E-mail updates
Follow on Twitter
Subscribe to RSSTwo polls out Wednesday show President Barack Obama on top of GOP presidential nominee Mitt Romney in the swing state of Wisconsin.
Obama leads, 54 percent to 40 percent, in a Marquette University Law poll released Wednesday afternoon. The same poll found Obama with a narrower, 49 to 46 percent, lead over Romney before both party conventions, and shortly after the Republican candidate named Wisconsin Rep. Paul Ryan as his running mate.
Mark Wilson / Getty Images
President Barack Obama greets guests during an event to honor the WNBA champion Minnesota Lynx , at the White House on September 18.
A separate poll of Wisconsin voters conducted by Quinnipiac University, the New York Times and CBS News also found Obama with an advantage in the Badger State. Obama led by six points, 51 to 45 percent, in that poll released this morning.
NBC News considers Wisconsin a "toss-up" state for purposes of its battleground map. NBC News will have the results of a third poll of Wisconsin, conducted in partnership with Marist College and the Wall Street Journal, on Thursday.
The Marquette poll was conducted Sept. 13-16 and has a 4.1 percent margin of error for its sample of likely voters. The Quinnipiac/NYT/CBS poll was conducted Sept. 11-17 and has a 2.5 percent margin of error.
Leave a Comment:
The people in Wissonsin are NOTstupid so try counting your polls over and over until you can get them correct.
frank: The polls do show people in Wisconsin aren't stupid....that is why President Obama is in the lead.....same with some other swing states.
Yeah - he fooled us once noe he's gonna fool us again. Not me though I have had enough of his lies and deception.
You so smart!
Hot Daddy, they have medications for they type of hallucinations that you are having if you believe what is on that movie! You are on sorry case!
Obama/Biden 2012 "We Got It Straight In 2008!!"
F6Zman - the fact that you say never seen anyone with an IQ higher than 125 vote for a Democrat DOES tell me at least one thing . . . . It tells me you haven't seen me vote!
Or me..
Me, me, I usually vote for Democrats and my IQ is over 125
F6Z -- I'm just wondering how you manage to find out what people's IQs are? Is that a voting requirement in your state? Is it public information on the voting list? Or are you just blowing smoke? I know what I think.
IQ over 125 here, loyal Obama voter as well!
wow, all these genius people. In actuality, the average IQ in the US is about 103 (sadly quite low on the world chart), with genius level at 130. I highly doubt that F6zman knows too many with IQs over 125, just as I doubt that all those chirping in are in that category. ~~If you're not outraged by the direction of this country, you're just not paying attention~~
Wonderful for Obama!!!
I am thankful for the Wisconsin people for seeing what all of America sees.
All of america does not see it that way! Go back to sleep!
The gun running, lieing, poor economy, gas and groceries higher, promises with no results for 4 years, record debt....what am I missing that he did right.
Been,
30 straight months of job growth, compared to the 750,000 jobs a month that the economy was bleeding under Bush. Obama stopped the bleeding.
Osama bin Laden = DEAD!
al Qaeda = DECAPITATED, their infrastructure in shambles.
Affordable healthcare, no more denials for "preexisting conditions."
Fair pay for women.
As for gas and grocery prices, no president has control over that, at least that's what Republicans kept saying for the first 8 years of this century.
Thursday, August 16, 2012
The presidential race in Wisconsin is a little tighter this month following Mitt Romney's selection of hometown Congressman Paul Ryan as his running mate.
The latest Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Voters shows Romney with 48% support to President Obama’s 47%. Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, and two percent (2%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
In late July, it was Obama 49%, Romney 46%. This is the Republican’s largest level of support yet in the Badger State. Prior to this survey, the president has earned 45% to 52% of the vote, while Romney has picked up 41% to 46% of the vote.
The Rasmussen survey you mentioned was from August 16. Ancient history.
The average results from the three most recent Wisconsin statewide polls have Obama up by 6.4%
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/wi/wisconsin_romney_vs_obama-1871.html
Union Baby, Tennessee; You need a serious fact check, brother! It was the other way around! obviously you didn't read the part about the teachers now having better insurance for half the cost of the union-owned insurance company that they were using. And also, do you have any idea how many teachers quit last year so they could start receiving their pensions and then were re-hired at the same or better pay than they were making before -causing the tax payers to pay them both their pension money and their 70,000 salary at the same time. What do you think that does to a state budget. Teachers are paid by the tax payer - not a corporation. Your boss at work determines how much you make determined by how much he can afford to pay you (although I doubt you have a job) and since the taxpayers are the ultimate boss here, Wisconsin taxpayers decided they could no longer afford to pay any more than they were. That is why Walker was elected (twice!!)
Hope Jimmy Carters whatever he is stays the he*l out of Alabama. Polls, Polls...they have been SO right the last few elections. Think Obama WILL win...through fair means or foul. Think this country will NOT be the same in 3-4 years..and I'm NOT talking about policy. Amount of states in it. Some of us...just don't count. So why not leave? Sick of all the ugliness in this election. Disgusting. Let's just vote today, so we don't have to listen to it anymore...it's been going on for 2 years! Sick and tired of it all! On BOTH sides. Let's randomly just pick someone to be POTUS...probably have better luck. And do these Wall St. Protesters not have jobs?! OH YEAH...they are living off the gov't and my tax money. I'd give that a shot...if I didn't have an ounce of pride in my body. In the last 4 yrs., me and my husbands jobs have been eliminated because the businesses went under; lost our house, had HORRIBLE medical issues without insurance for the first time in FOREVER...and we didin't go on the dole. We did what we had to to barely make it until things got better. Still isn't great. So people who say everyone voting against Obama is loaded...you are an idiot. Not even a Republican...voted for Clinton twice AND Gore. Think about that a minute.
Your state was one of the ones that got into a little snit and stomped out of the union back in 1860, how'd that work out for ya?
You make changes by getting off your duff and doing something. Campaign for your candidate, register people to vote, you have the time. Democracy requires work. Everyone must participate or it isn't a democracy. Instead of resigning oneself to corporate Fascism fight it with all you got. You may win you may lose but in the end you did your best, you did your part, you let your voice be heard from the mountain tops. Leaving the union is cowardly. It is giving up instead of fighting. So get in their and fight, fight, fight.
Nobody ever suggested that, in fact, it's well known that the vast majority of Republican voters are poor, white trash, redneck simpletons with perhaps enough braincells between them all to make half a brain and enough teeth to make one complete set per family. In fact, it's well known that the "47% that pay no income tax" are mostly Republican voters.
Cook those polls and NBC reports it...it's BS and they know it. If you over sample the dems it bound to come out with the Bamster ahead....nothing new here.....This joke of a President IS going to loose....the writing is on the wall....You libs better get used to it...Your guy is taking a fall come November......And we will all be better off for it.....
WB, the only jokes are you and that loser of a nominee you have. I get it, the only polls which are right are the ones that tell you what you want to hear, is that it??? Talk about sour grapes fella. LOL I never celebrate until the fat lady has sung but your boy Willardo the Draft Dodger is not looking too swift at the moment.
That's not oversampling. You obviously don't know anything about survey methodologies.
The results show that more people self-identify as Democrats than Republicans when you randomly sample people who say that they are Likely Voters.
The findings indicate that fewer people are likely to self-identify as Republicans.
Let's see, what do we have from the last four years that we need MORE of ...
unemployment, debt, spending, no separation of powers, bail outs, drone strikes, Arab spring, welfare, no budget, union strikes, division, class warfare, big government, Occupy, illegal immigration, fast and furious, food stamps, shovel ready, lies
no thanks
Uh, yea pal. Cause things were so rosey when your boy Dubya left office, right??? LOL
Man, folks have a really sort memory span, banks failing, stock market crash, our domestic auto industry on the virge of extinction, housing market imploding, and consumer confidence at an all time low, not to mention two unfunded wars, one of them totally unnecessary the other being fought the wrong way. That's what Obama inherited from you clowns and that will be Dubya's legacy, one of utter ruin. And " class warfare", what are you a puppet for the GOP, just mimicking the party line? Yea, all those poor people are beating up so terribly all the billionaires that are whining about their tax rates. LOL Get real, why don't you.
Uh, yea pal. Cause things were so rosy when your boy Dubya left office, right??? LOL
Man, folks have a really sort memory span, banks failing, stock market crash, our domestic auto industry on the virge of extinction, housing market imploding, and consumer confidence at an all time low, not to mention two unfunded wars, one of them totally unnecessary the other being fought the wrong way. That's what Obama inherited from you clowns and that will be Dubya's legacy, one of utter ruin. And " class warfare", what are you a puppet for the GOP, just mimicking the party line? Yea, all those poor people are beating up so terribly all the billionaires that are whining about their tax rates. LOL Get real, why don't you.
I take it you are voting for mittwitt.
Let's see the same guy who will NOT release his tax returns
Oh by the way President Obama did not cause any of those listed items. - repeat fu-ck u-p noise. wow
You know, Intrepid, when you check off all the crap that was handed to president Obama I am actually surprised that we are doing as well as we are. It really is an eye opener. No other president in recent history was handed such a big pile of $hit to deal with and our president has stepped up and he has done as well as he could given all the obstructionism and the fact that our economy was practically third world status. We are slowly pulling out of it. The latest reports show that the housing market is getting stronger every day. New construction is rising. This country IS moving. I don't want it to get all phucked up by Romney getting in there. Yes, unemployment is still high, but I think we are going to start seeing more movement. We need to work together! Everyone has to pull together.
Obama is STILL the man for the job!
O&Joe 2012!
And, don't forget, for at least the last 4-5 months of 2007, right before Obama took office, we were losing over 500,000 jobs every month!! We have had positive job growth for the last three years! Obviously it's not where it needs to be yet, but it's a heck of a lot better than where it was. It really does seem that people don't remember how bad it was then. I even saw someone recently refer to it as a "slow" economy when Obama took office! Seriously, a re-write of history. BTW, just today, the Repubs blocked another of the President's job bills, this one aimed at helping employment for returning veterans!
O did nothing to improve anything. By his own words nothing has improved. And nothing will improve. THAT is his plan. The deficit will increase, the spending will increase, America will be downgraded, money will be printed, the government will continue to bail itself out, welfare will increase, our economy without JOBS is unsustainable, the military will be cut, our security will be threatened, Gitmo is open, the world is being militarized, the mideast is burning, Americans are being killed, energy prices will skyrocket, under HIS watch. And this is only the beginning - this while he was trying to get re-elected. So everything under O will only get worse. It doesn't matter what he inherited. What did he do!?!? What will he do?!?!
And I understand how people can identify with this admin, I really do. There are many groups of citizens in this country who don't feel represented. Unfortunately, this president does not know how to run this country. So let's elect someone who does and get the government back in business. Nothing else can be accomplished if this does not happen. Don't confuse the president's job with other things that are equally important but are not accomplished by decree in Washington.
Today being International talk like a pirate day maybe we should have ol' willard walking the plank. Seriously: People in Wisconsin seem to be waking up to and repent for the mistakes made in electing Walker and Ryan. Let's work to further turn Wisconsin a beautiful Navy Blue.
during the recall wasnt a poll conducted showing Obama with a 9% lead? So as much as I wish it were true voter remorse I cant follow your logic all the way
And some date from people with IQ's pretty high--
The states with the highest percentage of federal filers who do not owe income taxes tend to vote Republican in presidential elections. An analysis by the Tax Foundation found that in 2008 the state with the highest percentage of federal filers with no tax liability was Mississippi, and that most of the states with the highest percentage of filers with no liability were in the South.
And the politics of who receives help from the government are complex as well. Research by Dean Lacy, a professor of government at Dartmouth College, has found that states that receive more in federal spending than they pay in taxes have become increasingly Republican in presidential elections.
"Since 1984," he said in an interview Tuesday, "the states that get the most money in federal spending per tax dollar paid have become increasingly Republican."
Roger- as I am sure you are aware these states are in the Deep South and include Florida and the one other is New Mexico. Perhaps something regarding remnants of the "old" racism. Now that Obama has been elected that is proof that all vestiges of rascism are gone(sarcasm intented)
Comparing Obama's Candidacy to Jimmy Carter's (Carter was ahead in the polls at this point too, etc.) is IDIOTIC.. Here's why:
1) The economy - sparked by the energy crisis, high interest rates and inflation - was in a sharp recession in 1980. In 2012, energy supplies are much more stable, and we don't have high interest rates or serious inflation problems. The economy is actually adding jobs (albeit at a slow rate).
2) The Iran hostage crisis under Carter went on for 444 days and included a disastrous rescue attempt. And while the current situation in the mideast is potentially explosive, there are signs the immediate crisis is already waning. Obama also has the advantage of ordering a successful operation against Bin Laden in addition to an ongoing offensive against terrorist targets that actually exceeds what was done under President Bush.
3) Finally - and this is a HUGE difference - Jimmy Carter had the political dynamism of a bowl of corn flakes and was running against the man who would become known as "The Great Communicator." I don't think there is any danger of anyone calling Romney a "great communicator" anytime soon. In fact, his inability to connect with the average person stands in sharp contrast to Obama's ability to run a high-energy campaign.
So any Romney supporter looking for solace in Carter's September lead in the polls is only fooling themselves with an apples and oranges comparison.
Romney is no Reagan. Not even close.
Reagan was trusted, Romney isn't.
Reagan understood middle class America, ROmney barely knows it exists.
Regan had a plan, ROmney doesn't.
Reagan was like, ROmney isn't, not even by the GOP.
Obama would promise anything to get into office. He's a thug, a liar, putting us and our grandchildren in debt, probably another war after he is elected, I voted for him and gave him a chance and he made things worse.
Mark, the main difference between Reagan and the present-day Republicans is that Reagan saw liberals as people who could be converted to Republicans if he reached out to them. Present-day Republicans see liberals as the enemy. Every day, you read disgusting put-downs of liberals in general, and President Obama in particular. Reagan would never have said those things. Present-day Republicans are a bunch of fools. They have forgotten that "United we stand, divided we fall."
it is said that republiCons live in a bubble. Here we have poll after poll showing Obama is pulling ahead. That is called a trend. But rather then adjust to a new reality here they are condemming polling as being "biased" or MSN only taking "selective" polling data. Come Nov 6 the election will have been "stolen" due to voter fraud and Obama's army of welfare cheats.
These are the same people who two years ago froze our political system and made predictions that if we didnt reduce the debt NOW horrible things will ocurr. Last year during the debt ceiling fiasco they were yelling hyperinflation is here.
They just seem to avoid dealing with reality. They chose their illusionary world were only they are the achievers. Yet as Roger on post 38 points out the reddest of the red states are the ones that require more of the federal money to survive
When the pollster polls dems 8% more than Reps, then it is a biased poll.
That's just the natural percentage of how people self-identified out of the random sampling for the survey.
The finding is really that fewer people self-identify as Republican or conservative, which is a real indicator of low enthusiasm and the diminishing influence of the Republican party in the general population.
The definition of a biased poll:
Any poll showing a result I WISH wasn't true.
Two statewide elections recently and now the polls want to convince us that those elections were a mirage...get serious.... All that Wisconsin voters have to do is show up just like they did the last two times....call someone, take someone, vote yourself....the best Wisconsin polls were within the past two years and one was just recent..they were called elections..just goes to show when you have a ballot you can answer loud and clear....and when you are asked a question the pollster's way, you answer their way....
The real polls are taken on election day...you have 2010 and the recent confirmation election in Wisconsin which are REAL POLLS and now the pollsters think their polling will change the next outcome...good luck with that.
Worth noting is the Quinnipiac/NYT/CBS poll sampled DEMs 8% more than REPs. The Marquette doesn't even offer the demographics to its poll.
First thing they teach you in stats class "You can make a stat tell you anything you want it to tell you". The people who constructed this poll must have been paying attention!
That's not oversampling. That's just the natural percentage of how people self-identified out of the random sampling for the survey.
The finding is really that fewer people self-identify as Republican or conservative, which is a real indicator of low enthusiasm and the diminishing influence of the Republican party in the general population.
We understand. Unless the poll shows your candidate with a lead it's fraudulent. You'll feel the same way on Nov 7th when the president is re elected. Next you'll go on blogs and blame Romney's defeat on illegal voters or stupid people. After that you'll listen to republican radio and blame it on Romney for not being "conservative" enough and the downward spiral of the republican party will continue. You probable blame the Packers losses on the refs.
What the hell is a "stats class?
RE-ELECT. The Marquette polled dems +5 in their polling just prior to the recall election. In August they polled dems +2. In this poll, they polled Dems +11.
A sudden change of +9 from one month to another? This has biased written all over. Further, I am not advocating for either politico party, both parties provide no benefit to me, I was just noting the demographics used. That is something I believe should have been in the article.
SDC.CLARK. "stats class" A statistical course? Just about every college student in the land is required to take.
Election races are similar to a marathon and people hate liars who lie about their time in one.
Don't know why people who doubt the validity of a poll bothers to read it, much less comment on it unless they want someone else to doubt its validity too.
WOW! This is big! Keep shooting yourself in the foot, Governor Privileged, it's great for democracy! And we love it. That's right, stick to your guns and show us what a "strong leader" you are - all the way downhill...
By the way, Gov., please do not try this again - if you haven't figured it out by now, you're not presidential material. Of course, maybe they'd elect you president of the Cayman Islands, since your money is already supporting THAT nation!
mrsbuzz.....You actually think the Failure in Chief in the White House now is "presidential material"?
Not only the middle east, but the entire Muslim world is not only demonstrating against this country, they are demonstrating against HIM! After a week of you "geniuses" crowing about how Obama had killed Osama, they are out in the streets in the hundreds of thousands proclaiming, "Obama we are ALL Osamas".
And let's not forget that "wonderful" security Obama provided to the Ambassador of Libya on 9/11. Oh wait, I meant to say Valerie Jarrett in Martha's Vineyard, seeing as she got MORE security in a safe country than FOUR Americans did in a dangerous one.
Not counting that Obama didn't have a SINGLE security briefing the week before 9/11 and THREE DAYS before that TERRORIST attack on our nation there were warnings out.
Yeah, real "leadership" there mrsbuzz.
TWELVE HUNDRED coal miners being laid off. That's how much Obama cares for the "middle class". Of course middle class coal miners aren't big on supporting Obama, so who really cares anyway?
And coal mines and coal fired electrical plants don't have Obama bundlers, supporters, and staff members running them like the "green" companies do, so who cares about coal mines and coal fired plants have to shut down too? After all, wasn't it Obama that denigrated the coal industry and said any coal fired electrical plant would be BANKRUPTED by him?
Just because energy costs are SKYROCKETING just like Obama wanted doesn't mean anything either. Just as long as he keeps handing out that "free" stuff to the UNIONS that do support him, his bundlers, supporters, staff members, and anyone else he thinks will vote for him.
Company spokesman Ted Pile said most of the displaced workers may eventually be rehired, either assigned to new jobs in other locations or replacing outside contractors. Only 150 workers in West Virginia and three in Pennsylvania will not have any other employment opportunities with the company, he said.
Yes, and the guy doing the "sad" commercial is, WHAT? YES! He's the CEO of a mining company! Talk about pretending to be an intellectual, why don't you do some fact-checking before you shoot first and ask questions later - oh, sorry, I forgot - you're a Rombot supporter! You're learning from the best B-s'er!
Why would any woman who thinks for herself vote for a republican party that believes in legitimate rape for a woman?
you are ridiculous...and you don't do your homework!
Who are they actuly calling,all the people in Madison??????
And another thing Mr. Rombot, it'll be your haughty "better than thou" attitude that brings you down by the very people you wrote off. Guess what, that 47, 48, 49 percent VOTE, and it won't be for someone who has never known a day of want (unless your party finds a way, again, to rig another presidential election like you did before). Guess what else? They're the people with character, moral values, ideals, and are the backbone of America! And they will vote for President Obama - we will see whose campaign - to use a word you liked using so much in yours, is a "FAILURE." Maybe you should move out of America since the only ones who seem to like you are the prejudiced and the greedy Wall Streeters who almost pushed us off the fiscal cliff a few years ago - oh, and take them with you too. Uh, no, I'm caucasian, but don't believe people who have a different color skin are "less than" myself, or think people who need legitimate help sometimes are "victims" or refuse to take responsibility for their lives like you do. Creep.
prog...the opinion of ONE idiot does not speak for the entire political party, although you attempt to say so with your MORONIC statement.
Based on that, then Joe Biden speaks for the ENTIRE DEMOCRATIC PARTY when he claims that blacks will be put back in chains. And Nancy Pelosie speaks for the ENTIRE DEMOCRATIC PARTY when she claims that a bill must be passed BEFORE we can find out what in it.
And guess what mrsbuzz.....There are 47% of the people that will NOT vote for Romney no matter what he says. LIKE YOU! What he said was the truth, that there are 47% of the voters that will NOT vote for him and he's not going to worry about getting their VOTES.
You twist statements into FILTH FILLED LIES and think you are somehow "intelligent", when all you do is show that you are just another "progressive" that preaches tolerance, acceptance, and "civil debate" and are nothing more than a race baiting, fear mongering, class warfare, liberal.
CherylLM,
Looks like you need some fact checking:
http://factcheck.org/2012/09/dependency-and-romneys-47-percenters/
Romney is slamming his own people and mis-characterizing who makes up the, factually, 46.4%!
The most accurate and telling Wisconsin polls occurred in the past two years... called elections.
Pollster have a way with admitted percentage weights, weighting of political parties, and weighting for specific variables...all to sway public opinion on where public opinion is...you know it depends on what is ...is...elections do not have those is's or guesses....they are accurate.
2012 is going to be just like 2010 and the 2012 recall...the voters want improvement, they do not like the direction, and they intend to vote for who can deliver....that is not good for Obama considering the last four years and two elections.
NBC works for the White House...more lies!
I do not know why Republicans did not see this coming? If a candidate wants to effectively argue that he wants to bring down the taxes for everyone, he should first prove to the masses that he himself is personally hurting because of the high taxes. In Romney's case, his tax rate is considerably lower than that of the average Joe who will wonder why Romney wants to reduce the taxes so that he can pay even less or possibly nothing at all.
teekey....Absolutely ridiculous ... G. Washington in today's dollars/assets was the most wealthiest President ever...based on your analysis, you would not vote for him.