E-mail updates
Follow on Twitter
Subscribe to RSS
Responding to the early polling showing President Obama with a bounce -- and lead -- after the two conventions, Romney pollster Neil Newhouse argues in a memo to reporters that the presidential contest "has not changed significantly."
"Don't get too worked up about the latest polling," Newhouse writes in the memo. "While some voters will feel a bit of a sugar-high from the conventions, the basic structure of the race has not changed significantly. The reality of the Obama economy will reassert itself as the ultimate downfall of the Obama presidency, and Mitt Romney will win this race."
Related: First Thoughts: After Tampa and Charlotte
Newhouse adds, "The key numbers in this election are the 43 straight months of 8% or higher unemployment, the 23 million Americans struggling to find work, and the 47 million Americans who are on food stamps."
However, as we wrote in First Thoughts this morning, Obama went into the conventions with the lead, and emerged from those conventions with the lead.
And as Politico reported over the weekend, “The Romney campaign … said the post-convention bounce they hoped for fell well short of expectations and privately lament that state-by-state polling numbers — most glaringly in Ohio — are working in the president’s favor.”
“Their map has many more routes to victory,” a top GOP official admitted to Politico.
Leave a Comment:
G O P Math: Greed + Corruption (Bribes and Extortion) – (Campaign Finance Reform Laws) = Republican TeaBilly Conservative Whackjobs.
You BetCha…..Fer Sure.
This just in……….after da D N C ended……..Mitt “F da Poor”Romney was seen curled up in da Corner……sucking his thumb …..and Mumbling something about “Beating da Bishop”……LOL.
You BetCha…..Fer Sure.
This just in...........Da Republican TeaBilly Conservative Whack jobs have just added "Drew Peterson" to their "War on Women".....Committee.
They had to wait for the Blood Test's to make sure that he did have "Todd Akins Disease".
You BetCha.....Fer Sure.
Polls had Carter over Reagan at this point in 1980 too and look what happened on election day.
Its all about enthusiasm at this point. Who will bother to go to the polls?
Yeah except two things you left out, Hostage Crisis, and Regan, neither of which are present in this election. This Carter thing is really silly, give it up, concentrate on the Senate.
Yea, yea, yea. Keep playing with yourself. So that means that every election in history will repeat itself in an identical fashion?
I'm not saying that the election is over but I am saying that at this moment things are looking up for Democrats.
When Romney and Ryan are asked for ANY specifics their answer is always: we'll get back to you on that,trust me!
Folks, Todd Akin is da “Poster Child” for da Good Ole Boys Club and……………….
Who just Blocked da Campaign Finance Reform Bill?
Who just Blocked Obamas Job Bill?
Who just Rewrote and put a Loophole in da House Version of da Stock Act. You know da Billl that would make it Illegal for Politicians do be involved in Insider Trading Antics. How many people have gone to Prison for this and yet they think they are “Exempt” from da Law.
And………here’s more since President Obama Took Office:
Tax on Companies that ship jobs overseas- A bill that would have eliminated a tax break that companies get when they ship jobs overseas. Republicans blocked this, allowing companies to keep the tax break they receive when they ship jobs to other countries.
The Small Business Jobs Act -would give LOCAL, community banks access to billions of dollars to loan to small businesses. Republicans blocked this, then attempted to block it a second time and failed.
Repeal of “Don’t Ask, Don’t Tell”- Would have repealed the law that forces gay and lesbian services members to lie about their sexuality and gives the military the right to discharge soldiers based on their sexuality. Republicans blocked this many times and Democrats were finally able to pass it with the support of just 2 Republicans.
You Guessed it…………Cantor, Boehner, McConnell and da rest of them Republican TeaBilly Conservative Politicians.
Can you imagine da Shenanigans if Mitt “F da Poor” Romney and Paul “Middle Class Warfare” Ryan get Elected.
You BetCha…..Fer Sure.
“Mitt Romney Is LYlNG. Again.” CAUGHT AGAIN: A BAlL0UT JUBlLEE FOR ROMNEY!
August 30, By TlM DlCKlNS0N, R0LLlNG ST0NE
- A TRAlL OF ROMNEY AND BAlN lNC0MPETENCE AND FAlLURE!
The legend of Romney's return to 1990 BAlN and describing his turnaround effort there as an "incredible Read More...
Federal records by Rolling Stone through a Freedom of Information Act request reveal that BAlN lost money in both 1991 and 1992 with Romney at the helm.
A Dec 22, 1992 FDIC document lays out the truth about BAlN's mounting losses (both "operating" and "net") showing the FDIC was owed more than $30 million by BAlN after the 1991 failure of the Bank of New England.
Hard Truth: Romney's turnaround effort at BAlN was a FlASCO as BAlN was rescued from C0LLAPSE by A BAlL0UT bu the FDlC-Federal G0V in 1993 who agreed to wipe away $10+Million Romney's firm 0WED, because “the company will fail if the debt is NOT M0DlFLED (A JUBILEE)”
A TRAlL OF lNC0MPETENCE AND FAlLURE!
G00GLE: mitt-romney-is-lying-again-20120830
Mitt is about as Real as a Plastic Bananna!
Is it Mitt ____________Romney?
“Political Puppet”
“Taxes are for da Little People”
“I’m Not a Crook”
“Country Club”
“Middle Class Warfare”
“Not To Much..Out of Touch”
“Cheap Labor is Our Future”
“Outsourcing is Awesome”
“Just Tell me what ya Wanna Hear”
“Profits Over People”
“Corporations are People Too”
“Just Trust Me”
“F da Poor”
“No Substance”
“Let Detroit go Bankrupt”
“National Right to Work”
“Swiss Accounts”
“Flip Flop”
“Pray da Gay Away”
Mitt Romney’s Solution to all Problems…….Prayer and a Moment of Silence.
Da Biggest Threat to Mitt Romney’s Campaign……..da Truth!
liberals solution to all problems throw more money at it. Becasue that has worked so well over 30 years right
ASK, Oh yea of short memory. 8 years of GOP dominance proved one thing, namely that "fiscal conservancy" that the Right loves to parade about is nothing but a hoax. Your party spent as much if not more than Democrats except what they wasted their money did nothing to help the average American.
Romney! Who wants to vote for Bill's puppet Obama anyway??? hahahahah I guess blacks still.....nevermind!
What the hell are you all roused up about pal? It's hardly time for the Right to be partying. But then again, you may be the type who rearranges the deck chairs on the Titantic.
And your comment means???
It means precisely what I said. If you can't decipher a very simple comment, I'm afraid I can't help you.
And the comment means, I am so wrapped up in the fact that a Black man became President, my blood pressure has been up for the last 4 years and I don't even understand politics but I sure can tell a negra when I see one.
Duh I am not blind! I can read that the economy is going downhill too and so are social issues that made America great! Sympathy voters...got to love them! Probably want God to forgive their ancestors who were in the KKK! I am a US citizen thank God I don't live in that dump anymore!
CHRIS, if I didn't know better, I'd almost mistake for you for a racist scumbag. You do your party proud pal. The GOP the party of angry old white men who are rapidly dying off which is why you are going to lose this election. Keep up the good work.
RIGHT, You're claiming the economy is worse today then of Bush's last day in office??? Sorry, even your candidate Willard acknowledged that things were better under Obama, just not improving fast enough. Of course, that's what he has said in the past, who the hell knows what he'll say next week.
Romney took amnesty to avoid prosecution for tax felonies with his UBS Swiss Account in 2009. He was also involved in the Marriott Hotel Son of Boss attempt at tax cheating. Google both of them. Mitt is a liar and a phony.
Romney did take a bailout BTW, that's true. Taxpayers subsidized 70 cents on his RISK, dollar.
Attention all Republican TeaBilly Conservatives:
Michelle “ Bat Crazy ” Bachmann and Ricky “ Religious Extremist” Santorum were the last Two TeaBilly Republican Conservatives pulled by their Ankles to da Curb while Screaming , “Babies and Gawd….Babies and Gawd”.
And now ya have another Whack Job ……Todd Akin fighting all da way.
The Two Main Issues are: Economy and Jobs…..Economy and Jobs.
Republican TeaBilly Conservatives Love to Force their Blind Faith and Beliefs into everybody’s Personal Lives and bedrooms!
Hope ya Learned your Lesson. Buh Bye.
You BetCha…..Fer Sure.
Sincerely,
Sarah P.
Folks all ya Heard from da TeaBilly’s for the past few years is:
We want our Country Back.
We Cleaned up or Rally really Nice.
Now all ya hear is:
Anybody but Obama.
It Shows ya how they have no Leadership, Direction, Solutions or Substance and have Lowered all Expectations and Standards.
You Bet Cha….Fer Sure.
Does anybody actually read Tina Fey, I mean Jsda facts or whatever it is.
Mitt "F da Poor" Romney and Paul “Middle Class Warfare” Ryan are nothing more than Two “Howdy Doodie Political Puppets” sitting on da Koch Brothers and Sheldon Abelson’s Lap.
You BetCha....Fer Sure.
The Republican TeaBilly Conservatives are all about the Constitution, unless it doesn’t fit their Evil Agenda. They also seem to think da Constitution and da 10 Commandment are from da same Document.
Can you say Self Righteous Hypocrite?
You Bet Cha…Fer Sure.
Yeah unless it comes to the right to vote, then they might as well burn the constitution.
I agree with Newhouse that polls so far are insignificant, but not for the same reason. Most voters have already made up their minds...at least in my neighborhood and at work. The real test comes after the debates and how the undecideds and independents vote.
Neither Obama or Romney should get too excited simply because the independent voters know that a President has very little control over the economy. Obama won't be able to turn around the worst economic disaster since the depression in just 4 years and Romney won't be able to fix what ails us during his first 4 years, and the independents and undecideds know it.
The best thing for now is to listen carefully to each candidate, read their plans and proposals, (assuming they go public with them), and watch the expression on their faces. You can always tell when one speaks with forked tongue. It's that gut feeling.
I am leaving this thread..nothing but poor folks jealous of success; idolizing Obama, thinking they are going to get ALL, every single problem, ALL the problems in the wholeeee world, OBama will fix! Obviously America doesn't trust IN GOD anymore.
Libtards think Oblamer is god.
No, trouble-turd. You whine is tired BS. But, you know that, anyway.
We Proud Liberals just think Mittens is an un-American, offshore bank client, lying POS, 2-faced, snot-nosed, tax-cheating, greedy, f***ing bastard-- who'd steal the wooden nickels off his dead mothers eyelids-- then say he earned them!
Like you, that sack of sh!t, snarkey bastard has no shame! His own party even hates him. We Libs love Obama. Whine on, troll-turd...!
BTW: Obama/Biden win in 2012! No doubt!!
A party who can't be bothered to vet their speakers (or their Vice Presidential candidates), who "forgets" we're in a war, and whose only thoughts are tax cuts has no chance against a sensible (if ineffective) incumbent. Obama will slam the Ryan Budget to the oldsters in Florida and it'll be all over but the shouting.
You're right about part of that. The Demonrats should have vetted Oblamer.
During the Bush 8 YEARS...
2 wars and a prescription drug plan not paid for, deregulation, tax breaks to the rich & companies sending jobs overseas, OUTSOURCING, BILLIONS maybe TRILLIONS paid to Black Water & Halliburton (where Cheney "was" chairman & CEO) and STUUUUUP!!!D Republicans want to blame Obama for our TROUBLES?
GTFOH and get a grasp on reality!!!! We are moving FORWARD!!! OBAMA 2012!!!!
A notable college basketball coach once opined "...As long as you do your best you are not a failure. That is, unless you blame someone else....". Things that make you say "...hmmmm...".
He also said -
"Good things take time, as they should. We shouldn’t expect good things to happen overnight. Actually, getting something too easily or too soon can cheapen the outcome." — John Wooden
Obama-Biden 2012
Well stated, R-EO. That said, I think the blame spewing by the left is overshadowing the optimisim of success at the end of the long hard road we must travel.
Bruin?
Has the Republican Party Found Its Hitler?
The coordinated attacks on public education, voter registration, unions, and everything that isn't government for the rich along with the increasing use of propaganda by the Republican Party bear an uncanny historical similarity to another time in another country. The first thing Adolf Hitler did when he got to power was to arrest the union leaders and send them to concentration camps. Yes, I am comparing today's Republican Party to the Nazi Party.
This is the time for all Americans to think hard. The choice is clear. Is America for the middle class or for the select rich elite who are manipulating the uneducated, religious extremists and racist?
My choice.
FORWARD. Not Back.
OBAMA/BIDEN 2012
Sure because like the Nazis - Republicans are in complete and total control. Riiiiight! Stop being haters of the rich and famous!! They lost their dignity to fame and fortune, vote on what YOU need; not on what You don't want others to have!!!
One of the events that Hitler was able to use to his advantage was hyper-inflation. We are now heading in the direction of high inflation, and as this administration pumps fresh money into the economy with nothing to show for it, we may pass into hyper-inflation.
Thank God we don't have a Hitler waiting in the wings, Obama is bad enough. Four more years of Obama will make it look like Hitler has taken over.
OBAMA HIT 60 per share on INTRADE!! The real poll, the REPUBLICAN POLL, the FREE MARKET has Obama 60 Romney 40 I cannot believe this screw Gallup and Rasmussen this is the teller. Oh and BTW, for all those convinced Romney will win, You can make a FORTUNE, I am talking 6 bucks for a share that costs you 4!!! Seriously, you can literally make a fortune right now.
150 Percent in 2 months!!! For real go do it.
LMFAO
You libtards are a hoot.
R & R... (Romney & Ryan?)... or,
Regurgitated & Retarded.
BTW: Obama/Biden win in 2012! No doubt!!
Please stop using the word "retarded."
Obama/Biden 2012!
Retarded, Retarded, Retarded, Retarded. Some of us Democrats are not hippies. Thank you.
Chris
It has nothing to do with being a hippie. It is simply a matter of civility.
Please, don't stoop to the level of the right-wing fanatics.
We Democrats are better than that.
Obama/Biden 2012
Retarded and Fag are funny words and I will continue to use them, I hate political correctness. I am of the SOUTHERN democrat stalk and not the Northern California transgendered mayor persuasion.
LOL I understand. I'm a Southern Dem too (TX). I've read your posts. You are an articulate, intelligent person who seems quite capable of getting your point across with civil language.
I simply consider PC as a way of saying civility. Personally I don't think the word 'retarded' should be considered bad but it seems to offend others and I was raised to try not to offend. Most especially when it's someone I want to listen.
I understand wanting to throw it back in the faces of the folks who are so nasty. Have done so myself. But it doesn't accomplish anything. Just causes thing to be worse. We need civility in order to bring this country together. The Repubs seem incapable but we Democrats aren't.
I'm just saying keep it classy, you certainly have the vocabulary to do so.
And if I offended you, I didn't mean to. I apologize. Your posts are usually spot on.
Demonrat 'stalk'. That makes you a Bush.
Bush wasn't a Texan. He was born in CT. He wasn't raised here either. And Bush wasn't President. Rummy and Cheney ran the country (into the ground) for the first 6 years. Bush didn't find his balls until he fired Rummy and shut Cheney out the last two years. Of course, by then it was too late.
Bush wanted to be President because he thought he deserved it. He let Cheney, Rumsfield, and Rove drive the bus so he could get elected.
Funny, now that I think about it sounds a lot like Romney. No real vision. Letting others in the shadows 'drive the bus'. Sorry, I prefer the people we elect to make the decisions. Not the 'shadows'.
So are the poll numbers only significant when Romney is leading? What a goomba!
Don't get too worked up RobMe/Lyan camp, the Polls will get even worse before the election...he he he he