Don’t expect any major policy proposals in Romney’s speech today before the National Association of Latino Elected and Appointed Officials, or NALEO. The speech “will focus on the economy, but he’ll address immigration,” a Romney aide said.
The AP: “Mitt Romney is taking an economic-focused message directly to Hispanic leaders, facing a large gathering of the influential voting bloc for the first time since immigration was thrust into the forefront of the presidential contest… Romney has struggled in recent days to clarify his immigration policy as he pivots from the harsh rhetoric that defined the monthslong GOP primary to a general election audience in which Latinos will play a critical role. The stakes are high not only for states with larger Hispanic populations such as Florida, Nevada and Colorado, but for a growing number of other battlegrounds -- Ohio, North Carolina and Virginia, among them -- where even a modest shift among Latino voters could be significant. At least 1 in 6 Americans is of Hispanic descent, according to the Census Bureau.”
Polls have shown Obama maintaining big margins with Latino voters, but that their enthusiasm for him – and most importantly, their likelihood to vote – has been down. But after the White House announcement on immigration -- that it would cease deporting some 800,000 children brought to the U.S. illegally – one poll showed enthusiasm on the rise. Latino Decisions, on Monday, released a poll of Latinos in Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Nevada, and Virginia, and found:
“In a Latino Decisions/Univision News poll in early 2012 53% of Latino voters said they were less enthusiastic about Obama in 2012 than they had been in 2009, while just 30% were more excited about the President. Overall, when asked what they thought about Obama’s deportation of 1.2 million immigrants, 41% of Latino voters said they were less enthusiastic about Obama, compared to 22% who were more enthusiastic, a net enthusiasm deficit of -19 points. The announcement on June 15 appears to have clearly erased Obama’s enthusiasm deficit among Latinos. When asked how they felt about Obama’s action that would halt deportations and provide work permits to undocumented immigrant youth who attend college or serve in the military 49% of Latino voters said it would make them more enthusiastic about Obama, compared to 14% who were less enthusiastic, a net enthusiasm advantage of +35 points.”
The poll also asked about Romney’s “self deport” comment, and it did not test well.
Romney’s burn rate in May was 67%, less than the Obama campaign, but that was with just $23 million raised ($15.6 million spent) and it had outside groups picking up the slack on TV.
Bloomberg: “Mitt Romney’s presidential campaign asked Florida Governor Rick Scott to tone down his statements heralding improvements in the state’s economy because they clash with the presumptive Republican nominee’s message that the nation is suffering under President Barack Obama, according to two people familiar with the matter. Scott, a Republican, was asked to say that the state’s jobless rate could improve faster under a Romney presidency, according to the people, who asked not to be named.”
But this is not just a Florida phenomenon, as Bloomberg points out and we’ve made the point on: “What’s unfolding in Florida highlights a dilemma for the Romney campaign: how to allow Republican governors to take credit for economic improvements in their states while faulting Obama’s stewardship of the national economy. Republican governors in Ohio, Virginia, Michigan and Wisconsin also have highlighted improving economies.”
This after Bloomberg’s lengthy look yesterday at Scott’s political troubles, which included this quote from his former co-chairman of his campaign and former chairman of the state party: “Rick Scott doesn’t seem to have any political skills at all. I’d give him a B for governing. I’d give him an A for strangeness.”