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Responding to the early polling showing President Obama with a bounce -- and lead -- after the two conventions, Romney pollster Neil Newhouse argues in a memo to reporters that the presidential contest "has not changed significantly."
"Don't get too worked up about the latest polling," Newhouse writes in the memo. "While some voters will feel a bit of a sugar-high from the conventions, the basic structure of the race has not changed significantly. The reality of the Obama economy will reassert itself as the ultimate downfall of the Obama presidency, and Mitt Romney will win this race."
Related: First Thoughts: After Tampa and Charlotte
Newhouse adds, "The key numbers in this election are the 43 straight months of 8% or higher unemployment, the 23 million Americans struggling to find work, and the 47 million Americans who are on food stamps."
However, as we wrote in First Thoughts this morning, Obama went into the conventions with the lead, and emerged from those conventions with the lead.
And as Politico reported over the weekend, “The Romney campaign … said the post-convention bounce they hoped for fell well short of expectations and privately lament that state-by-state polling numbers — most glaringly in Ohio — are working in the president’s favor.”
“Their map has many more routes to victory,” a top GOP official admitted to Politico.
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Team Romney not paying attention to the polls....really!!!!! because Gov. Romney is too busy endorsing Rep. Steve King (immigration extremist) who in turn is 100% behind "Mr. legitimate Rape" Todd Akin.
My real problem is ObamaCare forcing all companies to provide healthcare to everyone or be heavily "fined"....yes, fine the companies, and fine the individuals that do not have insurance - - this still does not get them insurance but gets the government a lot of money in "fines" (not taxes). This is a bunch of BS.
My company is doing fine, but many of the small companies that I deal with everyday are really hurting and may not survive (...unemployment to rise). With so many empty stores now along every US highway, and more becoming empty each week, I do not see many restaurants, retail stores, small companies, etc. surviving in the future with these new healthcare charges and fines. If they do survive, get ready for the prices to skyrocket to pay for these "fines" - wait till you see the costs that will be passed on to you and me for restaurant meals (for waiters and waitresses), consumer goods, ......even getting popcorn at a movie will go up to pay for the counter help's "ObamaCare fines". Look at the impact on seasonal help like Christmas retail and the Summer shore/boardwalk help - - it will either vanish or get so expensive it will cause the inflation rate to take off in this country - - Hey, raise the inflation rate enough and the existing national debt will appear to go down. I think this is their game plan. Where going to need a new money bill - - the new ObamaTrillion Dollar Bill.
Remember, the government cannot give anything to anyone that they have not first taken away from someone else. If Obama is re-elected, get ready for a massive "take away" - - and the total ruin of this country - - like Nero playing the fiddle while Rome burns...
Bush already ruined it. Obama is just trying to put the pieces back together...And that puzzle has a lot of pieces. I mean lots....
gsmq...please tell how "Bush ruined it"??
....you need to look things up for yourself and NEVER believe the BS that any politician is feeding you (from either party). Bottom line here is that Obama is bad for America!
Obamacare is the biggest rip off to America. You libtards will find out. But somehow, it will be the republicans fault. You guys are funny and clueless. So how did you get your brains sucked out any how??
OK...My bad...HopeisGone
Bush was great for America. He got a big surplus from Clinton. He spent it wisely. He passed along a big surplus to Obama and that bad President Obama blew it all. Now that bad boy Obama have us in this big hole.
There you have it HopeisGone.
gsmq...I was speaking of Obamacare (or Obamanotcare).....
....what did Bush have to do with Obamacare? Personally, I believe that Bush spent way too much of our money and it seems Obama is in a competition to outspend Bush! Bush sucked...but Obama REALLY blows!
I don't know how Romney will do, but I know we really can't afford another 4 years of Obama!
whos winning,gas chamber or electric chair?
If the flipper was ahead his canpaign and fux news would have it all over the air...
You seem to like to insult Romney by calling him "flipper". Well, how do you feel about this:
So are you now going to call Obama President Flipper???????
GCCAL..
When you are left in a hole, the first thing you have to do is to get out of that hole. Now, the deeper the hole, the longer it takes to climb out. Are you with me so far or you need more time to figure this out ???
Well Gee Whiz, gsmq......if you are in a deep hole and you just keep digging it deeper will you ever climb out.............ARE YOU with me yet? or do you have to go back to Obama for more answers.
Of course the media is going to side with Obama. After Obama had his cronies threaten the companies and reporters, they would lose their jobs, what do you expect? I wouldn't believe the liberal medias to save my life!
Yes my brother....If I were you, I would watch only FOX.
Mitt The Twit:............"I will repeal OBAMA-CARE"
Mitt The Twit............."I will keep some parts of OBAMA-CARE"
Mitt Flip-Flopper......."I will close TAX LOOPHOLE ON THE RICH"
FINALLY WE ARE GETTING AN IN-DIRECT CONFESSION ON, HOW, MR. ROMNEY ELUDED THE IRS ON HIS TAXES............
....................AMERICA.....SIMPLE ARITHMETIC.... 2+2=4.....................
..................................................VOTE.......................................................
......................................OBAMA/BIDEN 2012.......................................
.............AMERICA ......SAY.....NO-NO-NO....TO TAX CHEATERS..........
I saw Willard being interviewd on Meet The Press yesterday and he was flip flopping all ove the ACA (Obamacare)...now he will not gut the plan (never wanted to, so he says) but will make changes to it...but was neeeevvvvvvvvveeeeerrrr going to take the mandate away for the insurance companies to insure the folks with existing conditions.
You Republican right wing nut jobs........how can you vote for a guy that is so wishy washy about everything? Your candidate is never going to win, better get someone else in to pinch hit, before it is to late...Ron Paul is available I hear..
I loved Pau Ryan squirming in his chair about lack of spcific details to Stephanopulous about there "plan"...he wants it to be in a public forum, when they unveil it, for public discussion...Dude, how much more public does it get than international television...YOU HAVE NO PLAN!!!
Romney had better be prepared to answer direct questions, in the debates, regarding his refusal to reveal his tax shenanigans.
SHOW US YOUR TAX RETURNS MR. ROMNEY.
IAN, Mitt Romney showed the same amount of TAXES that Obama did when he ran, why should he show more for? Why are the rules different for Democrats for? Obama is trying every little LIE he can make up to keep AMERICANS off his failed record, he will lose in November in a very very FAST & FURIOUS WAY.
Dead wrong. You are lying or just stupid. Obama has released 12 years. Same for Biden.
stclaire-3822173........
Just as a matter of curiosity:
Are you simply misinformed, or is your intent to misinform?
What
I want to know is..
Mitt/Ryan
lie about everything and I mean everything. They flip flop more times than Bill
Laimbeer. Why do so many people believe what they say is true?
So why do you believe what Obama says is true after this:
AJ, You are a LIAR just like the LIAR in CHIEF.
You can sure tell it's a Lefty writing that crap. They sure can spin it.
It's a shame that President Romney has to campaign against the media and Oblamer.
How about one specific FACT that Romney/Ryan are NOT talking about.
The proposed changes to tax policy that Romney/Ryan have put forth would reduce Romney's own tax burden from a paltry 13.9% down to under 1%.....how does that sound America?
How about ALL the failed give away of AMERICANS tax payers money that Obama seen fit to give away to failed companies after failed companies, and GM still owes millions upon millions, what about FAST & FURIOUS?, I could go on and on but AMERICA now has seen what Obama the SOCIALIST is all about and they do NOT like it, and they will down grade Obama the very same way Obama earned AMERICA her very first down grade in her history when AMERICANS vote Obama out of office in a very FAST & FURIOUS WAY.
This guy JC-1016889 seemed to have done a whole lot of research on our President. Maybe if he spent half as much time educating himself he may also have degrees from Columbia and Harvard?
What do you think JC???
Romney is not worried he is going to have all the swing state governors require all votes on election day be made on his Etchasketch Ballots - if he doesn't like them he will shake your vote away and steal the election a la the new GOP way of winning ever since Nov 2000!!!
LIAR, Mitt Romney can and will win the honest way, unlike the LIAR in CHIEF who has NO record to run on except failed policies.
GOP in November
Stclaire-3822173,
So if they are going to win the honest way, why aren't they putting a stop to those key states that are trying to supress the black and hispanic vote?
Could it be because they have 0% black vote and trailing by half as much in the hispanic vote and may I say down by about 15% in women's vote?
"I love you women" LMAO
The obamarama group is always good for a few laughs. Democrats, the party of victims.
Democrats are also the party of LIARS, just look at Obama the greatest LIAR to ever hold office.!
NO one believes the polls any more, we all know that they lie for their LIAR in CHIEF, wait until November when AMERICANS can and will down grade Obama the very same way he earned our AMERICA her very first down grade in he history when AMERICANS vote Obama out of office in a very very FAST & FURIOUS WAY.
What are the Republicans really offering? Let's see: a return to trickle down economics which has never worked and never will; a military budget expanded beyond what the military is asking for (and they accuse Dems of wasteful spending); cutting some of our country's most successful programs (Medicare, SS); de-regulation and tax breaks for corporations and financial institutions. Need I continue? And we are supposed to buy into this Grand Old Party scheme once again. Me thinks not, and the Repubs will be crushed in the debates. No Sale, righties!
In his own words:
"On Feb. 2, 2009,
President Barack Obama explained his chances to fix the economy to host Matt Lauer on NBC's "Today" show: "I will be held accountable. I've got four years. … If I don't have this done in three years, then there's going to be a one-term proposition."According to Obama, himself, words mean something. He has made his entire political career using carefully chosen words.
Ummm, S&P actually blamed congress for the downgrade. Get educated.
Right Mitt, don't worry about the polls.
You should be more worried about the 78.1% likelihood that you'll lose the election.
The polls LIE. they want to make you think that Obama is great, they are all LIARS just like the LIAR in CHIEF is.!!
Sounds like you've been watching too much FAUX News.
The GOP strategists aren't as foolish as most of willard's supporters..
.
""“Their map has many more routes to victory,” a top GOP official admitted to Politico.""
It looks like the "vote for me because you hate the other guy" strategy is not working. All this stiff empty suit has to do is show us a plan, an actual plan to fix something about this country and he won't do it. That along with all the lying he and Ryan are doing has us all a little scittish about what their intentions are. You can't just be president just because you want to be president, these elections are just too important and time is of the essence. Romney is just the wrong choice right now.
Obama has been the wrong choice for the last 3.75 years.
"You should be more worried about the 78.1% likelihood that you'll lose the election"
So you've been checking in with you gambling bookie Silverman again?
I am looking foward to the debate when it comes to the economy. The ONLY way Obama is going to when is if he has an ear piece feeding him answers. If he has to think on his own about economic matters he is soooo toast.
Romney stands a better chance if he calls out sick for the debates.
Tracy say what you may (in the presence of other zealots) but AGAIN, this A-hole is not getting my and a lot of peoples vote. It doesn't matter how high you jump on your soap box, nobody votes for a "nothing" candidate. He HAS TO HAVE A PLAN, that is presidential politic! For anyone to think we need to just get rid of the current guy because a few racist or bigots don't like him is completely out of your @!$%#ing mind! A lot of people didn't like Bush and even he got another 4 years! There is no way in hell that empty suit sits in that chair in the oval office with NO PLAN for ANYTHING that ails this country. He's just not trustworthy, and is libel to make things even worse. Remember, republicans know how to win elections but are HORRIBLE at governing. You want the same strategy in place don't you? Go out and war monger without paying for these little excursions, lower taxes (especially the rich), don't close any loopholes in the tax code, and all this is supposed to lower the deficit? You and Romney need to both take intermediate math class....your numbers don't add up!
Modern American Currency
One dollar bill: George Washington
Five dollar bill: Abraham Lincoln
Ten dollar bill: Alexander Hamilton
Twenty dollar bill: Andrew Jackson,
Fifty dollar bill: Ulysses S. Grant
One hundred dollar bill: Benjamin Franklin
Food Stamps: Barack Obama
Swiss bank account: Mitt (R-Money).
I am with you and Mitt - screw the IRS. Dump all of your money into the Cayman Islands, Bermuda, and Switzerland.
Metoo99, Very well said, thank you for that post, keep it up.
Mitt Romney in 2012
Terry must be some dip-@!$%# redneck from one of our illustrious southern states! Yeah that's right, lets just get rid of taxes all together, we don't need any bridges, or paved roads, or education, or medical research, or clean air and water, or a military.....that may be fine where you are from, but not in my state.
Mitt Romney left Massachusetts with the largest debt in state history. Massachusetts ranked 47th out of 50 US States for job creation, when Mitt walked away. Mitt Romney chose to walk away from a second term as Governor of Massachusetts, yet he managed to shelter hundreds of millions in offshore tax havens in Bermuda, the Cayman Islands, and Switzerland. I don't know about you, but I have told the IRS that they cannot see my offshore accounts until they let me see Romney's Offshore Accounts. Why should average American Taxpayers not have the same rights to cheat on their taxes, just like Mitt Romney? Warren Buffet and Bill Gates pay their fair share, why does Mitt Romney get all of the special breaks?
Terry QUITE LYING......
Mitt Romney does NOT get special breaks, you are a LIAR sir, he has paid all of his taxes unlike some people that Obama the SOCIALIST appointed to office, you think if you say it enough it may come true, you are looking through blackened glasses, AMERICA can and will vote Obama out of office in November in a very very FAST & FURIOUS WAY.
LOL! Keep saying that St. Claire and click your heels together two times and you will be back in Kansas!
Just like the Romney campaign, TERRY YOU ARE A LIAR! Go fact-check yourself...oh that's right, you aren't really an educated voter, just a political hack and an imbecile.
So a $16 trillion debt and climbing, $5.4 Trillion new Obama debt, 13.9 million people out of work, more people on food stamps than ever, destroying the healthtaxcare system,43 months unemployment above 8.1% and no sign of it getting better, 1.5% GDP, first time in U.S. history our credit rating downgraded...you bet, Obama has really led the country in the right direction. Failed Leadership.....
We need CHANGE so we can move FORWARD.....
Maybe so ... but if the Republican Party would just get out of the GD way, the country would be doing MUCH better than it is now.
To obstruct Obama's efforts to improve the economy further (it's already back on track), and then blame him for it is juvenile and irresponsible. I doubt I'll ever vote Republican again (2-time Reagan voter here). The Republican Party has shifted so far to the right I don't recognize them anymore, and I genuinely believe their extremist social agenda is going to finish them for good. Good riddance!
Finally! He didn't flip flop. Polls are showing facts about how people feel. He will just ignore those facts and brush them off as insignificant like all other facts. Way to go!
Romney is, and should be, toast. He is one of the worst presidential candidates I've ever seen, and I'm a white boomer.
The guy has no plan, and no core. I saw all this coming months ago, and it finally appears to be manifesting.
Repealing Obamacare would be one of the biggest mistakes the country could make in its history.