E-mail updates
Follow on Twitter
Subscribe to RSSNBC's Mark Murray and Domenico Montanaro discuss Mitt Romney's choice of running-mate Paul Ryan and what it means for the state of the presidential campaign.
“Newly tapped Republican vice presidential contender Paul Ryan is facing off against President Barack Obama as the front lines in the battle for the White House shift to Iowa,” AP writes.
As one of us wrote over the weekend, Obama’s been campaigning against Ryan and House Republicans for more than a year – and sometimes it’s gotten personal. Obama’s very familiar with Ryan’s plan and has gone in great detail. Expect to hear more of it.
“The race for the White House remained in a dead heat just before Mitt Romney announced Paul Ryan as his running mate, a new Politico/George Washington University Battleground poll finds.” Obama and Romney are in a statistical tie, with Obama ahead among likely voters, 48-47%.
And there’s this: “[Romney’s] unfavorables are the highest of any Republican nominee at any point in recent history,” said Democratic pollster Celinda Lake, who helped conduct the poll.
Could Ryan help Romney appeal to younger voters… USA Today calls him the X factor. Maybe that’s Generation X Factor, or P90X Factor.
Romney’s out with another ad hitting Obama on welfare, making similar charges to his last ad which was widely discredited.
The Obama campaign is already out with a web video citing Floridians hitting Romney-Ryan on Medicare.
Here’s Restore Our Future’s latest.
Leave a Comment:
Romney and Ryan did get a bounce after the Ryan selection.
The newest research from Nate has it as the NOV 6 factors:
“Obama chance of winning 71.6% Romney 28.4%”
“Projected Winner Obama 301.2”
“Projected Loser Romney 236.8”
However, if the election was being voted in “Now Cast” Today:
Totals
“Obama chance of winning 80.0% Romney 20.0%”
“Projected Winner Obama 302.9”
“Projected Loser Romney 235.1”
As far as, my projected Electoral Vote outcome totals are:
Electoral Vote:
“Projected Winner Obama 297”
“Projected Loser Romney 241”
"my projected Electoral Vote outcome totals are.."
Breaking news: Obama poodle barks that Obama will win...
Poll: Nine percent of Obama ’08 voters want Romney now
By: Hope Hodge
8/9/2012 05:08 PM
Favor is fickle, and hope and change was easier to promise than deliver on.
A new Gallup poll shows that nearly 10 percent of voters who supported Barack Obama during his 2008 run have decamped and will be supporting Republican challenger Mitt Romney in this next election. At nine percent, the rate of Obama ’08 defectors is nearly double the five percent of former McCain ’08 supporters who now say they’ll cast a vote for Obama.
Partly loyalty is higher in the Republican camp too, with 92 percent of former McCain supporters saying they’re sticking with the red ticket, while only 86 percent of Obama’s 2008 base say they’re staying true.
The poll surveyed more than 2,000 registered voters who punched a ballot in 2008.
Now for some number play: if we make the broad assumption that the poll data is representative of the general population and do some extrapolation, tallying nine percent of 69,456,897 (Obama’s 2008 vote count) and subtracting five percent of John McCain’s 59,934,814 votes, we end up with a potential 3.25 million more votes for Romney than McCain had four years ago. It’s nothing concrete, but it’s becoming clear that election 2012 will be a far different race than 2008 was.
Daily Presidential Tracking Poll
Monday, August 13, 2012
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday shows Mitt Romney attracting support from 47% of voters nationwide, while President Obama earns the vote from 44%. Four percent (4%) prefer some other candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided.
With Rasmussen, you have to adjust for bias, moving 8% from the GOP to Dems usually accounts for that bias.
Still, 47% - 44% is still within the margin of error, which for rasmussen is what 50% ?
Politico poll finds the race a dead heat, after other polls show Obama up 9?
The polls are all over the place !
Politico is the one's who pronounced last week this would be a base election Bob. So you put you faith in Politico? Good for you Bob it's nice you found something that gets you excited this morning.
what's the weeper of the house' reaction?... he must be baking in his tanning salon as we speak...
He's sitting in the bar wondering how he can keep Cantor from taking his speaker position. Poor me another barkeep.
Generation X isn't going to vote for Ryan.
The Romney/Ryan plan makes it so Gen Xers have been paying for Medicare, but will not receive those benefits.
Gen Xers know what it's like to fight with insurance companies.
Over 12 million Gen Xers are the ones who received refund checks from insurance companies over billing them (thanks to ObamaCare).
Romney and Ryan have already said on day 1 they will be repealing ObamaCare, which means over 50 million Americans will watch their rates skyrocket again.
We will not support Romney and Ryan who have said their plan will require Americans with alzheimers will have to deal with insurance companies if they are elected.
I hope my Gen X nieces and nephews were paying attention, when their active grandmother went from being a master gardener to pouring salt in the cat's food. My mom's Alzheimer's progressed over eight years, during which she was prey to various telemarketers and greedy neighbors. I remember her dropping her credit card in the collection plate. Knowing her healthcare was covered by that program was also a huge relief to us - the one thing we did not have to worry about.
If a managed care approach is so much better for the health services consumer why do so many people entering nursing facilities convert from managed Medicare to convertional Medicare? And if Medicaid is slashed per the Ryan or Romney plans who is going to quit their job so they may stay at home to take care of aging parents with serious health issues?
According to the Congressional Budget Office, between 1979 and 2007 incomes of the top 1% of Americans grew by an average of 275%. During the same time period, the 60% of Americans in the middle of the income scale saw their income rise by 40%. Since 1979 the average pre-tax income for the bottom 90% of households has decreased by $900, while that of the top 1% increased by over $700,000, as federal taxation became less progressive. From 1992-2007 the top 400 income earners in the U.S. saw their income increase 392% and their average tax rate reduced by 37%.[15] In 2009, the average income of the top 1% was $960,000 with a minimum income of $343,927.
If the CBO is correct and the Republican "job creators" theory is true, where were the jobs created when taxes on the wealthy were reduced?
campdog: the jobs went with the money, overseas. /sarcasm.
The FACT is, there is no cause/effect relationship between lower tax rates for the highest earners and job creation. If anything, historically, the longer that the top tax rates are kept low, the fewer jobs are sustained. While a temporary tax cut will give the economy a temporary boost, the effects can't be sustained.
Just as the lie about not ending Medicare will be proven, this lie is also proven.
The Paul Ryan pick was a BOLD move to turn the conversation from Mitt Romney's secretive tax returns. Does anybody notice how this is not the front page story for now?? But once the Paul (kill-medicare) Ryan hype runs down, I STILL want to know how much Mr. Romney has paid in taxes over the past 5-10 year period. Yep, I want to know.
OBAMA 2012 / Romney 1040
HEY EVERYONE....
A quick True or False test about Ryan's proposed changes to Medicare... Its not what Obama has told you it is:
(True or False) - Both Democrats and Republicans UNIVERSALLY agree that Medicare in its present form is unsustainable
TRUE - By 2017 ten thousand Americans per day will be retiring... In this day of polarized partizanship, THIS IS THE ONE ISSUE THAT BOTH PARTIES AGREE WITH!
(True or False) - Rich people get free Medicare today -
TRUE- Everyone today, over the age of 65 ,recieves free Medicare benefits REGARDLESS OF INCOME!
(True or False) - The Ryan Budget takes Medicare Benefits away from current Medicare recipients or requires current Medicare recipients to contribute to the costs of their Medicare policy:
FALSE - All current Medicare recipients and Americans 55 and older are grandfathered into the current Medicare program FOR LIFE so nobody is throwing Grandma under a bus.
(True or False) - The Ryan Budget allows the wealthy to recieve free Medicare benefits-
FALSE-The Ryan Plan proposes that in TEN YEARS that new Medicare applicants undergo a "means test" that will evaluate the income and assets and require those that can afford to contribute to their Medicare costs, to contribute! The wealthy will no longer get a free ride on Medicare.... For those that cannot afford to contribute, they will be issued vouchers to offset or cover the costs of their Medicare plans...
WE CAN EITHER SAVE MEDICARE OR DESTROY IT BY DOING NOTHING TO REPAIR IT! THIS SEEMS TO BE A PRACTICAL SOLUTION TO ME... WHAT DO YOU THINK???
Go back to the brickyard dan and take your third grade test with you.
I'm sorry Gateway if it was over your head... Apparently your the kind of bull that always gets his head caught in the gate as it bangs back and forth damaging what little brain you were born with... I can't help you...
Obama -
Sixteen trillion = 16,000,000,000,000 in National Debt and will grow to 17,000,000,000,000 by 2013! And still growing.... And where's Obama's plan to change the course? He's waiting on GatewayBullshiit to post it on PMSNBC...
Romney/Ryan 2012!!! LEADERSHIP FOR A CHANGE!!! Yeah Baby!!!