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President Obama’s lead in Virginia has evaporated.
A new Quinnipiac poll out this morning shows Obama and Republican challenger Mitt Romney tied, 44-44 percent, in the commonwealth, a critical toss-up state.
Obama led eight in the poll in March, 50-42 percent, and five a month ago, 47-42 percent.
"Virginia voters are sharply split along gender and political lines about the presidential race. The two candidates equally hold their own political bases and are splitting the key independent vote down the middle," Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute, said in a press release. "One small edge that President Barack Obama has is likability. Voters have a slightly more favorable opinion of the president than they do Gov. Mitt Romney."
Obama’s approval rating in the state is just 45 percent.
One factor for the shift could be that in the last month, with the help of pro-Romney outside groups, there are more anti-Obama TV ads on in the state than pro-Obama ones. Romney and allies have spent $10.6 million during the stretch from early June through July, compared to Obama and allies spending $10.1 million.
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President Obama's lead in Virginia has evaporated
Uh-OH!
It's only July and the trend looks really bad for the Blue Team.
You folks keep worrying about Tax Returns and Bain.
The rest of the country is worried about putting food on the table.
Romney factuality, or for a change:
"Quietly, with an unpublicized executive order, Romney abolished affirmative action in the state, only to backtrack completely when enraged minority groups found out.
He also tried to control information. He discouraged officials from talking to the media, fired almost half of the state's press secretaries and centralized control of information in the governor's office. And he tried unsuccessfully to close down the office of the state inspector general, which looks into corruption.
...That's from just his first year as governor.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/mitt-romney-ready-for-his-close-up/2012/04/27/gIQAR1nImT_story.html?hpid=z7
Holy Moley Navy/Backhouse, that has to be the quickest deflection I have ever seen!
Talk about trying to change the subject! Nobody cares Backhouse. NOBODY!
Come on, Navy, spin the polling trends for me.
Keep on prayin' at the feet of the GOP Masters of Deflect, Filibuster and Zero Transparency.
Come on Backhouse, you know I'm not a Democrat!
Why would you insinuate that?
Why did you take out the part about Romney being a tee-totaler and approving Sunday Liquor sales from your cut and paste?
Did it make it too obvious that this was nothing more than a hack job hit piece?
Quite the contrary. The article says they're in a dead heat, and Backhouse is showing that they simply shouldn't be, because Romney makes Obama (for all his faults) look downright awesome.
Hi, I'm Nobody, nice to meet you.
When do you folks start believing in polls?
Obama win in landslide in November.
In Virginia the RCP average of 5 polls President Obama
has a 1 point lead down from a 2 point lead last month.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/va/virginia_romney_vs_obama-1774.html
Come on Dennis, stick to the FR Polls. Why do you always have to go cut and paste a story to fit your template?
Can't you speak for yourself?
Pig, I don't believe in polls, but apparently the FR news room is driven by them.
GK, (NOBODY), I said , trending, the article said trending, try some reading comprehension, cuz the trend ain't good for Team Blue.
It really depends on who shows up in November.
But many Republican-controlled states have passed strict voter ID laws, targeting many inner city voters who don't drive (thus without a driver's license), for example. Pennsylvania GOP chair bragged that with the passage of their voter ID law, they have ensured Mitt's victory in Pennsylvania - a battleground state. Pennsylvania law requires IDs with expiration dates, among other things. Most student IDs and veteran IDs have no expiration dates, they are thus excluded from voting - how evil GOP's plan is!!!!!!!!!
Wow, Pig, making excuses already?
Is that what the talking point will be as the polls (which don't matter) continue to trend poorly for Team Blue?
Voter Suppression? Oh my what a conspiracy!
Somebody better be able to prove it, Pig. Otherwise you and your friends are just liars.
I am only surprised that Obama is even in the race. I thought the people of Virginia were smarter than this.
Barrack Obama...DIVISIVE ARROGANCE...FAILED LEADERSHIP...
Like the deceased.
Many regular voters have already been stripped of their vote - based on many strict voter ID laws in GOP-controlled states.
But many such state laws have either been suspended by higher courts or been put on hold because of lawsuits.
How evil some of the GOP plans has been - reminding people of past experiences of having been disenfranchised. But we are not surprised because we all know what GOP stands for ... bigotry (pig's bigotry - GOP supports a government by pigs, of pigs, and for pigs.)
According to an estimate by New York University Brennan Law School, these state voter ID laws would disenfranchise more than 5 million voters, enough to make a difference. Fortunately, many such laws have been put on hold due to legal challenges.
Besides the fine folks here, who cares about a poll in July? How about late October
Hasn't had time for Mitt's fubar to sink in yet.
He didn't release the entirety of his 2010 tax returns.
Quickest link to it was huffpo, which some might agree is a tad partisan. But you can find others.
www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/07/18/mitt-romney-taxes-2010_n_1683084.html?utm_hp_ref=elections-2012
Also, i hear whispers of 'IRS tax amnesty' for his 2009 returns. Dunno how accurate they are, but it is possible Mitt is a tax-dodger.
He dodged the draft, why not taxes too?
White Collar Auto
President Obama's lead in Virginia has evaporated
Uh-OH!
Don't worry Stiff Collar
You can enjoy your instant gratification for the moment "Things Fall Apart" occasionally.
Sometimes the polls are skewed too. We Obama supporters do not fall for anything like that Quinnipiac poll. We stand against people like t- baggers, birthers, and Mitch McConnell, greedy Romney intent on destroying this nation. We stand for something rather than nothing.
President Obama and Romney supposedly tied how could that be? President Obama had a 12 point lead the last time. That Quinnipiac poll is just Bullsh!t.
4more for 44
Obama/Biden 2012
Pigotry
Voter Suppression? Oh my what a conspiracy!
Somebody better be able to prove it, Pig. Otherwise you and your friends are just liars.
Pigotry
Pay no attention to the Stiff Collar. We all know stiff collars can be animated with lots of rapid inconsequential commercials.
That's all he is; a nonsensical talking collar!!!
The map of Shame; voter suppression
View the Animated Map of Shame to see just how quickly many states rushed to pass government-issued photo ID laws without considering the consequences.
Do you think getting a government-issued photo ID is easy? Think again!
State voter photo ID laws and other suppressive legislation have swept the nation recently, threatening to roll back the hard-won right of every American citizen to participate freely in our Nation's democratic processes. These newly enacted laws disenfranchise many voters including minorities, low-income persons, senior citizens, voters with disabilities and students.
Restrictive voter ID laws are truly a "solution in search of a problem," since the issue they purport to address - impersonation of voters at the polls - is practically nonexient
and states already have numerous protections in place to ensure that this type of fraud does not occur and penalties in the rare event that it does. Therefore, these newly enacted voter photo ID requirements serve only to remove eligible voters from our democracy and are NOT needed to stop potential impersonation voter fraud. So why are these laws being enacted?
Our fundamental right to vote is too important for us to allow these assaults to continue.
.
http://www.lawyerscommittee.org/page?id=0042
Hey WCA - Don't get a boner yet. Purple Strategies and Rassmussen still have O up in Va by 2 pts. And, OMG, Fux News new poll shows O up by 4.
I honestly think these polls are used more for bolstering TV ratings than predicting which candidate is in the lead.....
Obama/Biden 2012
GT gets it! :)
Their job is to sell papers.
They don't sell papers by printing a 'snooze-fest' presidential race.
They sell them by trying to portray it as close, and praying you don't actually start looking at electoral college votes.
thisiswhatilooklikenow.tumblr.com/post/27490291878/rocketboom-bane-capital-via-thishhish
NAACP required picture ID to enter their convention in Houston last week.
Who were they trying to keep out?
And this surprises who? Obama is done!
Whom did the pollsters call? Folks in the overwhelmingly white countryside of Virginia?
I don't like the results of the Poll so I will attack the Poll!
Right Pig?
Just for you Pig
PARTY IDENTIFICATION
Republican 28% 500
Democrat 28 439
Independent 37 630
Other/DK/NA 7 104
I better add that the column on the right is "Unweighted Frequency"
jfk, dont wet your pants yet, peoplew are just waking up to the real truth about romney and his gang of republican bullies.
Oh no, kr, I am pretty sure they are waking up from their "Hope and Change" trance to find out it was all alie.
Kr, I guess you didn't read the article...Obama had a 8 point lead 5 months ago. We the people have woken up and we don't like what we see!
Agree polls don't mean much this time of year. That being said, those numbers don't actually add up.
1673 totals per your post 2.3 means that (note I showed whole percentage points rounding up or down as necessary)
500 or approximately 30% of Republicans made up the sample
439 or approximately 26% of democrats made up the sample
630 or approximately 38% of independents made up the sample
104 or approximately 6% of don't know made up the sample.
Looks like they over sampled independents and sampled more republicans then democrats so the result of a tie is not surprising. A straight 33% break down of D, R and I would probably show Obama in the lead.
Actually, it probably is a decent poll.
I think we will find that in the "battleground" states, the results will show that the two are basically tied, with movement up & down within the margin of error of the polls.
What you will not find is a significant by Romney, ever. He just does not have that kind of support, even from his own party. The support he has is just because he is not Obama. ANYONE the Republican Party would put up would receive the support Romney has received from the GOP. John McCain could have run again and received the same underwhelming support of the GOP.
white collar get a life.
This IS his life!
In the real world nobody will give him the time of day...
This IS his life!
In the real world nobody will give him the time of day...
From you?????
You.Have.Got.To.Be.Kidding.
@WCA
Was that crack about the deceased voting aimed at me?
Don't worry WCA, I'm sure that deep down, Fiesty & phine really do love you. :)
President Obama will win his re-election. If voters wouldn't replace George W. Bush, arguably one of the worst Presidents we have ever had, in 2004, they aren't going to fire the energetic, brilliant, empathetic and gifted President who succeeded him.
Osama is dead, Detroit lives, our foreign policy is actually successful and the Fortune 500 are raking in profits at historic levels. The best is yet to come.
If voters wouldn't replace George W. Bush, arguably one of the worst Presidents we have ever had, in 2004, they aren't going to fire
Wow, Amy, if this isn't a statement of pure desperation, I don't know what would be!
Obama's policies
are probably helping Romney's profits.
Maybe, those taxes returns would show that to the voters.
" ..the energetic, brilliant, empathetic and gifted President"
But, but, Amy, you forgot to credit the Government for Obama's [supposed] success ..Obama didnt get that way himself, you know ...if he is smart , there are a lot of people who are smart...if he works hard, there are a lot of people who work hard...it was the roads and bridges that need to take the credit, if there is any...
Sure Amy, The citizens of Syria sure love our foreign policy. Gadaffy threatens to kill anyone who doesn't put down their weapons and its bombs away for Obama. While in Syria, Asssad actually DOES kill anyone who doesn't put down their weapons and all we get from Obama is pretty please stop killing your citizens.
Every Monday there is a new distraction. Does anyone want to guess what next Monday will bring?
So Rocco what is your solution for the fighting in Syria? What should Obama do, from your posts diminishing Obama and his relevance and standing in foreign policy. Why do you think a corrupt, foreign dictator would listen to Obama to listen to reason?
Perhaps you are but I for one am not ready for another military intervention. You might find it harsh but that is another country's problem that IMO doesn't warrant an american miltary intervention or lose of US life. Not worth getting into a possible civil war, because our prescence could be a way to mend their differences as they combine to go after us.
Oh by the way, before you respond about hypocrisy, as a democrat I was against the Libya intervention and Obama's escalations in Afganistan.
@thetotas
How about Dwight "Superman" Howard goes to the Lakers, leaving Magic fans heartbroken?
Actually, President Obama has been doing to Syria what he did about Libya, he has gone to the UN Security council seeking support of the nations of the world to end the attacks on civilians. In case you had not been following the news, Russia and China have refused to allow any type of action against Syria to move forward.
The US did not act against Libya alone. In the modern world, no one acts alone. The shoot first, explain never GOP just doesn't get that going to war costs more than just a few missals shot from a ship. Unless we have the support of our allies, we risk losing much more than could be gained.
Unless something drastic changes, Obama is not taking VA this year. The mood toward him is much different this time around in VA as compared to 2008.
don't wet your pants yet.
The only thing that has changed is the weighting in the poll. Last time 31 percent of democrats were polled, and this time 28 percent of democrats were polled. The same number of republicans and democrats were polled and 3 percent more independents were polled. I did not know that the registration number of democrats has changed so drastically in one month, but I suppose that could have happened.
Ah, remember the good old days, just a month or two ago...when feisty redhead and the other lefties were doing a 'victory dance' and dissing old Bob In Virginia about a poll showing Obama 9 points ahead in Virginia..
Where , oh where, did they scatter to this morning? Hello? Come take your medicine.
I said wait a bit, Romney will win Virginia. Bob McDonnell has turned the state's economy around, and has turned Virginia from blue to purple to red.
What is rarely mentioned in these polls, is what Dick Morris often points out ...if you ask a spouse if he or she will still be married next year and the response is "undecided", things dont look well, do they?
Undecideds almost always break for the challenger, so these polls are more dire for Obama than on first glance.
Hey Bob, don't hold your breath.
Me thinks they will stay away from this thread like it's the plague.
I'm right here Probe-Boy!
Sorry no one informed me the election was today...
Enjoy your numbers!
After the beating you right wing nitwits have taken the last couple of weeks, you deserve a break today!
Stock up on the ice packs little buddy - you'll are in for one hell of a bruising to come...
PS: Did you really quote Dick Morris? lmfao!
Go for the gold next time and quote Limpballs, will ya?
Wrong yet again Goober!
Keep reaching for the stars... ;o)
Wow, love really is blind!
Just shows you all the money Obama spent on negative adds about Bain has done nothing to help Milli Vanilli and has actually helped Romney.
virgina bob, please let your govenor be the vp pick, please oh please. things have changed in va towards obama, i think not.
oh, by the way, if your gov runs for re-election, he goes down big time, driven by the women of virginia.
July 19, 2012
This tight one is starting to open up a little bit more in favor of Obama. So, my current Projection: (Currently the states that will continue to play the biggest in November are Michigan, Ohio, Virginia, and Florida and Wisconsin. For now these states are remaining in the toss up status, while leaning toward Obama. However, if the election were held today, Obama would win the general.
The key months for this race are going to be September and October. And as far as the debates, Romney most likely will have a problem in this area, along with his lack of availability to the press/media.
Another issue that will hurt Romney is the battle being waged by the President to raise the taxes on folks earning more than $250,000 a year. This is something that the majority of Americans are for and Romney is against.
For now the biggest problem for Romany is his record at Bain and as Governor of Mass.
The new projected election out come totals are:
Projected Winner Obama 293
Projected Loser Romney 245
Feisty, kudos, I gave you credit for showing up, you are truly Feisty...
Oh, wait a minute...you cant take credit...it wasnt you, you didnt do it...it was the Government, the roads and bridges that did it! The Nanny State deserves all the credit...
You should know that by now silly Probe-Boy! ☺
@ BOB
How much money did Virgina get from the stimulus bill?
Of course, you will tell us that has nothing to do with the economy
in your state.
"oh, by the way, if your gov runs for re-election, he goes down big time, driven by the women of virginia."
I have to agree, if Bob McDonnell runs for reelection as Governor , he willl lose 100% to zero!
That is because by law Virginia Governors are limited to one term.
Don't you just love it when people who don't live in VA try to tell people who live in VA what they feel and are thinking? On another note, it was very nice of Obama to come to VA and tell us he does not have the intelligence to be elected President, as everybody knows, you can't do anything on your own, you need help from the government. Glad he cleared that one up. As he said, there are a lot of smart people out there, if you think you did it on your own your are wrong.
Not including you, apparently, since you cannot correctly quote, or understand what the President said.
@Feisty
What's up with all the fake Feisty's? I know I don't get by that often, but have I missed something?
Phine,
It's all the RWNJ's have left in their bag of dirty tricks!
I hope you're feeling better!
{{{hugs}}}
Well, if possible, gonna try to talk Phil into getting me some real food instead of this hospital crap. (He still needs to regrout the bathtub)
Hugs!!!!!!!!
@ Bob
How much money did Virginia get from the stimulus bill.
Of course, you will tell us that has noting to do with the economy
in your state.
Sandy, amazing how lefties credit everything good that happens to the Almighty God of the Federal Government, and anything bad is ....due to rich people, or greed, or something...
7 of 10 states with lowest unemployment have GOP Governors...all 17 GOP Governors elected in 2010 have lowered their unemployment rates...
Whereas free spending public employee union dominated stimulus spending NY and Cali and Illinois are doing crappy...
Keep denying reality, feel free.
Or it could just be like Florida when Quinnipiac had Romney up by 6 then the next month Obama was up by 4 simply because the polling sample went from more GOP to Dems.
This month's Virginia poll has more men and less Dems then the previous month poll and if you weighted the poll to reflect the demographics of the previous month then Obama would be up by 5-7%.
Michelle, don't lie. More woman were polled then Men, look it up.
Traditionally Republican leaning poll puts the VA race in a dead heat. That means that Obama is still ahead in VA by a slim margin. Polls are easy to read.
Here you go Libtards...
====================
VA0712 Demographics
====================
From July 10 - 16, 2012 Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,673 registered voters in Virginia with a margin of error of +/- 2.4 percentage points.
PARTY IDENTIFICATION - Generally speaking, do you consider yourself a Republican,
a Democrat, an Independent, or what?
REGISTERED VOTERS....
Weighted UnWeighted
Percent Frequency
PARTY IDENTIFICATION
Republican 28% 500
Democrat 28 439
Independent 37 630
Other/DK/NA 7 104
PHONE DISTRIBUTION
Cell only 16% 140
Land Line only 9 172
Both, cmp from cell sample 9 135
Both, cmp from land sample 66 1226
RACE
White 73% 1381
Black 17 165
Hispanic 3 38
Other/DK/NA 8 89
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
Unweighted Frequency 1673 500 439 630 816 857 1381 165
MoE (+/-%) 2.40 4.38 4.68 3.90 3.43 3.35 2.64 7.63
WHITE..............................................
COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Miltry
Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld
Unweighted Frequency 801 580 810 205 672 709 426 661 525
MoE (+/-%) 3.46 4.07 3.44 6.84 3.78 3.68 4.75 3.81 4.28
COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS.......
Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+
Unweighted Frequency 944 726 269 232 426 552 142 497 985
MoE (+/-%) 3.19 3.64 5.98 6.43 4.75 4.17 8.22 4.40 3.12
"There are so many things that will be open again for more attack, and you just give more material for more attack, and that's the answer. We've given all you people need to know and understand about our financial situation and about how we live our life," Mrs. Romney said on ABC."
All I know is the IRS has accepted his tax returns and he wasn't audited, so he's good with me.
By fall, Romney and the leaves on the trees will have dropped. Screaming and tap dancing don't prove that Romney's got talent. Besides, he's hiding behind the curtain and is desperately trying not to reveal himself.
Romney can't hide behind "Executive Privilege" the way Obama does to hide his involvement in Fast and Furious.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_hsquKMi5Ec
duhhhh,, with the way the Lame Stream media covers things, this only means Romney is killing,.,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
I just wanted all you libs in denial to have to read it again! And Romney hasn't even been allowed to open up his campaign warchest yet! He's going to wash over Obama like a sunami!
Romney 2012!