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Responding to the early polling showing President Obama with a bounce -- and lead -- after the two conventions, Romney pollster Neil Newhouse argues in a memo to reporters that the presidential contest "has not changed significantly."
"Don't get too worked up about the latest polling," Newhouse writes in the memo. "While some voters will feel a bit of a sugar-high from the conventions, the basic structure of the race has not changed significantly. The reality of the Obama economy will reassert itself as the ultimate downfall of the Obama presidency, and Mitt Romney will win this race."
Related: First Thoughts: After Tampa and Charlotte
Newhouse adds, "The key numbers in this election are the 43 straight months of 8% or higher unemployment, the 23 million Americans struggling to find work, and the 47 million Americans who are on food stamps."
However, as we wrote in First Thoughts this morning, Obama went into the conventions with the lead, and emerged from those conventions with the lead.
And as Politico reported over the weekend, “The Romney campaign … said the post-convention bounce they hoped for fell well short of expectations and privately lament that state-by-state polling numbers — most glaringly in Ohio — are working in the president’s favor.”
“Their map has many more routes to victory,” a top GOP official admitted to Politico.
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don't worry about the polls were going to win this election like republicans have won other elections. we will lie and cheat. i mean bush was given the election over gore in a right wing supreme court travesty. even though there is no voter fraud going on in the USA, laws have been put in place by republican governors and state houses to return to jim crow methods and effectively suppress the vote by requiring expensive ids and eliminating early voting. if none of that works will have fox right wing advertising network announce that Romney has won regardless of the true vote count, we have done it before. don't worry it will work.
hey Joe - if it wasn't so sad it might be funny - BUT THANKFULLY YOU ARE JOKING!!!! They will never win. this is a party of bigotry and hatred and people are aware of that. they are self centered, fear mongerers who want to impose their religious beliefs on all of us, want to take women's right away and so much more. they disgust me - they really do. truly terrible people. OBAMA/BIDEN 2012
easy.........amen
"The key numbers in this election are the 43 straight months of 8% or higher unemployment, the 23 million Americans struggling to find work, and the 47 million Americans who are on food stamps." Yup, I'd agree with him. Let's see, the GOP wants to cut any help to workers, like foodstamps, training and healthcare. We have a pair in Romney/Ryan who don't want to tell anyone what their plan is for rescuing the economy before the election, rather they want to reveal it after. Ah, yes, trust in me, trust in me. Seems like a snake said that more than once before.
I guess you haven't checked lately,unemployment is now LOWER than one month after Obama took office.
Republican Fact Checkers.
one day..
Unemployment number 8.3 This is rock hard solid evidence.
Next month the figure goes down.
Unemployment number 8.1 Now its a mistake and not valid, followed by two pages of republican arithmetic.
give it up Maria. this isn't what this is all about. we see through all of you. get a backbone lady - they will take away our rights TAKE AWAY YOUR RIGHT TO CHOOSE. WAKE UP. stop pushing jobs numbers - like willard is going to have a solution. HE DOESN'T HAVE A BRAIN LET ALONE A SOLUTION. he doesn't have a clue about the average american citizen. WAKE UP. if you tea baggers would stand with the president instead of stating loud and clear how you all will not cooperate him no matter what - then maybe we'd get everything back on track. YOU ARE THE BLOCKS HERE - YOU AND YOURS ARE THE ONES HOLDING THIS ECONOMY AND THE RECOVERY BACK - YOU ARE YOU ARE -OWN UP TO IT. All you all want to do is point to the president. YOUR MORON AND HIS FATHER BUSH - THEY DID THIS TO THIS COUNTRY. WE ARE TYRING TO FIX IT.
Proud small donor to the Obama/Biden campaign.
Me too ... come on America ... let's make sure our President is re-elected. You know, the guy who has our backs, not just the interests of the 1% and Corporate America.
Ludwig ...As am I, from one to another, thank you. If you read the news: Romney -$111 million / Obama - $114 million. I know I give everything I can which does not add up to much when compared to corporations or the wealthiest of donors, but collectively we have beaten them and if we do the same with our vote we shall likewise beat them. Our man to dollar ratio may not be as impressive as those who are in Romney's camp, but our vote man to man power should be equal to theirs and we should hopefully realize a landslide victory. Motivate all your friends and neighbors to vote...help them if you are able. God bless America and God bless President Obama.
Obama/Biden 2012
Me, too. A lot of small donations add up. Everyone who wants President Obama to be reelected should make a donation in whatever amount they can afford. It costs big bucks to put out advertisements that tackle the GOP lies and set the record straight.
and PLEASE VOLUNTEER. We've contributed and will continue to contribute but when you get invovled in volunteering you truly begin to see what these tea baggers are trying to do to suppress the vote. i just learned - now get this - that even if you are registered as an absentee ballot voter in Colorado - YOU MUST RE-REGISTER OR YOU WON'T BE ABLE TO VOTE. THIS IS WHAT THESE FUC.... TEA BAGGERS ARE DOING!! THIS IS WHAT MUST BE STOPPED. We in california are calling all the registered dems in Colorado and informing them of this. this is so important cause they could be turned away at the polls or think they will be getting an absentee ballot and they won't get it. THIS IS WHY WE MUST ALL VOLUNTEER - even if just for a little bit - VOLUNTEER AND STOP THESE MOST AWFUL PEOPLE - STOP THEM NOW. OBAMA/BIDEN 2012
we are witnessing the implosion of the republican party.
Hurray ... it's about time, but totally predictable. They are an unmitigated MESS, and socially take us back to the 1950s. Done and done ... and not soon enough.
LMFAO
NO MO FO 44
God help Congress when Obama gets in.Their rating is at 10% and we the people will not stand for their infamous obstruction at every turn.If I am not mistaken,aren't some of them up for re-election during Obama's second term ??
pls: I know who my God is,and it is not Obama or Mittens.He will not be defeated,so get your crying towel ready.
oh he will be defeated, that is a given. Your violin ready??
With her size she plays a viola like a violin.
Not yet, but if we see these types of polls after the first debate, get your violin out.
hey lady - you better start worrying about your rights as a woman - your good old boys WILL NEVER TAKE AWAY MY RIGHT TO CHOOSE. you better start worrying about the liars your good old boys are, the fact that they and you are suppressing the vote with their tacticts, the fact that they are fear mongerers, with so much hate and bigotry it is evident to the american people now. worry about the facts!!!! worry that you and your children would have their rights taken away - worry that you and millions of others will be forced onto a health care system - what a joke - that will give you vouchers. you idiot - you can't buy health insurance on $6000 you can't even buy it now let along 11 years from now. worry about them cutting taxes on the rich - and you paying more taxes. wake up. OBAMA/BIDEN 2012 for the good of man for the good of woman and for the good of this country.
trickle down, means republicans pi$$ing on the middle class.
The middle class is already being pi**ed on. The middle classe's income has dropped by over $4K per year. Under Obummer nothing will change, big business will not invest in the U.S., the national will do nothing but go higher, the stalled economy will spiral down and no more jobs will be created.
Trickle down, is a GOP invention.
Yes indeed, this article makes it obvious that republicans and their pundits do not know of what they speak. The "Obama economy" as he so wittingly refers to is more one that can be claimed by the obstruction in congress and the wasted time of a radical house. The house has spent overtime working to make sure they invade every individuals rights as they try to strip away each one of your freedoms one at a time. They have been so busy trying to take away your freedom that they have had little time to deal with any other issues or put forward any concrete plans to deal with the current unemployment problems. They are more worried about denying birth control and getting their free cialis and viagra that they just do not have the time to represent the people. Wondering why the republican congressmen hide behind closed doors and plot to overthrow the President, isn't this called treason?
Why would I want to vote for Obama, especially after knowing that Putin & Chavez back Obama. That in its self saids something.
I still would like to know what Obama meant when he told Putin "I'll have more flexability after the election"...flexability to do WHAT?
go watch 2016. The man has got to go!! These libs have no idea. They like to find out after the fact, then spin it, to be all the other guys fault. I am so over it! You know who he associates himself with. That says it all.
I share the same feeling, they have no idea what awaits them.
2016 was a documentary made by a terrorist if that says anything. We should join with the Al Queda he was once quoted.
Chris- get a life. You wouldn't believe anything, not even if Obama told you himself. I find it hard to believe you libs are that duh. Hell, I didn't even like Bush and I usually vote Republican. I do research and vote with my own opinion.
HEY SHARRI - wake up. you worried about one statement from Putin?? whaaat? worry about your good old boy stashing his millions overseas, worry about your good old party trying to stop people from voting, worry about the tea baggers trying to stop a woman from having a choice that only SHE has the right to make, worry about your good old boys shipping jobs overseas, killing jobs, worry about their fear mongering and scare tactics, worry about the sleezeballs that they are, worry that they are bringing religion into the white house - and no one will ever impose their beliefs on me, worry about the flip flopping, worry that your willard pissed off our biggest ally - or should i say they were laughing at him...they'll never have respect for him after - worrry about all of that you idiot. wake the f... up all of you. hatred and bigotry and negativity can only last so long. it's an emotion that is draining and self destructive. WE WILL PREVAIL AND GOODNESS SHALL BE OURS ALL THE DAYS OF OUR LIFE - OBAMA/BIDEN 2012
Romnutty needs to stand in the creek and listen to his salamandor somemore so he knows his next move. He needs somemore LSD before doing so, and then he can finish writing his book of Romnutty and his hidden polygamist belief's.
Your mother must be proud. It almost sounds like a children's sing song book.
"...Sing around the campfire, join the Romnutty girls!..."
Now everyone, lets see what the salamandor reveals to us that is written on the golden plates today :) Ahhhh, we are loosing !! Take somemore LSD, and maybe the golden plates will tell us more according to our faithful salamandor ! Don't get your feet wet in the creek, salamandors don't like that !
This is the next stage of metamorphosis for Romney, something he knew he would have to do all along. The long trip back to the center. Thats the problem when you have an extreme base and need them to win the primaries. NOW, Romney like Clinton, won't repeal Obamacare and my guess is no longer "SEVERELY CONSERVATIVE". Romney stated he wont repeal the pre-existing condition clause of Obamacare. How the H3ll do you do that without a mandate. At least Obama will make an unpopular decision to stay the course, we know where he stands no doubt. I think bubba summed it up in the statement, we screwed things up and Obama did not fix it fast enough so put us back in. Thats about all there is to say. Thats what we will all think in 10 years when the emotions are not so high.
The master of etch-a-sketch is on a roll, down hill like what s it does.
Obama 2012
Google "Justice Lewis Powell's Memo", if you Righties care to know how your beloved Republican Party came to be where it is today. But that means doing some research to get at the facts..... nevermind. Sad.
Double down tax cuts trickle down, really means doubly being pissed on by republicans, I am truly worked up, because I am tired of being worked over and pissed on by the right wingers. Don't start with, get a job, I work and my entire family works, including our 16 year old just got a part time job after schools. The economy is percolating, Sunday papers jammed packed with flyers and ads and this is in Southwest Florida. To the haters, keep your yappers shut and open your minds.
Obama 2012
tweety, I heard you libs liked them showers.
trouble, funny you should say that dear, why don't you come over and my 300 lb. parakeet will have its way with you.
Kidding aside, you made me laugh good zinger, I owe you one.
Obama 2012
Yes you do.
NO MO FO 44
Whoo Hoo, thanks for the attention.
Peace
Obama 2012
True "leaders"have most of their savings in overseas banks? True "leaders" have cut thousands of American jobs and outsourced them? True "leaders" wanted Detroit automakers to fail? True "leaders" hide their tax returns? Give me a break Romeny supporters are so transparent! Romney is anything but a leader! Flip flopper yes!
Harley Chic
Here you go Xabre Jr...now wipe that egg off your face...at least i think that's egg ;-o
A Few More Obama Failures --- It;s official we can add another name to the men who support Romney
The
Kind of Men who support Flip Flop Romney
0= Harley chic or is it Harley chic =0
your not fooling anyone with all that silocone sweety just think Xbrae jr can get the egg off his face but you can,t remove ugly. Ps get a job and lose some weight anyone can see that your a porker and a loser. Well i guess you fit right in then with the GOP (Gross old People). Go drive your bike off a cliff! Yes thats mean! Now you know why your friends will only ride with you at night, A sows ear is one thing but a sows face is another, start a new club call it porkers or Romney! hehehehe send your two dollars to the clown factory LMAO at dumb people that support a clown circus for president!
1)
William Koch, Runs Oxbow Carbon, worth $4 Billion, Donation $2
Million to Romney’s Super PAC,
What He Wants: To pollute for free, Koch’s fortune is tied to some of the
nation’s dirtiest industries
2)
Harold Simmons (a Swift Boater and corporate raider), Traffics in Toxic
Chemicals, worth $9.8 Billion, Donation $800,000 to Romney total giving $16.7
Million, What He Wants: Plans to store radioactive waste in Texas
3)
Bob Perry, Owner of Perry Homes, Worth $600 Million, Donation $4
Million to Romney’s Super PAC ,
What He Wants: Tort reform to limit jury awards on homebuilders who do shoddy
work
4)
Jim Davis, Chairman New Balance Shoes, worth $1.8 Billion, Donation
$1 Million to Romney’s Super PAC
What He Wants: A lucrative Defense Contract
5)
Richard & Bill Marriott, Heir to Marriott Hotel Fortune, Worth $3.3
Billion, Donation $2 Million
to Restore Our Future, What He Wants: A legal pool of foreign born workers to
work in their hotels at slave labor rates Romney served twice on the Marriott
Board
7)
Edward Conard, Ex Managing Director of Bain Capital, Worth $250 Million,
Donation $1 Million to
Restore Our Future, What He Wants: To screw taxpayers like Romney does with
half the tax rates of others
8)
Frank VanderSloot, CEO Melaeuca, Inc., Worth $1 Billion, Donation $1
Million to Romney’s Super
PAC , What He Wants: Less consumer protections
9)
Steven Lund, Vice Chairman Nu Skin Enterprises, worth $31.9 Million, Donation
$2 Million to Restore
Our Future, What He Wants: A world safe for false advertising & marketing
scams
10)
Julian Robertson Jr., Hedge Fund Titan, worth $2.5 Billion, Donation
$1.25 Million to Restore Our
Future What He Wants: lower taxes for the Rich
11)
John Paulson, Hedge Fund Titan, worth $12.5 Billion, Donation $1
Million to Romney’s Super PAC
What He Wants: No restrictions on Wall St. gambling
12)
Paul Singer, Hedge Fund Titan, Worth $1 Billion, Donation $1 Million
to Romney’s Super PAC What He
Wants: He Needs Fed backing in his lawsuit to collect $2 Billion from Argentina
13)
Robert Mercer, CEO Renaissance Technologies, made $125 Million in 2011
alone, Donation $ 1 Million to Romney’s Super PAC ,What He Wants: To
squelch a proposed tax on stock options
14)
Kenneth Griffin, CEO Citadel LLC, worth $3 Billion, Donation $1
Million to Restore our Future What He
Wants: To end Volcker Rule on Dodd-Frank Wall St excesses
15)
L. Francis Rooney III, CEO Rooney Holdings, worth $40 Million, Donation
$1 Million to Restore our
Future What He Wants: More building contract patronage
16)
Steven Webster, CEO Avista Capital, worth $4 Billion, Donation $1
Million to Romney’s Super PAC
What He Wants: To Drill baby drill first owner of Deep Sea Horizon the worst
environmental disaster in the Nation’s history.
17)
Donald Trump, Casino Operator who knows what he wants he is just a
delusional birther nut
This
is not a Democracy that’s a hoax it’s a Plutocracy
you are so very spot on!!! the sad part is these tea baggers have these repUbs so tied up in knots they can't even look at anything that is factual. it's a cult movement of sickos, bigots hiding behind the republican mask, fear mongerers, and just plain hatred. THIS is so very obvious. THEY said that THERE main goal was to get the President out of office even before he took office. Boehner and these good old boys are the scum of the earth. can't stand to look at any of them. And ya know - when you do look at them you can see the lies pouring from them - and you can see that bottled up hatred - like i see in ryan everytime i look at him. these guys are all unstable - very unstable and have an army of insecure, homophobic men, and insecure women allowing their husbands or whoever to tell them that they can't do this or they can't do that. these people are followers, they are not leaders like our President. there is NO CONTEST here - none. there is so much hatred and bigotry from these tea baggers - it's always been there - this is nothing new. we are just having it pushed in our faces now. WE WILL PREVAIL - GOOD ALWAYS DOES OVER EVIL, SELFISH, SELF SERVING IGNORANCE. OBAMA/BIDEN 2012
Yes America I can't wait of more "trickle down" from the 1%! Yes I'm waiting,still waiting. What's that you say a yellow putrid liquid is what the 1% excrete on Americas Middle Class! You betcha!
The Romney shall be defeated.
Still a long way to go. We haven't even had a debate yet. Ryan vs Biden? Does anyone have any doubt about how that will turn out? Romney is a battle tested debater. If anyone thinks Obama is going to widen his lead after them and "turn out the lights" they are sadly mistaken. We still have another 2 months of poor jobs reports on top of the debates that will close the gap.
Ryan, wins certainly. You are smoking crack if you think Romney can hold a debate with the President. The guy can hardly speak, he says stuff like I got off my aircraft like some kind of alien. ROMNEY BEAT OBAMA IN A DEBATE? No WAY. You are off, why do you think he hides, everything that comes out of his mouth is a gaffe. Remember the first Bush Kerry debate? Guess who is playing Romney in the Obama mock debates. You are delusional. I have yet to hear that, generally my GOP friends chuckle and say they hope there is enough slack left after the debates and they are taking valium and going to bed early that night.
hey rog - got a an eye opener for ya - willard isn't ANYTHING - except a liar, a tax evader by sending his money overseas, a killer of womens rights/gay rights, a suppressor of the vote, a selfish self-centered millionaire, did i mentiona liar - huge liar along with buddy and the rest of the tea baggers. YOU MR. ROGER will have the eye opener. President Obama is honest, not a flip flooper, who angers our best ally and tells the world that Russia is our threat. he doesn't have a clue never did and all you tea baggers have nothing else to hang on to. OBAMA/BIDEN 2012 AND THE PRESIDENT WILL PREVIAL IN THE DEBATES AS WELL AS ON ELECTION. You can take that to the bank - A BANK IN THE US NOT WHERE WILLARD STASHES HIS MONEY
Seriously if you wanted a debate, should have gone with Gingrich, that guy is a debate brick Sh*thouse.
Obama, and yes Biden, will destroy liar one and liar two...won't even be a contest. The only way Romney can win is if Rove can manufacture another fake story that gets the stupid people worked up, like he did in 04.
If Ryan, just gets Biden mad, then it will be a bad night for Biden, I am taking valium and going to bed early that night. But Romney vs Obama, forget about it. Bush had one benefit, he got served by Kerry in the first debate but he had a cowboy swagger that a lot of middle age white guys admire. Romney is like a Conehead, Beedle Beee Bop Beeeedle Bee got off my aircraft, I am going to actually feel sorry for Romney during those, its going to be like Hulk Hogan vs. the no-name gut in the red shorts named Bobby Stevens or something like that in Summer Slam. Its going to be awful for Romney.
To the point of poor jobs reports, in case you havent noticed, after one the estimates are revised down. This really was not a poor jobs report, the only news was it fell short of polly anna expectations. How about this scenario, Unemployment hits 7.9 percent, very possible especially going into early hiring for the holiday season. Now, how do you think those headlines will roll? 150K jobs estimate, was stupid I don't know what they were thinking, when they revise it down, the following month will look good and I can tell you by October, unemployment goes down because of holiday season so the report in November will not be bad, maybe not good, but not bad. I could care less about the jobs report, anyone who knows anything knows that its very much NOT within the Presidents control like gas prices, its worldwide, same curve. I think this campaign is moving beyond jobs. Americans are not happy about it but look at who they blame, and its not Obama. Bill said it right, We messed things up, Obama did not clean it up fast enough, put us back in.
yeahhh - don't pay attention to the polls - unless they have me - willard in the lead!!!!! Then we'll plaster it all over the country. OHHHHH WILLARD YOU ARE JUST TOO FUNNY, TOO INEPT, TOO SELFISH, TOO MUCH OF A MONEY STASHER, TOO MUCH OF A VOTE SUPPRESSOR, TOO MUCH OF A LIAR, TOO MUCH OF A WOMENS RIGHT KILLER - YOU ARE JUST TOOOO MUCH!!!! Yeah we ain't payin' attention to the polls - CAUSE YOU'RE GONNA LOSE ANYWAY. OBAMA/BIDEN 2012.
I like yuor handle. I have yet to see a lib who wasn't.
Yeah easy until it comes to you and then they turn Pentecostal on your arse so you get mad and become a Republican.
Mitt your lying, lies,Lies of the GOP & Paul Ryan TeaWackers, Mitt R. Bain, Citizens United and all the Alec corps : that pays off the RepublicanPUKES Politicians. Its all about the Wealthy getting richer and the middle class getting poorer.....They don't want to help the poor...Who are the one's that leach off the taxpayer. The Wealthy: they get welfare both for themselves an for the Corps. ...But it seems that the Wealthy get away with it ..They steal billions and the few poor steals a few thousands. So what does the GOP want, is Screw the MIddle Class to get even with the few. As I say its the me me me and F everyone else.... The failures of the Republicans party trying to take away SS & Medicare & Health care for Woman so they can give their wealthy Blackmailers more money...To hell with the Poor and Needy. Let them freeze in the winter and stave the Old and Babies,let them die from bad water, do away with the EPA and thats what you'll have, just like all you Tea baggers want...You make me sick with your Me Me Me altitude. Greedy and you all call yourself a REAL Christians, Mormans. What a laugh: Wake up...Sounds like Mitt!!!!!!Fuss up your tax Return: Stop your lieing RYAN:
Maze? That must be what yuor mind is like. (I use the word 'mind' loosely).
Thank Buddy: A mind is a terrible thing to waste; Not like your Teawacker party or the RepublicanPUKES; Emptyness of all your minds.......BAH: BAH: BAH little sheep:
Thank you for illustrating my point.
The Obama, shall be victor again.
witness the ruination of the GOP.
I want to live in your fantasy world. You libs are funny. Always a good laugh on here, if nothing else.
As uninpressive as your candidate and staff are I don't think the country doesn't has to worry about your candidate getting elected. This is one boring and unimpressive person and the fact that he has his money in foriegn countries instead of his own country is reason enough not to vote for him or anyone associated with him.Keep spending your money here it helps even if the money is tainted.
Unlike libs who keep their money in a piggy bank.
And who set up all these finacial commitments That have to be carried thru GWB! Yeh GWB that's right.
It's only fair. After all it's conservatives paying them while libs collect welfare.
everyone hates obozo, except the media
media = liars
liars=journalists
obozo=communist
communist=frank marshall davis
frank marshall davis = obozos porn producing dad
obozos porn producing dad= obozos mom in porno
Yeah....right.
YOU are not just a fool...YOU are living in another Universe....
Where do you get these MORONIC ideas from??
rightisright: You know you look like the end of my D*ck : Its so sore you can't beat it: Mitt fuss up your tax returens......lying Ryan stop your lying:
If it's that sore quit beating it. (Stupid libs don't know when to stop).
NICE POST Rightisright!!!!
If you want to know who the true liars are, go to factcheck.org.
Hint: It was the GOP convention that was full of lies and Ryan who thinks it's okay to lie about running a marathon in over an hour more than he actually ran it.
I guess that he has never heard of loosing gracefully.
To Mittens: "Desperate people say desperate things!" Or, they have absolutely no explanations for policies...! Pathetic bastard.
For R & R, aka, Ridiculous & Redundant... September has turned into the "Their Month of Discontent & Lack of Content!"
BTW: Obama/Biden will win in 2012!! No doubt!!
LMAO
I just want one person here to tell me how we fix the budget problem without raising taxes on everyone (taxing just the rich wont do it even at the highest historical tax rates) and cutting spending by trillions on social programs (DoD spending account for 14% of federal budget, entitlements account for over 50%)
So all you Obama fans let's talk about a real budget?
At least Ryan has a plan that is somewhat realistic even if I don't agree with all of it!
They don't want to answer questions about details Ryan made a statement to George Stef this weekend about taxing the rich on their Cayman Island accounts and such and when Goerge asked him in what way they were going to it Ryan quickly changed the subject to something away from the Debt. Ryan was saying something that nobody in their mind would ever believe so he changed the subject. If you like that kind of stuff go ahead and vote for Romney. But when you complain about the crap going on after the election I won't let you off the hook. I'm just that kind of nice guy.
If you want to see some real dogs google; Republican vs democrat women