Responding to the early polling showing President Obama with a bounce -- and lead -- after the two conventions, Romney pollster Neil Newhouse argues in a memo to reporters that the presidential contest "has not changed significantly."
"Don't get too worked up about the latest polling," Newhouse writes in the memo. "While some voters will feel a bit of a sugar-high from the conventions, the basic structure of the race has not changed significantly. The reality of the Obama economy will reassert itself as the ultimate downfall of the Obama presidency, and Mitt Romney will win this race."
Related: First Thoughts: After Tampa and Charlotte
Newhouse adds, "The key numbers in this election are the 43 straight months of 8% or higher unemployment, the 23 million Americans struggling to find work, and the 47 million Americans who are on food stamps."
However, as we wrote in First Thoughts this morning, Obama went into the conventions with the lead, and emerged from those conventions with the lead.
And as Politico reported over the weekend, “The Romney campaign … said the post-convention bounce they hoped for fell well short of expectations and privately lament that state-by-state polling numbers — most glaringly in Ohio — are working in the president’s favor.”
“Their map has many more routes to victory,” a top GOP official admitted to Politico.


Any one care to guess his party affiliation? Of course, the article makes no mention of it, so that should give you a good hint.
meto999- You all love to trot that interview out, and IF the President had a fair shot, at really fixing things, but he was blocked, filibustered, and told NO at every turn, so blame your own party for reelecting the President.
And the fact is from the Republican Primaries you never had a viable candidate, Newt, Saintorum, Perry, pizza man, you all should be embarrassed. The only decent one Huntsman, but since he worked with the President...
So your stuck with mitwit and lyin Ryan! DEAL!
So you don't believe that a president should stand by his own words??
or was it just a other LIE.......
In his own words:
"On Feb. 2, 2009,
President Barack Obama explained his chances to fix the economy to host Matt Lauer on NBC's "Today" show: "I will be held accountable. I've got four years. … If I don't have this done in three years, then there's going to be a one-term proposition."According to Obama, himself, words mean something. He has made his entire political career using carefully chosen words.
The Obama bum kisser go around touting all the legislation that was passed during Obama's term as his list of great achievements. But when it comes to his failures, all of a sudden he is not responsible, its the fault of Congress, Bush, ATMs, tsunamis, Europe, Arab Spring (he encouraged) and any number of things he can come up with this week. If he is going to take the credit he gets the blame too. He failed and that is the crux of the entire problem right now, Obama doesn't want to put on his big boy pants and take responsibility. And we can not afford another four years of finger pointing and false promises.
met and King ... in an unprecedented event such as this Great Recession, Obama could not have known it would take this long for the economy to recover, so it was reasonable for him to make the comment he made about "expecting" a recovery within 4 years. To hold him accountable shows your ignorance. Besides, if the Republican Party would get the h*ll out of his GD way, the economy would probably be in a little better shape.
You one-issue, low-information voters make me sick.
If you are getting sick, you better stop looking at yourself in the mirror
CAN YOU FIND A CHART A LITTLE OLDER?? How about dealing in the real world> How about a little Facts Checking into a biased article? Let we help you.
how to misuse charts 101A. Daniel, you give a wonnnnnderful class. Let us start with chart number 4.
A glance is to give us the impression that the whole massive drop is Obama’s fault. Instead you fail to point out that during the Bush era from 2001 to the beginning of 2009, the number of Americans employed dropped from about 64 million to 59 million, a loss of 5 million jobs, many of them, BTW, manufacturing jobs. This despite the American home ownership dream act and lots of deregulation and trillion or so in tax cuts and about 5 or so trillions in deficit spending. From the beginning of the Obama administration, late January 2009, to today, we have a drop down to 58 million Americans employed. A loss of 1 million jobs.
Let us compare. After 8 years of Republican economic policy we lose 5 million jobs, and if we are generous and ignore the fact that a filibustering minority of Republican Senators are running a good part of the show, we see that Hercules digging poo poo out of the stables of Augeas managed to lose only 1 million jobs after 3 years. The graphic trend is that we see a leveling out under Obama, in contrast to the precipitous fall under Bush and GOP economic philosophy.
Chart numero 3-o. I love this one. If we saw the BLS numbers we would know that in August 2010 the long term unemployed numbered 6.2 million and that this August it numbered about less at 6.034 million.
That’s a drop, not a gain as seen in your chart, the percentages a bit deceitful no?
Considering the 5 million lost under Bush and a million lost under Obama are you really surprised?
You do know that in many cases, companies tend to hire individuals who have been jobless for shorter durations first. Note that a lot of those long term unemployed lost their jobs DURING THE Bush administration.
chart 2 No surprise there. Blacks last hired first fired. Unemployment will stay high until a lot of white folks are employed.
chart 1, surprisingly correct. But we also know that the stimulus was way too small according to many economists. But Obama could not squeeze more spending out of the filibustering GOP minority. So yes, a few million too few jobs would be a failure. However as failures go, it pales in comparison to the abysmal failure of the Bush tax cuts. His Council on Economic Advisors predicted an average growth of 194,000 net new jobs per month due to the tax cuts. Over 8 years that would be a gain of 18.6 million new jobs. Instead there were essentially no new net jobs under Bush. So while Obama was a failure in getting about 3-4 million new jobs, Bush’s much more spectacular failure of implementing GOP economic and government philosophy outshines that from sea to shining sea.
So intellectually bankrupt that it won’t even show this chart.
http://msnbcmedia.msn.com/i/MSNBC/Sections/TVNews/MSNBC%20TV/Maddow/Blog/2010/04/jobloss_scale.JPG
So what’snext?????
To be frank, my constant perusing of the Forbes.com website shows that an adult needs to be in charge to make sure that the facts and figures are used properly by the children. It would help. People like me wouldn’t have to go around shooting not so intellectual ducks in a barrel.
The only pole Obama leads is the United Islamic Nations.
Oh, wow...that's a new approach...idiot!
"Pole"? Suggest you try to earn your GED.
Earn----that is a funny word for your side to use George since you guys seem to love entitlements more than anything else in the world.
Romney is right, he should not worry about the polls. How the Electoral College math is looking for him is what he should worry about ...
Yes please Democrats rest on your laurels.
Polls conducted in the beginning of September are always right on.
Just like in 2008 when McCain was ahead.
Or in 1980 when Jimmy Carter was ahead.
Have fun with your hypothetical win, and the GOP will make sure to actually get the win.
And who said anything about winning???? Stick to the subject, I know it's hard for you guys to do that. Next you'll be saying he wasn't born here. Your thinking is so YESTERDAY....find something new that crap's getting old.
I'm sure Romney will close the gap after the debates lol.
I believe the subject of this article was about Romney and polling numbers. I am not sure how you claim I was off topic, but then again it is easy to confuse a bleeding heart liberal.
George B,
I would not get so haughty about Obama's chances in the debates. The dismal job market will come up at some point and the incumbent will have to answer for his failures.
Geez, that's not what he was saying a couple of weeks ago....this guy is the ultimate flip-flopper......he's changed his mind more than an Alzheimers patient. Remember that's how Ronald Reagan started.....and now his crazy wife is claiming her 'crippling" disease is so how the same as being down and out. These people can't and won't relate to the common folks, no matter what they tell you. I suspect the more Romney talks the more the polls will go up in Obama's favor. Perhaps he's better bring out the big guns, George W Bush, Dick Cheney and Sarah....lmao!
Romney's entire campaign seems to be built around two words: "Trust Me"
But how are voters supposed to trust someone who changes his position on every issue at least once a week?
are you talking about Obama??
At least it's a relief he hasn't been cheating on his tax returns or using any illegal offshore account to stash million dollar IRA acounts. Oh wait ...
Offshore accounts are not illegal. Most wealthy democrats have them. There is no evidence whatsoever to support any cheating on taxes by Romney. The IRS audits almost everone in Romeny's income bracket. They are relentless when it comes to tax enforcement. Want to try something that is actually true for a change or just keep doing the usual left wing diversionary innuendo approach to avoid Obama's failed record?
Offshore accounts may not be illegal, but what is Romney hiding in his tax returns? My biggest problem with Romney is his trustability factor (low), which affects his likeability factor (even lower).
grandall
You do have a trust problem for sure, if you trust Obama! I totally agree with you. He has done nothing but constantly LIE, during his term. He has not kept any promises.
If I was Mr. Romney, i would worry about the mistakes my staff is making running my campaign.
New law (not a joke)!.....what next ??????????
if he gets re-elected he will be our last President. He is a dictator. AMERICA WAKE UP!!
OBAMA IS A WANT TO BE HITLER, BUT HE ISN'T A FRACTION THE MAN THAT HITLER WAS. OBAMA HASN'T GOT THE EXPERIENCE, KNOWLEDGE, QUALIFICATIONS FOR ANYTHING, INCLUDING community organizer, which he failed at also!!! He is a George Soros puppet!! At the debates, Obama will have an ear plug, so they can tell him how to respond. He isn't smart enough to pull this scam off on his own. You can bet your life on that!!
THis is what that law restricts -
`(a) Whoever--
`(1) knowingly enters or remains in any restricted building or grounds without lawful authority to do so;
`(2) knowingly, and with intent to impede or disrupt the orderly conduct of Government business or official functions, engages in disorderly or disruptive conduct in, or within such proximity to, any restricted building or grounds when, or so that, such conduct, in fact, impedes or disrupts the orderly conduct of Government business or official functions;
`(3) knowingly, and with the intent to impede or disrupt the orderly conduct of Government business or official functions, obstructs or impedes ingress or egress to or from any restricted building or grounds; or
`(4) knowingly engages in any act of physical violence against any person or property in any restricted building or grounds;
or attempts or conspires to do so, shall be punished as provided in subsection (b).
And it applies to anyone with Secret Service protection - including Romney,lol.
Sorry, don't know whyy the font was so big and don't know how to fix it.
Fuzzy ... bitter, party of one, your table is ready.
Why don't you move to Afghanistan and join the Taliban. Then maybe we'll get lucky if a drone takes you out. Idiot!
grandall
Your mother forgot to tell you that the baby died and you are the after birth, IDIOT!!
Gallup had Obama up by 4% Saturday and it rose to 5% yesterday.
Rasmussen had Obama up 2% Saturday and yesterday it had doubled to 4%.
Real Clear Politics had Obama up by 1.3% Saturday and 1.8% yesterday.
What will today bring?
More polls that mean nothing even if Romney takes a lead. The only poll that is meaningful is the one taken on November 6.
who cares. If he is so great, he should be blowing Romney's ass away. He is going down in Nov.
plsthink,
So someone who is leading "is going down" because he should be even farther ahead?
You fail to live up to your screen name.
remember that come Nov. He should be way ahead, he will be beat in Nov.
Just take a gander at the electoral maps. They will tell you all you need to know.
I can't wait until this election is over. Reading these blogs are the most frustrating thing in the world. Listening to people defend Obama is infuriating. Are there that may stupid people in this world? I don't give a $hit if Romney is rich, I don't give a $hit if Romney has changed his positions at times (Obama does it also), I don't give a $hit about Romney's taxes, and I'm tired of the class and race warfare.
This country is heading for disaster and we are all screwed if Obama gets another 4 years to run amuk. We can only hope that if he gets reelected the "party of no" will put some reins on him before the Mexicans decide to go to Greece for better opportunities.
Amen, Lloyd, amen.
yes Lloyd and it scares the hell out of me. The young are in the tank big time, because they are the generation of hand-outs. We are almost to the point of no return. Yes they posts totally piss me off!
A vote for Obama is a vote for COMMUNISM and the end of the United States of Republic, as we new it!!!!!!!!!!!! LOCK AND LOAD!!! Liberals will have there SOCIALISM for sure. Even though they have no idea what it is!!! OBAMA MUST GO DOWN A LOSER!!!
Cry harder! I like it!!
You guys are ALL certifiable. Take off your white sheets and hoods, and stop listening to the Republican bogeyman. Jeesh!
grandall
Hey idiot! The Democrats are the KKK and White Supremacy hate groups. Senator Byrd was the Grand Wizard. Try learning how to read and learn what the Democrats are really about. Racism, violence, hatred, corrupt, deceitful and LIARS!! Wrong group moron!
WAAAH.........commies...............WAAAAH LOL
hey Dave it is time for your bottle!!
I know when some of you read this here another nut case .I know another person so calm like this .I remember good old Bush now i know why makes me wonder if this election is all ready bought pay for .They pull it once Americans did nothing but sit their ass .
Romney camp: 'Don't get too worked up about the latest polling', or taxes, or business records, or state governing records.......etc..........
A 5-point lead right after a convention for the incumbent is nothing to celebrate, especially if he can't break the 50% barrier and there are still 5% undecided. It's all downhill for Obama from here on. Romney has a huge war chest. The airways will be covered with ads showing Obama in his own words in 2008 and what he has done with those words. Lights out.
The problem is though RoadWarrior is the the people are turning off the TV's because of all the lies being spouted from both sides and the money will be spent in vain... which I think is goos as OUR ELECTIONS SHOULD NOT BE FOR SALE!!
We were losing 750K jobs a month, now adding jobs, Dow was at 6500, now at 13,400, GM saved, 3 million private sector jobs added ... Republicans can huff and puff and tell us how worst off things are, but they have slowly improved despite a near depression and Republican obstructionism. Reducing the treasury by giving tax breaks to millionaires will NOT make things better, will make things worst. Tea Party people, if you have a high school education, then step up and take a Macroeconomics course please.
Still down 4.3 million jobs from January 2008 level.
The thing I love most about the Republican party is that it's DYING.
Look at the demograhics and it's obvious that the GOP is going the way of the WIG party.
That being said, there is nothing more dangerous than a badly wounded animal. They will say and do ANYTHING to win and they are doing it right this minute. They are out there trying to STEAL another election just like they did in 2000 and 2004. They know the only way they can win is to cheat and if they lose this one they are DONE, so they are DESPERATELY engaged in voter suppression and every other possible form of election rigging.
Pay attention, you'll probably never see anything like this one again.
Bye bye GOP
You will not be missed.
owencoffin
Not on your best day!! Dream on!!
You liberals are truly pathetic losers!!
Bye fuzzy, Don't let the door........
Dave, maybe it is time for your meds.
dave-sunny so.cal
Use your Obama care before you liberals can't afford it anymore! LIBERALISM= DISEASE of the mind, if you have one!!
Following the Republican't convention, this race can be summed up for the layman as follows:
For Texas families, this
week has been tougher than a $5 steak. Family came to visit and it was a goat
rodeo.
You were expecting a nice visit including some plans to take care of grandma
now that she can't live alone and where your nephew could go to college.
Instead, you got cousins with bad table manners who hogged all the mashed
potatoes and never even offered to help clean up the table, much less bring any
food. Cousin Bob asked for a loan to buy a couple of Cadillacs and plastic
surgery for his show dog.
You went out to eat and they ordered the wine that cost the same as your extra
job and then stuck you with the bill although they were wearing diamond wrist
watches. Their idea for grandma's care involved allowing one of their friends
to invest her savings in a risky upstart and giving her a voucher for her
health care that will cover half a year. The rest of her health care is up to
you.
Aunt Bessie spent the whole week standing in your bedroom to make sure you
weren't doing anything she doesn't like. And then Uncle Clint spent the entire
evening talking to any empty chair thinking it was Napoleon.
They argued among themselves. They tried to look in your wife's private parts
and asked your son in law for proof of citizenship.
You were relieved when they left but more than a little frightened that they
might come back.
Fear not. This week the good relatives are coming. They are easy to get along
with. They are willing to help with grandma and your nephew's education because
they believe in the family. They have ideas, and a tool box to put those ideas
to work. They are not afraid of hard work and don't need to see anyone's
papers. They trust you to make your own decisions about your religion and your
goals.
They want to give you a tax break to make ends meet and only ask the relatives
with a couple of Cadillacs and diamond wrist watches to pitch in to make up for
eating all the mashed potatoes.
Texas Democrats are glad the Republican national convention is over because
Texas Democrats know that Texas deserves better and so does America.
Enjoy this week and know that the good relatives are here.
Good to know there are still some sane people left in Texas.
I like what Clinton said, to paraphrase, the Republican argument seems to be this "We don't think you've cleaned up the mess we handed you quickly enough, so hand the reigns back over to us so we can re-implement the failed policies that got us in this mess in the first place"!
Funny, Democrats controlled the both the House and the Senate from 2003-2010.
No Democrat had any hand in the fiscal crisis? Just the big bad GOP.
I am not even so much of a party guy that I cannot look back on the GWB years and understand he made some fundamental mistakes, but I guess Barack Husein Obama is just a vicitim of gridlock and above any criticism.
I just want the guy to take some responsibility. He wanted the job in 2008 and he knew the "mess" he was inheriting, and now after he fails I am suppose to feel sorry for the guy that supposedly has all the answers?
The economy is only a part of the voter dissatisfaction. It's not even the top difference maker. Obama won in 2008 on the shoulders of independents and a few Republican crossovers. These people are especially angry at Obama has become. He hasn't been the uniter that they thought candidate Obama was. No wonder he has only 37% of independents supporting him after getting 69% in 2008.
That is just a straight up bold faced LIE! They got control of both the house and Senate in 2006!
What did you expect? They just make up stuff on the fly.
DionysusOmega
The system is rigged. America is unjust. Opportunity is dead. You didn’t build that.
Dammit, where’s mine?
Oh, and Republicans are the people who rigged the system. They’re trying to take away your rights to vote, to health care, to education, to housing. They hate women, gays and immigrants. They don’t pay their fair share and they’re un-American.
Barack Obama lights candles, Mitt Romney spreads darkness, and Osama bin Laden is dead.
There, I saved you the time of watching the Democratic convention. For three grating days, demands for more government spending were coupled with sweeping character assassinations of Romney. The GOP is not just wrong; it is immoral.
see more videos
Don’t agree? You’re not patriotic.
It turns out that the party that left God out of its platform has a religious zeal for its leader. “We believe in Barack Obama,” Sen. John Kerry thundered, to uproarious applause.
Folks, we’ve entered Dear Leader territory.
The wild, outlandish claims that America is corrupt, Republicans are super-villains and Obama is a super-hero were made by every speaker over three raucous nights. A president, a first lady, a former president, a sitting vice president, top members of Congress, labor leaders, celebrities, fathers, mothers, sons and daughters, blacks, whites, Latinos — all stayed on the scorched-earth message softened only by homilies to Obama.
Something shocking is happening to the Democratic Party. Its committed adherents are whipping themselves into a frenzy of grievance that justifies seeing their fellow Americans as both evil and a free-cash machine.
Obama did not singlehandedly create this mad orgy, but he lit the match and shows the way. On this, he is a true leader, a transformative one. His invocation of FDR is not unwarranted, even as his channeling of Lincoln’s pain smacked of cheesy self-reverence.
When he says voters “will face the clearest choice of any time in a generation,” he understates the fact. The two paths are a twain that shall never meet.
His rhetorical skills, uncompromising ambition and 1,000-watt smile were on full display last night, unfortunately in service to a vision that would surely bankrupt America.
Instead of a guarantee of life, liberty and the pursuit of happiness, our culture would be reshaped by a growing collectivist power, vested in the state, that would command ever more resources and control. The claim of “leveling the playing field” is, in reality, a plan to control the outcome.
As famously promised, the financial crisis has not been wasted. The recession lingers for many families. Unemployment remains stuck at a destructive level. The deficit soars — we borrow nearly $3 billion a day, $20 billion a week, $1 trillion a year.
These are serious problems to most mortals, but for him, they are rich opportunities to expand the reach of Washington. The soaring debt is not soaring enough, so more treasure must be thrown into the bonfire of his vanities. It is a fire consuming the future under the guise of fairness.
This is not mere class warfare. That’s just a tactic. The goal, as it always has been for his kind throughout history, is to accumulate power that the elite can wield without accountability or checks and balances.
Give the man his due. We have not seen his like in our times. His charisma and political skills are unmatched. If only they were admirably used.
Obama promised to unite the country and, his lie exposed, is now determined to win re-election by any means necessary. He may succeed.
Beware, America. The wraps have come off.
Obama is unbound and the delegates in the convention hall went home in full revolutionary spirit. They don’t want to unite America. They want to conquer it.
Barack Obama did build that.
Barack Obama:
Alias Barry Soetoro pawns himself as Barack Obama, the humanitarian, the POTUS, the campaign for hope and change. But we know better. Barry is a radical Marxist who was raised by Communist parents and Communist grandparents. His mentors were known Communists, his contacts in college were strictly Marxists supporters, Marxist professors and a group of Pakistani activists as stated in his book, "Dreams From My Father".
Barack Obama, tell us about Frank Marshall Davis or Bill Ayers. Surely you remember Mr. Davis. After all, your mother knew him all too well. Mr. Ayers, a known terrorist, responsible for at least a dozen bombings, helped your early Illinois campaign by raising money, thru his organization Underground Weather. Davis, a well known Communist. Tell us about your trip to Pakistan ('81) with Pakistani Wahid Hamid.
Share with us your ideals of socialism, after all you're a member of the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA), referred as the "New Party". Please tell us why you have been influenced by the writings of Karl Marx, the prelude to Communism. Share with us your association with Rev. Jeremiah Wright. Do you justify this man's message by condemning our country by saying, "God bless America? No, God Damn America"? Was this a forethought supporting your belief in Marxism?
United States of America………………you didn't build it Barack Obama.
Top ... you are a useless tool, and a waste of a "few" brain cells.
Take off your white sheet and hood, take your meds and go to bed. Thanks.
Be sure to carefully remove your tin-foil hat also...
Mitt Romney:Don't worry about the fact I won't release my tax forms trust me nothing there of course. Don't worry I won't give any specifics on policy issues,trust me! I'v got a nice used car to sell you and some snake oil,trust me! I fully support the 1%,oh I mean Middle Class,trust me! Corporations are people ,trust me. I like to fire people,trust me. You can trust me,right?
Continuously demanding Republicans' tax returns is just plain silly.
Everyone has something that they hide from the general public. Something that is shared only with a spouse, or accountant, or the IRS, or lawyer, or best friend, or doctor, or teacher, or no one at all. While it could be argued that any of these hidden items “go to the person's character,” very few actually have any likely significance for the nation as a whole.
One very major exception to this is the secret that Obama has shared only with Dmitry Medvedev and Vladimir Putin. In a conversation with Russian President Dmitry Medvedev on March 26th, Obama admitted that he was planning to bow to some Russian demand, but that he would have to wait until after the election to do it.
What is it that he doesn't want us to know now? He clearly believes that if we were to find out about it, we would not re-elect him. Given the subject of the meeting, it seems likely that Obama has agreed to leave America vulnerable to nuclear blackmail. Almost as frightening: what the have Russians agreed to give him in return?
The only poll that counts is the one Diebold announces. No paper trail. No audit. Here is the result.
Flip flop,flip,flop when will Romneys lies ever stop?