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Subscribe to RSSA new Reuters-Ipsos poll shows Obama leading Romney by six points, 49%-43%.
And a new national Quinnipiac Poll finds President Obama leading Mitt Romney by three points among voters, 46% to 43%.
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Wow ! So much detail !! It gives you a lot of confidence in those polls, their parameters and their sampling methods....... NOT !!! What a waste of space by MSNBC.
jim It must hurt to see the polls in the Presidents favor. To bad.
jim: And yet if the polls were in Romney's favor you would be crowing about them....right?
You are correct Jim, a year ago pollsters would give the breakdown of their polls by Republicans ,Democrats and Independents, hard to find now, a Washington Post Poll from a few days ago did show Obama up by seven points, slipped up tho and gave the breakdown,which showed they had actually polled 12 percent more Democrats than Republicans, and with only a seven point lead, that was really bad news for the Dems, but it does explain the lack of detail offered in this and other polls.
Well, I clicked on the link to the Reuters poll and found:
Does that help a little?
And, according to the Qunnipac poll, it's single women, in part, who give Obama the edge.
Amy
No Amy, it really doesn't, I looked up that poll also, but if the political leanings of those polled is not shown, it brings into serious question the accuracy of the poll.
j d srill It brings into serious question the accuracy of the poll.
Your spin in not going to change anything, but its a nice try. j.d. a drowning man will reach for anything!
@1.4 -
so only 77% were even registered yet? Typically there are citizens eligible to register, then those actually registered, then those who actually show up to vote. Even predicting from "those likely to vote" is iffy.
"A new Washington Post/ABC News poll showed Barack Obama and Mitt Romney tied, each with 47 percent of support among registered voters."
Obama's on his way out. Never has an encumbant president made it to a second term in an econmic downturn...
anyone to vote for romney after the piece that was on tv and in the newspaper that read he does give a flip about the middle and low class and is in favor of giving the rich and bussiness owners ALL OF THE TAX BREAKS ARE OUT OF THEIR GORDS TO PUT MILDLY.
I wish these polls were honest, but they aren't The never polled me, so how did they come up with this figure?
These polls are meant to manipulate the people and nothing more.
Obama 2012
Are you really that stupid, to think that "polling" has anything to do with calling "everybody" up and asking their questions? Polling is by definition sampling, and polling done well will generally be reasonably accurate. Clearly though, some polls are better than others, but my brother, you would not be the person to figure that out ...
You totally missed the point, and then you have the nerve to call me stupid.
lmao here.
Reading is fundamental boys and girls ! I was MAKING FUN of a two sentence article that is pretty much devoid of any details.
These people that do these polls must be making a fortune off them. It seems there's a new one every hour with different results. I agree Jim. But the media has to keep citizens united lovers happy or they'll spend their negative ad money somewhere else.
M0-681343
They only poll the rich people, and the little people don't mater to the rich one's like Robme. It's nothing more than a way to mislead and manipulate the people in any election
If you are going to say that a poll shows that 65% agree with Robme, then make it accurate by saying that 65% of the 250 people polled agree with Robme.
If Romney were elected President it would be game over for the environment, as he would repeal regulations the Obama administration has fought for to battle global warming.
It would be game over for the middle class, as Romney believes in giving tax breaks to the wealthiest individuals while cutting spending on student loans, which enable middle income families to send their kids to college.
What tax breaks, Amy? Do you even read your talking points?
Do you support doing away with the IRS Code, with complex loopholes, and support a flat tax, no exceptions?
If you dont, then you are full of it when you claim you dont support "tax breaks for the wealthy".
Flat tax is fair and will allow all to pay up...other wise it is just a shell game; take this loophole here, pay off this group over there...endless corruption.
@3.1 - Flat tax is NOT a fair system and benefits the higher earners the most. Perhaps we should have the tax rates in effect when Reagan took office.
Five latest poll according to Real Clear Politics:
Intersting numbers. So, those groups favoring Obama have polls favoring Obama. Golly, what a surprise. What is more interesting is how an incumbent can do so poorly this late into an election year. Obama has the bully pulpit, he can throw more money at his base, give more amnesty and avoid voter ID's and yet, his numbers aren't really all that great. Especially when you take into account that the pro-Obama polls aren't giving him much of a lead.
Amy, if Obama isn't defeated it will be "game over" for America.
He is destroying this country bit by bit. How can you not see that?
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Wednesday, July 18, shows Mitt Romney attracting 47% of the vote, while President Obama earns 46%. Four percent (4%) prefer some other candidate, and four percent (4%) more are undecided.
WAY TO GO MITT!
ROMNEY 2012!!!
Daniel S.
Thank you for posting! I too look at Rasmussenreport.com for the polling numbers. Obama is going down and in a big way by election time.
ROMNEY 2012!!!!
The ABC WaPost poll which showed a dead heat, sampled 9 percent more Dems than Republicans...
Can only guess how skewed these samples are....they probably went to DNC headquarters and sampled the employees....
i agree with fairly reliable bob he is a liar,cheater,coward,draft dodger and you would want that for president come on america wise up before it is too late.
You talking about Obama?
Are you really that stupid? Polling is a sampling process ... If they sampled 9% more Democrats than Republicans, then they adjust those numbers to reflect the bias in the samples. That is why they keep track of how many Democrats vs. Republicans vs. Independents they interviewed! Didn't any of you ever take a math class beyond 8th Grade? Oops, answered my own question.
Military Members, Veterans, Military retirees;
please note that Swiss Bank account Romney PROMOTED THE DRAFT during the Viet Nam War,
then skipped out to France for extraordinary length of time when church missionary tours were limited.
When Romney came home, he sided with his dad that the whole Viet Nam War was a scam and that he was against the war.
Promoting the draft, while Americans were dying, he skipped out, then says he wishes he could have participated. His whole life has been a lie.
Romney is a COWARD, Lying, Draft Dodger, who promoted someone else to die for him, that is his way of management.
Some may want anyone but Obama, but this guy ranks with Jane Fonda and should not be given anything or elected for anything.
For those who are not old enough to remember the military draft, it was a mandatory commitment for two years that was implemented during the Viet Nam War. If your number was called, you went and served like it or not. Young people may say, I wouldn't go and they can't make me, think again.
This is what Romney promoted as if he were a "responsible citizen", then he left his fellow citizens to serve and some died for us and him. I am ashamed of him as I am retired military member, and forget about representing our country Mr. Romney.
I am one of the Military members who are against Romney, this has nothing to do with politics.
Fairly Reliable Bob Great post. It shows that romney was a flip-flopper back than. By the way Thank you for your service back than!!!!!!!!!!!
Then you should be equally outraged at Clinton, right?
Is Clinton running?
No, but as you liberals like to point out and dredge up the past and compare your heroes to past Republicans, I thought it was quite appropriate to comment on one your past idols.
Bob, the Vietnam war ended in 1975. Romney was born in 1947 which means he was 28 years old at the time it ended. Unless I am mistaken, he was not in a position to "promote" the draft at that time. He might have said he was in favor of the draft (I don't know), but he had no power to promote it. In 1975, he was still in school (Harvard).
Bob, I keep asking - which war did Obama fight in again? How about Clinton? Carter? How about any Democratic president in the past 50 years?
Didn't think so. Cut the crap.
So he drops out of Stanford in '66, dodges the draft for the next 2.5 years in France, then goes back to BYU & Harvard? What will he do if elected and the going gets tough? Drop out? Run away?
I think Bob was one of those guys in the rear with the gear... All he does is boast about his service and how Romney didn't serve... I served in the Marines and I don't walk around wearing it on my sleeve and whining about those who didn't serve. I'm not bitter that Romney or Obama didn't serve.... Whats the beef! Anyway, thanks for sending the supplies forward to the rest of us who actually engaged the enemy Bob! We appreciate a good supply guy!
Bob,
You need to brush up on how Obama has/is treating today's military. They hate him because he is so disrespectful of them. Didn't even honor the soldiers who died on D-Day!
Obama has never held a job, never been in the private sector, never been in the military and has no "success" stories to tell. He was a "community organizer". He got his education by listing himself as a foreign student and accepted scholorships on that basis. That is why he won't release his college transcripts.
Obama is the greatest fraud that has ever been perpetrated on the American people. He will say or do anything to get re-elected.
If you love America and want to see us stay free, you will vote him out of office!
Sandman:
Let's see, I guess a decade as a college professor, service as IL state senator, and service as US Senator from IL don't count.
He never was a college professor...he was a "stand-in"/ substitute...and he was only a half term senator...
broke: Neither of your claims above are true.
He taught as an adjuct professor (not at all the same as a stand-in or substitute--adjuncts have full responsibility for the classes they teach).
He served 2/3 of his senate term, not half of it.
July 11, 2012
This tight one is starting to open up a little bit more in favor of Obama. So, my current Projection: (Currently the states that will continue to play the biggest in November are Michigan, Ohio, Virginia, and Florida and Wisconsin. For now these states are remaining in the toss up status, while leaning toward Obama. However, if the election were held today, Obama would win the general.
The key months for this race are going to be September and October. And as far as the debates, Romney most likely will have a problem in this area, along with his lack of availability to the press/media.
Another issue that will hurt Romney is the battle being waged by the President to raise the taxes on folks earning more than $250,000 a year. This is something that the majority of Americans are for and Romney is against.
For now, the new projected election out come totals are:
Projected Winner Obama 293
Projected Loser Romney 244
http://www.pressherald.com/special/voterpolls.html
Recent polling in maine, BTW, shows Angus King ahead in the race to replace Olympia Snowe, with only 27% of voters favoring the Republican, vs 55% for Independent king.
President Obama also bests Romney in Maine, 49% to 35%.
What percentage of the population pays the most taxes?
I'll say the same thing I said the other day when there was a poll showing the President and Willard the Rat tied. Wake me up after Labor Day and tell me what the polls say then.
Here's your breakdown...
PARTY IDENTIFICATION
a. Do you consider yourself a Democrat, a Republican, an Independent or none of these?
IF “DEMOCRAT” ASK Qb. IF “REPUBLICAN” ASK Qc. IF “INDEP.” / “NONE ASK Qd.
b. Do you lean strongly or only moderately toward the Democratic Party?
c. Do you lean strongly or only toward the Republican Party?
d. Do your beliefs tend to lean more toward the Democrats or the Republicans?
All RV only
Strongly Democrat 19 20
Moderately Democrat 11 11
Lean Democrat 17 15
Strongly Republican 12 15
Moderately Republican 10 11
Lean Republican 16 16
Independent (No lean) 15 13
Initial Democrats 30 31
Total Democrats 47 46
Initial Republicans 22 26
Total Republicans 38 42
Heavily scewed towards Democrats...
One of the many problems facing conservatives is an incredibly high percentage of them have severe reading disabilities. In the opinion poll business, it is moderately important that the polling firm find a "representative sample." For political questions, it is important that the pollster contacts some known percentage of Dems, Reps, women, men, registered voters, likely voters, citizens who may register to vote in the future, different levels of education, and different age cohorts.
Unknown to you, and almost all rightwingnutz who cannot read, the polls you seem to think are skewed actually establish a representative sampling. There are more registered Democrats than there are registered Republicans (you could look it up, but that might be a stretch). Therefore, the pollster tries to load the polling sample with a few more self-identified Democrats. This results in a group of respondents who roughly represent the national "average" of different voters. One of the expensive difficulties in the opinion business is that, after the pollster sets up the sample, a significant number of any specific category may choose not to answer or to give answers that are inappropriate. So, a poll may be designed to meet the sampling standards, but result in a mismatch. This is then described as the "margin of error," which represents the post-analysis of the sampling that was off. Unless you have a masters degree or higher in statistics, it is unlikely that your observations mean squat. You are no more qualified to analyze statistical probability than you are to calculate the fly-by vector, velocity, and arrival time of the next category S, K-type asteroid.
Why is it the left ALWAYS has to stoop to the gutter and insult people who do not agree with them?
You may think you are smart and clever, but regardless of what these polls say and how you interpret them, this whole election is going to come down to the economy as of November 2012.
Remember? "It's the economy stupid".
And for the Quinnipaic Poll
PARTY IDENTIFICATION
Republican 27% 784
Democrat 31 850
Independent 36 938
Other/DK/NA 6 150
I keep aksing. I keep not getting an answer.
If someone can tell me why I, as an employed white male, should vote for Obama, I'll do it. What's in it for me?
Hey, if you're a self-made multi-millionaire, jump in bed with Romney. It might boost your bottom line (financially, of course). But, if you aren't part of this elitist club, don't expect he's got your best interests in mind.
republicans are out to ruin, clear and simple. they are for noone but the super rich!! And if you arent in that category then you are arse out too!! It doesnt matter if you are black or white , what matters with them is how much money you have in your bank account or whether you were born in any elite families and with a silver spoon in your mouth. So half of you on here talking about Romney....need to stop, look and listen because once he is in office he will slice your throat too. You will be over to the welfare office begging for handouts when he is done outsourcing more jobs and cutting everything including unemployment. He is Corporate Buisnessman and operates as such.....go figure
Actually, it would seem that if you are worried about being able to hang onto your money, and want to hang onto your money rather than having it taken from you by the government so that they can 'redistribute' it, Obama would be the worst person to vote for.
Besides, your hyperbole and vitriol are all talking points from the Obama campaign ads, do you have any facts to bolster your histrionics.Fact is, I'd rather have a corporate businessman, and a successful businessman managing the economy rather than a community organizer who follows the leftist/radical redistribute the wealth and nationalize everything mindset. I don't think Romney has an axe to grind or a deep seated antipathy towards all things American.
Are you better off now than you were 4 years ago?
If Obama is re-elected do you think you will be better off in 4 years than you are now?
That is all this election comes down to.
Romney 2012
and this numbers have not yet coonsider the lame vp pick and the presidential debates so its ovious this election its gonna be a landslide for president Obama !
In the past 10 days or so, international newspapers have widely reported that their own independent polling shows Obama with a lead and his lead increasing. Their editorials have suggested that the US media are deliberately making the race seem closer than it is as a way of driving up readership/viewership and of forcing the campaigns to spend more money on advertising.
"I don't think Romney has an axe to grind or a deep seated antipathy towards all things American."
Not all things American, just the jobs he sent overseas and the American banks that won't hide his offshore earnings. Oh, and gay Americans...he doesn't like them much since they started this whole "I should be able to marry the person I like" thing. And his own health care plan in Mass., that too. Shall I go on?
mominnj do you really think America is that weak. Ponder on this, America with two status' Very rich and the untouchables. We are looking at the next India.
Yep, ol' stiffy is just starting to get his nose rubbed in his own manure and lies. He should have had a clue what would happen when Santorum, Cain and Gingrich all lead him at one time in his nomination bid. Nobody really wants you,Romney. Take off the mommy jeans and that banana in your pants doesn't help either. Phony lying loser. Obama/Biden by a landslide
Just to hear you people gripe and moan about polls is remarkable. Only 43% of you will vote...................................That's if your registered to vote.
The best poll, the one that's never wrong, the one that all Americans participate in will be held in November.
I only ask this of you. Know for what and for whom you vote. Don't let your vote be bought.
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Wednesday shows Mitt Romney attracting 47% of the vote, while President Obama earns 46%. Four percent (4%) prefer some other candidate, and four percent (4%) more are undecided.
WAY TO GO MITT!
ROMNEY 2012!!!
Rasmussen = not credible Tea Party tool
Right... Romney hasn't even gone on the offensive or opened up his war chest to really actually engage Obama. He's not weak or stupid, he's just being patient... If you look back at Carter and Reagan, the polls had them even until about 6 weeks before the election. If you look back at Bush Sr. and Clinton, the polls had them in a dead heat until a month before the election. Obama has already thrown all he's got at Romney and he hardly made a dent in the numbers... Better get used to the idea of a President Elect Romney come November!
GO ROMNEY 2012!!!
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Wednesday shows Mitt Romney attracting 47% of the vote, while President Obama earns 46%. Four percent (4%) prefer some other candidate, and four percent (4%) more are undecided.
Romney hasn't even gone on the offensive or opened up his war chest to really actually engage Obama. He's not weak or stupid, he's just being patient... If you look back at Carter and Reagan, the polls had them even until about 6 weeks before the election. If you look back at Bush Sr. and Clinton, the polls had them in a dead heat until a month before the election. Obama has already thrown all he's got at Romney and he hardly made a dent in the numbers... Better get used to the idea of a President Elect Romney come November!
GO ROMNEY 2012!!!
Obama is going to win reelection, which says a lot about the current state of the Republican party. This should have been their election to lose, considering the state of the economy and the fact that Obama hasn't delivered on most of his campaign promises. The fact that Romney was the best candidate they could come up with is pretty pathetic.
These polls mean nothing right now....Wait till Oct and start watching for a pattern if any emerges it will start in late Sept. For all you who say OBAMA is destroying the country like Streibig and MOMINNJ. Thats your opinion and i believe it is based upon misinformation from the right wing media echo machine or just simply you do not like a liberal president or liberal Philosophy or Liberal/Progressive people in general. I am a proud LIBERAL...Why dont you just be honest. I am Honest.. I do not like pigheaded right wing conservatives I think they are bad for our country and holding this nation back...Trickle down economics wealth redistribution TO THE RICH began under Reagan and was amped under BUSH does not work and never has worked!!IT has only crippled our middle class in this country...OWN IT Conservatives See you in NOV
Put your faith in someone else's pole. Trust the pole. Have faith in the pole. You people have poles on your mind. Hahahahahahahahahaha....
Vote for the American...
Both major party candidates (and all minor party candidates) ARE Americans.