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Subscribe to RSSLatest polls: States: CO: CNN/ORC: Obama 50-48%, NC: High Point University: Romney 46-45%. WI: St. Norbert College: Obama 51-42%.
“Election officials were ordering generators, moving voting locations and figuring out how to transport poll workers displaced from coastal areas as Tuesday’s presidential election became the latest challenge for states whacked by Superstorm Sandy,” the AP writes. “The storm, which devastated East Coast communities with power outages, flooding and snow, had already disrupted early voting in parts of Maryland, West Virginia, New Jersey and North Carolina. With less than a week to go before the general election, officials in the hardest-hit states were scrambling to ensure orderly and fair balloting in places still dark or under water.”
And: Michael McDonald, a professor of public affairs at George Mason University in Virginia who studies turnout, said a calamitous weather event right before a presidential election was unprecedented. McDonald said that in such a tight presidential race any turnout diminished by Sandy could make a difference in the overall popular vote. ‘It’s unlikely disruptions from Sandy would affect the outcome of the election within those states,’ McDonald said. ‘But if those voters, who are mostly Democrats, end up being subtracted from the national popular vote, you'll get a lower vote share for Obama than he would have received if those people had voted.’”
A First Read analysis finds that in the coastal counties most affected by the storm in the four states affected by Sandy and assuming 2008 totals and a 15 percent reduction in turnout, President Obama would stand to lose a net of about 340,000 votes. He could lose 247,000 out of New York, 60,000 out of New Jersey, 29,000 out of Connecticut, and 3,600 out of Rhode Island.
If Obama wins, one reason, Charlie Cook says, is his early negative ads that helped define Romney: “If Obama ekes out an electoral-vote win, look back to last spring and summer, to the Romney campaign’s decision not to define him in a personal and positive way and the Obama campaign’s decision to roll the dice by spending an enormous amount of money to discredit Romney in the swing states, as the factors that led to the outcome.”
Susan Page notes the candidates have just four days left to seal the deal.
National Jorunal’s Reinhard: “Regardless of the outcome, the Hispanic vote will be one of the most important markers of the parties’ futures, pointing the way to newly competitive battlegrounds in traditionally Republican states across the country. Add conservative movement icon Grover Norquist, the antitax crusader, to the growing list of prominent Republicans who are sounding the alarm.”
One analysis has ad spending topping $1 billion already. NBC’s ad tracking has it at $980 million, on pace to top $1 billion.
AP outlines five things to watch in the home stretch: (1) Jobs report, (2) Election Day rain, (3) the fight over “change,” (4) Ohio, and (5) If Bloomberg endorsement matters.
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All I can say is go out and vote early if you can, and pray for the people on the East coast.
President Obama 2012
TAKE IT TO THE BANK…ROMNEY WINS OHIO!!!
Ohio IS a Republican state PERIOD!
41 of the last 49 years Ohio has had a Republican Governor.
The Ohio House and Senate are overwhelmingly Republican.
Every ELECTED Ohio Supreme Court Judge is Republican, 1 D. Justice Brown was APPOINTED
In the 88 Counties of Ohio, has about 750 elected officials and 600 are Republican.
Since 1960 Ohio has voted correctly in every presidential election.
In 1992 Ohio voted for Bill Clinton running against a failing Bush, Ohio chose the more viable candidate.
In 1996 Ohio voted for Bill Clinton running against Bob Dole, Ohio chose the more viable candidate.
In 2008 Ohio voted for Barack Obama because John McCain would not work with local Republicans, Ohio voted for the more viable candidate.
When you give Ohio NO option, Ohio will vote Democrat.
October 3rd 2012 Mitt Romney proved he was the ONLY option for Ohio in 2012!
Absentee votes: Comparing 5 days before the election in 2008 and 5 days before election in 2012. Democrat absentee votes are 230,000 short of 2008 and Republican absentee votes are plus 30,000.
Independent votes: All polls conducted for Independent voters show no less than a 10% advantage to Romney.
ROMNEY/RYAN 2012
...
UNEMPLOYMENT TICKS UP TO 7.9%
SEPTEMBER JOBS NUMBERS REVISED ALMOST IN HALF!
I’ll bet President Obama wishes this news didn’t come out for another week. ADP has revised September’s jobs numbers down to almost half of what was previously reported.
Polls are polls. This is close and no one has won yet.
But Obama still has the edge for what it's worth. We'll see...
Get out and vote for Obama and make sure.
LOL...ADP trying to change the unemployment method calculation...LOL, this is the problem with TeaBaggers, they do not understand, therefore not believe in science, they always have to be dragged into the next century. The change of 7.8 to 7.9% means that more workers have joined the labor force so they´re officially counted as unemployed. 171,000 new jobs were created in October, and the fact is that we have 25 straight months for positive job creation. Retards like you are only guided by hate, not facts, so you jump at the first opportunity you see to blindly attack, you want it to be true so badly that you would sabotage anything, even job creation numbers just to get away with your point.
But not today, not only are you wrong about your math, you´re wrong about your thought process in election outcome, perhaps you´re that desperate, or a paid troll. In any case, Ohio is going blue, early voting is widely lead by Obama 50 - 30 , and that accounts for 15% of the total votes, for Robmey to win he needs an overwhelming advantage in likely voters (that haven´t voted already) and he´s even down in those in average of 4 points. Even in the unlikely scenario that you give the total margin of error to Robmey, he still loses by an ample margin.
The only thing that I will take to the bank is your face when Obama is declared president for the second time lol...I´ll check back in here and ridicule you, is not like your reputation is on the line
Jeff, you better believe I'm voting for Obama. Foremost I am a woman and am not stupid enough to vote for Romney. Romney thinks women are second class citizens.
Let's face the facts people OBAMA HAS THIS RACE WON ALREADY! Look at the electoral college. Do you really think Obama will have more trouble getting to 270 than Romney? Time to face it republicans, your leaders are idiots. Romney is Bush disguised as Obama. ow he is the man for change???!!?! Imposter, fake flip flopping change faces by the day Romney. He has no clue on how to be diplomatic in foreign relations. He is bad for the economy because he will squeeze the middle class right out, and HIS OWN STATE IS VOTING OBAMA. Wake up people. Try again in 2016.
I find it very telling that the Republican ticket is not able to carry their own home states, where the voters know them the best. If Romney did such a good job in MA, you would think it would at least be close.
ADP is a joke. As someone who had the privy to release the Economic Indicators, such as this one. Those numbers are so precise and they are literally checked at least 10 to 15 times by different individuals. Dems nor Repubs have any contact nor any hand in changing or massaging these numbers. Trust me I did the job for 3 years. So I know the amount of tedious work that goes into producing those numbers.
Romney's lies about Jeep and Medicare and Welfare reform are catching up to him. His economic plan for our future has become so confusing due to his debate position shifts, no one really understands what he is for anymore.
Our economy is improving so much, Romney claimed the other day that he no longer thinks stimulus is necessary. The President's plan is working. Our economy would be improving faster if not for Congressional Republican obstruction of Obama's infrastructure and jobs bill in Summer 2011 when our economy needed a boost to stay above 3% growth.
According to Moody's Analytics, the President's plan for economic growth already in place and economic forces such as the recovering housing market, lower consumer debt, and higher consumer spending will produce 12 million jobs in the next 4 years. Romney seeks to convince us he will produce 12 milion jobs in the next 4 years. What he doesn't tell us is that he will depend on Obama's plan (already in place) and economy to do it.
OBAMA 2012....for America's fairer and better future.
AP says the jobs report is critical...
So the jobs report says: the unemployment rate rises from 7.8 to 7.9..
And First Read says it is "good news" for Obama... !!! What?
It's good because we added 180,000 jobs. the uptick in the jobless rate is because so many are back out on the job hunt, which is also good
The country is much better off than it was four years ago.
I agree with you Ricardo - at least from my working class family's perspective. We are all gainfully employed and we all make more money than we did 4 years ago - and much to bob's chagrin none of us are now or ever have been on food stamps or free lunch programs in the schools. Hope and change have worked very, very well for our working class family - thanks for asking!
GNOP Mantra - We don't need no fact checkers...We make up the facts!
Bob: Read the entire report and think again!
"2012: Romney is ahead or the national polls are wrong"
Bob - you are gonna totally flip out next Wed morning when R/R don't carry either of their home states, aren't you?
If Obama wins on Tuesday its time to move to one of the 11 more prosperous nations on this planet. Who would have ever imagined that the U.S. would be the 12th most prosperous nation on this planet. Thank you Mr. Obama for "Fundamentally Transforming" this nation into a loser! Thank you!
Yeah, it was Obama, not the recession at all...
I clearly remember hearing that if John F. Kennedy, a Catholic, won people would flee to Canada!
Bruce:
Please don't discourage him leaving. Farewell Deerhunter, please take all your inbred friends with you.
By the way, don't try Canada because they're tightening their borders due to this election.
deerhunter - please, please don't let any of our interstate or highway systems roll up and hit ya where the good Lord split ya on your way out! need help packing?
Deerfodder, If you plan on Going to one of the to 11 countries. They are all Socialist countries with Government run Health care. The Job numbers are great. People are finally re-entering the job market. There are millions of jobs not filled. MItler cant win.
Deerhunter you can go to China. Apparently they are doing better than we are. India is also a growing economy and if you are an executive you can hire people for a few rupees a day. Paradise cheap labor, no safety or environmental regulations. Yep, deerhunter pack your bags your plane is getting warmed up. We'll send the rest of your things later.
I don't think Obama had anything to do with Fundamentally Transforming you. More than likely you were born that way. :D
See you later hope you enjoy the social programs in those countries because the rest of us Americans would.
1 Norway
2 Denmark
3 Sweden
4 Australia
5 New Zealand
6 Canada
7 Finland
8 Netherlands
9 Switzerland
10 Ireland
11 Luxembourg
12 United States
bye bye
Blame Goldman Sachs, Bush and the GOP CEO's that run the banks, and got everybody into this financial mess. That's why Obama will win because most Republicans blame Obama for everything!!! Bush had the country for 8 years and his own party doesn't even like him. Obama had to bail out the banks because they laready screwed the economy up and he had no choice. Get your facts straight clown!! ha ha
Tivon: I wish you the best in the new country you select.
These replys are a good example why we need President Obama defeated. Our country has never been so full of hate for each other. I am a 42 yr old mother and wife, and I have never seen the world more cold and hateful as it is now. Even Mr. Strickland, who introduced the President at a rally claimed Romney was faking compassion. So, apparently, even compassion is not allowed with this administration.
How soon you forget benice...."he's a Muslim". And if you are hearing compassion from Hannity, Rush, Goldberg, Beck, westboro Baptist, Miller, etc., maybe it's time to lose your hate.
Well, if you think "this contentious election year is almost over..." - think again.
If Governor Romney wins an overwhelming Popular vote and the President wins (barely) the Electoral vote, it will be clear that the People will have been screwed.
Compromise? Yeah. Right.
Let the gridlock begin!
RICO
He was a Muslim. One of his school records, which I have seen, lists him as Muslim. He claims to be Christian now, even though he was a member of a church that did not require Muslims to formally renounce their faith to be members. Either way, that is unimportant. There is no religious litmus test for the Office of President of the United States in the Constitution.
The jobs report is great news. It will be on the minds of many in the voting booths
Yes Phil, especially those who got the jobs. To those who think it is not important perhaps you should check with someone who actually got one of those jobs? I'm going out on a limb here and guessing those folks are pretty happy about it.
The popularity, or 'horse race' polls are useless when looking at a presidential election; the only 'poll' that matters is the status of the electoral college numbers.
So many lies come from Romney that I would have a hard time believing anything from his mouth. I just assume he is all lies.
Ricardo - I do believe you'd be assuming correctly - all Mitt knows how to do is lie and whine, and lie some more.
Obama is going to win Michigan - Romney's birth state. Obama is going to win Massachusetts - Romney's home state.
Obama is going to win Wisconsin - Paul Ryan's state. That lying little fascist couldn't even pull his own state for Romney...which is one of the main jobs for him as V.P.
And after Christie and Bloomberg dissed Romney this week...to truly add the cherry on top of the sundae...The Salt Lake Tribune....the BIGGEST Mormon paper in Utah endorsed....say it with me...
BARACK OBAMA.
hahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahaha...You hear that sucking sound Republicans?
OUCH WILLARD, THAT HAD TO HURT. LMFAO!!!!!!
One thing for sure I do know - the folks in MA do not like Mitt one bit and I'm beginning to think the folks in WI don't like Paulie much better. Yippiee, what a team. How are the rest of us supposed to like and trust them when their own folks don't?
Ouch Willard -- who'd have thought it: a harshly truthful editorial on Romney and his sleazy evasions, decpetions and shape-shifting: from the Salt Lake City tribune, of all places.
They wrote "The president has earned a second term. Romney, in whatever guise, does not deserve a first". And they are right.
You won't be laughing tomorrow under a Romney presidency will you?? Romney will win. Mark my words. Start your whine speach writing now. You want to have all your ducks in a row when OBAMA LOOSES!
It is interesting how Romney supporters try to spin today's job number has negative.Exit this site,and look at the REAL world online and on cable news.Please republicans,come out of your fantasy world.99 % of headlines today read "Jobs report number indicates a significant increase in jobs created,far exceeding experts anticipated results.A big boost for president Obama as the economy improves".As for Ohio,I have only one question.."Why is Romney trying to lose Ohio ?".He is being slammed by his lies telling Ohioans that their jeep jobs will go to China.All of the major Ohio newspapers are slamming Romney for his lies.Even Chrysler and GM are hitting Romney hard...yet Mr. Romney continues to lie on this issue.This has been a terrible week for Mr. Romney.The Real Clear Politics site now shows Obama +0.3 in the national poll average,and ahead in 95% of the swing states.Mitt Romney is dropping like a lead balloon in ALL of the polls.America is sick of his lies.One Ohio worker at a jeep plant in Ohio who had worked for 14 years at the plant told the media it was sick that Romney has lied to his community and family saying he would lose his job.Shame on you Mr. Romney.Anything for a vote.
A few short weeks ago when the election wasn't as close I consistantly read from right leaning posters that the polls were skewed, they should be ignored and that they used the wrong methods etc. etc. Now, that the race has tightened and some of the polls actually have Romney up by a point or two those very same pollsters are fair and accurate. What happened? Did they change the demographics? Did they changed methods? If they did, what would they gain by doing so? Maybe nothing of that sort has changed with the polsters and what we are seeing with our friends on the right is pure hypocrisy as they now tout the polls "guaranteeing" a win for their guy.
So true. Because "far right" = sleaze and deception, and for the really far-gone cases, self deception too.
You lose Romney !!! You lose!!! Middle class wins!!!
Obama 2012
Yes, yes, yes.
OBAMA / BIDEN 2012 !!!!
This is why we dont need a black President.. He lies, he cant admit when he is wrong.. He blames everyone else.. People vote for him only for his color and because they are afraid not too. Their neighbors would kill them.. He lies and lies.. HE is a joke.. Black on smack...He is not winning. I talk with friends and they are from Ohio and Pa. and they say they are all voting for Romney...
NEWS FLASH!! All of twoann's friends from OH and PA are voting for Romney. I guess that proves that Romney will win. Great thinking twoann!
I am a registered Republican and I am voting for Barack Obama because he turned our country in the right direction after Bush and Cheney drove it over a cliff. Romney would not be good for our country in the same way that Bush and Cheney were not good for our country. Vote for Barack Obama for president. He has done a good job for our country.
The Republicans did nothing but obstruct, lie, obstruct and then lie some more. The Republican party has turned so far to the right that they now have their heads up their asses.
I'm voting for the guy who DIDN'T do coke, heroin n list himself as a foreign student on his hidden college transcripts
I'm voting for the guy who DIDN'T have a mom who was anti-Capitalistic Pro-Stalin lover & a Muslim dad that followed Marxist teaching despised the White British colonial & then nurtured by a anti-USA card carrying Pro-Stalin Communist Frank M Davis -
I'm voting for the guy who DIDN'T attend multiple PLO Arafat Anti-USA Anti-Jewish fundraisers in Chicago w/ PLO leader Rashid Kahlidi
I'm voting for the guy who ISN'T now being advised by Iranian born Valerie Jarret and his beginning political career was funded by Bill (codepink) Ayers ( you know some guy from the neighborhood )
- so Yea as a lifelong DEM I'm voting for the Good Looking Fiscal Genius who gives $4+ Million away to Charity every year and has SUCCEEDED in every endeavor He's touched
Yup...Romney has been especially good at buying American companies, tearing them apart, and sending the job overseas...not exactly a skill set we need for rebuilding America.
Judging from his extremely low approval rating when he left office in Massachusetts, I don't think I would call that a SUCCESS either?
Maybe you should at least spend 10 minutes doing a little research on you MAN before posting bull@!$%#!
Maybe you should do a little reasearch on your President. I don't think you will like what you find.
I find it extremely sad, given the amount of factual information that is easily accessible, that so many Americans are too lazy, or stupid, or both, to invest just a little time doing some research.
This is MSNBC. Obama could be polled, shown to be losing 250 million votes to 100, but MSNBC would still show him winning. The most negative, hate-filled cast on cable news: Chris Matthews, Rachel Maddow, Ed Schultz, and Lawrence O'Donnell. These four personalities are television's most radically liberal and totally left-biased (never mistakenly equate them with being journalists because true journalists report truth without personal agendas). These four individuals are the most anti-American, anti-God, anti-family and anti-life news personalities ever to broadcast in this nation's history. After Obama wins and ultimately destroys this nation, according to his plans, maybe then you four professional liars will wake up. God have mercy on this nation and the extremely negative, hate-filled four news personalities on MSNBC news. Romney could be shot and they would be dancing on their individual news segments.
I am a registered Democrat and I am voting for Mitt Romney because he will turn our country in the right direction after Obama and Biden nearly drove it over a cliff. Romney would be good for our country Vote for Mitt Romney for president. He will do a good job for our country.
Romney/Ryan 2012