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2012: Obama leads in other polls

In addition to the three battleground NBC/WSJ/Marist polls in Florida, Virginia, and Ohio showing President Obama with a lead of at least five points, the latest WMUR/Granite State poll in New Hampshire shows the president with a 45-40% lead.

And a “New York Times/CBS News poll finds President Obama holds a narrow three-point advantage over Mitt Romney among most likely voter, 49% to 46%,” Political Wire notes. That’s in addition to Obama’s leads in the ever-changing Gallup Daily Tracking poll and the robo Reuters/Ipsos. (NBC policy is not to report on automated surveys.)

Channeling First Read, Reuters makes the point that the renewed focus on foreign policy and Mideast crisis might not exactly be the best thing for President Obama: “President Barack Obama is pulling away from rival Mitt Romney in polls in what might be a turning point in the U.S. presidential campaign, but volatility in the Middle East is allowing Republicans to cast the Democrat as weak on foreign policy and could threaten his momentum.”

Charlie Cook: “It should be emphasized again and again that this campaign isn’t over and that the race is still awfully close. But without a change in the trajectory, it’s a good bet that Obama will come out on top. The questions are whether the opportunity will arise for that trajectory to change and whether the Romney campaign be able to effectively capitalize on it.”

“A presidential race that has been neck-and-neck for months suddenly isn't,” USA Today’s Page writes, adding, “With 53 days and three presidential debates to go, strategists in both parties say there's time for Romney to recover lost ground, especially with an electorate deeply dissatisfied with the direction of the country and the state of the economy. But even some Republican political analysts warn that the former Massachusetts governor faces a political landscape that has become steeper as the campaign heads into the home stretch.”

“With just 53 days remaining until Election Day, the unfolding situation in Libya, where four Americans were killed Tuesday, and elsewhere in the region almost ensures that foreign affairs will be more than a footnote in the final weeks of a close election,” the Boston Globe notes. “Competing on foreign policy terrain could make Mitt Romney’s road to the White House more challenging. … The irony is that Obama — who faced so much criticism four years ago that he was a foreign policy novice that he picked the chairman of the Senate Committee on Foreign Relations as his running mate — is now the one positioned to benefit from the prominence of foreign policy.”

“Investigators are probing whether a mole helped Libyan terrorists attack the U.S. Consulate — where no Marines were on guard,” the New York Daily News writes. “The raiders met with such little resistance that, after seizing control of the one-story villa in a mere 15 minutes, they unleashed a second assault on a nearby safe house, officials in the U.S. and Libya said Thursday.”

“Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke doesn’t care about Capitol Hill or campaign-trail bullies. He has said repeatedly as the central bank has come under a political magnifying glass this year: The Fed bases its decisions on economics, not politics,” National Journal writes. “On Thursday, the Fed chairman backed up that assertion with action. The central bank acted boldly this week—about as boldly as it could have, kicking off an open-ended round of bond-buying, extending its commitment to keep short-term interest rates low, and pledging to do even more if the labor market doesn’t improve ‘substantially.’ All this just 54 days before the presidential election.”

As annoying as they are, it’s never a good idea to give a tracker the finger. Here’s Rep. Denny Rehberg (R) -- who’s in a tight race for the Senate in Montana -- doing that.