,000, Romney -14,000, Net: Obama -72,000
Queens – Obama -72,000, Romney -23,000, Net: Obama -49,000
Kings – Obama -91,000, Romney -23,000, Net: Obama -68,000
Bronx – Obama -51,000, Romney -6,000, Net: Obama -45,000
Richmond – Obama -12,000, Romney -13,000, Net: Romney -1,000
Nassau – Obama -51,000, Romney -43,000, Net: Obama -8,000
Suffolk – Obama -52,000, Romney -46,000, Net: Obama -6,000
New Jersey: GRAND TOTAL: Obama -60,000
Bergen – Obama -34,000, Romney -28,000, Net: Obama -6,000
Hudson – Obama -23,000, Romney -8,000, Net: Obama -15,000
Union – Obama -21,000, Romney -12,000, Net: Obama -9,000
Essex – Obama -36,000, Romney -11,000, Net: Obama -25,000
Middlesex – Obama -29,000, Romney -19,000, Net: Obama -10,000
Monmouth –Obama -22,000, Romney -24,000, Net: Romney -2,000
Ocean – Obama -16,500, Romney, -24,000, Net: Romney -7,500
Atlantic – Obama -10,200, Romney -7,500, Net: Obama -2,700
Cape May – Obama -3,500, Romney -4,000, Net: Romney -500
Connecticut: GRAND TOTAL: Obama -29,000
Fairfield – Obama -36,000, Romney -25,000, Net: Obama -9,000
New Haven – Obama -35,000, Romney -22,000, Net: Obama -13,000
Middlesex – Obama -8,000, Romney -5,000, Net: Obama -3,000
New London – Obama -11,000, Romney -7,000, Net: Obama -4,000
Rhode Island: GRAND TOTAL: Obama -3,600
Washington – Obama -6,000, Romney -4,000, Net: Obama -2,000
Newport – Obama -4,000, Romney -2,400, Net: Obama -1,600


The Unemployment rate at 7.9% and the national debt at 16 trillion are going to cost him a lot more than 300000 votes, they are going to cost him his job!!!!
NO MORE OF THE FAILURE 44!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
National debt when Bush took office: $5.7T
National debt when Bush left office: $11T
89% increase in national debt.
National debt when Obama took office: $11T
Current national debt: $15T
40% increase in national debt.
Much of the increase during Obama's term can be attributed to the Bush tax cuts - there has been NO big increase in spending, despite right wing lies to the contrary. Of course, the Republican hero Cheney said debt does not matter anyway...
Unemployment rate when Bush took office: 4.2%
Unemployment rate with Bush in office for four years: 5.4%
Unemployment rate when Bush left office: 8.2%
4% increase in unemployment (1.2 after four years).
Unemployment rate when Obama took office: 8.2%
Current unemployment rate: 7.9%
.3% decrease in unemployment.
Could it be better? Sure. But at least it isn't going higher, as with certain other presidents. The right also prefers to do all they can to fight Obama (as well as hold constant hearings, right Mr. Issa?). All this made-up crap about Obama is tiresome.
Failure? Yes. By the right.
Thank a republican for ALL that!! They did one hell of a job destroying our economy! We need to keep moving forward!
Romney: None and Done!!
By the way, something that does not show up in the numbers is that Bush hid the costs of the wars he decided he needed to have, and Obama put them on the books (that would be the transparency the right says Obama does not have, when it was actually the other way around). This was a signficant hit for that debt that the right likes to blame Obama for - not to mention that Bush was the FIRST president to go for tax cuts while the nation was at war. Terrific.
It's too bad that after nearly four years of President Obama being in office that people like LeftWingNutJob are still pointing the finger at Bush rather than at Mr. Obama's accomplishments.
Can't even YOU people find something positive that he has accomplished?
I suppose that if Obama loses the election on Tuesday THAT too will be Bush's fault?
They live in Obamaland,it's always sunny and the waters rise and part when their King O say's so,You see they were fitted with rose colored glasses that would have to be removed before they can see what's going on,yes past Presidents have made mistakes,ya never hear them list Clinton's or Carter's ect.But they hate so much,anyone that has a different view than they do and then they go on the attack without real cause,there is no rational reasoning,however Im sure when Romney get's voted in,they will come to realize that mabe Obama was not best for America,and that's really what it's about,we need solid leadership and if like Obama he doesn't deliver then we vote him out just like Obama.
Aren't you two cute? Well, I wasn't talking about Obama's accomplishments, anfd there are many, as that was not the issue at hand. And you can whine and puke all you want, but the FACT is that Bush and his wonderful administration caused this huge mess and it will take time to get out of. You can't just wish it away - why is it that you righties demand that Obama take responsibility for everything bad, but you can't accept responsibility at all? Oh, I know why - you folks are irresponsible. That's why you want Romney...he fits right in!
Hey, Left Wing... Ignore those two knuckledragging enablers of Mittens! All they're doing, like Mittens-- is snorting political crumbs thru a broken straw!
Nuthin' but whine from their parallel universe. Their bravado of desperation!
Obama/Biden will win on Nov 6, 2012! No doubt, whatsoever!! Obama wins the popular vote & the Electoral College, both. Endgame...!
I think many more losses in votes will not be due to hurricane Sandy, but rather due to his dismal record for the past four years.
I don't say this to be rude or disrespectful, but does anyone else notice the way Mitt walks? Seriously, it reminds me of the early stages of Parkinson's Disease my uncle had. Tiny shuffled steps with head slightly down. Well if he was to win election, he won't be calling the shots anyways. He has the same people behind him as GW Bush did, and the new Dick Cheney in Ryan. He's just another front man for the real bosses. The ones trashing America's middle class and getting us into wars.
Paul Ryan is the new Dick Cheney? Have you checked your brain in somewhere and didn't bother returning to get it back?
I noticed.
Yeah, Ryan is not the new Dick Cheney...I would agree. Dick Cheney was Darth Vader, while Ryan is merely Eddie Munster, although maybe not as bright.
Get those excuses out early. Maybe they can just rig the voting machines to default some more votes his way.
Romney: None and Done!
Obama 2012!!
What do you think the chances are of bi-partisanship regardless of who wins their elections. Reps. & Dems couldn't even come together(were either even willing) to pursue prosecuting the bankers & Wall Streeters who ripped us off! Don't get your hopes up too high that things will be much different.
Maybe it cost him 300,000 votes in "safe" states that he will win anyway, but it could have picked him up some crucial votes in the battlegrounds. Does anyone think that images of him comforting the woman in NJ will help him win some in Ohio where the votes are more needed?
So you are saying that a propaganda photo will win him votes? What about people eating out of dumpsters? Doesn't that negate the positive votes?
Obamabots are silly people. Brainwashing is an UGLY thing. It is just plain embarrassing that these Obama supporters think they are so much more brilliant than everyone else around them.
Propaganda shots? You mean like Ryan pretending to wash pots and pans? Or Romney with the phony canned goods crap? Is that what you mean?
Talk about simple...people who live in glass houses shouldn't throw stones.
Do you mean to imply that those can's were empty? That Romney is so evil as to pass out empty food cans tp people in dire need of assistance after the disaster that was Hurricane Sandy?
It was a show, and just about everybody except Romney apologists felt it was inappropriate. Don't believe me? Try a simple search; I suggest you avoid both left and right wing sources...stick to the middle so you can't whine about the "liberal media". And what about Ryan washing clean pots and pans? Forgot that one? Yeah, you folks can moan all you want about Obama being a showman, but the fact is that the true frauds and hucksters are running as Republicans.
And the spinning begins... lol!
What spinning? By the right, you mean? Can't be about the article...or did you actually read it?
Someone is a very Angry Nujob lol
Unfortunately, it has taken an epic tragedy like SANDY to bring the devastation of Obama into perspective.
Since the day he took office, his administration has increased our deficit an amount greater than the toll of a SANDY every couple of weeks.
Seriously, the cost of lost productivity & clean-up from SANDY is NOTHING compared to the cost of OBAMA ...
Four more years of this idiot and the USA will be toast.
Why do you title & spend most of the article talking about how many votes Obama will lose? Romney would lose all his votes from the same areas if they can't vote. Is NBC bias to favor obama showing again?
Is NBC bias to favor obama showing again?
@ annefl... No more than Fake Noos' bias is towards Mittens. Come back to reality, so you can see for yourself. "Fair (chuckle, chuckle) & balanced (heh, heh)"??
Obama/Biden will win on Nov 6, 2012! No doubt!! 4 mo' fo' #44 & a cup o' Joe!
I am surprised that many people still have not realized that omamas policies cannot continue as you can only take from the people. Eventually, the piggy bank of robin hood will run out. If this president was wanting to do anything for this economy he would be smart enough to try to deal with both parties and not just pelosie and reed. They have stonewalled the whole economy! We could have a vibrant economy if they would work together-start allowing permits to drill(i have lived in the middle of oil country ALL my life. I have never seen the damage that the liberals keep pointing at. Where is it? My father worked pipelines for years-very little if any spills. We have technoligies with oil eating microbes, etc to clean any spills to almost better than new. Also, instead of us being idled-with Sandy they could be hiring bucket loads of people to work cleanup. Also. if want to see the real pelosie look at where california allows elect generating plants--just across the border in nevada(reed land)??? Why cannot califo pollute their own lands? Oh, I get it-do it someplace else! I do not care who wins election-if neither one is in contact with the true people-you will not understand the needs of the people. Too bad, tonights "undercover boss" was not the pres of USA working like a real person see results of cutbacks upon the people. So mr pres you 'hear us'-then why are you cutting back our monthly checks, no cost of living adjustments, etc. Also, people do you find it ironic that the oil companies out west are lowering price of gas down to $3.17 per gallon range?? There has not been any reasonable change in imports of oil? I bet your Blind trust is heavy in oil! They bought when the bottom was out in the Gulf, probably have a hand in the permitted areas, etc.
It makes no sense statistically or strategically for Romney to have been in Pennsylvania........the home of Joe Biden.........Pennsylvania is so sewn up for Obama. For Mitt to go there was fruitless.
I dont know who manages him. I have noticed so many POOR decisions he has made and SAID. He had a legitimately chance. He had almost a 10 point lead JUST last MONTH and squandered it.........mainly OPENING his mouth with UNTRUE. IF he would have just TOLD the TRUTH, he might would have had a Chance. Do wrong and wrong will follow YOU.
Obama/Biden 2012
And, Mitten's video hits just keep on giving & reminding...!
http://www.motherjones.com/politics/2012/09/secret-video-romney-private-fundraiser
Romney Cheating At Debate
What a character study about a losing character-- of no character...!!!
One more time: THE ELECTORAL COLLEGE.
300,000 Votes Lost --- No No No -- NJ Repub. Gov. Christie Will Be Voting Obama For Sure!
He Is Christies Man! Flip Flop In The Right Direction!
Christie Knows Not To Bit The Hand That Feeds Him -- And He Is One Big Boy!
Now 299,999 -- But The Votes Obama Stands To Gain In Close Races Could Well Exceed 299,999!
Not To Mention All Those Repub. Voter In The Northeast Who Now See Obama -- The President!
I Wonder If Romney Will Keep Trying -- After This Loss -- His Ego Maybe Running Out Of Gas -- Hot Air!
Geeeez! You all live in the 2nd best country in the world ( I'm Canadian) Your informed, You have rights that 150 other countries only dream about....I can go on, but you know how lucky you are. Yet, you can't get your Faux news to report the actual NEWS! >>> Protest that. It's a national security risk when 50% of you are as informed as the North Koreans..(overstatement). This Disaster in N.Y.C has brought tears to my eyes as Dems and Reps worked together. My god, your country would be so much further ahead and out of this recovery if they worked together on a national level. Instead the GoP what Obama to fail and are using Faux to convince the uninformed electorate of their 'good deed' in holding Obama back. Now...I think that Obama's second term will be interesting. He's not talking too much about it for a reason...
The 4 murdered Americans in Libya - act like a President and then walk away. The thousands on the east coast - walk around-act like a President and walk away. Vice President is on Letterman - the first ladies are somewhere but not on the east coast showing compassion and providing aid. Obama/Biden - not for this voter.
Do you honestly Romney will do better and actually care for the people? Did he even visit the affected East coast? If he is good enough, why do he feel the need to flip flop instead of telling the truth?
99% American People, ignore this "BOUGHT & PAID FOR" corrupt Republican-slanted NBC/NEWS bull$hit BECAUSE THAT'S ALL IT IS!!
We, the 99% American People, CAN NO LONGER TRUST OUR OWN NEWS MEDIA! HOW DISGRACEFUL IS THAT!!!!
99% American People, VOTE & vote 100% STRAIGHT DEMOCRATIC and let's rid our selves of their BLATANT CRIMINAL CORRUPTION that has MADE SLAVES OF US IN "OUR VERY OWN" COUNTRY!!!
Just like MLK said, "We shall overcome" the corrupt Republican corporate MONARCHY ONCE & FOREVER!!! The lives you save WILL be YOURS & your CHILDREN!! BELIEVE IT, NOTHING MORE COULD BE TRUER!!
Hurricane Sandy I guess only affected democratic voters, so I guess the storm will not cost Mitt Romney any votes
When Clinton and Bush were in office - people had jobs, paid rent, made house payments, car payments, some had retirements, maybe medical insurance at work. During President Obama-many lost jobs, houses, insurance. Biden is on Letterman, Obama is back campaigning, their wives are somewhere. There are 9 states and 5 countries affected by Hurricane Sandy and a New Jersey shore walk about with Gov. Chris Christie is a campaign media blitz for both of them-it is not help though - and that is my problem w/ Obama/Biden - they pursue what they want to pursue regardless of the outcome on all of our citizens - the real care element is missing. Obama/Biden will not get my vote.
Again the Mormon
candidate Wrongney’s beliefs are revealed. His religion says women have no
place in leadership or in the workplace. People of color were not allowed into
their occult church until the 80s. Christians see Mormonism as a cult.
Mormonism is not Christianity.
Why would there be so many applications stashed into these binders and files in
his own company? It is because they
refused to hire women for many years.
Nit wit Mitt
Wrongney has been repeating the same lies saying he cares for the poor while on
camera. Off camera he says it is not his job to care for the poor. When the
cynical Wrongney was speaking his lies at the presidential debate, he said that
Obama did not say what the specifics were for who qualifies for refinancing
their home. We all should know including Nit Wit Mitt what it takes to qualify
for a mortgage loan. The agreement is worked out with the bank that is to
refinance the applicant. Wrongney is telling us that our deficit is increasing
because of Obama’s policies. When Obama
took office as president, the war was costing more than $20 billion a month.
One aircraft carrier uses one million gallons of fuel every five months. The
auto industry was set to lose nearly one million jobs. George Bush had a
bailout bill on the table as he was leaving office. Obama used that to save the
jobs of the nearly one million auto workers. They were and are paying it back.
If just one
oil and pharmaceutical company make between 20 and 40 billion dollars in
profits a year, they should pay more in taxes instead of getting a tax break.
There were so
many things that Nit Wit Mitt Wrongney proposed that Obama has been trying to
get the Republican run House of Reps to pass for nearly three years. In his
campaign speeches, he is saying the exact same things as Obama said when he
became president. Wrongney is stealing Obama’s material to use in his speeches.
Wrongney will lie and do anything because his money is his god. The Republicans
said they don’t want to work with Obama. The Republicans said they want him out
of office because he wants to help everyone in America. The republicans are mostly self-serving and
only want to fill their own pockets with tax payer dollars by steering the
money into their projects and special interests. Nit Wit Mitt Wrongney said
that the president’s policies failed but the Republicans never allowed anything
to get passed by voting NO on every single measure. Remember that everyone in
Washington was voted into their position there by American voters to do a job.
When the Republicans lied about the socialism that doesn’t exist, they were
voted in. Now the Republicans are causing major gridlock on every measure that
is put forth to make it appear that President Obama is a failure. The
Republicans were told in their campaign meetings to use fear to cause people to
distrust Obama. This was broadcast on the internet recently. Also the people
everywhere are cashing in on president Obama by using any kind of controversy
like the issues of Socialism, him being Islam, not an American born in America
and him being a communist. Everyone is making a windfall by projecting Obama as
any one of these.
President Obama doesn’t speak
to America as if he is speaking to ignorant and uninformed citizens. Wrongney
is talking to America as if they are completely uninformed and ignorant about
what the republicans have been doing to stop any kind of progress in
Washington. Wrongney has put forth his plan and it contains some of the plans
that Obama has already tried to get Washington to put through. Obama has a job
bill that would create some 45 million jobs over 10 years. But the Republicans
won’t vote yes to pass the bill. The republican governors say they don’t want
bailout and Federal funding while the cameras are rolling. But they request and
accept the money to the tune of more than 36 billion in the state of
Mississippi and Florida.
Wrongney
still thinks everyone is completely stupid. That is how Wrongney wants to treat
Americans. His plan is to allow the individual states handle the billions of
government dollars. This will open the door to self-serving and greedy
politicians to do what they want with the money. The people waiting for help
from the state government will die on the hospital steps while they are
waiting. The sick will die in waiting rooms and at home because of the greed
and misappropriation of funds. It is happening right now in Florida and
Mississippi. Billions are in the hands of politicians that have personal
agendas while those who need it are waiting to get help. The governor of Florida was cited for $10
billion dollars in Medicare fraud while he ran some of the hospitals in
Florida. The Republicans and TEA partyers are going to destroy America as if a
Terrorist group has taken over. The republicans are doing the work of
terrorists right now in Washington by stopping every plan that Obama has on the
table. People need help right now but Wrongney says that he has a plan for the
distant future. Obama has a plan right now in front of the Republicans. When
the Healthcare reform bill was being discussed by the republicans and democrats
in the same room, the republicans had the bill in front of them on the table.
The republicans were saying; “We can’t read this bill” or “We don’t know what
is in this bill.” It was right on the table in front of each person on the Democrats
side and the Republican side. The Republicans were saying; “We want to be
included in this process.” They were sitting in the same room while the process
was happening. Yet they were creating video bites to be used later to fool
feeble-minded and unaware American citizens.
The democrats gave their input without any nonsense. The republicans
were just saying; “I am not going to read this bill. “ They just want to get the money into their
own pockets. Now Wrongney has been saying that he has a bill that will be a
better one. When they say that they haven’t read the first one, how will they
know that Wrongney’s bill is better?
Feeble minded
Americans were told that they were angry by Fox and CNN. They didn’t know what
they were angry about until they were told why.
The fake
polls began to pop up after one month of Obama being in the office of
president. The feeble minded people were told to go into the streets and say
they were angry. The media used steering tactics and fake polls. They were and
are spending and making millions of dollars on the feeble minded that were
duped by the media. The satanic Fox network had the biggest influence on the
feeble minded. I saw how it transpired and was not fooled. Fox was stirring up
the masses to rebel and riot in the streets. They paraded into Washington DC
with pictures of Obama hanging, swastikas and confederate flags waving.
Foxaholics began to buy guns because they were told to fight against fake
socialism in America. They were told that the FEDS were going to take their
guns. CNN joined the band wagon and
reaped millions of dollars. Mr. Murdoch’s media machine has been paying and
getting paid to spread UNLIMITED, MALICIOUS AND UNRESTRAINED LIES ABOUT THE
PRESIDENT.
This created a
windfall of billions for the people at Fox and CNN. People at Fox sold their
souls for money and began to lie effortlessly and very professionally. Some of
the Foxaholics were buying guns by the box loads and hiding them. Guns sales are still soaring because of these
steering tactics. Right now the word on feeble minded street level is that
there is going to be a civil war before the election. They are preparing for
this by digging bunkers and stocking up on thousands of rounds of ammunition.
Fox will be right in the middle orchestrating this civil war. How much more satanic
can it get than that? There are other nations that want America destroyed. Fox
and CNN are helping their cause.
Maybe Nit Wit
Mitt Wrongney needs to go in a plane to 39,000 feet and roll the window down.
The
Republicans want to privatize prisons and hospitals to keep government money
and to place rates however they want.
The votes
from 26 states are sent to Tampa, Florida to be counted. This is where the
Republicans headquarters are located. The company that owns the voting machines
is owned by Spain and has its financial offices in the Cayman Islands where
Wrongney keeps his business affairs finances.
Typical Nevada. Greed is their God. They want more than they already are getting and they want blood. Greedy and bloodthirsty; not a very good combination.
A message posted on Facebook by Navy SEALS claiming that President Obama denied them backup as forces overran Benghazi was taken down twice by the social networking site.
The move has stoked accusations that Facebook was censoring the SEALs’ message to ‘quietly squelch opposition’ to President Obama’s alleged failures.
The message contained in a meme suggesting that Obama relied on the SEALS when he wanted to get Osama bin Laden, but then turned round and denied them back up when they called for it in Benghazi.
Sources present during the deadly six-hour assault have said that a desperate last request for military assistance once the CIA themselves came under attack was denied, even though elite counter-terrorism units were only two hours away.
Retired SEAL Captain Larry Bailey said: ‘It looks like Obama’s liberal followers in Facebook HQ are terrified of how damaging the Benghazi scandal is for the President.
'We understand that Facebook can run their site however they’d like, but when they’re trying to quietly squelch opposition to what is a clear leadership failure that resulted in the tragic deaths of some of our nation’s heroes, they deserve the to be called out on it.’
Colonel Dick Brauer Jr, retired from the US Air Force, added: ‘Americans across the country deserve the truth about what happened in Libya, and they certainly deserve to know when people who hold the keys to a lot of their online communications are trying to keep that from them.’