2012: Obama leads in other polls

In addition to the three battleground NBC/WSJ/Marist polls in Florida, Virginia, and Ohio showing President Obama with a lead of at least five points, the latest WMUR/Granite State poll in New Hampshire shows the president with a 45-40% lead.

And a “New York Times/CBS News poll finds President Obama holds a narrow three-point advantage over Mitt Romney among most likely voter, 49% to 46%,” Political Wire notes. That’s in addition to Obama’s leads in the ever-changing Gallup Daily Tracking poll and the robo Reuters/Ipsos. (NBC policy is not to report on automated surveys.)

Channeling First Read, Reuters makes the point that the renewed focus on foreign policy and Mideast crisis might not exactly be the best thing for President Obama: “President Barack Obama is pulling away from rival Mitt Romney in polls in what might be a turning point in the U.S. presidential campaign, but volatility in the Middle East is allowing Republicans to cast the Democrat as weak on foreign policy and could threaten his momentum.”

Charlie Cook: “It should be emphasized again and again that this campaign isn’t over and that the race is still awfully close. But without a change in the trajectory, it’s a good bet that Obama will come out on top. The questions are whether the opportunity will arise for that trajectory to change and whether the Romney campaign be able to effectively capitalize on it.”

“A presidential race that has been neck-and-neck for months suddenly isn't,” USA Today’s Page writes, adding, “With 53 days and three presidential debates to go, strategists in both parties say there's time for Romney to recover lost ground, especially with an electorate deeply dissatisfied with the direction of the country and the state of the economy. But even some Republican political analysts warn that the former Massachusetts governor faces a political landscape that has become steeper as the campaign heads into the home stretch.”

“With just 53 days remaining until Election Day, the unfolding situation in Libya, where four Americans were killed Tuesday, and elsewhere in the region almost ensures that foreign affairs will be more than a footnote in the final weeks of a close election,” the Boston Globe notes. “Competing on foreign policy terrain could make Mitt Romney’s road to the White House more challenging. … The irony is that Obama — who faced so much criticism four years ago that he was a foreign policy novice that he picked the chairman of the Senate Committee on Foreign Relations as his running mate — is now the one positioned to benefit from the prominence of foreign policy.”

“Investigators are probing whether a mole helped Libyan terrorists attack the U.S. Consulate — where no Marines were on guard,” the New York Daily News writes. “The raiders met with such little resistance that, after seizing control of the one-story villa in a mere 15 minutes, they unleashed a second assault on a nearby safe house, officials in the U.S. and Libya said Thursday.”

“Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke doesn’t care about Capitol Hill or campaign-trail bullies. He has said repeatedly as the central bank has come under a political magnifying glass this year: The Fed bases its decisions on economics, not politics,” National Journal writes. “On Thursday, the Fed chairman backed up that assertion with action. The central bank acted boldly this week—about as boldly as it could have, kicking off an open-ended round of bond-buying, extending its commitment to keep short-term interest rates low, and pledging to do even more if the labor market doesn’t improve ‘substantially.’ All this just 54 days before the presidential election.”

As annoying as they are, it’s never a good idea to give a tracker the finger. Here’s Rep. Denny Rehberg (R) -- who’s in a tight race for the Senate in Montana -- doing that.

Discuss this post

09-14-12

The newest research from Nate has it as the NOV 6 factors:

“Obama chance of winning 78.6% Romney 21.4%”

“Projected Winner Obama 312.5”

“Projected Loser Romney 225.5”

Popular Vote:

Obama 51.3% Romney 47.7%

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

However, if the election was being voted in “Now Cast” Today:

Totals

“Obama chance of winning 91.8% Romney 8.2%”

“Projected Winner Obama 319.8”

“Projected Loser Romney 218.2”

Popular Vote:

Obama 51.3% Romney 47.7%

  • 11 votes
Reply#1 - Fri Sep 14, 2012 9:26 AM EDT

Job1 you're going to have to cool it with the facts. The republicans are already hyperventilating over yesterday's polls.

  • 4 votes
#1.1 - Fri Sep 14, 2012 11:04 AM EDT

Way to go Mr. Obama!

Thanks to you and you "Community Organizer" resume, the United States is truely loved the world over!

Nothing warms the cockles of the heart more than to see Egypt, Libya, Sudan, Yemen, Afghanistan, Iran, Iraq, Seria, Pakistan and Seria loving the crap outta us! Looks like the '09 Apology Tour wasn't as well received as the liberals on FR thought!

Bravo Mr. Community Organizer, Bravo indeed!

Loser

    #1.2 - Fri Sep 14, 2012 11:30 AM EDT

    Thanks to you and you "Community Organizer" resume, the United States is truely loved the world over!

    Nothing warms the cockles of the heart more than to see Egypt, Libya, Sudan, Yemen, Afghanistan, Iran, Iraq, Seria, Pakistan and Seria loving the crap outta us! Looks like the '09 Apology Tour wasn't as well received as the liberals on FR thought!

    Bravo Mr. Community Organizer, Bravo indeed!

    Loser

    It's a good thing they don't issue fines for lying - you'd be bankrupt by now.

    You guys have been using this ridiculous community orgainizer BS long enough... President Obama was a State Senator, and U.S. Senator, a college professor, and now he has 4 years experience as President of the United States. And I'd be willing to bet he has done far more good in the world than Mr Romney (Bain - Layoffs - Outsourcing - Sending money overseas - sending jobs overseas - WON'T SHOW US HIS TAXES)

    As for the " Egypt, Libya, Sudan, Yemen, Afghanistan, Iran, Iraq, Seria, Pakistan and Seria loving the crap outta us", once again - you can thank right-wing nut job haters for that accomplishment, so STOP LYING and saying Obama caused it!

    • 3 votes
    #1.3 - Sun Sep 16, 2012 3:36 PM EDT

    Michael1969, I particularly liked your reference to "Seria". Amazing that you have the nerve to call anyone a loser. The rest of your post was equally ignorant, but "Seria" was absolutely classic!

    • 1 vote
    #1.4 - Mon Sep 17, 2012 5:12 AM EDT

    Its hard to legitimately attack a really smart President of the United States. You have a man who listens to people and makes his decision based on the input of the group. I'm sorry but that is just cool. Regardless of all the people who attempt to ridicule or denegrate him the reality is there are more people on his side because he is siding with the majority. Just because you have the loudest mouth or the most money does not mean you are part of the majority. With all the complaining and with the economy not being where he wants it yet there is still a majority that knows he will do a better job than anyone else available. The majority spoke in 2008 and and they are speaking again this year. The losers might want to think about repurposing their energy into helping to make the country better for the majority instead of trying to impose minority views on the majority. Insults are a waste of time.

      #1.5 - Wed Sep 26, 2012 4:02 PM EDT
      Reply

      After each debate the gap will widen.

      • 5 votes
      Reply#2 - Fri Sep 14, 2012 10:46 AM EDT

      I cannot wait for the debates. Romney has no chance.

      • 9 votes
      #2.1 - Fri Sep 14, 2012 10:51 AM EDT

      Willard's going to be surprised when he shows up at the debates and has to debate someone other than himself.

      • 5 votes
      #2.2 - Fri Sep 14, 2012 11:05 AM EDT

      You're going to see Obama make sense and say things that the average guy can see working or being put in motion and Romney is going to spout off things that can't cut it in reality. Like lowering taxes to on businesses to get them to hire more. No one does that. Supply and demand are the only factors that determine addition of employees. If I got a tax break for my business I would do a happy dance because my profit margine went up. I would only hire someone if I needed more employees to produce more of my goods or services. Also when Romney starts in on the spending and the deficit, Obama will courteously remind him that the Republicans sent us into the hole we're climbing out of and part of that hole includes the need to assist a whole lot of people who's jobs were lost as a result of the previous administrations 8 years. The Republican leadership would have poo poo'd this idea, but there should have been a stimulus for regular Americans in the form of government gift cards that could only be spent on American goods and non-banking services. No depositing allowed. Imagine how all that buying would push up the demand for products everywhere and force new hiring. And with new employees with money to spend they would keep overall demand up. Unfortunately some would say that was a handout instead of seeing it for what it was: A jumpstart of the economy that goes right into the cash registers of American businesses.

        #2.3 - Wed Sep 26, 2012 5:49 PM EDT
        Reply

        I think many Americans gave Romney a chance to make his case for replacing the current President, because unemployment is so high.

        But, the Republicans could not move from attacking the President, to presenting a positive vision for what they would do differently.

        Then, the attacks on our Libyan and Egyptian embassies occurred, and Romney "shot first, aimed later." In the face of this crisis, the President and Hillary proved once again, they are seasoned, tested and deserve our support.

        • 8 votes
        Reply#3 - Fri Sep 14, 2012 10:54 AM EDT

        Absolutely!

          #3.1 - Wed Sep 26, 2012 5:54 PM EDT
          Reply

          The republicans have been on this hate tour for four years.

          • 6 votes
          Reply#4 - Fri Sep 14, 2012 11:06 AM EDT

          Mo the republicans have been on this hate ever since we caught tricky dick in a crime that most of us would have spent 5 - 10 years in the pen for committing!

          • 4 votes
          #4.1 - Fri Sep 14, 2012 11:12 AM EDT
          Reply

          I wonder what's the sampling error on those polls?

            Reply#5 - Fri Sep 14, 2012 1:05 PM EDT

            The Pubs have spent big bucks and bigger words and still trail less than 8 weeks out. Hmmmm.

              Reply#6 - Mon Sep 17, 2012 3:18 PM EDT

              We are going to party like it's 1999!

              Teabaggers will wallow in thier defeat, but I don't think Jesus will forgive them.

                Reply#7 - Thu Sep 20, 2012 4:19 PM EDT

                As long as our country does not do what the Bible And Gods word says we will never be blessed. His word says if you are ashamed of me I will be ashamed of you. Romney has because the Bible says you give me your 10th and I will open the flood gates for you. He gave 4,000,000.00 to Charity to help those in need. Read your Bible before you say Jesus will not forgive me.

                  Reply#8 - Thu Sep 27, 2012 11:38 AM EDT
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