E-mail updates
Follow on Twitter
Subscribe to RSS
President Obama stands to lose as many as 340,000 votes as a result of Hurricane Sandy, not enough to affect the outcome in heavily Democratic Northeastern states, but something that could make a difference in the popular vote if the results of Tuesday’s presidential race are as close as polls indicate, a First Read analysis finds.
“Sandy has the potential to reduce Obama's national popular vote share by depressing turnout in highly Democratic areas along the Eastern Seaboard,” Dr. Michael McDonald of George Mason University, who studies turnout, told First Read. “The storm is unlikely to change the Electoral College outcome, as Obama is heavily favored to win the affected states. A turnout drop could be the difference in a close national election, and thus could shape the political discourse over important policy issues in a possible Obama second term.”
Recommended: Romney tries to crack Obama's Midwest firewall in Wisconsin
For example, assuming 2008 vote totals and a 15 percent reduction in turnout in the coastal counties most affected by Hurricane Sandy in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, and Rhode Island, Obama would lose a net of 340,000 votes, including 247,000 out of New York, 60,000 from New Jersey, 29,000 from Connecticut, and 3,600 from Rhode Island.
Officials in states hit by Hurricane Sandy are now deciding how to hold an election next Tuesday in communities where residents have been displaced and there's still no power. NBC's Tom Curry discusses.
Officially, four times in American history has a candidate become president while losing the popular vote -- John Quincy Adams in 1824, Rutherford B. Hayes in 1876, Benjamin Harrison in 1888, and George W. Bush in 2000. (Some political scientists believe it’s actually five, and that John F. Kennedy lost the popular vote in 1960.) Most recently, the country was divided in 2000 when Al Gore won the popular vote by 540,000, but lost the Electoral College narrowly because of 537 votes in Florida.
It would be even more accurate to dive into individual precincts, but here’s a rough a county-by-county breakdown:
New York: GRAND TOTAL: Obama -247,000
New York – Obama -86,000, Romney -14,000, Net: Obama -72,000
Queens – Obama -72,000, Romney -23,000, Net: Obama -49,000
Kings – Obama -91,000, Romney -23,000, Net: Obama -68,000
Bronx – Obama -51,000, Romney -6,000, Net: Obama -45,000
Richmond – Obama -12,000, Romney -13,000, Net: Romney -1,000
Nassau – Obama -51,000, Romney -43,000, Net: Obama -8,000
Suffolk – Obama -52,000, Romney -46,000, Net: Obama -6,000
New Jersey: GRAND TOTAL: Obama -60,000
Bergen – Obama -34,000, Romney -28,000, Net: Obama -6,000
Hudson – Obama -23,000, Romney -8,000, Net: Obama -15,000
Union – Obama -21,000, Romney -12,000, Net: Obama -9,000
Essex – Obama -36,000, Romney -11,000, Net: Obama -25,000
Middlesex – Obama -29,000, Romney -19,000, Net: Obama -10,000
Monmouth –Obama -22,000, Romney -24,000, Net: Romney -2,000
Ocean – Obama -16,500, Romney, -24,000, Net: Romney -7,500
Atlantic – Obama -10,200, Romney -7,500, Net: Obama -2,700
Cape May – Obama -3,500, Romney -4,000, Net: Romney -500
Connecticut: GRAND TOTAL: Obama -29,000
Fairfield – Obama -36,000, Romney -25,000, Net: Obama -9,000
New Haven – Obama -35,000, Romney -22,000, Net: Obama -13,000
Middlesex – Obama -8,000, Romney -5,000, Net: Obama -3,000
New London – Obama -11,000, Romney -7,000, Net: Obama -4,000
Rhode Island: GRAND TOTAL: Obama -3,600
Washington – Obama -6,000, Romney -4,000, Net: Obama -2,000
Newport – Obama -4,000, Romney -2,400, Net: Obama -1,600
Leave a Comment:
If all of you right wing nuts and left wing nuts really cared about this country and the future of your kids, you would be working to get the people, congress, the senate and most of all your right wing and left wing crackpots to try to work together for the benefit of the country and to hell with witch of the two party hacks ends up getting elected!!!
Put all of this left right crap behind you and think of the good of the country!!!! Neither of the candidates will be able to lead if half of the country refuses to work with the other half. You have seen what it has been like for the past two years. Do you want that same situation for the next two years? If that's what you want, kiss your ass good by because that's what you will get.
Obama needed to pull this country together and all he has done is divide, divide, divide. And don't bother telling me it's the republicans fault, he had a democratic senate and house and all they managed to do was give us Obamacare - worst president in the history of this great country.
How exactly has Obama divided this country? He is the one trying to work across and aisle and bring people together. He is the president of 100% of the country, not discounting 47% like Romney.
Change:
Republicans are on record, and on tape, saying their concern was to make Obama a one-term president. That was immediately upon his election, not after he had even tried to get any bills through. THAT is divide, divide, divide. Quit lying about it.
Obama had a filibuster-proof Senate for all of 2-1/2 months. Look it up. But you probably already knew it. Quit lying about it.
Worst president in the history of this great county? Hyperbole much? Not by a LONG shot. Quit lying about it. History may prove him to be one of the better presidents and folks like you as short-sighted and more concerned with your ideology than the good of our nation.
Dumbo lost this election before Sandy was a rain drop. Would take some real idiot to vote for this loser again. A wasted vote on a wasted president..
So much for NO RED TAPE - heard it myself and knew he couldn't deliver, just like 4 years ago all over again.
4 more days 4 44
UNINSTALLING OBAMA..... ████████████████▒ 99.9% complete
And, Hurricane Christie and Nor'easter Bloomberg probably cost Romney 30 Electoral votes. As Dandy Don used to sing "the party's over". For you youngsters Dandy Don was Don Meredith who was paired Howard Cosell on the original and real Monday night football. LOL all the way to the voting booth.
The people who care already voted
The only thing this story premises is Democrats crying foul when Owebama loses.
Premises?
So, I say throw out 300,000 Romney votes and call it even.
That's probalby what you crooks will try to do.
Only vote fraud known of in this election by the Republicans. Enough with the lies.
We don't need no stinking popular votes (Bush vs Gore), as long as Dems Wins.
John, Gore would not have won the popular vote if the Clinton administration had not held up the ballots going to servicemen overseas. How easy we forget (?) or ignore (?) the facts.
Wasn't Gore part of the Clinton administration?
Rousseau, it was Bigfoot and the Bogeyman that stole those votes. Yeah, facts...try some.
Well, I'm ready for the riots!!! Got a new scope for the 30-06 and 5K ammunition. bring on the government sympathizers! I have a lot of aggression to let out. Come on over to north Denver, where it's always sunny!!
James - I graduated from North in 1974 - glad to hear someone still call it north Denver instead of the highlands!!
I watched an NBC take this morning on how poorly relief efforts are being handled on Staten Island. They never mentioned FEMA or Obama. When Katrina hit, all the talk was "why wasn't Bush solving everyone's problems?"
Obama should lose NY as a result of the incompetence of this administration's handling of the tragedy.
It's only the president's fault when he's a republican - libs aren't at all open minded - their blame game only goes one way
The difference was "Bush doesn't care" but Obama "cares". HaHaHa
LOL - Obama only cares about getting re-elected and seeing all of his pals in Vegas
BREAKING News Alert, Mitt to win the ticket by a landslide, Amen !! Good by Obummer, Good riddens !
but whats 'bout ours Obama phone?!!
Can somebody get me a translator...?
Who cares!? Haven't they anything better to report about?
Apparently you do.
Well I guess this news means that the Republicans can't Blame Obama for causing Hurricane Sandy. I thought it was Bush's fault all the time.
WOW NO WONDER OUR EDUCATION SYSTEM IS 20th IN THE WORLD
Sadly to many of you folks can't just read an article for information/fact sake. You have to spin it into your ongoing hatred of the President.
SOMETIMES a news story is just that, news without a political agenda
It's a political article - where did you go to school
Obummer could be in trouble with the entire country. All eyes are on the East Coast and how Obummer handles the disaster. So far...not so good.
My husband and I just voted in Nevada.
ROMNEY/RYAN 2012
And I'm sure this made a difference...uh, huh.
Is this not the Day of the DEAD, (MEX) oh thats right, the past 4 years with Obummer seems as though everyday was dead with him as our dream leader, GOOD riddens you worthless president, off to kenya ya go !
Bet half the people voting today don't even know that Gore "won" the election. Anyway fewer votes for Obama in the Northeast doesn't change anything nationally. Be like Romney losing votes in the Confederate States.
No he didn't!
Yes, he did...but the Supreme Court seated Bush.
FEMA is busy preparing PowerPoint charts, Obama is busy campaigning, and Bloomie is busy pimping marathons and making promises he can't keep.
Yeah, thank GOD Romney isn't campaigning, huh? Oh, he is...?
It might change the number of votes cast in the election but not the outcome. It won't swing a district to or from Obama or Romney. This is just a precursor to saying Obama would have won the close election if the result is that he loses.
The cry of the lefties....Vote early and often........
Only known vote fraud this election is by the right...
First, Obama's blamed everything under the sun for his bad economy, now he's going to blame his re-election loss on the hurricane, get this hoser out of office.
It's not Obama's bad economy, it's Bush's. President Obama wasn't even in office in 2007 when all this @!$%# hit the fan. I am glad to see you're awake but sad to see you're not all here!
I'll not only be shocked but saddened if the American people elect Romney/Ryan. It will show just how racially divided this country still is. There will be no other reason for it, this country is recovering and President Obama has proven he can do the job better than Romney ever could. Romney has proven he doesn't know a thing about Foreign Policy or that he cares about Americans. Do the right thing for America KEEP MOVING FORWARD!
What the Hell have you been Smoking, dude ! Best flip the story bud!
You libs have many annoying qualities, but perhaps the worst is your insistence on always playing the race card.
p.s. your name is quite appropriate.
How can anyone who's paid attention to what Romney has said (from the Republican debates till now) even consider this man as Commander In Chief? He can't be trusted cause he's always changing his position. Those who vote for Mitt may trust him right now, but the rest of the world will not. He speaks out of both sides of his mouth, is continually inaccurate on his claims & his interpretation and reaction to anything said or done by others is dangerous & harmful. God save us from this kind of king! Vote Obama, we've witnessed his stable thinking & good decisions in these very trying times.
You must have some good drugs just4truth - stable thinking and good decisions???? Oh my
Fu#k Fema and the horse they rode in on. After total destruction from Hurricane Ike, the only thing FEMA did was rent all of the hotel rooms for a 100 miles around Galveston so the people that really needed a place to stay slept under bridges and in their cars. Thats where I stayed for two weeks. I did get a shower from our Volunteer Fire Dept however. FEMA is huge waste of taxpayer money and needs to go
You have a point. I guess we should get rid of the Red Cross and all the different groups of volunteers that had a room. Heck, just get rid of everyone, so you would have a room to stay in.
Only 4 more days until President Elect Romney. Thank you Jesus.
You might want to hold off on praising him quite yet. But just out of curiousity,if Obama gets elected, will you blame Jesus?
Yeah, Jesus is going with the guy who basically says His religion is full of hooey. You go with that.
Romney....Obama.....its all a big scam, anyone who really thinks that we are going to change the direction of whats really going on with this vote is a fool. The ones who really have the power, you all know what Im talking about....the big money. They will still have the helm and they will still chart the course for whats best for their OWN interest and as sad as it just might sound this interest in NOT in the best interest for all of us.
This election is nothing more then some reality TV show and should be looked upon as just so. It has all the drama of American Idol and the glitz of Dancing With The Stars. There is indeed as zombie problem, you want to see them ? Next Tuesday millions and milloins will be coming.... walking down to the voting booths. Im their mindless state they shall check boxes, punch cards and pull levers because thats what they have been programed to do.