NBC/WSJ/Marist polls: Obama leads in Iowa, running neck and neck in N.H, Wis.

Less than a week before Election Day, President Barack Obama holds a statistically significant lead over Republican nominee Mitt Romney in the battleground of Iowa, while the two candidates are locked in tight races in New Hampshire and Wisconsin, according to new NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist polls.

In Iowa, Obama is ahead by six points among likely voters, 50 percent to 44 percent, which is down from his eight-point lead earlier this month.

In Wisconsin, the president edges Romney by three points, 49 percent to 46 percent, which is within the survey’s margin of error. That’s also down from Obama’s six-point lead earlier this month.

Read the Wisconsin poll here (.pdf)

And in New Hampshire, Obama gets support from 49 percent of likely voters, while Romney gets 47 percent. In September, before the debates began, Obama held a seven-point advantage in the state, 51 percent to 44 percent.

As the storm cleanup begins, the Republican presidential candidate is facing questions about his position on the federal government's role in disaster relief. NBC's Peter Alexander reports.

“To be at 49 or 50 [percent] is a good number this close to Election Day,” Lee Miringoff, the director of the Marist College Institute for Public Opinion, says of the president.

“But he doesn’t have to look far over his shoulder to see that half of the electorate isn’t with him and Romney is close.”

Yet Miringoff adds, “It is always better to be ahead than behind.”

Gender gap, early voting helping Obama
The surveys were conducted Oct. 28-29 – almost all of the interviews were conducted before Hurricane Sandy hit the East Coast, including New Hampshire – and they show a gender gap that’s benefitting Obama.

In all three states, he enjoys a double-digit lead among women (by 16 points in Iowa and New Hampshire, and by 14 points in Wisconsin).

Read the New Hampshire poll here (.pdf)

Meanwhile, Romney leads among men (by four points in Iowa, eight in Wisconsin, and 11 points in New Hampshire).

What’s also helping Obama is early voting.

In Iowa, according to the poll, 45 percent of respondents say they have already voted early or plan to do so, and Obama is winning those voters by nearly 30 points, 62 percent to 35 percent.

But Romney is winning Iowa voters who plan to vote on Election Day by 20 points, 55 percent to 35 percent.

New York is planning to put up tents that will act as polling places, but in the end the NBC's Chuck Todd says the burden of finding a place to vote remains with the voter.

(Iowa’s Secretary of State’s office says that nearly 532,000 early and absentee votes have been received as of Oct. 30, and that’s about 35 percent of the 2008 electorate in the state. But it also says that a total of 660,000 absentee ballots have been requested, and that’s 43 percent of Iowa’s 2008 electorate.)

In Wisconsin, 25 percent say they have already voted or will do so before Election Day, and those voters are breaking to Obama by a 59 percent to 39 percent clip.

Read the Iowa poll here (.pdf)

And in New Hampshire, just 10 percent say they will be voting early, and Obama wins that small segment, 56 percent to 42 percent. Among Election Day voters in the state, 48 percent back Romney and 47 percent support Obama.

Higher favorable ratings benefitting Romney
However, what has helped Romney close the gap in these three states has been his rising favorable ratings since September.

The former Massachusetts governor’s favorable/unfavorable rating among likely voters in New Hampshire is 49 percent/46 percent – which is up from 43 percent/52 percent a month ago.

Reuters, Getty Images

In the final push in the 2012 presidential election, candidates Mitt Romney and Barack Obama make their last appeals to voters.

His score in Wisconsin is 47 percent/47 percent, which is improved from 43 percent/46 percent in September.

But in Iowa, Romney’s favorable/unfavorable rating remains upside down at 43 percent/49 percent.

Also, Romney leads Obama by three points in New Hampshire on which candidate would do a better job handling the economy (49 percent to 46 percent). But the two men are tied on this question in Iowa (at 45 percent each) and in Wisconsin (47 percent apiece).

Other findings

•       Obama’s job-approval rating among likely voters is at 49 percent in Wisconsin and 48 percent in New Hampshire and Iowa.

•       In Wisconsin’s competitive Senate contest, Democrat Tammy Baldwin gets the support of 48 percent of likely voters and Republican Tommy Thompson gets 47 percent.

•       And in New Hampshire’s race for governor, Democrat Maggie Hassan leads Republican Ovide Lamontagne by five points, 49 percent to 44 percent.

The NBC/WSJ/Marist polls were conducted Oct. 28-29 of 1,142 likely voters in Iowa (which has a margin of error of plus-minus 2.9 percentage points), 1,013 likely voters in New Hampshire (plus-minus 3.1 percentage points) and 1,065 likely voters in Wisconsin (plus-minus 3.0 percentage points).

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Comment author avatarhungrymongooseExpand Comment Comment collapsed by the community

Nice try libbies. Romney is going to win and you just can't stand it!

It's time to seperate the men from the boys. Romney is going to get in there and get this country running again, and I love it.

  • 81 votes
#1 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 12:06 AM EDT
Comment author avatarKJNCExpand Comment Comment collapsed by the community

No. . . . .SORRY . . . .

Myth Robme is going to lose.

see post #4, for ACCURATE POLLING.

:-)

VOTE O & JOE, FOR THE 47%, FOR THE 100%!

  • 112 votes
#1.1 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 12:18 AM EDT
Comment author avatarPotter82Expand Comment Comment collapsed by the community

Yes Rasmussen is right and everyone else is wrong. Sure. I love how people see that their candidate is behind in a series of important swing states less than a week before election and their first response is to definitively say that their candidate is going to win. I bet you anything Romney wishes he was in Obama's shoes right now as opposed to vice-versa.

  • 76 votes
#1.2 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 12:26 AM EDT
Comment author avatarPaul BradfordExpand Comment Comment collapsed by the community

Keep telling yourself that....ignore the polls.....they are all biased,it's a huge conspiracy.It might help you sleep better tonight.Romney's views on eliminating FEMA and disaster relief for suffering Americans came to light this week during the terrible natural disaster of hurricane Sandy.Thank God that Mr. Romney was not president,if that was the case,those in need would be fending for themselves.

  • 82 votes
#1.3 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 12:27 AM EDT
Comment author avatarKanninExpand Comment Comment collapsed by the community

How can anyone vote for Obama after his betrayal?

Ambassador Stevens believed strongly that an attack was likely, and made multiple unambiguous requests for additional security in Libya.

In June 2012, the Consulate in Benghazi, Libya was damaged by an improvised explosive device. Stevens reported to his superiors that an Islamist group (Ansar al-Shariah?) had claimed credit for the attack. Shortly after that a British Embassy convoy in Benghazi was also attacked. And again, Ambassador Stevens requested more security forces for Benghazi.

Karen Keshap and Shawn P. Crowley, State Department employees, as well as Eric Nordstrom the State Department's Regional Security Officer, all made multiple complaints about the inadequate security in Benghazi. Crowley, had even apologized in an email for "being a broken record" on the subject of inadequate security in Benghazi.

In response to all these requests, the Obama Administration refused to increase security at the US Consulate in Benghazi, at all.

On the morning of September 11, Ambassador Stevens signed a three-page cable, labeled "sensitive," in which he noted "growing problems with security" in Benghazi. As before, he was ignored.

As a direct result of Obama's arrogance and incompetence, four Americans died! And now he is engaged in the most frantic coverup since Watergate.

  • 68 votes
#1.4 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 12:28 AM EDT
Comment author avatarelliot-3020456Expand Comment Comment collapsed by the community

Are we Still using the Dem +8 polling makeup from 2008?

Nobody, even the 0bama campaign, is projecting the dems to come out and vote 8% more than the repubs.

  • 56 votes
#1.5 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 12:29 AM EDT
Comment author avatarmike-2598123Expand Comment Comment collapsed by the community

it should be called the marxist polls, obama who should have been leading since his DNC convention was last and his so called leadership of hurricane sandy and yet now all you hear is obama is tied , talk about learning to settle for a close election when all you heard from liberals was obama was going to mop the floor with romney and now there butt is getting puckered and insults and threats of rioting is what you here from THE POOR LOSERS. I SAY LET THEM BURN DOWN THERE OWN NEIGHBORHOODS LIKE THEY ALWAYS DO AND THEN HAVE TO LIVE IN THAT @!$%# HOLE !!!!!

  • 31 votes
#1.6 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 12:32 AM EDT
Comment author avatarAndresTMExpand Comment Comment collapsed by the community

Nice try libbies. Romney is going to win and you just can't stand it!

Are you six years old?

Oh, or was I supposed to say, "I'm sorry for having ever believed Obama ever had a chance, oh Omniscient One"?

For more objective reference on how the race is going, here's Nate Silver's latest data of all swing states from ALL recent polls:

Wisconsin: 88.9% chance Obama win (up from last week)

Iowa: 75.8% chance Obama win

Ohio: 79.3% chance Obama win

Nevada: 84.9% chance Obama win

N.H.: 76.0% chance Obama win

Virginia: 60.1% chance Obama win

Colorado: 62.1 chance Obama win

Florida: 59.5% chance Romney win

N.C.: 81.4% chance Romney win

And, as a bonus in recognition of the Romney campaign's newfound inspiration to campaign in PA:

Pennsylvania: 95.3% chance Obama win

To those unfamiliar with Silver's work, these are aggregate numbers that include all pollsters' data and give more weight to those that have historically yielded less biased results. And yes, Rasmussen is one of the many pollsters computed into the probabilities, so don't try to Rasmussen your way out of this one.

But how accurate are his predictions? For the last election, he accurately predicted the outcome of every single Senate race. As for the presidential election, he did fail to predict the popular and electoral vote... by 1 percentage point and 1 state, respectively. Of course! He works for the New York Times, therefore he has a liberal bias! Actually, no. He erred on McCain's side. He overestimated McCain's popular vote by one percentage point and wrongly predicted that Indiana would go to him.

I know some of you far-right wingnuts don't have much appreciation for math, statistics, or facts in general. But to the more discerning reader, whether liberal or conservative: make no mistake, this is Obama's election to win. The so-called "Mittmentum" only served to give Mitt Romney ONE state (namely, Florida). The other seven swing states that were favoring Obama before the Denver debate are still favoring Obama. And no, the difference is not narrowing; by most accounts, Mitt Romney was closest to Obama right before the second debate, but ever since, Obama has been regaining some lost ground. Smart money says Obama will win by a slightly larger margin than polls show today.

Also, the same logic that would make Obama a traitor would make Bush and his FP advisors (many of whom are now working for Romney) thousandfold traitors, because there is plenty of evidence that they knew Osama was up to no good and they had been given plentiful warning that an attack on U.S. soil was going to happen.

  • 91 votes
#1.7 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 12:37 AM EDT
Comment author avatarJD1966Expand Comment Comment collapsed by the community

The Counter Surge is now in effect!!!

Vote Obama/Biden 2012! Protect Women's and Worker's Rights!!!

Get out and Vote!!

  • 89 votes
#1.8 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 12:38 AM EDT
Comment author avatarFuggetabouitExpand Comment Comment collapsed by the community

Keep wishing, hungrymongoose, when you do the math and break the polls down, Obama is still ahead. If you need me to do the math for ya, buudy, let me know. If Romnuts knew he was going to win, he would not be doubling down on that pathetic Jeep lie... Even Chrysler's come out and said he's full of $h$^$&t

Can't wait to hear your RWNJ head explode Tuesday night after Romnut's concession speech. I suggest you wear a plastic bag over your head so it's easier for us libbies to dispose of the little brain chunks...

"Fuggetabouit"

  • 59 votes
#1.9 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 12:39 AM EDT
Comment author avatarConfussed-1578043Expand Comment Comment collapsed by the community

Wisconsin of all states? What is wrong with you people? Haven't enough jobs gone to China or do you really blame the President for what Bain/Romney has beed doing for years? Shame on you!!!

  • 60 votes
#1.10 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 12:41 AM EDT

OHIO!!!!!!!!

Also today Rasmussen polling data make Obama the favorite.

  • 60 votes
#1.11 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 12:47 AM EDT
Comment author avatarTimes-Running-OutExpand Comment Comment collapsed by the community

Confussed-1578043

Read on my Dear Fellow

Follow The Jobs

A Record Of Failure Spanning The Globe

Over his four years in office, Obama promised that he would focus on creating "jobs that pay well and can't be outsourced." However, as he racked up trillions in new debt, billions of dollars did go to create jobs that were outsourced or spent overseas. Whether it is electric cars made in Finland or solar panels in Mexico,

Taxpayers would be astonished to learn that their hard earned money went abroad for jobs that weren't created in the United States.

"And I will invest $15 billion a year in renewable sources of energy to create five million new energy jobs over the next decade - jobs that pay well and can't be outsourced; jobs building solar panels and wind turbines and a new electricity grid; jobs that will help us eliminate the oil we import from the Middle East in ten years and help save the planet in the bargain. That's how America can lead again."

President Barack Obama, October 30, 2008

Tracing Obama's Overseas Investments

Electric Cars

Obama handed over billions of dollars in loan guarantees and stimulus awards pursuant to his goal of putting one-million electric vehicles on the road by 2015. Much of that money ended up leaving our shores. A $2.4 billion stimulus program to support battery production sent nearly half of its money to foreign firms, including two South Korean companies that used their awards to hire foreign nationals in Michigan to do work that Americans easily could have done. In the end, despite all the money Obama handed out, electric vehicle sales have lagged and The Washington Post deemed his goal of one million electric cars "overly optimistic."

Wind Farms

Obama's stimulus included over $8.5 billion in grants for wind farms that flowed overseas, despite Congressional criticism from both sides of the aisle. In total, over half of the money went to either foreign developers or foreign wind turbine manufacturers, creating thousands of jobs overseas with money that was supposed to create jobs within the United States. Even worse, hundreds of millions of dollars went to wind farms that began construction before the stimulus was passed. The end result of all this spending: the wind energy industry lost 10,000 jobs last year.

Manufacturing TaxCredits

As Obama was doling out over $2.3 billion in clean energy manufacturing tax credits that were supposed to create jobs in America, $880 million went to foreign firms. Worse still, some of those same recipients are now closing up shop and shipping jobs overseas.

Loan Guarantees

Remember Solyndra? The problems with Obama's loan guarantee program don't end there. The largest recipient of Obama's program to jumpstart green energy projects was the Spanish Company Abengoa, which took in $2.7 billion in loan guarantees for three of its projects. Other projects importing foreign-made solar panels are, much in the same way as Fisker Automotive, choosing to make their products overseas.

Switzerland

Swiss-Based Landis+Gyr Received Over $50 Million In Stimulus Contracts For Their Smart Grid Meters. Cathy Zoi, A Former Obama Energy Department Official, Held Over $250,000 Worth Of Stock In The Company As They Profited From Her Department's Policies. Zoi Had Previously Served As An Executive Director At Landis+Gyr Before Joining The Obama Administration.

China

Stimulus Funds

North Carolina-Based LED Maker Cree Inc. Received Over $39 Million Through The Stimulus And Later Opened Its First Plant In China. Over Half Of The Company's Employees Are Now Located In China And Cree's CEO Says The Company's Strategy Is "Cree Chip, China Heart."

Loan Guarantees

Sempra Received A $337 Million Loan Guarantee For An Arizona Solar Plant. The Solar Panels Will Be Supplied By SunTech, A Chinese Solar Panel Manufacturer.

Jobs Council

General Electric Cancelled An Order From Wind Turbine Manufacturer ATI Casting In Order To Get The Parts Cheaper From China. After ATI Offered To Match The Price, GE Still Refused The Order. ATI Was Forced To Layoff 302 Workers Due To The Move.

General Electric Has Also Been Criticized For Using Chinese Made Wind Towers Over American Towers At The Stimulus Funded Shepherds Flat Wind Farm In Oregon.

Stimulus Funds

Solar Power Industries Received A $5.4 Million Stimulus Grant Before Laying Off American Workers Based On An Increased Reliance On Imports From China.

Finland

Loan Guarantees

After Receiving A $500 Million Loan Guarantee, Fisker Automotive Is Producing Their $100K Luxury Electric Sports Car In Finland.

Denmark

Stimulus Grants

Subsidiaries Of Danish Wind Mill Maker Vestas Received $51.6 Million In Stimulus Grants To Build U.S. Based Factories. They Have Announced Plans To Layoff 180 U.S. Workers And Possibly Another 1,600 By The End Of The Year.

Stimulus Grants

The Windy Flats Project Began Construction Before The Stimulus Was Passed, Received A $218 Million Stimulus Grant And Used Wind Turbines Assembled By Seimans In Denmark.

Stimulus Funds

Danish Catalyst Company, Haldor Topsoe, Received A $25 Million Stimulus Award For The Construction Of A Demonstration Scale Biorefinery.

South Korea

Stimulus Funds

Two Korean Manufacturers Of Electric Vehicle Batteries Were Given $300 Million To Build Plants In Michigan. Union Workers Are Now Claiming That Foreign Nationals Are Being Brought In To Fill Jobs That They Could Take. The Department Of Energy Has Admitted That 11 Of The 18 Contractors On Site Are Asian Firms.

Stimulus Grants

The Gulf Wind Project Received A $179 Million Stimulus Grant And Sourced The Parts From South Korea, As Well As Japan And Mexico.

Australia

Stimulus Funds

The Melanoma Institute of Australia received a $162,000 stimulus contract to supply the National Cancer Institute with tumor samples.

Mexico

Stimulus Funds

SunPower Admits That Some of the Solar Panels for the $1.3 Billion Stimulus Backed California Solar Valley Ranch Will Be Manufactured At Their Facility In Mexico Rather Than Their Facility In California.

Stimulus Funds

ABB Inc. Received Over $16 Million in Stimulus Funds to Create Green Energy Manufacturing Jobs, the Company Has Laid Off Workers in the U.S. and Transferred Work To Mexico.

Dominican Republic

Stimulus Funds

Parago Used Stimulus Funds to Hire Hundreds of Workers in El Salvador and the Dominican Republic to Administer a Renewable Energy Appliance Rebate Program.

New Zealand

Stimulus Funds

A $817,000 Stimulus Contract Was Awarded To New Zealand's Connexionz To Install Bus Monitors For The City Of Santa Clarita. A Local Contractor That Could Have Performed The Work Objected To The Funds Going Overseas.

Thailand

Bailout Funds

After Taking A Taxpayer-Funded Bailout, General Motors Opened A $200 Million Plant In Thailand To Supply Diesel Engines For The Chevrolet Colorado Pickup Truck.

Vietnam

Jobs Council

General Electric Opened A $61 Million Factory In Hai Pong To Produce Wind Turbine Components. GE's CEO Jeffery Immelt Chairs The President's Jobs Council And The Company Has Received Over $1.2 Billion In Stimulus Funds.

Italy

Stimulus Funds

Brevini Wind Was Given A $12.75 Million Tax Credit To Build A Facility To Manufactuer Wind Turbine Gearboxes In Indiana. Over Two Years Later The Company Has Only Hired 70 Of The 450 Workers Promised And The Company Has Announced They Do Not Expect To Be Operating The Facility Until Late-2013.

Cashing In

Italian Wind Turbine Manufacturers Pulled In Over $84 Million In Cash Grants Through The Stimulus' 1603 Program.

Russia

Stimulus Funds

Ener1 Received Over $118 Million In Stimulus Funds To Produce Vechicle Batteries. After Going Bankrupt, It Was Acquired Outright By A Russian Investor, Sparking Security Concerns Surrounding The Company's Work for The U.S. Military.

Germany

Stimulus GRants

E.ON Climate & Renewables Received Over $440 Million In Stimulus Grants For Wind Farms That Began Construction Before The Stimulus Was Passed.

Stimulus Grants

At Least 25 Wind Turbines For Stimulus Funded Projects Were Supplied By German-Based Nordex.

Luxembourg

Stimulus Funds

Luxembourg-Based ArcelorMittal's Subsidiary Received $31.5 Million In Stimulus Funds For A Waste Heat Recovery Unit.

El Salvador

Stimulus Funds

Parago Used Stimulus Funds to Hire Hundreds of Workers in El Salvador and the Dominican Republic to Administer a Renewable Energy Appliance Rebate Program.

Great Britain

Stimulus Funds

$39 Million In Stimulus Funds Went To Navistar For Electric Delivery Trucks That Are Manufactured In Coventry, England.

Stimulus Grants

British Private-Equity Firm Terra Firma Received Over $40 Million In Stimulus Funds Through An American Wind Consortium It Bought Just Days Before The Stimumuls Funds Were Awarded.

India

Stimulus Grants

India-Based Suzlon And Its Subsidiaries Installed Over 200 Wind Turbines Under Obama's Stimulus Grant Program With Most Of The Materials Coming From Its Operations Overseas.

Spain

Stimulus Funds

Spain-Based Iberdrola Renewables Received $1.5 Billion In Loans And Grants And Claimed It Created Over 15,000 American Jobs But The Company Only Has 850 U.S.-Based Employees.

Stimulus Grants

Madrid-Based EDP Renewables Received Over $100 Million In Grants For Their Wind Farms and Announced In September 2011 That They Were Planning To Lay Off 10% Of Their North American Workforce.

Indonesia

Stimulus Funds

The EPA Gave A $1.5 Million Grant To Indonesia To Reduce Air Pollution In Jakarta.

Japan

Stimulus Grants

Japanese-Subsidiary Eurus Energy Received $91.4 Million In Stimulus Grants For A Wind Farm Completed Before The Stimulus Was Passed And Used 180 Turbines Manufactured Overseas By Mitsubishi.

France

Cashing In

French Wind Farm Developer EnXco Pulled In Over $69 Million In Cash Grants Through The Stimulus' 1603 Program.

  • 27 votes
#1.12 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 12:47 AM EDT
Comment author avatarKJNCExpand Comment Comment collapsed by the community

I agree, "confused" . . . . there are a lot of low-information voters hanging out here these days.

Anyone thinking of voting for Myth Robme, should first Google "BainPort"

No one who is in the 99% should vote for Robme & Lyin' Ryan . . . . he is only for the 1%

.

VOTE: O & JOE!

  • 66 votes
#1.13 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 12:49 AM EDT
Comment author avatarhungrymongooseExpand Comment Comment collapsed by the community

One

Big

A$$

Mistake

America

  • 33 votes
#1.14 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 12:50 AM EDT
Comment author avatarelliot-3020456Expand Comment Comment collapsed by the community

HI-HO Nate Silver with the libbies comfort blanket.

Silver’s approach was flawed in three ways:

1. Nate does not acknowledge the margin of error.

The first problem with Silver’s 87% certainty is the number of presidential elections used to arrive at a formula to predict future elections. Elections have changed completely since television, so you are talking about 13 elections of any real relevance. The margin of error basing any study on 13 Presidential elections is 27%. Can you imagine releasing a poll you had run of 13 likely voters and announcing that Romney led Obama 62% to 31% with 7% undecided? Because of the 27% margin of error, Romney might be as high as 89% or as low as 35% if based on only 13 respondents. While I am oversimplifying the comparison, the fact is there are not nearly enough presidential elections on which one can base an 87% prediction. When we ran very good models on how likely college prospects were to produce in the NBA, we had hundreds and hundreds of past performances, and on college projections, we analyzed thousands of player seasons. Presidential elections are unique, and 13 since the first TV debates are not nearly enough.

2. What percent of factors can you calculate?

Silver has to first acknowledge what percentage of factors he can and cannot measure – but there is no way he is measuring factors that constitute 87% of why an election is won, so to put a figure that high simply can’t be done with credibility.

When I publish basketball calculations I acknowledge that there are certain things that cannot be calculated – picks, the pass before the assist, etc., things for which subjective adjustments must be made, but most things can be tracked through stats. However, when I wrote a book calculating how good players were from the 1920s, there were far fewer stats, so I had to put a greater percentage of the valuation on subjective accounts, such as what was written about players.

When I crunch numbers for the hundreds of candidate and referenda campaigns in which I’ve been involved, I likewise balance polling and hard numbers with what we are hearing in door-to-door knocks (including records on knocks on the doors of 170,000 voters a couple of years ago) and at events and focus groups. In a presidential election, Silver can calculate a lot of things, but I’ve knocked on doors in eight states, I’ve been to hundreds of political meetings and organized turnout, and these subjective factors must be given weight. You can’t claim an 87% certainty on a presidential result based on statistical analysis alone.

Likewise, anyone involved in campaigns knows that the most dramatic shift for a challenger is often the first debate when, for the first time, voters perceive the challenger as an “equal” to the current President/Congressman, etc. While we certainly did not know that Obama would have such a bad debate, anyone who knew politics knew that the first debate would likely help Romney substantially, even if the two were equal. Thus, to put an 87% certainty on a win before what was very likely to be one of the most dramatic events of the campaign again shows naïveté on how political campaigns play out.

3. In light of the first two, Silver needs to adjust his certainty for how much of his prediction should be statistical/objective vs. experience/subjective.

John Pudner wrote his first statistical analysis for the New York Post more than 20 years ago, ranking pitchers on opposite Sundays from when Bill James ranked batters. Since then he has run more than 200 political campaigns for candidates or ballot issues while continuing to write statistical analysis for sports and developing a database of thousands of basketball players atwww.valueaddbasketball.com.

  • 23 votes
#1.15 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 12:51 AM EDT
Comment author avatarKJNCExpand Comment Comment collapsed by the community

. . . AND ALL THAT STUFF POSTED ABOVE BY "Times-Running-Out" @1.12 has been TOTALLY DEBUNKED:

http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/fact-checker/post/obama-and-outsourcing-a-guide-to-the-gops-charges/2012/07/11/gJQA1LBIeW_blog.html

AND THE JUNK POSTED BY "ELLIOT" IS strait off of Andrew RWNJ Breitbart's website!

.

GOOGLE is your friend, VOTERS!

:-)

O & JOE!

  • 64 votes
#1.16 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 12:54 AM EDT
Comment author avatarGT-2021701Expand Comment Comment collapsed by the community

To hell with the semantics, I knew Mitten's was beat a year ago....

O&Joe 2012

  • 61 votes
#1.17 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 12:54 AM EDT

"Charlie Turner, Demand Progress" <info@demandprogress.org>
" Pro-Romney firm owns Ohio voting machines"

"As this critical election nears, we're teaming up with our friends at CREDO Action to urge the Department of Justice to make sure there's no funny business in Ohio -- Will you join us?

Ohio could decide the election, and its voting machines are made by a company with very close ties to Mitt Romney. "




To quote this recent news article:

Click here to add your name to this petition to Attorney General Eric Holder:

"The Department of Justice must launch an immediate investigation into Hart Intercivic touch screen voting machines in Ohio, and take all actions necessary to block Republicans from stealing the 2012 presidential election with voting machines tied to the Romney family and campaign."

Add your name:

Learn more about this

"Voting machines tied to the Romneys could decide the election in Ohio.

Could a voting machine company with deep financial ties to the Romney family help Republicans steal the presidential election in Ohio?

It could happen. If this year's presidential election comes down to the electoral votes in Ohio, the deciding votes could be cast on electronic voting machines manufactured by Hart Intercivic.

Tell the Department of Justice: Don't let Republicans steal the election in Ohio with Romney-owned voting machines. Click here to sign the petition.

A 2007 study conducted by Ohio's Secretary of State showed that Hart Intercivic's touch screen voting machines could be easily corrupted. The New York Times reported:

At polling stations, teams working on the study were able to pick locks to access memory cards and use hand-held devices to plug false vote counts into machines. At boards of election, they were able to introduce malignant software into servers.1

Hart Intercivic is majority owned by H.I.G. Capital which controls two of the five seats on the Hart Intercivic board. An investment fund with deep ties to the Romney family and the Mitt Romney for president campaign, H.I.G. Capital was founded by Tony Tamer, a major bundler for the Romney campaign, and it is one of the largest partners of Solamere Capital, an investment fund founded by Tagg Romney and Spencer Zwick, Mitt Romney's chief fundraiser from the 2008 presidential campaign.2 This makes the Romney family part owner of the voting machine company, through it's interest in H.I.G. Capital.

Tell the Department of Justice: Don't let Republicans steal the election in Ohio with Romney-owned voting machines. Click here to sign the petition.

What's more, three other H.I.G. Capital directors are major fundraisers for the Romney campaign, and H.I.G. Capital is the 11th largest contributor to the Mitt Romney campaign.3 Two of the company's directors, Douglas Berman and Brian Schwartz, were even in attendance at the Boca Raton fundraiser4 where Romney infamously declared:

There are 47 percent of the people who will vote for the president no matter what… who are dependent upon government, who believe that they are victims, who believe the government has a responsibility to care for them, who believe that they are entitled to health care, to food, to housing, to you-name-it… These are people who pay no income tax…[M]y job is is not to worry about those people. I'll never convince them they should take personal responsibility and care for their lives.5

And as if the ties between Tagg Romney's Solamere, Romney contributors at H.I.G. Capital, and Hart Intercivic weren't astonishing enough, two members of Hart Intercivic's 5-member board of directors made direct contributions to the Romney campaign. That's right. Directors of the company that makes touchscreen voting machines that could decide the presidential election in Ohio, have made contributions to the Mitt Romney for President campaign.

It is disturbing and dangerous that Hart Intercivic, the company that makes the machines that will count many of the votes in Ohio on election night has deep financial ties to family members of Mitt Romney. And that its leadership has been actively involved presidential campaign by donating and bundling hundreds of thousands of dollars to the Mitt Romney. The fact that these machines are easily corruptible touch screen voting machines makes matters even worse.

Gov. Mitt Romney and President Barack Obama are locked in a tight election race which could very well be decided by Ohio's 18 electoral votes. We must take action now."

http://act.demandprogress.org/go/749?t=12&akid=1823.527534.FLieYN

"Thank you for all you do to protect the integrity of our Democracy.

Becky Bond, Political Director
CREDO Action from Working Assets

1. Bob Driehaus, "Ohio Elections Official Calls Machines Flawed," New York Times, December 15, 2007.
2. Rick Ungar, "Romney Family Investment Ties To Voting Machine Company That Could Decide The Election Causing Concern," Forbes, October 20, 2012.
3. "Mitt Romney (R) Top Contributors." Open Secrets, October 1, 2012.
4. Dave Gilson, Who Was at Romney's "47 Percent" Fundraiser?, Mother Jones, Sept. 18, 2012.
5. MoJo News Team, "Full Transcript of the Mitt Romney Secret Video," Mother Jones, September 19, 2012."

  • 20 votes
#1.18 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 12:56 AM EDT
Comment author avatardescrs-1664846Expand Comment Comment collapsed by the community

Obama is going to win by a landslide!!! The writing is on the walls and I cannot wait to see the Republican response!!! This is going to be SO MUCH FUN!!! Thank you Ohio... we KNEW you were the smart ones!!!

  • 58 votes
#1.19 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 12:58 AM EDT
Comment author avatarDaniel StreibigExpand Comment Comment collapsed by the community
  • NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist polls = Subtract 3% from Obama and Add 2% to Romney = reality...
  • 18 votes
#1.20 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 1:19 AM EDT

Dedicated to KJNC and other Cliff Notes loyalists:

Updated as of 1:30am EST on Thursday, November 1 (Happy All Souls Day!):

With only 119 hours left to go in the 2012 presidential campaign, Real Clear Politics has Obama leading in eight of their eleven toss-up states with Romney leading in three.

In descending order of 'percentage of lead' in favor of Obama, followed in ascending order of 'percentage of lead' in favor of Romney, here are the published averaged numbers from RCP as of 1:30am EST together with the most recent FiveThirtyEight election night probabilities of victory for either candidate:

In PENNSYLVANIA, with 20 electoral votes, Obama's lead has dropped slightly to 4.6%, down from Tuesday's 4.7%. Nonetheless, FiveThirtyEight currently gives Obama a 95.3% chance of victory here, up 1.1% from Tuesday.

In WISCONSIN, with 10 electoral votes, Obama's lead has risen to 4.0%, up substantially from Tuesday's 2.3%. FiveThirtyEight currently gives Obama an 88.9% chance of victory here, up a significant 3.2% from Tuesday.

In MICHIGAN, with 16 electoral votes, Obama's lead has fallen to 3.0%, down significantly from Tuesday's 4.0%. However, FiveThirtyEight currently gives Obama a 98.1% chance of victory here, an unchanged percentage from that of Tuesday.

In NEVADA, with 6 electoral votes, Obama's lead is holding at 2.4%. FiveThirtyEight currently gives Obama an 84.9% chance of victory here, up a substantial 5.2% from Tuesday.

In OHIO, with 18 electoral votes, Obama's lead has risen to 2.3%, up slightly from Tuesday's 2.1%. FiveThirtyEight currently gives Obama a 79.3% chance of victory here, up a substantial 6.0% from Tuesday.

In IOWA, with 6 electoral votes, Obama's lead has fallen to 1.3%, down significantly from Tuesday's 2.3%. However, FiveThirtyEight currently gives Obama a 75.8% chance of victory winning here, up 1.9% from Tuesday.

In NEW HAMPSHIRE, with 4 electoral votes, Obama's lead has fallen to 1.0%, down significantly from Tuesday's 2.0%. Interestingly, FiveThirtyEight currently gives Obama a 76.0% chance of victory here, up a substantial 5.7% from Tuesday.

In COLORADO, with 9 electoral votes, Obama's lead has risen to 0.5%, up from Tuesday's tie. FiveThirtyEight currently gives Obama a 62.1% chance of victory here, up a substantial 6.7% from Tuesday.

---------------------------------------------------------------------

In VIRGINIA, with 13 electoral votes, Romney's lead has risen to 0.5%, up from Tuesday's tie. Interestingly, FiveThirtyEight currently gives Obama a 60.1% chance of victory here, up 2.3% from Tuesday.

In FLORIDA, with 29 electoral votes, Romney's lead has fallen to 1.2%, down slightly from Tuesday's 1.3%. FiveThirtyEight currently gives Romney a 59.5% chance of victory here, down a substantial 5.2% from Tuesday.

In NORTH CAROLINA, with 15 electoral votes, Romney's lead has risen to 3.8%, up from Tuesday's 3.0%. FiveThirtyEight currently gives Romney an 81.4% chance of victory here, an unchanged percentage from that of Tuesday.

So...

All in all, while Romney's polling percentages in six of the eleven toss-ups has improved over the past two days, his chances of winning in four of these six (Pennsylvania, Iowa, New Hampshire, and Virginia) has actually declined. This curious development is a function of Romney losing the race against the clock where his gains are simply not occurring quickly enough to make a difference.

In any case, in order for Obama to win re-election the least complex route appears to be through maintaining his current lead in the five toss-up states where his existing margins are widest (Pennsylvania at 4.6%, Wisconsin at 4.0%, Michigan at 3.0%, Nevada at 2.4%, and Ohio at 2.3%). Doing so would bring his electoral vote total on Election Day to 271. In this scenario, Obama could still surpass 270 while failing to hold Iowa, New Hampshire, and Colorado.

However, should Obama fail to hold Ohio, the loss could effectively be neutralized by any of the following combination of wins from states where FiveThirtyEight is currently predicting Obama victories:

Path #1: Obama loses Ohio but wins Iowa, New Hampshire, and Colorado resulting in 272 electoral votes.

Path #2: Obama loses Ohio but steals Virginia while also taking New Hampshire, Iowa, or Colorado resulting in 270, 272, or 275 electoral votes, respectively.

Interestingly, with Romney's lead having diminished significantly in Florida over the past two weeks and with Hurricane Sandy forcefully highlighting the stark contrast between the candidates regarding the value and necessity if not the mere existence of FEMA in a state which has perhaps the greatest dependence on federal storm relief efforts in the nation, a 3rd path has now emerged which could provide for some interesting election night television:

Path #3: Obama comes from behind to win Florida. This scenario would require only that Obama win the three states in which his present leads are widest (Pennsylvania at 4.6%, Wisconsin at 4.0%, and Michigan at 3.0%), resulting in 276 electoral votes.

For Romney to unseat Obama, he not only would have to hold the three states in which he presently leads, Florida, North Carolina, and Virginia bringing his electoral vote total to 248, but also steal a victory in Colorado where Obama's lead today rose to 0.5% and in Ohio where Obama's lead today settled at 2.3%. By so doing, Romney's electoral vote total would reach 275.

Should Romney fail to steal Ohio he could overcome this shortfall by capturing the four other states in which Obama's current leads are smallest (Colorado at 0.5%, New Hampshire at 1.0%, Iowa at 1.3%, and Nevada at 2.4%) resulting in an electoral vote total of 273.

In either scenario, however, Romney must hold Florida at all costs.

FiveThirtyEight this morning estimates the chance of Election Day victory for each candidate as follows: Obama 78.4% (up from yesterday's 77.4%) and Romney 21.6% (down from yesterday's 22.6%).

FiveThirtyEight also projects that on Election Day the final electoral tally will be as follows: Obama 300 (up from yesterday's 299) and Romney 238 (down from yesterday's 239).

Lastly, although it makes no difference in terms of the final result which can only be determined by the Electoral College, FiveThirtyEight currently predicts a national popular vote distribution on Election Day as follows: Obama 50.5% (up from yesterday's 50.4%) and Romney 48.6% (also up from yesterday's 48.5%).

With only 119 hours of campaigning left, the fog finally appears to be lifting on this one.

  • 20 votes
#1.21 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 1:26 AM EDT
Comment author avatarAn Independent ThinkerExpand Comment Comment collapsed by the community

Which man is BEST for ALL AMERICANS ??? IT’S YOUR CHOICE!!

1.) One, who practices true Christianity with concern and compassion for all; or one, who cares for the 2% and to Hell with the 47%

2.) One, who demonstrates clarity and calmness; or one, who uses “FEAR TACTICS” to create confusion?

3.) One that demonstrates morality and integrity; or one that demonstrates greed and concerns for the 2% wealthy elite while expressing that he doesn’t care about the 47%?

4.) One that shows respect the women and provide them with their choice of appropriate healthcare; or one that backs a candidate (Murdock), who claims RAPE and PREGNACY are "GOD’S INTENTION" as-well-as a "GIFT FROM GOD", or one (Akin), who wants to legitimize (Akin) the rape of women and children?

5.) One, who clearly DOES NOT suffer from amnesia; or a CHAMELEON with changing colors on the hour by the hour depending on where he is and telling them what they want to hear in order to get their votes?

6.) One, who puts a NATIONAL DISASTER FIRST and CAMPAIGNING LAST as-well-as visiting the areas of calamity; or one lacking in personal character, whose main concern was to campaign in Ohio (a critical electoral State) on Tues. (as the storm still continues to wreak havoc) while doing this under the guise of helping the victims with the planned opportunity for a “POLITICAL PHOTO OP” as he packs a few boxes which the Red Cross has expressed donations be given in the form of money, since they know what is actually needed and can get it there faster?

7.) One, who has visited the storm area immediately; or one, who is too busy campaigning on the trail, and has yet to visit the disaster area?

8.) One, who demonstrates CHARACTER, HONESTY, and CONCERN for ALL; or one, who doesn’t care about the 47%, too busy attending expensive fund raising dinner events, and refuses to show his tax reports (when other candidates--to include Obama-- who has shown 10 or more tax reports)?

9.) One, who encourages investing in America; or one, with off shore accounts, and as the acting President for the Board of Trustees and Investment Member is currently sending a company, Asentia (not sure of spelling), overseas to China for sweat-shop wages (less than $1.00 per hr.)?

10.) One, who wants realistic benefits; or one, who wants to eliminate all entitlements, and replace some with vouchers to invest in often very unstable stock markets. If you lose with the investment, there goes your healthcare, because it’s your loss?

11.) One, who wants to reform the taxes, eliminate the loopholes, and make the wealthy elite pay more of their fair share of taxes; or one, who wants the wealthy to have even bigger tax breaks , because they need the money to hire workers, which they have not done during the Great Recession, but do have billions to spend on Campaign Ads ?

12. One , who believes in the right to vote; or one who condones Voters Suppression?

13. One, who believes in transparency and truth; or one, who continually runs away from the press by hiding or ignoring their questions presented 31 times?

14.) One, who realizes that the private sector cannot handle major catastrophes, and allows the Govt. to step in with aid; or one, who wants to privatize everything (so his companies overseas can take on the contracts for profit) and expects the private sector to handle everything on their own? (Can you just see NJ handling $50 B on their own now, or in the immediate future?)

15.) Real leadership that looks like ONE, who shows up and is out there with a National Disaster area while cutting through the “red tape” to get help moving sooner; or one, who is busy campaigning in Swing States while using the storm (during the storm) as a “Photo Op Event” under the guise of a “Disaster Relief Event” with canned goods when the Red Cross asked for cash or blood donations, since they know what is needed?

16.) Someone, who lives in this universe, or someone, who lives in a parallel universe with a gold self-serving spoon in his mouth?

17.) one, who realistically tries to provide the help where needed; or one, who professes, “YOU CAN”T PUT UP THE RICH ELITE ON THE TABLE; BUT YOU CAN PUT UP THE MEDICARE, MEDICAID, SS, and HEALTHCARE ON THE TABLE”. Just Privatize everything with vouchers!!” ?

18.) The “OCT. SURPRISE” is one, who shows one more concern with the needs of our Country while placing campaigning last; or one, who is more concerned with his own needs by campaigning negatively in the “Swing States”, and not even visiting to take a closer look at the disaster areas??

19.) One who tries stabilize and to bring our Country together; or one, who "Flip-flops" hourly as Mitt does, which doesn’t help to stabilize our Country in hard economic times of distress, etc.?


Get out and vote like your job and life depend on the Right Choice! Don’t let the corporate bosses threaten, or intimidate you with a job loss if you don’t vote for the Republican Choice. Help take America back from the elitist control by pressuring for reforms!!


Vote a straight Democratic ticket across the Board!!


Vote Obama/Biden, who care for 100% of America !!

  • 52 votes
#1.22 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 1:51 AM EDT
Comment author avatarstarsailingExpand Comment Comment collapsed by the community

ROMNEY THE LYING COWARD CAUGHT LYING AGAIN WITH FAKE CHARITY DRIVE YESTERDAY!!!!

Your coward staged a fake charity drive.....a fake staged charity drive...went to Wal mart...bought 5 thou worth of canned goods , granola bars ...sent them TO STAGED area, had people walk over pick up something then walk over to Mittster the phoney and hand him the Romney bought stuff as if people were walking up with their own goodies to give....gawkers.....duped into being fake charity people.......Romney has no bounds to his insanity!

THE LYING COWARD HAS NOT ANSWERED REPORTERS QUESTIONS NOW FOR 3 WEEKS. NOW THE FAKE CHARITY DRIVE FOR DISASTER VICTIMS....WHAT KIND OF PERSON WOULD VOTE FOR THIS INSANITY?

  • 52 votes
#1.23 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 1:53 AM EDT
Comment author avatarstarsailingExpand Comment Comment collapsed by the community

....THOUSANDS OF AMERICANS THAT BUSH CHENEY ROVE AND THE 17 ADVISERS THAT ROMNEY HIRED DIED AFTER THEY WERE SENT TO IRAQ WITH BUSH LIE INTO WAR FOR WAR PROFITS.

THOUSANDS MORE ....WOUNDED AND STILL DYING.....AND ROMNEY WANTED TO KEEP 30,000 TROOPS IN IRAQ.....SO HE COULD GET A SLICE OF THE WAR PROFIT.

YOUR COWARD IN CHIEF ROMNEY RAN AWAY TO FRANCE WHILE THOUSANDS OF AMERICANS GAVE THEIR LIVES IN VIET NAM.....

Your coward in chief said he would not go after Bin laden because it cost too much.

Your coward in chief said later in life about the Viet Nam war...he wished he could have been a part of it. He could have...the lying coward just had to sign up!

Your lying coward said after President Obama killed Bin Laden ..he would have made the same decision.....the liar..he said it was too expensive to go after Bin Laden...

Romney ...your coward in chief...when you need one!

President Obama and team America killed Bin Laden when Bush quit and Romney wouldn't!!!

REPUBLICONS PUT IN PLACE VOTER SUPPRESSION LAWS TO RIG THE ELECTIONS FOR ROMNEY AND ARE CAUGHT COMMITTING VOTER FRAUD.

ROMNEY FAMILY OWN COMPANIES THAT HAVE VOTING MACHINES SET FOR THE ELECTIONS...OBVIOUSLY ONLY FOR ONE REASON..TO RIG THE ELECTIONS...

SO GET OUT AND VOTE FOR PRESIDENT OBAMA/BIDEN AND TEAM AMERICA.....DON'T TRUST ANY POLLS.......MAKE EVERY VOTE COUNT FOR THE REAL LEADER, PRESIDENT OBAMA. The REAL ....PROVEN LEADER.

  • 47 votes
#1.24 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 2:02 AM EDT
Comment author avatarstarsailingExpand Comment Comment collapsed by the community

WHY DO ROMNEY/RYAN AND REPUBLICANS HATE SENIORS?

Seniors vote to protect their Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid and the Post Office. Republicons want to privatize it all for greedy profit!

WHY DO REPUBLICONS CREATE VOTER SUPPRESSION LAWS TO STOP THE ELDERLY FROM VOTING? Seniors vote to protect their Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid and the Post Office. Repubs want to privatize it all for greedy profit! Romney and Ryan want to kill those programs for their greedy rich friends who want part of that action!

Republicons plan to privatize everything leads to more profits for the Romney greedy rich and the elimination of programs that serve seniors and America well!!!!

Don't count on the polLs...count on yourself and VOTE FOR PRESIDENT OBAMA/BIDEN 2012

Vote President Obama/Biden and Team Democratic Party 2012, protect the elderly and America from the greedy rich!

  • 39 votes
#1.26 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 2:14 AM EDT

Not only did the Romney Campaign completely fake the donated goods collection, while volunteers were packing up the contraband, they had to wait for Ryan to show up so he could do another pretend-to-be-helping photo op. Talk about

These are the guys you want?? Really??? You're SURE????

Obama/Biden 2012 Because real leaders don't need to fake it.

  • 42 votes
#1.27 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 2:21 AM EDT

msnbcmfe - I enjoy reading your statistics - long but enjoyable, but atleast they're factual. I don't think there was anyone who thought it would be a landslide, well maybe a few. I find that people are voting against Obama as much as voting for Romney, which could explain his negativity in the polls all those awful ads.

Obama hasn't been perfect, but I think Obama has been wrongly blamed for many things in his time including this "recession". Republicans and those blue-dog Democrats blocked every jobs bill put out there by Obama, remember Congress just voted down the Veterans Jobs Bill. Many people think we should be out of this downturn by now, Obama has had 4 years- what the heck has he been doing all this time. A mess was left by GWB and the Republican Congress hasn't helped a dang bit. Well folks the Great Depression lasted from 1929 to 1941, virtually 12 years, only WWII helped.

Some people on this blog have so much hate for Obama, they don't sound rational and its scary. I only pray you are right in your analysis. After all George Bush only won in 2004 by 2.4%. This should make some mad. It is said he stole that election too-http://www.fromthewilderness.com/free/ww3/110804_stolen_election.shtml

  • 32 votes
#1.28 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 2:23 AM EDT
Comment author avatarstarsailingExpand Comment Comment collapsed by the community

YES GRAMMA....ROMNEY EVEN HIRED BLACKS TO SHOW UP AT NCAAP MEETING AND HIRED THEM TO APPLAUSE WHEN HE SPOKE...! RYAN TOOK CLEAN POTS AND PANS AND STAGED FAKE HELPING A SOUP KITCHEN FOR THE POOR!

AS FAKE AS THE TWO CLOWNS/LIARS ARE...DON'T TRUST THE POLLS, GET EVERYONE OUT TO VOTE.

Paul Ryan and republicons pledged the night President Obama took office, to vote and obstruct every bill that would make America better, pledged to vote and obstruct every bill that would make president Obam look better at the 2012 elections.

Republicans are proud that they slowed the economy down, then blame what they did on President Obama.

Republicons pledged to act like Taliban terrorists to take the economy down...and they did.

Vote President Obama/Biden and Team America 2012....vote for real Americans!

  • 38 votes
#1.29 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 2:26 AM EDT

The memo, from an adviser to a local GOP campaign, said that the Democratic turnout effort is “cleaning our clock.”

http://saintpetersblog.com/2012/10/in-early-voting-florida-gop-operative-says-democrats-are-cleaning-our-clock/

  • 18 votes
#1.30 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 4:30 AM EDT

To all of my NH Friends... Mitt is not the solution to anything.

  • 35 votes
#1.31 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 5:24 AM EDT

hungrymongoose

Nice try libbies. Romney is going to win and you just can't stand it!

Now there's a true GOP'er.

I want the world to be flat so I will just say so!!

  • 32 votes
#1.32 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 6:54 AM EDT
Comment author avatarsteve-1962Expand Comment Comment collapsed by the community

Why are demorats so against getting this country back to work? I seen 1 post that said to protect women and workers rights.

All women are protected from the abuses of the demorats and the Unions are those that want to protect the workers rights. I could tell right off he was a union person. A normal person with a good job works to keep it they do NOT have to rely on a union to keep there lazy ass in there job. A union is good for keeping lazy people there jobs a good worker does not need a union they will be able to find work anywhere in this country.

NOBAMA 2012 Lets get this country back to working again. We all deserve better than what we have now.

  • 11 votes
#1.33 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 7:07 AM EDT

a lead is a lead...for the president

4 more years.

  • 28 votes
#1.34 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 7:25 AM EDT
Comment author avatarTicked off in OhioExpand Comment Comment collapsed by the community

WOW....so much hate spewing from the democrats!!!

I thought it was just the Fishy Smelling Redhead that had the ASS SWEATS!!!

HAAHAHAHAAAAAAA!

Come on democrats sing it with me....

NAH NAH NAH NAH.....NAH NAH NAH NAH.....HEY HEY HEY....GOODBYE!

BYE BYE OBAMA

...

  • 20 votes
#1.35 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 7:28 AM EDT

"Nice try libbies. Romney is going to win and you just can't stand it!"

  • What are you smoking? Most realistic Republicans were already working on their 'why we lost' speech even before Sandy. Since Sandy Mitt has been exposed for even more of a fraud.
  • 31 votes
#1.36 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 7:30 AM EDT
Comment author avatarTicked off in OhioExpand Comment Comment collapsed by the community

GALLUP, THE MOST TRUSTED, AND MOST ACCURATE PRESIDENTIAL POLLING ORGANIZATION IN HISTORY...

Gallup shows Romney leading Obama in the early vote by a full seven points, 52-45%. Almost exactly four years ago (October 28, 2008), according to Gallup, Obama was massacring John McCain among early voters with a fifteen-point lead, 55-40%. That means, at least according to Gallup, that Obama's early vote advantage has dropped 22 points when compared to '08.

In the last three releases of the tracking poll conducted by The Washington Post and ABC News, Obama has trailed former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney among independent voters by between 16 and 20 percentage points.

That's a striking reversal from 2008, when Obama won independent voters, who made up 29 percent of the electorate, by eight points over Sen. John McCain of Arizona.

"In the 11 swing states, Mitt Romney earns 50% of the vote to Obama's 46%. Two percent (2%) like another candidate in the race, and another two percent (2%) are undecided.

Romney has now led for 12 straight days with margins of four to six points most of that time.

In 2008, Obama won these states by a combined margin of 53% to 46%, virtually identical to his national margin."

"Fifty-one percent (51%) of voters have a favorable opinion of Romney and 48% say the same of Obama."

n 2008, the Democrats had a 39-29 (D+10) advantage in hard party ID, and a 54-42 (D+12) advantage with leaners. In 2012 though, we're in the post-TEA party era. Republicans now show a 36-35 (R+1) hard party ID advantage, and a 49-46 (R+3) lead with leaners. This gives us a range of party ID swings from 2008, from R+11 to R+15.

...

  • 15 votes
#1.37 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 7:33 AM EDT

@ steve

With respect to you.

Mitt hasn't created anything. I lived in NH as MA folks fled from Mitt's governorship.

  • 25 votes
#1.38 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 7:44 AM EDT

starsailing

YES GRAMMA....ROMNEY EVEN HIRED BLACKS TO SHOW UP AT NCAAP MEETING AND HIRED THEM TO APPLAUSE WHEN HE SPOKE...! RYAN TOOK CLEAN POTS AND PANS AND STAGED FAKE HELPING A SOUP KITCHEN FOR THE POOR!

AS FAKE AS THE TWO CLOWNS/LIARS ARE...DON'T TRUST THE POLLS, GET EVERYONE OUT TO VOTE.

starsailing

WHY DO ROMNEY/RYAN AND REPUBLICANS HATE SENIORS?

WHY DO REPUBLICONS CREATE VOTER SUPPRESSION LAWS TO STOP THE ELDERLY FROM VOTING?

starsailing

ROMNEY THE LYING COWARD CAUGHT LYING AGAIN WITH FAKE CHARITY DRIVE YESTERDAY!!!!

....a compilation of raving idiotic spouting from and angry Leftist/Socialist....and not one shred of proof/evidence to back him up, just his libelling opinions. Hyperbole and obfuscation are your only weapons - sad and pathetic.

.......It's just a privilege to watch how your liberal mind works............yes, that's sarcasm!

  • 7 votes
#1.39 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 7:49 AM EDT

i lived in nh as ma folks fled from mitt's governorship.

Yeah right RUSTY..was this during the time ROMNEY'S APPROVAL RATING WAS AT 66% OR AFTER HE ANNOUNCED HE WAS RUNNING FOR PRESIDENT AND THE SCUMBAGS IN MASS ABANDONED HIM?

  • 9 votes
#1.40 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 7:50 AM EDT

@ ticked

Before.

  • 7 votes
#1.41 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 7:52 AM EDT

Rustyboy-FL

@ steve

With respect to you.

Mitt hasn't created anything. I lived in NH as MA folks fled from Mitt's governorship

One word................HYPERBOLE

  • 4 votes
#1.42 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 7:53 AM EDT

It's clear that the myth of "Mittmentum" is dead for good. Incessant "working the refs" in the media can't change the facts...this race hasn't really moved in MONTHS. Putting Lyin' Ryan in the VP slot has made virtually no difference, even in Wisconsin. The President's weak performance in the first debate made a little difference, but not enough. The vast amounts of personal wealth spent by Sheldon Adelson, the Koch brothers, and their ilk has made precious little difference, though perhaps only because vast numbers of "lesser Americans" have contributed in opposition to protect our democracy.

The end result is that the battleground states remain exactly as they were at the beginning of the Summer. The Romney campaign hasn't expanded the fight against President Obama...not even slightly. Meanwhile the Obama campaign has been able to stay competitive in states Romney should have been able to put away months ago, like Florida and Virginia.

This is a highly advantageous terrain for President Obama, which is why Nate's numbers are as they are. Add in the Obama campaign's strong advantage in ground game (GOTV) and the outcome is strongly in the President's favor. That last is something the wealthy elites haven't been able to figure out how to replicate.

But just because the GOPTP's "carpet bomb with money" strategy isn't working that's no reason not to worry about the future. The legalized bribery of Citizens United MUST be corrected.

  • 17 votes
#1.43 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 7:58 AM EDT

I read where on Romney's first day in office he is going to grant all 50 states waivers for Obamacare. Then it will be Congress' turn to pass the legislation to repeal it. I wonder who he is going to pick for his cabinet. More than likely smart business people like him and not foaming at the mouth ideologues. In my dreams I see him, along with congress, slashing government spending by 40%. Creating, with Congress, a budget surplus and paying down our debt. I've always been taught to make your mark by leaving this world better then you found it. Putting the kibosh on 11,0000 pages of new government regulations implemented in the past 4 years. This 7.45% increase in government regulation costs businesses and households over $150 billion a year. Think of the new jobs created with all that freed up capital?

  • 5 votes
#1.44 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 8:00 AM EDT

As long as we remain a two party system they have a crutch, either one can make up excuses and blame it on the other. You can take all your think you know research and facts and throw it out the window, it is unprovable when congress runs like a circus on purpose. As long as there is a two party system the middle class is done for..

We're monkeys in a cage.

  • 3 votes
#1.45 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 8:01 AM EDT

Steve1962, care to share how many REAL Job Bills the GOP have passed in 4 years to help the middle-class? I'll be waiting for the list...

  • 19 votes
#1.46 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 8:04 AM EDT

I was driving into work today and they were playing a man on the street segment from here in downtown Atlanta. The question was who were they going to vote for? Instead of working people they interviewed the homeless. What I found amazing were the responses. I believe the split was 60% Obama and 40% Romney. One guy even said that he was voting for Romney. When asked why he stated that Obama had his shot. That it was time for a new guy. That it was Romney's turn. The biggest shocker of all was that all the respondents were black.

  • 5 votes
#1.47 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 8:07 AM EDT

Sven, how will we get out of the economic depression caused by suddenly crashing government spending by 40%?

  • 14 votes
#1.48 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 8:13 AM EDT

Still no story on Benghazi....

  • 11 votes
#1.49 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 8:26 AM EDT

Funny how the same idiots that re-elected Bush after allowing a terrorist act in NY and losing thousands of Americans with intelligence about it months in advance are making such a fuzz about Benghazi which is on the other side of the world and with no proof that Obama was aware.

  • 21 votes
#1.50 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 8:34 AM EDT

I don't want to see a LIAR in the White House that's why I'm voting for Obama !!!!!!!!!!!!

American Automakers to Romney, stop lying about offshoring jobs, your ads are putting our jobs in jeopardy, we had enough with this jacka$$ - Mr. Mitt Romney, STOP with the Lying !!!!!!!!!!!

  • 20 votes
#1.51 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 8:39 AM EDT

Right now there is not undecided voter not even among the independents, none of the people that post in this left wing vine are undecided, so no comments are going to change the mind of anybody. So there is no need for unsults and name calling. However looking at the percentage of posters there is an slight majority of left wingers but not impressive like it was in 2008. Democrats and Obama are losing support among previous voters, while Romney is getting much more support among Republicans , independents and some Democrats that don't care about the lies from Axelrod and Carter , something to worry about for the Obama supporters in this vine. Any poll that come from the media are favoring one or other candidate, only Rasmussen and Gallup are independent and in both Romney is ahead. Romney will be the next president of the USA. Go and Vote every vote count.

If you want 4 more of the same Obama is your man.

If you want a jump start to our economy , a leader that know how to work bipartisan with succes Romney is your man.

  • 9 votes
#1.52 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 8:50 AM EDT

BO 2012

Funny how the same idiots that re-elected Bush after allowing a terrorist act in NY and losing thousands of Americans with intelligence about it months in advance are making such a fuzz about Benghazi which is on the other side of the world and with no proof that Obama was aware.

Its not about what O'bama "allowed" It is about the cover up of how he handled it. BO, use some deoderant

  • 8 votes
#1.53 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 8:52 AM EDT

Another survey on Tuesday gave him (Obama) a 31-point lead in Massachusetts.

Tell me again how great a governor Wrongme was. If he was a good leader, imagine how big Obama's lead would be if he was crappy!!! LOL

Your robot boy is going down!!

Obama/Biden 2012 - Romney/Ryan 1040

  • 20 votes
#1.54 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 8:55 AM EDT

My My do we have a loser, That's Romney !!!!!!!!!!!!

I say don't give the keys back to the losers that got us into this mess, can you say "W" !!!!!!

Hey Red #1.52 don't sell your Country out !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

  • 18 votes
#1.55 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 9:00 AM EDT

izzyaintserious.......Your rant about everyone shows you are either lying or ignorant of current issues in the last two years......

Fact. Romney hired team of blacks and flew them to his speech at NCAAP meeting, Romney advisers handed list to NCAAP event organizer so he could get them in. Video shows complete crowd booing Mitt...while the $$$ blacks said woo hoo and clapped.

Fact. All voter suppression laws are createwd by republicans and aimed to prevent seniors and elederly, disabled from voting.

Fact. Romney declared 47% of American means nothing to him. These are seniors who have worked hard all their lives and are living on social security.

Fact. FAKE charity drive...what a lying coward , video of event platsered on every news channel except Fox fake news.....

Waiting for your apology ainstserious.......typical rt wing lie or ignorance...you tell us which one!

  • 14 votes
#1.56 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 9:17 AM EDT

This has to be my favorite endorsement of Obama.

http://www.examiner.com/article/communist-party-endorses-barack-obama-for-re-election

Our school system is a failure in teaching democracy, capitalism, and freedom.

  • 6 votes
#1.57 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 9:25 AM EDT

starsailing

Fact. Romney...........

Fact. Starling need urgent care. He lost his way back to the sanatorium.LOL

  • 6 votes
#1.58 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 9:32 AM EDT

Romney lies hurt GM and Chrysler. This man has no integrity or scruples. Does anyone know what this guy stands for? I have never been so disgusted with someone as I am with Romney.

He failed to create jobs as Governor of Massachusetts. His business experience was about making money on other's misfortune for the most part. He has run one of the most dishonest campaign's in US history.

I wouldn't even vote for Romney to be dogcatcher. And he isn't even qualified for that.

  • 15 votes
#1.59 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 9:43 AM EDT

starsailing

izzyaintserious.......Your rant about everyone shows you are either lying or ignorant of current issues in the last two years.....

Hahahahaha.......tell me your spin on Libya and 4 years of broken Barry Hollywood promises!

Sorry pal but what you state as fact is really just your puked up assumptions and accusations that, in your mind, have turned in to fact........so sorry that reality alludes your comprehension. My poor little friend, reality is a real bitch so stay where you are - it's safer for you!

.........and it's "izzyserious - see, you can't even get that right. It's a screen name that describes my intellectual disbelief when I see pathetic angry postings like yours and all the other hyperbolic and obfuscations posted by leftist/socialist induced stupidity.

ROMNEY/RYAN.....truth, honesty, integrity - something that has been missing for 4 years

  • 4 votes
#1.60 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 9:44 AM EDT

ROMNEY FLIP FLOPS AND LIES AGAIN.

Romney says he wasn't going to CLOSE FEMA...he was going to CLOTHE FEMA....with a pack of shirts from COSTCO.

Romney reminds everyone Ann now shops at Costco and....shirts come 3 in a pack!

  • 9 votes
#1.61 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 10:00 AM EDT

@ starsailing:

Typical libbie business as usual. Can't find anything of substance to say? Make something up!! Twist words around and lie your butt off. I understand how you got there - your messiah showed you how to do it, your leftwing media leads the way.

Izzyserious is correct. Offer up some proof of your charges or go away. Lying to push an agenda is pathetic behavioor - and just because Barry O does is not an excuse for yours.

Barry is a shameful no-account liar, without character, without morals and without compassion. Even the paid leftwing campaign workers posting here can't defend his behavior concerning the Benghazi attack. It speaks volumes that this story isn't carried by the mainstream media.

The libbies are getting desperate, they know which way this election is headed.

  • 6 votes
#1.62 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 10:02 AM EDT

Romney sends aid to survivors of Hurricane. His aides bought all the fishing poles and tackle at Wal Mart and sent it to the survivors in flood area!

chuckypoo....I notice you just rant like dizzyserious....debunk my serious posts ....you can't...BECAUSE IT IS FACT.....move along people......break it up....nothing but facts here for you to see....

  • 4 votes
#1.63 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 10:03 AM EDT

ROMNEY IS ORDERING MORE SUPPLIES FOR THE NAVY WHO ARE HELPING OFFSHORE IN THE DISASTER AREA.

SO FAR HE HAS 5000 EYE PATCHES, 1200 PEG LEGS, AND 24 PARROTS! GREAT jOB MITTSTER!

Meanwhile Romney has his accountants trying to figure out a way to buy FEMA so he can make profits from the recovery of dister victims

  • 4 votes
#1.64 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 10:12 AM EDT

Why is it that some libs can't express themselves without insults? It's because they have nothing of substance to say. Name-calling is immature, just as saying "It's true because I say it's true".

SS, you can mumble "it's a fact" all day and it doesn't change the truth and it doesn't offer up proof - evidence of your claims. Again - offer up some proof or go away. You know - proof like the proof that Barry is lying about Benghazi:

http://www.forbes.com/sites/peterferrara/2012/10/25/benghazi-obamas-actions-amount-to-a-shameful-dereliction-of-duty/

http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2012/oct/17/obamas-benghazi-lie/

This is how adults back-up their arguements.

  • 6 votes
#1.65 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 10:27 AM EDT

MSNBC is giving 20 minutes of airtime for Romney's speech again.

I never see them do this for Obama's speeches on morning shows.

I keep checking to see if I have Fox News on by mistake.

  • 5 votes
#1.66 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 10:31 AM EDT

Even NBC knows Obama has lost, they have even started reducing the level of Democrat over-sampling in their "polls" to reduce their embarrasment when Romney wins in a landslide:

Wisconsin:
Strong Democrat 27
Not strong Democrat 7
Democrat leaning Independent12
Just Independent12
Republican leaning Independent12
Not strong Republican5
Strong Republican23
Other2

New Hampshire:

Strong Democrat 22
Not strong Democrat 4
Democrat leaning Independent 16
Just Independent 16
Republican leaning Independent 16
Not strong Republican 6
Strong Republican 19
Other 1

Iowa:

Strong Democrat 25
Not strong Democrat 8
Democrat leaning Independent 12
Just Independent 15
Republican leaning Independent 10
Not strong Republican 8
Strong Republican 23
Other 0

This is by far the most evenly-split polling NBC has done all year, it is still skewed toward Democrats but not nearly as much as usual.

When the propagandists began dialing back their propaganda you know they have realized that reality has prevailed and thay are only making themselves look foolish.

  • 2 votes
#1.67 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 10:32 AM EDT

BO - maybe they'll give Barry 20 minutes airtime for his concession speech.

  • 3 votes
#1.68 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 10:34 AM EDT

Izzyserious, nice to see you learned a new word. Hyperbole! Cool!

Now shut the f up and let the grownups talk, ya farkin idiot.

  • 2 votes
#1.69 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 10:34 AM EDT

MSNBC was bought out by Comcast.

Soon all programming will lean Republican.

  • 5 votes
#1.70 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 10:48 AM EDT

Geez BO - that'd be a 180 degree turn - a complete reversal!

It's shameful the way things are now - and dangerous. The media, for the most part, chooses which stories to run and through editing inclusion controls what people see. They are doing their best right now to protect Barry.

If the American people don't start demanding the truth - complete coverage of news items and a division between editorials and news - we lose one of the things that gave us freedom and separated us from Eastern Europe and Asia - a free press. Without the whole truth the news is just propaganda.

  • 4 votes
#1.71 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 10:58 AM EDT

I have already voted a straight Democrat ticket. Why?

Unemployment peaked at 10% in 2009 and is now under 8% and dropping.

National debt is dropping.

The deficit is dropping.

housing prices are up.

And all of this has been done in spite of the anti-American republicons and their record setting number of filibusters, hostage taking, and extortion.

If you love America never vote republicon.

O and Joe 2012.

  • 8 votes
#1.72 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 11:36 AM EDT

miklkit says:

I have already voted a straight Democrat ticket. Why?

Be honest. It's because that is what you always do - it's because you love the flavor of the kool-aid and don't want your fantasy confused and confronted by facts. It's because you always watch NBC and CNN and love letting them lead you around.

  • 4 votes
#1.73 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 11:47 AM EDT

Hey Rusty, Those of us who fled Massachusetts for New Hampshire know that people were fleeing long before Mitt was governor.

Andre, no chance Obama will get 76% of the NH vote. I see many more Romney signs than Obama signs. Even my democrat friend has said to me "they're all corrupt scumbags, including Obama."

The polls are skewed. They purposely over-sample democrats and weigh voter turnout to the 2008 standard, which will not be the case in 2012.

The democrats are worried. Why else would they make a commercial with grandma threatening to "Burn the M'F'er down if Obama looses."......Nice try granny, riot near me I'll just tip you over..........

Unemployment peaked at 10% in 2009 and is now under 8% and dropping.

Only if you forget to count California in the calculations....

National debt is dropping.

Oh thank goodness!!!...I thought I heard debt of $23Trillion in the next 4 years if we stay the current course......So, Milkit, when does the debt start to get smaller??? Has it gone back to $15T yet??

  • 5 votes
#1.74 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 11:50 AM EDT

Hello Toxic!

Some great points. Who knows whether or not Romney can turn this thing around. The one thing we know for sure is that Barry has demonstrated for four long years that he has no clue how to lead us out. Time for a change.

Insanity is doing the same thing over and over - and expecting to get different results.

  • 4 votes
#1.75 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 12:04 PM EDT

Toxic Chemist

The "great" Republican President Ronald Reagan almost tripled the national debt in his efforts to end the 82-83 recession and "Trojan Horse" huge tax cuts for the rich in the name of trickle down economics.

The 82-83 Recession was caused by Fed interest rate hikes designed to reduce inflation. As a result, the Fed was able to reduce its discount rate from 14% to 6% to stimulate the economy. The rich ended up with huge tax cuts and huge interest rate earnings, and have yet to give much of their "stimulative" tax cuts back. The top 1% earned 10% of our nation's total income in 1980 compared to 24% now. Their tax cuts added to our national debt (which they largely finance) almost every year since then.

Bush II did two stimulus tax cuts and we are still paying for those with larger deficits every year as a result. An unfunded prescription drug plan and two unfunded wars and you end up with nearly half of our annual budget deficit.

The other half of our deficit is the result of the Great Recession with its shrinking our economy (-8.5% in 4th quarter 2008) and reducing our tax revenues ($350 billion lost). The added cost of the unemployed amounts to nearly $200 billion.

Add together the results of Republican spending and tax cuts over the last 30 years and you will get an amount added to our annual budget deficit much larger than our annual budget deficit.

Republicans like to talk about balanced budgets, but when they are in control they only make the deficit bigger.

  • 6 votes
#1.76 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 12:11 PM EDT

shaak;

Reagan and Bush are not up for re-election, neither is Clinton. We're deciding the fate of the Obama administartion.

Barry has had four years to do something - and two of those with a democratic controlled Congress, yet only made things worse. Barry has been unable to get a budget accepted even by his own party. Time to correct the mistake made in 2008. We don't know if Romney can get it reversed or not - there is no debating that Barry cannot.

  • 4 votes
#1.77 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 12:25 PM EDT

Tomorrow the unemployment numbers come out. Wonder how NBC will spin it.

  • 4 votes
#1.78 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 12:39 PM EDT


Ok lets take a real look at the numbers.

When Nixon-Ford left office the national debt was......-$653,000,000,000.00

When Carter left office the national debt was.............-$930,000,000,000.00

When Reagan left office the national debt was...........-$2,000,000,000,000.00

When Bush 1 left office the national debt was............-$4,000,000,000,000.00

When Clinton left office there was a surplus of..........+$127,000,000,000.00

When Bush 2 left office the national debt was............-$12,000,000,000,000.00

At the end of Obama's 1st term the national debt.......-$16,000,000,000,000.00

is a reduction from 1.5 trillion a year under

Bush 2 to 1 trillion a year for Obama's 1st term.

This is a reduction of one half trillion per year.

The economy was in free fall hemorrhaging 700,000

jobs a month, and spiraling into a second great

Depression. Obama stopped the free fall and the

Economy is turning around and improving. While not

at the rate everyone would like to see, it is a

whole lot better than the failed policies to which

Romney wants to return.

Clinton left us with a small surplus after the deficits

the previous administrations left us. Bush 2 annihilated

the surplus and had us back in debt as fast as he could,

stripping the nations wealth and putting much of it in the

hands of his cohorts leaving us with a debt of 16 trillion

dollars.

Obama has it going in the right direction and is slowing

the increase in our national debt.

I ask you, do you really want to return to the failed

policies that put us in this hole?

Bush ran us at 150% rate of our current deficit spending,

do we really want to return to these policies?

Do we want to move backward, both financially and socially,

or do we want to continue to move forward?

  • 6 votes
#1.79 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 12:40 PM EDT

Republicans like to talk about balanced budgets, but when they are in control they only make the deficit bigger.

Shaak, I'd like to see Romney win and prove you wrong. We need somebody in the White House that understands how to run a business in these troubled times. ........Not a community organizer.

Nice to see you here on the 'Vine Chuck...

  • 8 votes
#1.80 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 12:44 PM EDT

WHY DIDN'T PRESIDENT OBAMA REINSTATE THOSE US LAWS THAT MADE ILLEGAL THE CAUSES OF PREVIOUS DEPRESSIONS. That Resulted in the current $60 Trillion to $100 Trillion Global Economic Crisis consisting of the Mortgage Crisis, Wall Street Crisis, Financial Crisis, Banking Crisis, Credit Crisis, etc.. That he blames on President Bush as "inherited" when Bush did not eliminate those US Laws.

WHY DID PRESIDENT OBAMA SPEND $2.1 TRILLION THAT WAS NOT PREVIOUSLY BUDGETED FOR, REQUIRING THE CURRENT CUTS TO PREVIOUSLY BUDGET PROGRAMS, PROJECTS, AGENCIES, INCLUDING THE ENTITLEMENTS, BENEFITS FOR THE "47%" THAT NEED THESE BENEFITS AND ENTITLEMENTS. PRESIDENT OBAMA'S PRESIDENT'S PROPOSAL TO US CONGRESS DEMANDING CUTS.

WHY DID PRESIDENT OBAMA AND SECRETARY OF DEFENSE LEON PENETTA, 2012, STATE, "A 10% Defense Budget Cut will result in a Million (US) Civilians becoming Unemployed". Yet President Obama in his President's Proposal to US Congress demand a Defense Budget Cut of 11%.

WHAT US LAW DID PRESIDENT OBAMA VIOLATE THAT IS ONLY APPLICABLE TO THE US PRESIDENT. AN IMPEACHABLE OFFENSE. As an admittance of Guilt SOS Clinton on Behalf of President Obama appologized to US Congress, "I'm sorry".

WHY DID PRESIDENT OBAMA DEMAND THE OVERTHROW OF A FORMER US ALLY AND SUPPORTED THE FUNDAMENTALIST ISLAMIC JIHADISTS TO OVERTHROW THE FORMER US ALLY. Al Quada Saudi Arabia (AQ), Al Quada Islamic Maghreb (AQIM), Al Quada Syria (AQS), Al Quada Yemen (AQY), Hezbollah, Al Quada Arabian Peninsula (AQAP), the Libyan Islamic Fighting Group (LIFG), etc. that became Ansar Al Sharia to protect and instate Fundamentalist Islamic Shia (Sharia) Law as the Rule of Law for Libya. Now Ansar Al Sharia is attacking the rest of Africa, like Mali, as Egypt was Strategic to attack Libya, Libya is Strategic to attack the rest of Africa.

The Libyan Islamic Fighting Group was killing US Military at Iraq. The Libyan Islamic Fighting Group due to President Obama is the current Government of Libya.

WHY IS PRESIDENT OBAMA LYING ABOUT WITHDRAWING FROM IRAQ. WHEN IN FACT THE FUNDAMENTALIST ISLAMIC SHIA REPUBLIC OF IRAN HAD THE US KICKED OUT OF THE ISLAMIC SHIA NATION OF IRAQ. Result now the Chinese and Russian Federation Allies of the Fundamentalist Islamic Shia Republic of Iran got the Iraqis Oil that could have paid for the US And US Allies Liberation of Iraq with Decades to Centuries of Iraqis Oil. This made Libya's Oil of Strategic Importance to the US Europrean Allies.

WHY IS PRESIDENT OBAMA LYING ABOUT THE US MILITARY WITHDRAWAL FROM IRAQ. Numbers of Actual US Military still at Iraq.

WHY IS PRESIDENT OBAMA LYING ABOUT THE US INVOLVEMENT AT SYRIA.

WHY IS PRESIDENT OBAMA TAKING CREDIT FOR SOMETHING THAT WAS PREPLANNED LONG AGO AFTER PRESIDENT BUSH AMMENDED THE US NO ASSASSINATION POLICY, 2006, TO ALLOW THE TERMINATION OF OSAMA BIN LADEN. With the Mission to Locate and Capture Osama Bin Laden already put into motion since 2006. And failing Capture to gain all of Osama Bin Laden's planning and thought processes as imprinted on his Al Quada, to preemptively interdict all Al Quada International Francishes activities Worldwide. Failing Capture of this "High Valued Target" as the Last Resort the Termination of Osama Bin Laden, as a Mission Failure. President Obama just happened to be in Office while the CIA, Special Operations Command, Joint Special Operations Command was doing the above since 2006.

WHY DID PRESIDENT OBAMA IN HIS 2012 STATE OF THE UNION ADDRESS BACKPEDDAL ON HIS APRIL 2009 ORDERED DEFENSE BUDGET CUT OF THE USN (One Aircraft Carrier Strike Group). And why did he tell the US Public a Half Truth (actually a lie) that the USN Enterprise Aircraft Carrier will be decommissioned and scrapped after the current mission, long before the replacement CVN-80 is ready to replace CVN-65, if sea trials are successful 2015.

WHY DID PRESIDENT OBAMA BACKPEDAL ON HIS OPPOSITION TO THE PRESIDENT BUSH US ABM MISSILES AT EASTERN EUROPE AGAINST THE IRANIAN MISSILE THREAT. President Obama stated there was no Iranian Missile Threat. December 2011 President Obama as Commander In Chief Ordered the deployment of US Military ABM Missile Batteries to Romania.

WHY IS PRESIDENT OBAMA ELIMINATING US CITIZENS CONSTITUTIONAL RIGHTS.

Naomi Wolf: 'Obama can lock any US citizen up without trial'

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DLSeD19m3UE&feature=fvst

Obama Signs NDAA, ACLU Disgusted

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4IeuE16LLDY

Feds' electronic snooping of Americans up sharply, says ACLU

http://www.nbcnews.com/technology/technolog/feds-electronic-snooping-americans-sharply-says-aclu-6170914#

WHY WAS PRESIDENT OBAMA NEVER CONVICTED FOR VIOLATING THE US LAW, McCain Feingold Bipartisan Campaign Reform Act, prior to and during the 2008-2009 Elections. And his Buddy, "Mr. Corporate America" admitted that President Obama did while getting the US Supreme Court to Rule in Favor of the Unlimited Corporate Campaign Contributions before the Citizens United case made it's way thru the US Courts; so that President Obama could get his Unlimited Corporate Campaign Contributions from the Insurance Corporations, Medical Device Corporations, and Pharmaceuticals Corporations.

WHY DID PRESIDENT OBAMA CHOP THE PAYMENTS TO CAREGIVERS TO SENIOR CITIZENS UNDER MEDICARE, AND DECREASE MEDICARE PAYMENTS TO MEDICAL PROFESSIONALS. Instead of what he stated was the REAL Problem with Medicare, during his Face the Nation Interview, that the Insurance Corporations that manage Medicare are overcharging US Taxpayers by 14% to make Profits of $17 Billion to $18 Billion per year.

WHY DOES PRESIDENT OBAMA KEEP BLAMING "OBSTRUCTIONIST" CONGRESS, WHEN IN FACT HE KEEPS ON CIRCUMVENTING US CONGRESS "The Will of the People", keep clicking "Next", see anything Unconstitutional, TOUGH, that is what YOU previously Voted For:

http://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/presidential-actions

PRESIDENT OBAMA AND PRESIDENT OBAMA'S VICE PRESIDENT BIDEN FOR POLITICAL GAIN INFLAMED THE 1.5 BILLION ISLAMIC BELIEVERS WORLDWIDE TO VIOLENCE AGAINST THE US WORLDWIDE AS RELAYED TO THE ISLAMIC BELIEVERS AT ALL THE MOSQUES WORLDWIDE.

Biden at DNC : "Bin Laden is dead, General Motors is alive"

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bKCwQnIygcw

With the Islamic Believer Demonstators and Islamic Jihadists Worldwide chanting:

"OBAMA OBAMA WE ARE ALL OSAMA" DEMO IN TUNISIA

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HfaKSX3m7Tk

Cairo protesters- Obama we are all Osama

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-pJGX1JzyFc

President Obama then blames this on a video that most did not see because many do not have electricity, cell service, nor internet; and were told the video existed by the Imams at the Mosques.

Result DEAD US CITIZENS and the Islamic World's Increased Hatred of the US for the "Murder" (their word) of their "Holy Warrior of Islam" Superstar Osama Bin Laden. This is worse than going to Italy Murdering the Pope, then Bragging Internationally about that. More previously pro US Islamic Believers and Neutral Islamic Believers against US.

And it was President Bush that kept GM alive with his: 2008 President Bush's GM and Chrysler Indicative Summary of Terms for Secured Term Loan Facility (Final Terms and Appendix).

http://www.politifact.com/truth-o-meter/statements/2010/sep/22/barack-obama/obama-says-bush-administration-put-no-conditions-a/

  • 3 votes
#1.81 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 12:46 PM EDT

Chuck, and all you other "he's had 4 years" idiots,

First of all 4 years is nowhere near enough time to undo all the damage. Something conservatives don't seem to realize and/or give a s h i t about. Second of all, he really only had 2 YEARS, because the other two were WASTED by a do-nothing Congress that purposely sought to stymie any and all efforts at recovery, just to make the democrat look bad. Pardon my French, but how the F U C K can you defend that? Also, why are all the repugs ignoring the favorable economic reports? Housing starts, jobless claims, etc. ALL GETTING BETTER. But, you people never paid attention to facts before, why start now, right? Anything to get that uppity n e g r o e out of the White House, am I right? Oh and by the way, "Barry" is your president, you hateful a s s h o l e. Show some respect.

  • 8 votes
#1.82 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 1:00 PM EDT

29 October 2012......................................

OHIO: ROMNEY 50 % ........... OBAMA 48%

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Ohio Voters shows Romney with 50% support to President Obama’s 48%. One percent (1%) likes some other candidate, while another one percent (1%) remains undecided.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_presidential_election/ohio/election_2012_ohio_president

  • 3 votes
#1.83 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 1:11 PM EDT

tellyouwhat;

Another lib that cannot express himself or share a discussion without stooping to personal insults. It doesn't help your arguement - and believe me - you need all the help you can get.

Barry promised to cut the deficit in half - and promptly doubled it. He's three months short of having four years to deliever on his promises - and we all know he's not going to even get close. He had 2 of those four years with congressional support of his own party available - and failed to get anything done on his promise. He cannot even get his own party members to sign off on his budget proposals.

You are living in total denial of the facts - tunnel vision - and apparently unable to recognize the truth anymore.

I can't stand Rush Limbaugh, but I do agree with him on one thing. We might survive four more years of Obama but we can't survive the four years with those that would re-elect him.

  • 5 votes
#1.84 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 1:26 PM EDT

It will be a great relief when President Obama is re-elected and can get back to doing what he does best -- leading our nation.

The past few days of Sandy have been proof once again of how he steps up and takes care of things with confidence.

The best things we can do for our country right now is to vote for the President, then vote a straight Democratic ticket unless there is an honorable Republican running that has a proven record that he can work toward compromise to find solutions to the great problems this country has endured since Bush was in office, and also -- just as important -- we should all, GOP and Dem's alike, vote every single one of the Tea Party members out.

The President has done more than anyone could have imagined, given the fact that the GOP swore when he was elected that they would do everything to thwart him as President, and with the treasonous Congress he has had for the last couple of years. Let's help him out and support him at the polls.

  • 7 votes
#1.85 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 1:45 PM EDT

Toxic Chemist

Mitt ought to go back to running a business if he's so good at it. Our last MBA President did a pretty bad job as I recall. Businessmen may be good at business where microeconomics works, but to run a government, one must understand macroeconomics. Mitt and his Tea Party cohorts only have learned the lessons of microeconomics which does not apply when running an economy.

Austerity does not work in a time of high unemployment. Europe now has an unemployment rate of 11% for the entire Euro zone. Growth is the key to prosperity.

  • 6 votes
#1.86 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 1:47 PM EDT

You're right Chuck. I normally don't respond so vehemently, and never resort to insults. I guess I just got fed up with hearing "It's been 4 years, so why aren't we singing Happy Days Are Here Again and throwing $100 bills around like Daddy Warbucks?" You must admit, that attitude is, well... short-sighted in the extreme is the kindest way I can put it. So, here's my official apolgy to you for acting the child. Sorry.

As for tunnel vision, that's a two-way street, my friend. We ALL see what we want to see when it comes to our candidates. I'm not in denial of facts. I know Obama is not perfect. I'm a Democrat, but not of the rabid variety that thinks he walks on water. However, I see more facts that support a second term for Obama, whereas you see more facts to support Romney.

How would you answer to my accusations regarding conservatives' tendancy to ignore economic improvements by categorizing them as statistical anomalies? And how about Congressional Republicans vowing to do whatever's necessary to ensure Obama was a one-term president, even at the cost of our recovery? Would you laugh that off as unfounded paranoia? I'm guessing you will.

What I really don't understand is all the Republican talk about 'unprecedented runaway spending' by his administration. The real numbers are very easy to verify with a little digging. A good place to start is a post much further up this page by Antistupidity. I urge you to re-read it.

And all this talk about what a 'successful businessman' Romney is and how that's exactly what America needs. As if his wealth proves he has integrity? How many businessmen become 'successful' by lying, cheating and stealing? Dismantling American companies and outsourcing manufactiring and other jobs is a really easy way to become a successful businessman with the right capital behind you.

At this point, I feel that most, if not all, conservatives are so anti-Obama, so hell bent on getting him out of office, that they are completely ignoring the lies and corruption. Pandering and flip-flopping? Who cares? Every politician does it. Romney is more dangerous than that. He will be a puppet for Big Business interests. Surely everyone knows that, even the most staunchly conservative voter. Which means we will be forced to run through another failure of trickle-down economics. A proven disaster, wouldn't you agree?

So, we have two choices. One candidate will serve the 1% with the assumption that when the wealthy get wealthier, we all do better. The other candidate will serve the other 99% knowing that middle class consumers are the real "job creators" when we spend our hard-earned cash.

I guess it all comes down to not who you believe, but WHAT you believe. I suppose we'll see on the 7th.

By the way, and this is not a personal dig at you, Rush Limbaugh is a dog turd.

  • 7 votes
#1.87 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 1:56 PM EDT

shaak - Obama needs to retire to Hawaii ASAP.

  • 5 votes
#1.88 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 1:58 PM EDT

silverton;

Barry is the spokesperson for your party. He's liar - no character - no morals and no compassion. All of these attributes proven by his handling of Benghazi, the murder of 4 Americans, Barry's refusal to help them and then 7 weeks of lies to cover it up - and you ask if there's an honorable Republican worthy of a vote. Correct the mistake we made in 2008. If Barry deserves four years it's in a prison cell, not the oval office.

A straight ticket? Really? Just admit that's what you always do and quit messing around. Voting a straight ticket is for people that refuse to think.

  • 5 votes
#1.89 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 2:01 PM EDT

Reports coming in about the Early voting.

Colorado. Obama ahead in the early voting, but the democrat vote is down 70% over 2008 accordiing to a democrat writer for the Denver post.

Florida. Same thing.

It is sounding like the pattern is the same as in Ohio. The newly registered voting (higher enthusiams) and those having voted in more than 4 elections are not turning out.

  • 3 votes
#1.90 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 2:01 PM EDT

Tellya What

Izzyserious, nice to see you learned a new word. Hyperbole! Cool!

Now shut the f up and let the grownups talk, ya farkin idiot.

Hahahahaha.....

My, my....tellya, are you still angry about how I stuck it to you the other day and are you looking for some kind of petty revenge? You really should try to get over it or it'll eat you up. Anger is the last argument of the ignorant, - I see you as living (?) proof of that......and try to come up with angry comments that are original - you and the rest of the liberal/socialist/marxist use the same ones all the time - you all must be reading the same playbooks - because none of you ever had an original thought of your very own. I'd talk more with you but you really have nothing intelligent to add to any conversation!

ROMNEY/RYAN....truth, honesty, integrity

  • 3 votes
#1.91 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 2:04 PM EDT

tellyouwhat;

Apology accepted.

I've voted Democrat more often than Republican in the may years I've voted. I don't vote a straight ticket unless it just works out that way, I prefer to look at the individual and not the party.

I have no idea whether or not Romney can do better but I'm convinced that Barry will not. Added to that I think/know that Obamacare will be the final nail in the coffin for our economy - and then the attempted cover-up of Benghazi showed me what sort of man Barry is when nobody is looking - or so he thought.

Each and every candidate is suceptable to being a puppet - to the people that gave them the money and support to get elected, to the people that know where the bodies are buried. To believe otherwise is to be naive.

I believe - based on Romney's business experience and commitment to help develop small business by removing excess tax - not to mention removing Obamacare - that he has a better chance to get this thing rolling. His wealth proves acumen, his charity proves compassion, his serving in public office without a salary indicates commitment to the people.

I agree with you - more or less - about Rush, but ocaissionally he's right.

  • 4 votes
#1.92 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 2:14 PM EDT

Mitt and his Tea Party cohorts.....

Hahaha....Mitt Romney a Tea Party candidate??? Hardly.

Mitt ought to go back to running a business if he's so good at it.

He is pretty good at making sound buisness decisions. How do you think he made his fortune? By figuring out what works and keeping it, and finding what doesn't work and cutting it. Democrats may find it callous, but you won't be successful in business by making decisions with one's heart.

Europe now has an unemployment rate of 11% for the entire Euro zone.

So why would you want to make Europe your economic model?

  • 4 votes
#1.93 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 2:26 PM EDT

Could this be true?

Mitt Romney is behind the Benghazi, Libya attack

On the 47% video...

"Mitt is asked by a British man about an Iran-Contra-hostage-like attack and ole Mitty said he would use any kind of conspiracy to his advantage to get elected!"

Listen to the video.

It shows motive.

http://whitenoiseinsanity.com/2012/10/18/mitt-romney-is-behind-the-benghazi-libya-attack/

  • 3 votes
#1.94 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 2:26 PM EDT

Izzy, a laudable attempt, but you don't have me pegged.

I never hold a grudge or seek revenge. Although, I would respectfully refute your claim of "sticking it to me". You know, it's kinda funny. Normally, I think about what I want to write before I write it, and try to be as succinct and even-tempered as possible. But lately, when reading posts from extreme RWNJ's (I'm not lumping you into that category) I get so fed up with that whole "I've-got-my-blinders-on-so-don't-inconvenience-me-with-facts" attitude that I instantly lose my s h i t.

I owe you an aoplogy.

I'm a center-leaning (moderate) Democrat, not one of the rabid liberals that thinks Obama walks on water. He's made some mistakes. But not for lack of trying. I have voted Republican before. I never blindly vote along party lines or 'straight tickets'. But damn son, Romney is not the one to lead this country. We will be f u c k e d with a capitol F if he slithers his way into office. I got a pretty good chuckle from your "truth, honesty, etc" tagline. Seriously?

Dude, I get it. You're not happy with where we're at as a country, economically and otherwise. Neither am I. However, I don't blame it all on Obama. Man, we could go back and forth all day long, each bombarding the other with cherry-picked "facts", but here's the deal:

Romney will be a puppet for Big Business interests. Surely everyone knows that, even the most staunchly conservative voter. Which means we will be forced to run through another 4-year failure of trickle-down economics. A proven disaster, wouldn't you agree?

So, we have two choices. One candidate will serve the 1% with the assumption that when the wealthy get wealthier, we all do better. The other candidate will serve the other 99% knowing that middle class consumers are the real "job creators" when we spend our hard-earned cash.

I guess it all comes down to not who you believe, but WHAT you believe. I suppose we'll see on the 7th.

Either way, we're all Americans. Peace.

  • 5 votes
#1.95 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 2:31 PM EDT

Tellya What

Izzy, a laudable attempt, but you don't have me pegged.

I never hold a grudge or seek revenge. Although, I would respectfully refute your claim of "sticking it to me". You know, it's kinda funny. Normally, I think about what I want to write before I write it, and try to be as succinct and even-tempered as possible. But lately, when reading posts from extreme RWNJ's (I'm not lumping you into that category) I get so fed up with that whole "I've-got-my-blinders-on-so-don't-inconvenience-me-with-facts" attitude that I instantly lose my s h i t.

I owe you an aoplogy.

I don't enter this liberal site that often anymore because of the idiotic blubbering insults that get thrown at you . I am neither Dem (although I was for yrs.) nor republican (although I appreciate many of their platforms) I am an "Unaffiliated" (what my home state calls it), I vote for whom I feel is the most qualified. So when out of the blue, I am attacked, as you did, I react in kind but with more temperate words - I never get angry. I come here to read what thinking people have to say and to challenge those ignorant buffoons that only want to spew their hatred. Intolerance for anothers opinion is rampant here and draws quick actions and reactions. I never attack I expose! What?? I expose what is inaccurate and what is total BS. I want debate, so if the person doesn't like what I say they can debate me....however anger never works on me.

Apology Accepted

It's clear to me we have a difference of opinion. I lean conservative in my beliefs, smaller government, balanced budgets, teaching people how to get off welfare not having generations of welfare in the same families - job training should be a part of the welfare system in order to help people become self sustaining and to achieve a sense of accomplishment for them , to give them a sense of self worth. Creating jobs not buying votes for giving out cell phones or free obama money....we need to get them off welfare and thriving. I see through obama's speeches, I see many inconsistencies and pander - we need an honest prez. one that doesn't use race bating or class warfare to accomplish stuff - I don't see obama as capable to achieving coalitions or across the aisle cooperation...I see him more as a "my way or the highway" kind of guy. I see him floundering in areas of economics and less than visible in areas that affect America. I see him as indecisive and hesitant for political reason and for no other.AND I have no respect for him as a man! But, again, I know we'll disagree on this but - that's ok, I respect you opinions.

Look obama wanted the job, he said he'd do things and work across the asile - he hasn't, he knows the blame game. I'm not stupid enough to deny he stepped into a BIG pile of crap - but put the blame on the system, on the previous 40 years of stupid gov. actions and decisions and yes on Bush too, but to just blame Bush is the height of ignorance.

Romney is a successful business, yes he's rich but he is (no matter how any one spins it) a self made man. He is charitable - long before he ever became political, he uses the same tax shelters as any other person with money does, he has not broken any laws, he is not a tax cheat. His abilities are proven - people do not understand how investment companies work - they want to make businesses they invest in successful, then they make money, too. Some business, like Bain, were far to gone, even though investors bought them to try and save them - they were unsaveable (is that a word?) for many reasons. Driving business overseas has been gong on for years - with and without Romney's participation...why, America's business's tax structures and expensive cost of labor and labor's many demands on businesses. So to just call Romney out on this - like it's all HIS fault - is simply ridiculous and mindless. AND I don't just blame obama either, he tried, failed, why..because he is not up to the job it's way above his pay grade. This is not a fault in the least - it's just a limitation he has.

To believe Romney is only for the 1% er's is also a fallacy - obama has railed against them but he pals with them and he is one and yet he uses them to stick it to Romney Ask obama about his taxes and his money - he's no different then the rest of the rich - he just talks a better soothing lie to the poor and middle class. I would wager that Romney gave more $$ to honest, real charities than obama made last year - how much did obama give - we could ck the net on it but I'll bet you'd be surprised at what you'd find out.

Romney side, of course, on business's, again, why.....that's where the jobs are created - did you EVER get a job from a poor person - to think he'd favor business's big or small I'd say yes - but not for the reasons you would say it. Obama wants to enlarge government and thus create jobs - well who pays for those gov. jobs - we do, the tax payers! So for every new dept. obama creates and then mans with gov. workers - our taxes will go UP to pay for them....simple math will tell you the logic of this. One day we all will be gov. workers pay our own salaries with $$ borrowed from the Chinese! lol

Just like you, I want America to grow, be prosperous and to honor our American heritage and our beliefs. One people............

  • 1 vote
#1.96 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 5:05 PM EDT

When Bush 1 left office the national debt was............-$4,000,000,000,000.00

When Clinton left office there was a surplus of..........+$127,000,000,000.00

When Bush 2 left office the national debt was............-$12,000,000,000,000.00

Anti......, nice try, but pure bull $hit. You're trying to tell us the US had a $125 billion surplus when Clinton left? Not so, not even close. At no time in the past 50 years has there been a surplus in the federal coffers.

  • 2 votes
#1.97 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 5:24 PM EDT

For all you republicans criticizing the behavior and language of the lefties never hear you criticize the righties for the same.

  • 2 votes
#1.98 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 5:52 PM EDT

Antistupidity

Ok lets take a real look at the numbers.

First of all you have to STOP this nonsense about a Clinton “surplus”.

There was no surplus. If there was, one or more of his years Debt figures would have been lower than the preceding year. I challenge you to show me any data that shows that. Don’t waste your time, there isn’t.

What was done was the Clinton administration, as have all administrations to varying degrees since LBJ allowed Social Security to be counted in the General Fund with accounting changes, manipulated the Public Debt and Intragovernmental Holdings to create the appearance of a “surplus”. It was close, but it never was a “true” surplus. Just more typical Beltway smoke and mirrors.

Next, the Democrat Congress never passed Bush's Budget for 2009. It was running the government by a series of continuing resolutions (sound familiar?). You Liberals keep quoting Rex Nuttings phony Marketwatch graph which attributes all spending during Barrack Husseins entire first year, up to Oct. 1, to Bush.

This includes the $863 billion $timulu$, the $410 billion Porkulus bill that Bush refused to sign. Obama signed it on March10, 2009. Bush was chopping brush in Texas for 2 months by then. Obama signed the $40 billion child health care bill. Bush only spent half of the TARP funds. On Jan. 12, 2009, Obama asked Bush to release the remaining funds, by Oct. 1 he spent another $200 billion.

Nuttings “analysis” is so false and convoluted even the New York Times ignored it.

Now, if you want to analyze the “right direction”, how do you support the $863 billion $timulu$ creating 5 million jobs? If you do, then realize each job costs us over $200,000 to create.

If you still think this is somehow a good thing let me explain what type of jobs are being created.

Although six in 10 jobs lost during the Great Recession paid mid-level wages, the majority of new jobs created in the recovery -- positions such as store clerks, laborers and home healthcare aides -- pay much less, according to a new study by the National Employment Law Project.

The study covered jobs created from the first quarter of 2010 through the first quarter of 2012.

Lower-paying jobs, with median hourly wages from $7.69 to $13.83, accounted for just 21% of the job losses during the recession. But they've made up about 58% of the job growth from the end of the recession in late 2009 through early 2012.

Those jobs have been concentrated in three industries: food services, retail and employment services, such as office clerks and customer service representatives, the study found.

In contrast, mid-wage occupations with median hourly wages from $13.84 to $21.13 -- jobs such as construction workers, real estate brokers, and data entry clerks -- have accounted for just 22% of the new jobs in the recovery after making up 60% of the job losses in the recession.

So, we're paying $200,000 to create jobs making $25,000 a year. I'm not an economist but it would seem like our return on investment isn't very good.

You Liberals may see this as a good thing but normal Americans don’t.

ROMNEY/RYAN 2012 FOR REAL AMERICANS©

NOTE: Liberals/Progressives remember to vote on November 7th.

  • 3 votes
#1.99 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 6:11 PM EDT

Oh, but there was a budget surplus. No one doubted the numbers at the time as they were based on standard practices. In fact Clinton did not use the Medicare Trust fund like Reagan did.

"Like our Olympic athletes in Sydney, the American people are breaking all kinds of records these days. This is the first year we've balanced the budget without using the Medicare trust fund since Medicare was created in 1965. I think we should follow Al Gore's advice and lock those trust funds away for the future," he said.

And Clinton also paid down on the national debt while doing it! Reagan could not do that.

President Clinton announces another record budget surplus - September 27, 2000

  • 1 vote
#1.100 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 8:03 PM EDT

Steve or Anyone who can,

I'm not a big Union supporter. I get that we need the fundamental concept of the union, but I believe, like most anything on Earth, power has corrupted them and they need reform.

That being said... I AM a woman, which I believe is more then you can claim. But hey you never really know. So anyway, make the case. Convince me why I should vote for Romney.

My only requests are that you're intellectually and factually honest and can provide credible sources for any information you present as fact, and that you actually make a case (with specifics and details) and don't just post assertions.

Go ahead, I'm all ears...

    #1.101 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 11:10 PM EDT
    Reply

    God, enough polls already!!

    • 8 votes
    #2 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 12:11 AM EDT

    YES I DON'T TRUST THE POLLS, THEY LAG BEHIND WHAT REALITY IS TODAY! FOR INSTANCE ROMNEY AND RYAN BEING CAUGHT STAGING A FAKE CHARITY DRIVE THE OTHER DAY WAS QUITE DEVASTATING TO THEM. AMERICA IS OUTRAGED AND WILL TAKE OUT THEIR REVENGE ON ROMNEY FOR MOCKING THE NATION. THIS DOES NOT SHOW UP IN THE POLLS YET!

    WELL ALL YOU RIGHTIES IN THE 47% MUST FEEL PRETTY BAD ABOUT YOURSELVES AFTER THE REPUBS AND ROMNEY JUST WALKED OUT ON 47% OF AMERICA! Now you Teabaggers realize Ryan and Romney are going after your social security, medicare, and medicaid AND you have a job to do.

    Vote them out and vote for your own self interest. repubs didn't lie to you, they said they would do that last election....why you voted against your self?....DUH!

    Old Mittster is calling 1/2 the nation freeloaders etc. Doesn't give a Patoot about you because you might not be paying income taxes. Mitt wants to kill your Social Security, your Medicare, your Medicaid, and your Post Office! Yikes ....Christmas cards and cookies coming via fed ex or not at all because you won't have any local delivery?....On top of that the ol Mittster wants to deduct you prancing dancing supporters as a tax write off like his prancing ponies!

    So why not come down to the Chatterbox cafe tonight and have a big piece of BeBop a Rebop rhubarb pie?

    Wouldn't this be a great time for a piece of rhubarb pie? Yes, nothing gets the taste of shame and humiliation out of your mouth quite like Be Bop a ReBop Rhubarb pie!

    VOTE FOR PRESIDENT OBAMA AND BIDEN ALONG WITH TEAM AMERICA THEY ARE FOR 100% OF AMERICA!

    • 20 votes
    #2.1 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 2:43 AM EDT

    YES I DON'T TRUST THE POLLS, THEY LAG BEHIND WHAT REALITY IS

    YEAH I AGREE!...ROMNEY IS REALLY UP BY 5-7%

    • 18 votes
    #2.2 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 7:38 AM EDT

    Well Ticked Off in Ohio - How long have your polls been that way? Oh, maybe for the entire Romny campaign!! When will reality kick in for you? Get some pyschiatric help, you need it.

    • 10 votes
    #2.3 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 8:25 AM EDT

    Latest polls out indicate that the President still holds a commanding lead !!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    Most Americans don't trust Romney, all he does is lie about everything, now he's lying about Chrysler Jeep putting good American jobs in jeopardy with his lying !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    • 9 votes
    #2.4 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 8:52 AM EDT

    I love to tell all those Pollsters who call that I'm voting for Obama! It's absolutely hilarious to hear the little chirp in their voices after that. It's fun to see how little it takes to make brain dead democrats happy.

    • 6 votes
    #2.5 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 8:58 AM EDT

    Patriotic American U.S.A.

    Latest polls out indicate that the President still holds a commanding lead !!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    That is pathetic , " hold his lead", you were celebrating Obama's reelection few days ago, what hapend , his lead is gone, only NBC, Washington Post, Huffinton Post and Moveon .Org polls give him a lead.

    • 5 votes
    #2.6 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 9:07 AM EDT

    The reason you believe Obama to leading is because there are 4 newsmedia polls for every neutral or Republican poll.

    Think the news media is neutral? The whole premise of writing is about expressing your opinion. 79% of all Journalists are members of the democratic party. The ownership is also mostly left owned.

    • 8 votes
    #2.7 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 9:37 AM EDT

    Looks like Fat boy blow off Romnesia, what a joke !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    Hey bluevirginia, getting your polls from Sean Hannity's Fox Tabloid ????????????????

    • 7 votes
    #2.8 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 9:37 AM EDT

    Patriotic American U.S.A.

    Hey bluevirginia, getting your polls from Sean Hannity's Fox Tabloid ????????????????

    I'm not so crazy like others , I don't care about NBC or Fox polls , I'm more realistic I get my numbers from Gallup polls. Gallup was giving a huge lead to Obama before the first debate nowRomney is ahead among likely voters 51 % to 46 % for Obama, and even 48 % for both, Romney is moving up Obama down, by election day Romney will be ahead, however Gallup oversampling Democrats base on 2008 election, not 2010. Virginia by the way is purple leaning red, the last election in 2010 a Republican Governor was elected and the State legislature is majority red .

    • 4 votes
    #2.9 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 9:59 AM EDT

    Latest polls out indicate that the President still holds a commanding lead !!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    YOU HAVE TO BE ON DRUGS!...DENY DENY DENY....

    GALLUP, THE MOST TRUSTED AND MOST ACCURATE PRESIDENTIAL POLLING ORGANIZATION IN HISTORY...

    AMERICANS SURVEYED IN THE GALLUP POLL HAVE PREDICTED THE WINNER OF THE POPULAR VOTE IN THE LAST 4 ELECTIONS!

    Gallup shows Romney leading Obama in the early vote by a full seven points, 52-45%. Almost exactly four years ago (October 28, 2008), according to Gallup, Obama was massacring John McCain among early voters with a fifteen-point lead, 55-40%. That means, at least according to Gallup, that Obama's early vote advantage has dropped 22 points when compared to '08.

    In the last three releases of the tracking poll conducted by The Washington Post and ABC News, Obama has trailed former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney among independent voters by between 16 and 20 percentage points.

    That's a striking reversal from 2008, when Obama won independent voters, who made up 29 percent of the electorate, by eight points over Sen. John McCain of Arizona.

    "In the 11 swing states, Mitt Romney earns 50% of the vote to Obama's 46%. Two percent (2%) like another candidate in the race, and another two percent (2%) are undecided.

    Romney has now led for 12 straight days with margins of four to six points most of that time.

    In 2008, Obama won these states by a combined margin of 53% to 46%, virtually identical to his national margin."

    "Fifty-one percent (51%) of voters have a favorable opinion of Romney and 48% say the same of Obama."

    n 2008, the Democrats had a 39-29 (D+10) advantage in hard party ID, and a 54-42 (D+12) advantage with leaners. In 2012 though, we're in the post-TEA party era. Republicans now show a 36-35 (R+1) hard party ID advantage, and a 49-46 (R+3) lead with leaners. This gives us a range of party ID swings from 2008, from R+11 to R+15.

    BYE BYE OBAMA!!!

    ...



    • 9 votes
    #2.10 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 10:21 AM EDT

    Even NBC knows Obama has lost, they have even started reducing the level of Democrat over-sampling in their "polls" to reduce their embarrasment when Romney wins in a landslide:

    Wisconsin:
    Strong Democrat 27
    Not strong Democrat 7
    Democrat leaning Independent12
    Just Independent12
    Republican leaning Independent12
    Not strong Republican5
    Strong Republican23
    Other2

    New Hampshire:

    Strong Democrat 22
    Not strong Democrat 4
    Democrat leaning Independent 16
    Just Independent 16
    Republican leaning Independent 16
    Not strong Republican 6
    Strong Republican 19
    Other 1

    Iowa:

    Strong Democrat 25
    Not strong Democrat 8
    Democrat leaning Independent 12
    Just Independent 15
    Republican leaning Independent 10
    Not strong Republican 8
    Strong Republican 23
    Other 0

    This is by far the most evenly-split polling NBC has done all year, it is still skewed toward Democrats but not nearly as much as usual.

    When the propagandists began dialing back their propaganda you know they have realized that reality has prevailed and thay are only making themselves look foolish.

    • 5 votes
    #2.11 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 10:36 AM EDT

    Hey Tickedoff. Talk about "deny deny deny", here are some more GALLUP results for you:

    "According to the latest Gallup poll on Tuesday Oct. 30, Romney and Obama are tied with 48 percent of registered voter support. President Obama gained support while Governor Romney has lost his previous lead."

    "Latest Gallup: With less than a week left for the November 6 presidential election, majority of Americans believe that US President Barack Obama is better poised to win the elections than his Republican challenger."

    "Gallup results 10/30/12: State-level polls suggest Obama doing slightly better in key battleground states".

    That was just a quick internet search. I'm sure there's much more to be found. And before you spout the typical GOP b u l l s h i t about the 'liberal media', YOU are the one touting the accuracy of the Gallup polls, aren't you?

    Take your head out of your azz before you suffocate, my friend.

    • 3 votes
    #2.12 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 12:09 PM EDT

    There's a lot of misinformation out there, President Obama has done an outstanding job despite all the sabotage the GOP has done. He deserve to be re-elected!

    • 4 votes
    #2.13 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 12:10 PM EDT

    Tell you what.

    Did you see that +1 beside Romney's 48? That means the latest change was an inncrease of 1 point from the last total posted.

    Register voters only works if everyone who is registered shows. Likely voter is voters stating they are going to vote. What are you going to do? Go to the registered voters and kidnap them to get them to the polls?

    What counts is Likely voters. Gallup is still showing +5 for Romney and the +1 is from the previous day.

    The excuse I'm hearing for maintaining a 2008 level of democrats in the likely voter polls is that registered democrats outnumber registered Republicans. They might Outnumber the Republicans, but so many are sitting home, rather than voting for Romney. That is the Reality.

    • 4 votes
    #2.14 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 2:27 PM EDT

    truth0628:

    Thanks for the belly-laugh! He deserves 4 years in a prison cell for sitting by and refusing to help 4 Americans in a deadly attack. He watched them from the oval office for 7 hours - ignoring three calls for help, and has spent 7 weeks lying his butt off to cover it up.

    Like Watergate - except that nobody died at Watergate.

    • 4 votes
    #2.15 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 2:51 PM EDT

    Chuck in Olathe

    He watched them from the oval office for 7 hours - ignoring three calls for help, and has spent 7 weeks lying his butt off to cover it up.

    I have a "far-fetched" but nagging thought for Barry's non-actions - he virtually came out of nowhere, has little history or history trail, sealed school documents, etc.......do you think possibly someone else is pulling Barry's strings? Some nefarious, in the shadows, power broker who manipulates international policies and governments. Yeah, I know it sounds like James Bond stuff, right...............but, I have read about international power families who call the shots in other countries - major european power "Families" who are the very top of pile, have family lines back to the stone age. What I read was staggering - reads lilke scifi stuff (but not scifi) and I tend to discount it, but (as a friend of mine says) you just never know.....lmao!

    • 1 vote
    #2.16 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 5:47 PM EDT

    No - I don't think that he is a puppet, just a buffoon. I wish the first black president had been a good one.

    • 4 votes
    #2.17 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 7:11 PM EDT

    Wow, the wingnutosphere is working REALLY hard to explain away most of the polling and concentrate on a few outliers to the Right. Sorry chumps, Mittmentum is a myth...like most of what both Romney and Ryan have to say.

      #2.18 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 9:49 PM EDT

      Truth0628

      There's a lot of misinformation out there, President Obama has done an outstanding job despite all the sabotage the GOP has done. He deserve to be re-elected!

      The only real misinformation out there is what Barry Hollywood puts out himself - and the numbers speak out against what he says. Re-read is campaign speeches from 2008 and then compare them to what he is saying in this election campaign - they are almost word for word the same thing......now any one with any intelligence can put two and two together and realize that if he is saying the same thing on the second go 'round he never completed it on his first term. lol

      Barry himself is his own best saboteur!

      VOTE ROMNEY/RYAN for a real difference

        #2.19 - Fri Nov 2, 2012 2:33 PM EDT

        Chuck in Olathe

        No - I don't think that he is a puppet, just a buffoon. I wish the first black president had been a good one.

        Chuck, I agree....I've watched Allen West from Florida in action, I like his politics and he positions on key issues! Good background..... Col. US Army (ret). - he knows how to pronounce the word "corps", too. haha

        Jesse Jackson would have been a good choice - oh wait, he is under suspicion of fraudulent dealings, isn't he....and he's a democrat, too, isn't he. Such a shame (not). NEVER MIND! lmao

          #2.20 - Fri Nov 2, 2012 2:45 PM EDT
          Reply

          4 more years!

          Obama 2012

          • 41 votes
          #3 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 12:13 AM EDT
          Comment author avatarleftsuxExpand Comment Comment collapsed by the community

          5 more days. Goodbye kenyan kalamity

          • 22 votes
          #3.1 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 12:27 AM EDT

          "lefsux" - your posts are disgusting & hateful, borderline illiterate, & contribute nothing to the conversation . . . if you have something positive to say about your candidate, say it . . . .

          meanwhile, looks like "inflammatory" to me!

          .

          Intelligent Voters for O & Joe!

          • 33 votes
          #3.2 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 1:13 AM EDT

          @KC in NC: Thank you! Well said.

          • 15 votes
          #3.3 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 1:18 AM EDT

          I can not imagine a liberal media who has proven to be biased ever reporting the truth in polls. If you poll here he is leading. Every where else has it tied with momentum on the right for change. You will see the media frenzy lean more and more as election time comes. Let us just hope that Obama should he win accomplish goals that are for all of America and not the ones that whine the loudest. I hate that the media and Hollywood represent or try to portray the majority of American citizens. I am waiting for Honey Boo Boo to endorse Obama.

          • 4 votes
          #3.4 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 2:52 AM EDT

          5 more days. Goodbye kenyan kalamity. Leftsux

          Ahh a bigot through and through. Enuff Said.

          • 15 votes
          #3.5 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 3:37 AM EDT

          MSNBC

          the "So-Called" Battlestates of Iowa, Colorado, Nevada, Wisconsin, Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire, and Virginia, are actually SOLID Obama!!! It looks like Obama will get over 270 Electoral votes.

          And this is my opinion.

          • 9 votes
          #3.6 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 4:41 AM EDT

          4 more years of Obama's $h!t... I don't think so!

          • 6 votes
          #3.7 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 8:22 AM EDT

          Burning Brightly, Queen of Denial! Sail on your highness, oblivious to reality, locked in your fantasy world of conspiracies and cover-ups. There's bad news downstream for you my Queen.

          President Obama is going to be re-elected and it will be four more for forty-four. Brace for impact!

          Obama/Biden 2012

          • 8 votes
          #3.8 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 8:35 AM EDT

          Like I have heard said, "We survived eight years of Bush; you'll survive eight years of Obama".

          I know you baggers will whine the entire time, but we tune it out now.

          LOL

          Obama/Biden 2012 - Romney/Ryan 1040

          • 6 votes
          #3.9 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 8:59 AM EDT

          In 1980, Carter had the same lead.

          Final results

          Reagan 50.75% Carter 41.01%

          Reagan 489 EV, Carter 49.

          I noticed RCP dropped the Gallup daily tracking poll. What's the problem? Can't handle the truth?

          Gallup numbers were falling in line with the University of Colorado Professors ratings, currently Romney 330, Obama 208.

          • 2 votes
          #3.10 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 9:43 AM EDT

          Its your consitutional right to be stupid. I would hope that all people who are going to vote in this election would not base their vote soley on whether a candidate is prochoice or prolife of if she thinks their reproductive rights are being violated. I like these interviews on the street where people can't really give a valid reason why they are voting for Obama. I guess they think its the cool thing to do which is a sad commentary on America. I guess everything is relative. My kids want jobs when they graduate from college so they are both voting for Romney. Need to get this economy back on track.

          • 2 votes
          #3.11 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 10:16 AM EDT

          If you want jobs why are you voting for those that destroyed our economy? This Great Recession was caused by republicon economic policies and you want to put them back in control of the economy again?

          The top 3 job creating Presidents are all Democrats. Clinton, Carter, and Johnson. the very worst is bush/cheney.

          Bush On Jobs: The Worst Track Record On Record - Real Time Economics - WSJ

          • 3 votes
          #3.12 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 11:43 AM EDT

          My kids want jobs when they graduate from college so they are both voting for Romney.

          Ha! Tell them good luck with that....

          Thanks for the laugh.

          • 3 votes
          #3.13 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 12:28 PM EDT

          DB Akron: That "current" prediction by University of Colorado is October 4, 2012 -- one day after the 1st debate when low-informed voters and pundits and people like you fell for Romney's debate "performance." Care to share a recent poll from the same source? Thanks.

          • 2 votes
          #3.14 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 12:32 PM EDT

          ACD, can you name the Vice President? No cheating:)

          • 1 vote
          #3.15 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 12:42 PM EDT

          DB,

          President Reagan was quick with the smile and witty remarks, but he also left behind the greatest debt this nation had ever known at that time. Reagan himself said after he left office that the huge deficit he thrust upon our country was the "greatest disappointment of his Presidency."

          Only George Bush surpassed that debt when he flushed our economy down the financial toilet. That time (four years ago), the GOP almost caused global economic collapse.

          Thank goodness President Obama slowed the freefall, finally stopped it, and is gradually getting it turned around.

          Please, America, no more Republican rule! The GOP loves war and money, but the rest of us have to pay for it!

          • 4 votes
          #3.16 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 1:54 PM EDT
          Reply

          MOST. ACCURATE. POLL. DATA. *EVER*.

          Nate Silver's blog at the NYT doesn't "cherry-pick" polls - he aggregates ALL (ie, 100%) of the polls . . . his goal is ACCURACY . . . he doesn't care who wins, he just wants to call it correctly, so he is non-partisan.

          .

          tonight he upped the odds of President Obama winning, dramatically:

          President Obama now has a 77.4% chance of getting 299 Electoral College votes

          His chances of willing OH: 79.3%

          His chances of willing IOWA: 75.8%

          His chances of willing WISC: 88.9%

          His chances of willing VA: 60.1%

          His chances of willing NH: 76%

          His chances of winning PA: 95.3

          His chances of willing NEV: 84.9%

          His chances of willing Colo: 62.1%

          He will probably lose NC & FL, but it doesn't matter.

          .

          His chances of winning the popular vote: 75.3%

          .

          http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/

          .

          So all of the Rethuglican attempts to BUY the Vote, to do voter intimidation & suppression, to shut down early voting, to lie . . . . have COST Myth Robme & Lyin' Ryan any chance of winning this election.

          .

          A Vote for O & Joe is a vote AGAINST Citizen's United & the idea that voters can be BOUGHT & SOLD, & persuaded by LIES!

          • 37 votes
          #4 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 12:15 AM EDT
          Comment author avatarleftsuxExpand Comment Comment collapsed by the community

          Forgot to read your damn lying bull about Barack Zero. LOL

          • 10 votes
          #4.1 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 12:30 AM EDT
          Comment author avatarelliot-3020456Expand Comment Comment collapsed by the community

          Nate silver is pathetic.

          TV viewers watching news of the approach of Sandy last week may not have thought much of President Obama’s urgent appeal to supporters to vote early. While no one who has worked turnout operations and statistic models ever accepted Nate Silver’s prediction that Obama had an 87% chance of winning (NY Times, October 4, 2012), we do understand the urgency in President Obama’s appeal in hopes of keeping his re-election prospects from slipping further below 50%.

          As someone who was run hundreds of grassroots turnout efforts including a bipartisan one featured in Campaigns & Elections for a massive grassroots effort by a bipartisan team, but also constantly runs sports and political statistical models, I understand exactly why the President’s appeal was so urgent and why Silver’s percentage was so far off.

          I feel pretty confident that Romney wins 267 electoral votes including Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Iowa, New Hampshire, North Carolina, and Virginia. In addition, Romney will easily win Nevada, Ohio, and Wisconsin ON ELECTION DAY. If Romney wins any of those three with the other 267, he wins the election.

          John Nolte pointed out that Gallup is reporting that Romney has shockingly overtaken Obama in early voting, in which case Romney wins easily. But for argument's sake, let’s assume the much more liberal Time poll from last week is correct and Obama is beating Romney in early voting but Romney is running 30% better on election day than among early voters.

          Ohio started early voting October 2, but Nevada and Wisconsin not until October 20 and 22, respectively – so even though Ohio is the closest to the Atlantic Ocean, storms that could hold down the efforts to pick people up and get them to the polls costs the Obama campaign many campaign many votes they will not get back on Election Day. Even if we are generous and say Obama is a 3-to-1 favorite in each of those states, his chance of winning all three is only 45%. Romney is like a football team that needs to win one of their last three games to make the playoffs and are 3-to-1 underdogs in each game. They still have a 55% chance of making the playoffs, and Obama knows that if he loses early votes then his chances in each state get closer to 50% -- at which point his chance of winning the overall vote drops to 20%.

          However, there is more good news for Romney for those of us who know turnout and number-crunching. Romney’s surge gives him an outside chance in four other states – Pennsylvania, Minnesota, Michigan and Connecticut, and Obama does not get a head start in any of those four states – the voting is done on Election Day except for absentee balloting.

          If we give Romney only a 25% chance in the four early voting states, and give him only a 10% chance in Minnesota, Michigan, Connecticut and Pennsylvania, then Romney has more than a 70% chance of winning at least one of those states to elect him President with the 267 mentioned earlier. In fact, he clearly has a much better chance than the 25% and 10% chance we’ve given for these states – give him just a 40%/20% chance in each of these states and Romney’s chances of getting at least one of them increases to over 88%.

          Now, I won’t make the same mistake Nate made in giving Obama an 87% chance of winning. In fact, while I believe Romney gets the 267 I list, it is certainly possible Obama could take one or two back. If New Hampshire or Iowa went Obama, Romney would still be President unless Nevada was his only breakthrough of the seven, etc. And, in fact, Romney’s chances of becoming President actually rest at about 58% right now – within a few points of where I have had it all year, even when he was down almost double digits in the pre-debate polls a couple of times.

          So how was Silver so far off when he gave Romney a 13% chance on October 4? First off, that percentage was published by him in the New York Times and taken by him to CNN appearances – so it would appear the intended affect may have been to depress Romney’s chance of winning rather than reporting on it.

          Of course, if Obama wins in a nail-biter, you could argue Silver was correct in the same way the same way one of the two guys arguing in a bar and giving Romney or Obama an 100% chance will be correct. But it’s really hard to argue that in a race coming down this close was an 87% to 13% probability a month ago.

          Silver’s approach was flawed in three ways:

          1. Nate does not acknowledge the margin of error.

          The first problem with Silver’s 87% certainty is the number of presidential elections used to arrive at a formula to predict future elections. Elections have changed completely since television, so you are talking about 13 elections of any real relevance. The margin of error basing any study on 13 Presidential elections is 27%. Can you imagine releasing a poll you had run of 13 likely voters and announcing that Romney led Obama 62% to 31% with 7% undecided? Because of the 27% margin of error, Romney might be as high as 89% or as low as 35% if based on only 13 respondents. While I am oversimplifying the comparison, the fact is there are not nearly enough presidential elections on which one can base an 87% prediction. When we ran very good models on how likely college prospects were to produce in the NBA, we had hundreds and hundreds of past performances, and on college projections, we analyzed thousands of player seasons. Presidential elections are unique, and 13 since the first TV debates are not nearly enough.

          2. What percent of factors can you calculate?

          Silver has to first acknowledge what percentage of factors he can and cannot measure – but there is no way he is measuring factors that constitute 87% of why an election is won, so to put a figure that high simply can’t be done with credibility.

          When I publish basketball calculations I acknowledge that there are certain things that cannot be calculated – picks, the pass before the assist, etc., things for which subjective adjustments must be made, but most things can be tracked through stats. However, when I wrote a book calculating how good players were from the 1920s, there were far fewer stats, so I had to put a greater percentage of the valuation on subjective accounts, such as what was written about players.

          When I crunch numbers for the hundreds of candidate and referenda campaigns in which I’ve been involved, I likewise balance polling and hard numbers with what we are hearing in door-to-door knocks (including records on knocks on the doors of 170,000 voters a couple of years ago) and at events and focus groups. In a presidential election, Silver can calculate a lot of things, but I’ve knocked on doors in eight states, I’ve been to hundreds of political meetings and organized turnout, and these subjective factors must be given weight. You can’t claim an 87% certainty on a presidential result based on statistical analysis alone.

          Likewise, anyone involved in campaigns knows that the most dramatic shift for a challenger is often the first debate when, for the first time, voters perceive the challenger as an “equal” to the current President/Congressman, etc. While we certainly did not know that Obama would have such a bad debate, anyone who knew politics knew that the first debate would likely help Romney substantially, even if the two were equal. Thus, to put an 87% certainty on a win before what was very likely to be one of the most dramatic events of the campaign again shows naïveté on how political campaigns play out.

          3. In light of the first two, Silver needs to adjust his certainty for how much of his prediction should be statistical/objective vs. experience/subjective.

          On www.valueaddbasketball.com I projected months ago that the top three teams next year would be Indiana, UCLA, and Louisville. If I had gone one step further and said, “there is a 50% chance those three teams will be the top three teams,” I would have been making the same mistake Silver is making (though to a lesser degree for Silver). In fact, there is less than a 1% chance the top three will line up in that order.

          The problem isn’t with a statistical model is bad – it’s a way of sorting through thousands of players on more than 300 teams. If you don’t know anything else, I would believe that those three teams had a better chance than any three teams you would pick – but I built that model months ahead of time before knowing who would be injured, late transfers, etc. Jay Bilas or some other expert will have much more subjective knowledge and factors on who was playing hurt last year, etc., and weigh additional factors.

          Likewise, Silver just can’t put an 87% certainty on a prediction when he doesn’t have the knowledge of going through campaigns and understanding things firsthand, such as how Democrats overcome transportation issues with lower-income voters by putting much more effort into a ground game, or how Republicans work rural events.

          John Pudner wrote his first statistical analysis for the New York Post more than 20 years ago, ranking pitchers on opposite Sundays from when Bill James ranked batters. Since then he has run more than 200 political campaigns for candidates or ballot issues while continuing to write statistical analysis for sports and developing a database of thousands of basketball players at www.valueaddbasketball.com.

          • 6 votes
          #4.2 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 12:32 AM EDT

          Actually, the number is now at 78.4% (Obama's odds of winning). 62 new polls appeared today.

          No one can predict the effect of "Sandy" on the election, but I'm guessing it will probably have a more significant effect on the lower and middle class, who, like Gov. Christie, have "bigger fish to fry". Whether this will be offset by a positive perception of Obama's response to the aftermath remains to be seen.

          =======================

          Romney and Ryan seem a little desperate in their recent attempts to up their numbers, namely the fake "relief" and "soup kitchen" events, the Jeep fiasco, and Ryan's revisionist interpretation of the auto bailout.

          I'm embarassed about it and I voted for Obama!

          • 28 votes
          #4.3 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 12:34 AM EDT

          Teapublicans, The truth hurts.. Thanks Elliott3020456

          Obama/Biden 2012 for the 100%

          • 31 votes
          #4.4 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 12:40 AM EDT

          KJNC

          MOST. ACCURATE. POLL. DATA. *EVER*.

          I believe an argument could be made for the Princeton Election Consortium as to that. However, their respective numbers are very close.

          • 12 votes
          #4.5 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 12:53 AM EDT

          Nate silver is pathetic.

          Elliot - Don't shoot the messenger. It's Mitten's that needs to be put out of his misery....

          O&Joe 2012

          • 30 votes
          #4.6 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 12:58 AM EDT
          Comment author avatarelliot-3020456Expand Comment Comment collapsed by the community

          Is that an assassination threat, GT?

          • 8 votes
          #4.7 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 1:02 AM EDT
          Comment author avatarTimes-Running-OutExpand Comment Comment collapsed by the community

          How low will obama and crew go to cover up their messes. I know the 4 dead American's will be buired but he is trying to 'bury' everything accoseated with Libya....

          Firing TWO (2) of his Top Generals becasue they wanted to help the Embassor. Obama himself said that he told his people to do what ever was needed to ensure the safety of American Lives. But he tells his Generals To Stand Down... What a Coward.

          I am sure this will lose him the majority of Military/Retired Votes.

          Who can follow a Back-Stabing Coward into battle when you know that he will NEVER cover your back.

          Barack Obama replaced General Carter Ham at AFRICOM after the general made a move to help the US security officials at the Benghazi consulate and annex. Ham was replaced by Gen. David Rodriquez on October 18.

          The information I heard today was that General [Carter] Ham as head of Africom received the same e-mails the White House received requesting help/support as the attack was taking place. General Ham immediately had a rapid response unit ready and communicated to the Pentagon that he had a unit ready.

          General Ham then received the order to stand down. His response was to screw it, he was going to help anyhow. Within 30 seconds to a minute after making the move to respond, his second in command apprehended General Ham and told him that he was now relieved of his command.

          The story continues that now General Rodiguez would take General Ham’s place as the head of Africom. Sure enough Obama nominated Gen. David Rodriguez to replace Gen. Carter Ham as commander of U.S. Africa Command.
          The Stars and Stripes reported:

          More…
          The Obama Administration also relieved the admiral in command of an aircraft carrier strike group in the Middle East, Rear Adm. Charles M. Gaouette. It is highly unusual for the Navy to replace a carrier strike group commander during its deployment.
          The Stars and Stripes reported:

          The Navy said Saturday it is replacing the admiral in command of an aircraft carrier strike group in the Middle East, pending the outcome of an internal investigation into undisclosed allegations of inappropriate judgment.

          Rear Adm. Charles M. Gaouette is being sent back to the USS John C. Stennis’ home port at Bremerton, Wash., in what the Navy called a temporary reassignment. The Navy said he is not formally relieved of his command of the Stennis strike group but will be replaced by Rear Adm. Troy M. Shoemaker, who will assume command until the investigation is completed.

          (If he is not relieved of his command, then why did they replace him?)

          It is highly unusual for the Navy to replace a carrier strike group commander during its deployment.

          http://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2012/10/was-africom-general-replaced-for-his-efforts-to-save-enghazi-security-officials/

          • 10 votes
          #4.8 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 1:03 AM EDT

          Is that an assassination threat, GT?

          No Elliot. Just a metaphor.

          O&Joe 2012

          • 18 votes
          #4.9 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 1:24 AM EDT

          Times,

          You guy have beaten that dead horse into a pile of horse goo. Time to step back and put down the bats. No one cares, outside of the loss of life, about Libya just you guys trying to stir up crap as usual. Go out on the streets and ask how people view that topic in relation to the other election topics and it clocks in at a tepid 3 to 5th place on average being pushed out by the economy (1) and abortion/contraception (2).

          • 17 votes
          #4.10 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 1:33 AM EDT
          Comment author avatarTimes-Running-OutExpand Comment Comment collapsed by the community

          Geowil

          What's the matter, Ya can't handle the TRUTH?????

          P.S. My Neighbors feel the same way... We are all retired military.

          • 9 votes
          #4.11 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 1:56 AM EDT

          For all those, who are able to, please send what ever donation you can (even if just a dollar) for this National Disaster Relief to the American Red Cross. If not cash, then what about donating blood? Both are equally important!!

          • 12 votes
          #4.12 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 2:07 AM EDT

          We are Retired military as well, and disagree 100% with Times-Running-Out. There's an old saying: "There are none so blind as those who won't see!"

          Isn't it about time that you put away your good ole boy bigotry?

          • 13 votes
          #4.13 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 2:17 AM EDT

          The imaginary construct of "Mittmentum" is so fragile it's now become necessary to attack the messenger, in this case Nate Silver. Conservatives had no problem with his methodology in 2010, when he was 92% accurate in Senate races and 95% accurate in Gubernatorial races. In the 2008 election Silver accurately forecast the result of the presidential race in 49 of the 50 states.

          In spite of that amazing track record Nate must be destroyed by the Conservative machine because he contradicts their chosen narrative.

          Conservatism doesn't value consistency of thought or principle...it's a series of independent messages designed to sell policies beneficial to the wealthy elites. If you remember that your choice becomes even more clear in the upcoming elections -- President Obama and the Democratic Party.

          • 10 votes
          #4.15 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 8:10 AM EDT

          Elliot numbers,

          I can't get over the fact that you CAP everything that you type. Do you believe that your ridiculous attempts at reason are going to change the facts? What are you going to do late Nov 6th when President Obama's reelection becomes evident.

          Are you going to suck it up and hope that this country continues on the path of growth and rebuildng? Or, will you hope that your party of NO! continues to obstruct everything that the President proposes?

          My quess, you will hope for more obstruction. But, I do hope I am wrong and you and your kind will put the Country first. My feeling is this, If your Party continues obstructing, come 2014 we will see a backlash were democrats win large, similar to 2010, were the Teabaggers won so many seats. You should take a look at this past campaign were Romney lied, flip flopped and shape shifted, first to appeal to the Republican base ( base they are) then repeated the lies, flip flopping and shape shifting to try to appeal to the majority of voters. It didn't work.

          My bleeding Liberal heart goes out to all those people affected by Hurricane Sandy, may you find a silver lining amongst all the hardship and misery.

          • 9 votes
          #4.16 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 8:44 AM EDT

          Nate silver is pathetic.

          elliot, you can keep saying it, but it doesn't make it anymore true. Also, I love the "statistical breakdown" you keep copy/pasting with 3 points as to why Nate Silver is wrong. Nevermind that the "3 points" are themselves complete hogwash.

          "There have only been 13 presidential elections in the TV era, so the margin of error is 27%..." Except that 538 isn't JUST taking 13 correctly predicted presidential elections and making his pick, he's taking 100's of polls, weighting them for historical accuracy, and using THEM ALL. The margin of error is WAY LESS than 27%.

          "2. What percent of factors can you calculate? 538 predicted 87% win probability for Obama before the 1st debate, therefore IT CAN'T BE RIGHT." Nevermind that 538 UPDATES their predictions everytime a new poll comes out, and therefore INCLUDES any post debate bump Romney got after said debate.

          That post would be hilarious were it not written by someone that does statistics for a living (even if it IS basketball stats....). 538 is just about the most accurate predictor of political outcomes since Nate was doing so on his personal blog (prior to being sponsored by the NYT, which by the way, only happened because he was amazingly accurate).

          • 7 votes
          #4.17 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 9:00 AM EDT

          Geez, Fig, can you write your book somewhere else?? Just state your opinion and move on. Holy cow.

          • 5 votes
          #4.18 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 9:03 AM EDT

          WELL TODAYS QUESTION IS....WHO THE HELL IS ROMNEY TODAY!

          Yes the ever changing lying flip flopper manages to become someone else every day. I am for this when I said I am not for that, I am for that when I just said I was against that. I am for what Obama said, but I didn't say I was for what Obama said, when I said what I said.

          I have a plan, when I said I have a plan, and that plan is not to have a plan.

          Fake concern for victims of Hurricane Sandy with FAKE charity drives, Fake concerns for all your lives. But the real concern he has is ....getting all your money in offshore accounts...and not paying any taxes on it...Romney's way of life....take it all from the middle class 47%!

          VOTE PRESIDENT OBAMA/BIDEN AND TEAM AMERICA 2012 , HELP AMERICA RECOVER FROM PEOPLE LIKE ROMNEY!

          • 6 votes
          #4.19 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 9:33 AM EDT

          starsailing - As opposed to Obama's photo opt at the disaster site? I'm sure the presidential motorcade didn't disrupt the recovery efforts too much.

          • 4 votes
          #4.20 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 10:05 AM EDT

          Notice he was told to stay out of New York. They had more important things to do then let him act like he is doing something useful.

          • 3 votes
          #4.21 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 1:20 PM EDT

          SKUP~

          Wow, really? YOU are going to bash the President of United States for showing up at a DISASTER site and call it a PHOTO OP? That's just really low....if he didn't show up, you'd be kicking and screaming that he wasn't there and didn't care....NO< let's leave the FAKE PHOTO OP'S to Robme and Lying Eddy Munster Ryan, they are well seasoned at it by now. Let me see, the FAKE photo of Ryan at a soup kitchen washing pans where they were NOT WANTED IN THE FIRST PLACE. And now this....Romney campaign buying $5000 in donations so that the people coming to the "Disaster relief/AKA CAMPAIGN EVENT" can HAND THE GOODS BACK TO ROMNEY!!!!! Hahahaha....what a joke!!!!

          OBAMA/BIDEN 2012

          By the way, is that what you would say that Wubba did at ground zero too? You are shameful!

          • 5 votes
          #4.22 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 1:55 PM EDT

          bcreadhead;

          Either candidate will be roasted, no matter what they do - if they stay away they don't caee, if they sho up it's a photo opo.

          Truth be told - and his own campaign people admitted it the other day - they have wanted an opportunity to get Barry out there looking presidential and respopnsible to offset his total screw-up with the Benghazi attack.

          • 2 votes
          #4.23 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 4:28 PM EDT

          @ starsailing;

          There you go again - throwing around bald faced lies and unsubstantiated claims again. Do you believe that anyone is buying into that drivel? The only people that care are the other kool-aid drinkers - you aren't changing anybody's mind here. Want to talk about the Benghazi cover-up? The failing economy? The 16 trillion national debt? the lies Barry told in 2008 to get elected the first time?

          It would be great if you brought something substantial to the table - you know, participate in an adult conversation using common sense backed up with some sort of proof instead of the wild fantasies you and the other paid Obamarama ding-dong campaining staff - at least I hope for your sake that you're being paid, because if you're not then these wild, unsubstantiated bs fantasies would be kind of pathetic.

          • 2 votes
          #4.24 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 4:39 PM EDT

          And what you posted above constitutes an "adult conversation", chuckie boy? Bring some facts or run along and play.

          • 1 vote
          #4.25 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 9:54 PM EDT
          Reply
          Comment author avatarmitch17Expand Comment Comment collapsed by the community

          I have decided to vote for Romney. This decision is based on the economy. If Romney can't get it improved in 4 years and reduce the deficit as well, I will vote for Hillary in 2016.

          • 13 votes
          Reply#5 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 12:19 AM EDT

          He hasn't mentioned "reducing the deficit," only not increasing it. He'll spend it on defense; Obama will spend it on infrastructure. Both plans increase the debt, the question is which will provide the most GDP growth.

          Obama's plan has greater stability over the long-term...but takes longer to get there; Romney's plan may show faster, but temporary, results, but has the negative potential to slow global infrastructure growth IF his added defense spending engenders a new arms race among the big three: the U.S., Russia, and China.

          • 19 votes
          #5.1 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 12:32 AM EDT

          Try reading Citi's Global Economic Outlook and Strategy report, which includes projections for the next several years and you may be rethinking the advantages our present course offers.

          • 3 votes
          #5.2 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 12:39 AM EDT

          Right...Citi has done so well.

          • 7 votes
          #5.3 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 12:46 AM EDT
          Comment author avatarPangoBaExpand Comment Comment collapsed by the community

          Hillary's toast after Benghazi. Romney will be able to repair the damage caused by the little coward in the white House.

          • 6 votes
          #5.4 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 2:17 AM EDT

          "Romney will be able to repair the damage caused by the little coward in the white House."

          • Romney isn't going to be able to repair the damage caused by George W. Bush because he's not going to win this election.
          • 8 votes
          #5.7 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 7:34 AM EDT

          Even NBC knows Obama has lost, they have even started reducing the level of Democrat over-sampling in their "polls" to reduce their embarrasment when Romney wins in a landslide:

          Wisconsin:
          Strong Democrat 27
          Not strong Democrat 7
          Democrat leaning Independent12
          Just Independent12
          Republican leaning Independent12
          Not strong Republican5
          Strong Republican23
          Other2

          New Hampshire:

          Strong Democrat 22
          Not strong Democrat 4
          Democrat leaning Independent 16
          Just Independent 16
          Republican leaning Independent 16
          Not strong Republican 6
          Strong Republican 19
          Other 1

          Iowa:

          Strong Democrat 25
          Not strong Democrat 8
          Democrat leaning Independent 12
          Just Independent 15
          Republican leaning Independent 10
          Not strong Republican 8
          Strong Republican 23
          Other 0

          This is by far the most evenly-split polling NBC has done all year, it is still skewed toward Democrats but not nearly as much as usual.

          When the propagandists began dialing back their propaganda you know they have realized that reality has prevailed and thay are only making themselves look foolish.

          • 2 votes
          #5.8 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 10:40 AM EDT
          Reply

          I agree totally!

          • 4 votes
          Reply#6 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 12:23 AM EDT

          I voted for Obama in 08, but I care too much for the country to do it once again. We need a new direction.

          Mitt Romney's vision for America is an opportunity society, where free people and free enterprise thrive and success is admired and emulated, not attacked. President Obama's vision for America is a government-centered society, where government grows bigger and more active, occupying more of our everyday lives. We need a recovery not more dependency.

          • 11 votes
          Reply#8 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 12:27 AM EDT

          Then vote for Romney and dream on...he's Big Government, Big Business, Big Banks, and Big Debt.

          • 26 votes
          #8.1 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 12:38 AM EDT

          What a bunch of ivory tower krap!

          When our economy tanked, who stepped in?

          Clue: It wasn't the corporate giants of this country.

          It was, by necessity, the US government, because big banking and industry had no money and/or no assets to put on the line. We're darn lucky to be where we are today, and many think the stimulus was too small to have the desired effect.

          • 25 votes
          #8.2 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 12:45 AM EDT

          You misunderstood...I agree with you...just saying do not expect limited government, states' rights and small business hand-outs from Romney.

          • 8 votes
          #8.3 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 12:49 AM EDT
          Comment author avatarPangoBaExpand Comment Comment collapsed by the community

          zhovti - The economy tanked because of the democrats in the house and Senate under Bush. You do know that Biden and Obama were Senators then, right? The democrats were so desperate to protect their darlings, Fannie and Freddie, that they obstructed Bush over the TARP money. Bush only spent about a third of it and at Obama's request, signed the remaining approx. 2/3rds to Obama.

          So Obama/Biden helped create the 'worst economy since the great depression' (during the last four months of an otherwise great economic 8 years) and then they whined about the economy and then added over SIX TRILLION dollars to our debt.

          It is time for Obama to go back to Chicago and take Michelle and her mother with him.

          • 4 votes
          #8.4 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 2:25 AM EDT

          PANGOOOOOOOO.......THAT OLD FOX NOISE RANT WAS DEBUNKED TOO MANY TIMES TO EVEN CONSIDER AS A TALKING POINT ANYMORE.....

          Speaking of Fox news....did you know that when you do search on ...Fox news dumber..you see studies that actually show that people who watch Fox news are actually dumber after they watch Fox news?

          True actual studies.....Anything on Fox news is suspect...even polls...because of lies and bad information. Frank Lutz was also one of the guys who met with repubs on the night President Obama took office to pledge against president Obama, just to make him look bad at the 2012 elections 4 years away. So you can't believe those Fox polls.....

          • 12 votes
          #8.5 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 2:53 AM EDT

          The only vision Rethuglicans have are trying to make this a third world country. They have no agenda,no plan and most of all no brains. They like the feeling of kissing Norquist's a$$.

          • 10 votes
          #8.6 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 7:18 AM EDT

          "Mitt Romney's vision for America is an opportunity society, where free people and free enterprise thrive and success is admired and emulated, not attacked."

          • What a line of BS. Romney's "vision for America" nothing more than the same old, same old, same old tax cuts for the richest of the rich/deregulation of George W. Bush.
          • 12 votes
          #8.7 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 7:37 AM EDT

          What is Romney's economic plans for America? Look no farther than Bainport.

          Romney Ignores Bainport While Trying to Take Back 47% Comments

          • 3 votes
          #8.8 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 11:50 AM EDT

          Starsailing

          And all those supposed "studies" are done by Liberals. Don't you see a bias there?

          • 1 vote
          #8.9 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 12:37 PM EDT

          Well of course they were, slodon...ANYTHING that doesn't agree with Conservative orthodoxy is AUTOMATICALLY biased and false.

          So why don't you produce a study or two showing us that Fox News makes one smarter?

          Oh yeah...there aren't any.

            #8.10 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 9:58 PM EDT
            Reply
            Comment author avatarleftsuxExpand Comment Comment collapsed by the community

            Sheik Hussein going to be kicked all the way back to Nairobi in 5 days.

            • 6 votes
            Reply#9 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 12:28 AM EDT

            "lefsux" - your posts are disgusting & hateful, borderline illiterate, & contribute nothing to the conversation . . . if you have something positive to say about your candidate, say it . . . .

            meanwhile, looks like "inflammatory" to me!

            .

            Intelligent Voters for O & Joe!

            • 21 votes
            #9.1 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 1:14 AM EDT

            left - Not Nairobi - Kenya.

            • 2 votes
            #9.2 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 2:26 AM EDT

            Yeah get it right it's Kenya. And while you're at it wear the right brand of tinfoil in your hat. Use Reynold's Wrap not that generic crap.

            Some of these rwnj loonies are so disconnected from reality it's frightening. We need to ship them to Kenya.

            • 3 votes
            #9.3 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 1:35 PM EDT
            Reply

            Not too bad for Obama. The New Hampshire poll has been in line with most of the recent polls done there, and the Iowa poll is his best within the last week. The WI poll is a bit underwhelming, but he had two good polls for the state from PPP (+5) and Marquette U. (+8).

            • 11 votes
            Reply#10 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 12:28 AM EDT
            Comment author avatarThumperSteveExpand Comment Comment collapsed by the community

            After today's Obozo exhibition in N.J., I seriously doubt the validity of this article..

            Obozo was seen high on top of a building, wearing a black spandex jumpsuit, with a big blue "O"on the chest, and a bright blue cape, yelling at the top his lungs:

            HAVE NO FEAR... OBOZO'S HERE...

            • 8 votes
            Reply#11 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 12:30 AM EDT

            Tell that to Governor Christie ... he might sit on you.

            • 17 votes
            #11.1 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 1:00 AM EDT

            And here is Thumper, an idiot so delusional that he is part of why Congress is broken and will remain broken whilst the Tea Party remains there.

            We need more politicians like Christie willing to say "I do not give a damn about my party". Those are the types of politicians that get things done while the ball-less ideology double-downers just sit and spit.

            • 19 votes
            #11.2 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 1:39 AM EDT

            "Exhibition in New Jersey"? That is ALL you took away from the President's visit there today? His PRIMARY reason for going, was to meet with Governor Christie, survey the damage done by Hurricane Sandy, and make SURE that the state of New Jersey had everything they needed, to begin to recover from the devastation of this horrible storm! If all you saw was an "EXHIBITION", then you aren't really paying attention to much of ANYTHING, are you? The only thing that seems to matter to you , is YOUR OWN outlook on the situation, and your POISIONOUS state of mind, do everyone else on the vine a favor, take your B.S. and your BIAS somewhere else!!!

            • 12 votes
            #11.3 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 2:42 AM EDT

            I gained new respect for Christie when he put aside the partisanship and welcomed the help of the President doing the same thing.

            When this country works together, we can accomplish anything. Might be nice to toss out those that have refused to do so - like the bagger republicans that are in the middle of a two month vacation right now.

            • 6 votes
            #11.4 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 9:07 AM EDT

            GOV Christie GOT A BIG DOSE OF REALITY WITH THE DEVASTATION....NOW HE TURNS INTO A DEMOCRAT AND THE REPUBS ARE HOWLING LOUDER THAN THE STORM.

            Yes Christie is hit hard with the sight of devastation the storm has caused. Compassion for the survivors is now the understanding thought of the day.

            Hurricane Sandy is a visual storm that hit America, and this is the same devastation that happened to millions of Americans because of the economy crash caused by the GREEDY RICH.

            This is the same effect of devastation caused by those republicans who pledged against America to stop anything good that would make president Obama look good before this 2012 election.

            Republicans want to continue this same destruction because the profits of their destruction are so profitable for them.

            Romney sends American jobs overseas and republican politicians support him by blocking laws that would keep them here or bring them back.

            Republicans vote against jobs bill when soldiers are returning from war and committing suicide at a record pace.

            Stop the republican rt wing devastation, help America recover.

            VOTE PRESIDENT OBAMA/BIDEN AND TEAM AMERICA 2012

            • 4 votes
            #11.5 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 9:47 AM EDT

            It sure looked to me that Christie is happy for all of the federal help his state is getting.

            Compare that to Romney wanting to dismantle FEMA.......................

            • 3 votes
            #11.6 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 11:52 AM EDT
            Reply

            I know this is 2012 but I think the one question they need to ask is "does the race of the candidate play a part in your decision who to vote for?" Tough question and would be curious to see what the responses are...

            O and B in 2012

            • 23 votes
            Reply#12 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 12:30 AM EDT

            "Big John" . . . race is irrelevant to me (I am Caucasian) - I believe that Obama has done a good job, and would have been more successful if he had not had such an obstructionist Congress . . . I have been following politics closely for 40+ years, and I have never seen anything like this!

            I had some disappointments in Obama, and waited to see if the Rebub's would run a good candidate — I am basically Progressive, but voted for Bush I & Ford.

            The worst thing about Myth Robme, to me, is summed up here:

            "Romney Says He Favors Abortion . . . in Cases Where It Makes People Vote for Him"

            http://www.newyorker.com/online/blogs/borowitzreport/2012/10/romney-says-he-favors-abortion-in-cases-where-it-makes-people-vote-for-him.html#ixzz2AuibUcSA

            I think that is true with every issue - he says whatever he thinks his current audience wants to hear, so you have NO idea what he is for, or against . . . except the 47%.

            You just can't trust him . . . flip-flopping is bad enough, but the lies have been UNREAL!

            .

            O & JOE!

            • 21 votes
            #12.1 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 1:31 AM EDT

            The only ones bringing race into not only this election but also the 2012 election are the racists on the right who claim the only reason Obama won in 2008 was because people wanted to be part of electing the first Black President. It is a load of bull and always was.

            • 17 votes
            #12.2 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 1:40 AM EDT

            KJNC- No one voted for Ford.

            • 1 vote
            #12.3 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 7:43 AM EDT

            President Ford and his wife were first class people all around. He was a rational conservative (a dying breed) and she was an outspoken compassionate liberal who used her own struggles to help many others through the Betty Ford foundation.

            Too bad the current tealiban in the Republican party can't measure up to him much less measure up to the last good Republican president Eisenhower.

            • 3 votes
            #12.4 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 1:43 PM EDT
            Reply
            Comment author avatarleftsuxExpand Comment Comment collapsed by the community

            Anything Sheik hussein is toast. he's cooked. Stick a fork in him.

            • 8 votes
            Reply#13 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 12:31 AM EDT

            "lefsux" - are you a paid troll? someone wasted their dime.

            your posts are disgusting & hateful . . .

            meanwhile, looks like "inflammatory" to me!

            .

            Intelligent Voters for O & Joe!

            • 19 votes
            #13.1 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 1:17 AM EDT
            Reply

            Since the stormy days, President Obama has been diligently worked with the FEMA, State agencies, and local authorities, and he has continually inquired and been informed about the weather/storm system and the preparation. Thanks for his diligent, considerate, and passionate manners towards his people, the people of USA. Thanks for his competent leadership and coordination of the effort, from the Federal to the state and local.

            Fire up, ready to go. Please do re-elect President Obama. FORWARD, please.

            Go OBAMA 2012.

            • 27 votes
            Reply#14 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 12:32 AM EDT
            Comment author avatarTimes-Running-OutExpand Comment Comment collapsed by the community

            Billie-2352729

            Dam Billy, you sounds like you are about ready to name him the New Savior of the world?

            I bet you think his Sh!t don't even stink don't ya.

            Thanks for his competent leadership and coordination of the effort, We have FOUR (4) Dead American's and a World of BAD GUYS that know they can do anything they want because obama doesn't have the courage to do anything about it.

            • 5 votes
            #14.1 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 1:45 AM EDT

            Thanks, Obama. Waited until 6 days before the election to actually do your job.

            • 3 votes
            #14.2 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 2:30 AM EDT

            Did Obama ever visit ares hit by Irene last year?

              #14.3 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 12:45 PM EDT

              Did Romney visit any hurricane disaster areas? Oh, that's right he just recently did.

              He bought up thousands of canned goods from Walmart, then had his campaign take them to a photo-op where he pretended he was helping a real relief effort.

              That's right your candidate staged a relief effort and got busted on it. Go google it.

              Why couldn't he just donate money to Red Cross (and advocate others to) or even take time off belittling Obama 24/7 and just talk about the loss?

              Instead he fabricates a story and lies to you about how he's helping a real relief effort. Why wouldn't he just buy the canned goods and give them to a real organization? It wasn't even necessary to lie but he did. Just.... weird.

              Why do you people support this man?

              • 2 votes
              #14.4 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 1:50 PM EDT

              Yes he did.

              Do you remember that you republicons refused to release the disaster relief money unless they got more tax cuts for millionaires?

              • 1 vote
              #14.5 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 8:10 PM EDT

              Did Obama ever visit ares hit by Irene last year?

              Ummm, yeah. Weird how all I needed was about 20 seconds on Google to find out. http://latimesblogs.latimes.com/nationnow/2011/08/obama-to-visit-nj-to-view-irene-damage.html

              So what's your point?

                #14.6 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 10:03 PM EDT
                Reply
                Comment author avatarleftsuxExpand Comment Comment collapsed by the community

                Go away Ostumbler 2012

                • 5 votes
                Reply#15 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 12:35 AM EDT

                Mitt the Twit is toast.

                • 24 votes
                Reply#16 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 12:35 AM EDT

                You know something, republicans fussed for a few months about intimidation to voters and other things. It's turning out they are the most violate they have ever been. Attacking people at voting places and even workers. Obama has started winning Virginia and its getting out of control here. Mitt is suppose to be here today, he needs to tell republicans to control themselves. They are even attacking blacks that are voting here.

                Trying to make people vote republican here. I hate to say this also, my family member that is running for senate has become threatening to people, i'm talking about the people working for his campaign. It's really getting out of control, they need to start having police at area's so people are safe.

                • 3 votes
                #16.1 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 12:20 PM EDT

                Are you talking about True the Vote?

                They are the Texas based group that are being trained in voter intimidation.

                In a letter to Catherine Engelbrecht, the founder of True The Vote, Rep. Elijah Cummings (D-Md.) accused the Texas-based organization of challenging the registration of thousands of legitimate voters "based on insufficient, inaccurate, and faulty evidence."

                "True the Vote, its volunteers, and its affiliated groups have a horrendous record of filing inaccurate voter registration challenges, causing legitimate voters -- through no fault of their own -- to receive letters from local election officials notifying them that their registrations have been challenged and requiring them to take steps to remedy false accusations against them," wrote Cummings, the ranking minority member of the House Committee on Oversight and Government Reform.

                The letter continues: "Multiple reviews by state and local government officials have documented voter registration challenges submitted by your volunteers based on insufficient evidence, outdated or inaccurate data, and faulty software and database capabilities. Across multiple states, government officials of both political parties have criticized your methods and work product for their lack of accuracy and reliability."

                "Your tactics have been so problematic that even Ohio Republican Secretary of State Jon Husted has condemned them as potentially illegal," Cummings states in his letter

                True The Vote, Tea Party Voting Group, Targeted By Congressional Inquiry

                • 1 vote
                #16.2 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 8:15 PM EDT
                Reply

                If Romney can't get it improved in 4 years and reduce the deficit as well, I will vote for Hillary in 2016.

                Oh he won't and can't.. Not with his or Ryans policy's anyway.. I'm personally staying with whats been working.. And then Hillary in 16.. Its the only sane choice.

                • 23 votes
                Reply#17 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 12:35 AM EDT
                Comment author avatarleftsuxExpand Comment Comment collapsed by the community

                What's been working. You must have been born yesterday. Ostumbler is a disaster.

                • 8 votes
                #17.1 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 12:38 AM EDT

                Well, Thomas, we won't know unless we try. We do know that the Obama economic and foreign policies aren't working.

                • 7 votes
                #17.2 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 12:40 AM EDT

                Unemployment is down.

                National debt is down.

                The deficit is down.

                The Dow is up.

                Housing prices are up.

                OBL is dead. Mission Accomplished.

                Obama's policies are working.

                • 5 votes
                #17.3 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 11:57 AM EDT

                miklkit

                Unemployment down? WHERE?

                Unemployment rate Jan. 2009----7.8% U3 Rate U6 Rate 14.2%

                Unemplotment rate Sep. 2012----7.8% U3 Rate U6 Rate 14.7%

                Deficit is down?? From what?

                2008 Deficit----458 Billion

                2012 Projected Deficit--1.1 Trillion.

                That looks like an increase to me.

                The Dow is up.

                Have you heard of QE1,QE2,Operation TWIST,and QE3??

                Look them up. Also look at their affects on the Market.

                QE1 and QE2 alone pumped in over 2 Trillion into the Banking system. What do you think happened to that 2+ Trillion??

                Housing prices increasing.

                I wonder how Operation TWIST and QE3 has affected the Housing Market. By keeping the Interest rates artificially low isn't that creating another Housing Bubble??

                Ambassador Stevens is DEAD! ! AL Quaeda is ALIVE!!

                • 1 vote
                #17.4 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 12:59 PM EDT

                The unemployment rate peaked in October 2009 at 10%. It has been going down ever since and is down to 7.8% and will go lower.

                The national debt is down to the same level it was in 2006.

                The deficit has been going down for three years and is down from the $1.5 Trillion it was in 2009.

                The Dow was at 8,000 and is now at 13,000. that sounds like up to me!

                OBL is dead. Mission Accomplished.

                • 1 vote
                #17.5 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 8:19 PM EDT
                Reply

                I already voted for Obama. It's looking more and more like he has this election in the bag. His strong performance in the storm recovery efforts and the high praises from Christie, together with Romney's phoney storm relief event where his campaign gave out groceries to make it appear people were bringing these in, will cause a significant late bump for Obama. Romney has lost the news cycle as he now only appears in the news when he seems to be stumbling over himself.

                This bump for Obama will be strongest in Florida and will carry the state for Obama. I am predicting now Obama will win Florida.

                • 25 votes
                Reply#18 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 12:36 AM EDT
                Comment author avatarleftsuxExpand Comment Comment collapsed by the community

                Your predictions are like farts in the wind. LOL

                • 4 votes
                #18.1 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 12:37 AM EDT

                I think Florida is a toss-up, but BHO probably won't need it and Romney is done if he doesn't get FL.

                • 12 votes
                #18.2 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 12:49 AM EDT

                Romney has Florida sewn up thanks to the I-4 corridor.

                • 5 votes
                #18.3 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 2:33 AM EDT

                So you like Christies re election bid in his state. He did a good job, he still does NOT like OBUMMERS policies, that is why he was on the phone 6 times with the president to make sure he did get this clean up going right away, did not want him to wait till after the election, like when he wanted to come clean witht the Bengazi attack.

                Romney/Ryan 2012 for a better future for ALL Americans.

                • 3 votes
                #18.4 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 7:11 AM EDT

                Christie looked like a kid who got the sheeite scared outta him and was really glad that the adult came along to bail him out.

                • 2 votes
                #18.5 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 8:20 PM EDT
                Reply
                Comment author avatarleftsuxExpand Comment Comment collapsed by the community

                Sheik Barack Hussein's next job will be as the bathroom attendant at the Nairobi Hilton Lounge.

                • 8 votes
                Reply#19 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 12:36 AM EDT

                Are these comments not moderated? The lack of civility here is outstanding.

                • 14 votes
                #19.1 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 12:38 AM EDT

                I have leftsux on Ignore. He's a complete retard.

                • 13 votes
                #19.2 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 1:04 AM EDT

                "Anything24" . . . I think the moderator has gone home for the night!

                but we can all be "moderators" by marking posts that are just plain disgusting (eg, "Lefsux") as "inflammatory" and then they will be collapsed.

                :-)

                • 8 votes
                #19.3 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 1:09 AM EDT

                What did Clinton mean when he said to Ted Kennedy "A few years ago, he (obama) would have been carrying our bags"??????

                • 6 votes
                #19.4 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 2:36 AM EDT

                Just like how it sounds OBUMMER is a FAILURE, but would of been a good bag handler.

                NOBAMA 2012 Get the failure out of Washington DC, time to get this country to work again.

                • 6 votes
                #19.5 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 7:14 AM EDT

                Steve wants to go back to the good old days when black people were only servants to rich old white men.

                He cries himself to sleep every night because we have a black president.

                He's going to go into a rage smashing beer bottles in his trailer on November 6th when President Obama wins a second term.

                • 2 votes
                #19.6 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 1:56 PM EDT
                Reply

                What is Mitt Romney to do? Soup drives and tales of cleaning football fields don't seem to help! The etch- a -sketch has too much Sandy in it! Chris Christie is dating President Obama and already has One million donated for his 2016 election. Four beers and some nacho time later. Obama and Christie are in a bromance that is touching us all. Christie even told a reporter he saw Obama's birth certificate! The two men were last seen in a Jeep rescuing two women from a flooded out Subaru! Meanwhile...Mitt Romney bought a bunch of canned soup, then tanned today.

                • 25 votes
                Reply#20 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 12:38 AM EDT

                c'mon Mark, tell the truth! it's a spray-tan...

                • 17 votes
                #20.1 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 12:40 AM EDT

                Mark Anhalt

                And just what do you expect Romney to DO? He does not hold an office (as of yet... but that will change shortly).

                What have YOU done to help those hit by Sandy?

                • 4 votes
                #20.2 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 1:49 AM EDT

                T-R-O What have YOU DONE to help those hit by Sandy? Mitt Romney COULD have donated Blood or Money, those being the two things that the Red Cross is asking for. Instead, he has a phony disaster relief rally, to gather "food donations" from "supporters" when in fact, his campaign went to Wal-Mart and bought the "donations". To the tune of about $5000, sounds to me like his "supporters" came up a little short! And before you hit me with "what have I done to help", my husband and I both donated blood, contributed $500.00, and are going to volunteer to go and help, where and when we are asked, see, we belong to our local C.E.R.T Chapter, and they are organizing a group to go and help the Red Cross, so I ask you again... What have YOU DONE to help those hit by Sandy? Look to yourself before you denigrate others!!!

                • 13 votes
                #20.3 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 3:09 AM EDT

                blueinut49

                FYI... I give blood everytime the Red Cross asks, I have done this since I first entered the military. As for Money, I don't have any I can spare right now as I am currently looking for a job and living off my savings. But I did sign-up to donate my time.

                So yeah I have done what I can to help...

                • 2 votes
                #20.4 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 1:26 PM EDT

                Oh, TRO, you're one of those jobless moochers that sponge off the government? You're one of the 47% that Mitt Romney doesn't care about? You do know active duty military members are also part of the 47%?

                • 2 votes
                #20.5 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 2:16 PM EDT

                Dangerous Mind

                That's ME... And Damn Proud of it. (Altho the 21 years in the Military didn't hurt when it comes to my pocket book).

                And I am voting for ROMNEY.

                • 2 votes
                #20.6 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 3:38 PM EDT
                Reply

                Ohio + Iowa + Nevada = 2nd term

                • 16 votes
                Reply#21 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 12:39 AM EDT

                I looked at the demographics of the Wisconsin poll. Guess what? They oversampled democrats by 5%. So, if they have to oversample democrats by 5% to get a 3% Obama lead, it tells any reasonable person that Obama is even losing some of his democratic base.

                • 9 votes
                Reply#22 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 12:39 AM EDT

                These type of comments are silly.

                • 13 votes
                #22.1 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 12:47 AM EDT

                ...and ignorant. the fact that there are more demos in the polling area means one has to create a representative sample to create an accurate profile. Capiche?

                It ain't a conspiracy, Tammy.

                • 12 votes
                #22.2 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 12:51 AM EDT

                aNYthing24

                Well yes it would be silly to a lib... I mean after all it is A FACT... There that should hold you libs of for a few minutes. And if you are not careful, I will throw a Whole Bunch of FACTS ate yall

                • 3 votes
                #22.3 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 1:51 AM EDT

                Even NBC knows Obama has lost, they have even started reducing the level of Democrat over-sampling in their "polls" to reduce their embarrasment when Romney wins in a landslide:

                Wisconsin:
                Strong Democrat 27
                Not strong Democrat 7
                Democrat leaning Independent12
                Just Independent12
                Republican leaning Independent12
                Not strong Republican5
                Strong Republican23
                Other2

                New Hampshire:

                Strong Democrat 22
                Not strong Democrat 4
                Democrat leaning Independent 16
                Just Independent 16
                Republican leaning Independent 16
                Not strong Republican 6
                Strong Republican 19
                Other 1

                Iowa:

                Strong Democrat 25
                Not strong Democrat 8
                Democrat leaning Independent 12
                Just Independent 15
                Republican leaning Independent 10
                Not strong Republican 8
                Strong Republican 23
                Other 0

                This is by far the most evenly-split polling NBC has done all year, it is still skewed toward Democrats but not nearly as much as usual.

                When the propagandists began dialing back their propaganda you know they have realized that reality has prevailed and thay are only making themselves look foolish.

                • 3 votes
                #22.4 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 10:46 AM EDT

                So pjam, how do they randomly call a selection of phone numbers producing a group of people that exactly mirror the actual electorate?

                They can't, that's how...it's impossible.

                So they use something called "weighted averages" (which you must have slept through in math class) to correct their final results.

                funny how EVERY time polls don't favor Republicans the Conservatives pop up with your easily discredited meme about slanted polling.

                ...but you already knew that, didn't you?

                  #22.5 - Fri Nov 2, 2012 7:50 AM EDT
                  Reply
                  Comment author avatarleftsuxExpand Comment Comment collapsed by the community

                  mark Barack ostumbler is hiding under your rug/hair piece. LOL

                  • 3 votes
                  Reply#23 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 12:40 AM EDT

                  "Charlie Turner, Demand Progress" <info@demandprogress.org>
                  " Pro-Romney firm owns Ohio voting machines"

                  "As this critical election nears, we're teaming up with our friends at CREDO Action to urge the Department of Justice to make sure there's no funny business in Ohio -- Will you join us?

                  Ohio could decide the election, and its voting machines are made by a company with very close ties to Mitt Romney. "




                  To quote this recent news article:

                  Click here to add your name to this petition to Attorney General Eric Holder:

                  "The Department of Justice must launch an immediate investigation into Hart Intercivic touch screen voting machines in Ohio, and take all actions necessary to block Republicans from stealing the 2012 presidential election with voting machines tied to the Romney family and campaign."

                  Add your name:

                  Learn more about this

                  "Voting machines tied to the Romneys could decide the election in Ohio.

                  Could a voting machine company with deep financial ties to the Romney family help Republicans steal the presidential election in Ohio?

                  It could happen. If this year's presidential election comes down to the electoral votes in Ohio, the deciding votes could be cast on electronic voting machines manufactured by Hart Intercivic.

                  Tell the Department of Justice: Don't let Republicans steal the election in Ohio with Romney-owned voting machines. Click here to sign the petition.

                  A 2007 study conducted by Ohio's Secretary of State showed that Hart Intercivic's touch screen voting machines could be easily corrupted. The New York Times reported:

                  At polling stations, teams working on the study were able to pick locks to access memory cards and use hand-held devices to plug false vote counts into machines. At boards of election, they were able to introduce malignant software into servers.1

                  Hart Intercivic is majority owned by H.I.G. Capital which controls two of the five seats on the Hart Intercivic board. An investment fund with deep ties to the Romney family and the Mitt Romney for president campaign, H.I.G. Capital was founded by Tony Tamer, a major bundler for the Romney campaign, and it is one of the largest partners of Solamere Capital, an investment fund founded by Tagg Romney and Spencer Zwick, Mitt Romney's chief fundraiser from the 2008 presidential campaign.2 This makes the Romney family part owner of the voting machine company, through it's interest in H.I.G. Capital.

                  Tell the Department of Justice: Don't let Republicans steal the election in Ohio with Romney-owned voting machines. Click here to sign the petition.

                  What's more, three other H.I.G. Capital directors are major fundraisers for the Romney campaign, and H.I.G. Capital is the 11th largest contributor to the Mitt Romney campaign.3 Two of the company's directors, Douglas Berman and Brian Schwartz, were even in attendance at the Boca Raton fundraiser4 where Romney infamously declared:

                  There are 47 percent of the people who will vote for the president no matter what… who are dependent upon government, who believe that they are victims, who believe the government has a responsibility to care for them, who believe that they are entitled to health care, to food, to housing, to you-name-it… These are people who pay no income tax…[M]y job is is not to worry about those people. I'll never convince them they should take personal responsibility and care for their lives.5

                  And as if the ties between Tagg Romney's Solamere, Romney contributors at H.I.G. Capital, and Hart Intercivic weren't astonishing enough, two members of Hart Intercivic's 5-member board of directors made direct contributions to the Romney campaign. That's right. Directors of the company that makes touchscreen voting machines that could decide the presidential election in Ohio, have made contributions to the Mitt Romney for President campaign.

                  It is disturbing and dangerous that Hart Intercivic, the company that makes the machines that will count many of the votes in Ohio on election night has deep financial ties to family members of Mitt Romney. And that its leadership has been actively involved presidential campaign by donating and bundling hundreds of thousands of dollars to the Mitt Romney. The fact that these machines are easily corruptible touch screen voting machines makes matters even worse.

                  Gov. Mitt Romney and President Barack Obama are locked in a tight election race which could very well be decided by Ohio's 18 electoral votes. We must take action now."

                  http://act.demandprogress.org/go/749?t=12&akid=1823.527534.FLieYN

                  "Thank you for all you do to protect the integrity of our Democracy.

                  Becky Bond, Political Director
                  CREDO Action from Working Assets

                  1. Bob Driehaus, "Ohio Elections Official Calls Machines Flawed," New York Times, December 15, 2007.
                  2. Rick Ungar, "Romney Family Investment Ties To Voting Machine Company That Could Decide The Election Causing Concern," Forbes, October 20, 2012.
                  3. "Mitt Romney (R) Top Contributors." Open Secrets, October 1, 2012.
                  4. Dave Gilson, Who Was at Romney's "47 Percent" Fundraiser?, Mother Jones, Sept. 18, 2012.
                  5. MoJo News Team, "Full Transcript of the Mitt Romney Secret Video," Mother Jones, September 19, 2012."

                  • 11 votes
                  Reply#24 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 12:41 AM EDT
                  Comment author avatarleftsuxExpand Comment Comment collapsed by the community

                  I didn't know they piled bullchit that high.

                  • 2 votes
                  #24.1 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 12:42 AM EDT

                  An Independent Thinker

                  First I must say... for being an Independent Thinker... ya don't seem to be doing all that much on your own...

                  And I thhink it is funner then He!! that you libs are Already Making excuses for obama falling flat on his face.

                  If not in the election then it will be in the IMPEACHEMENT HEARING.

                  • 6 votes
                  #24.2 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 1:54 AM EDT

                  LOL! These machines in Ohio, that you claim are rigged for Romney, were actually kicking out Obama votes, even though the person had actually voted for Romney! Election officials were called in and the machines were recalibrated. If anyone is going to make attempts to steal this election via voting machines, it will be Obama's people since they can't rely on ACORN this time to do it for them manually!

                  • 3 votes
                  #24.3 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 7:47 AM EDT

                  KEN...PROVIDE SOURCE....Must be another fox news or imagination story....does not exist!

                  • 4 votes
                  #24.4 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 9:50 AM EDT

                  I believe this explains a few things going on right now in Ohio. The Governor of Ohio, a Republican't has commissioned a Private poll which shows Romney leading by 55%. From eye witnesses the company apparently called only 4 counties in Ohio, those 4 are the most Republican'ts living in them.

                  What this will do is set up the situation. When the rigged voting machines are used, Romney will be able to claim this one faulty poll as proof that it was not voter fraud (When in fact it was Mass Voter Fraud) thus muddying the waters.

                  This is most sinister and the FEC Needs to act against the Governor of Ohio and the Ohio election commission.

                  And thats my opinion

                  • 2 votes
                  #24.5 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 11:32 AM EDT

                  it not the poll that will decide on the winner, it is Job,Job,Jobs. Obama has fail. so people will vote for what's best for the pocket and family.

                  • 1 vote
                  #24.6 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 12:14 PM EDT

                  gregorio057

                  Or as biden would say... It's that three (3) letter word.. J-O-B-S.

                  • 1 vote
                  #24.7 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 1:23 PM EDT

                  And the Tealiban, elected in 2010 on jobs jobs jobs, shouldn't be held responsible for their historical record breaking filibusters? Congress has a 7% approval rating, lowest in history.

                  But it's all Obama's fault they obstructed the jobs bills he presented eh?

                  To the Tealiban 'jobs jobs jobs' means introducing rape and abortion bills, renaming a Post Office, filibustering 300+ bills that could help the country, then going on vacation.

                  Then smart people like you blame the result on Obama.

                  • 4 votes
                  #24.8 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 2:23 PM EDT
                  Reply
                  Comment author avatarleftsuxExpand Comment Comment collapsed by the community

                  Sheik Hussein Ostumbler- "I did not have sex with that video."

                  • 6 votes
                  Reply#25 - Thu Nov 1, 2012 12:42 AM EDT
                  Reply
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