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Updated 3:40 p.m. - Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker is virtually tied versus his prime Democratic challenger in a June 5 recall election, according to a new poll released Wednesday.
A Marquette University Law School poll found that Walker, whose efforts to overhaul collective bargaining laws in his state prompted the recall, leads Milwaukee Mayor Tom Barrett (D) by a single point among likely voters, well within the margin of error. (Among registered voters, Barrett leads 47-46 percent.)
If the recall election were held today, 48 percent of likely voters said they would choose to retain Walker, versus 47 percent who said they would pick Barrett, the Democratic challenger to Walker in the 2010 general election.
Barrett also leads his main challenger in the Democratic primary, former Dane County Executive Kathleen Falk, heading into next week's primary. Thirty-eight percent of Democratic primary voters prefer Barrett, while 21 percent would vote for Falk; that's a wider advantage for Barrett than in a late March poll.
If Falk, who enjoys the support of organized labor, were to somehow win the primary, she would face a somewhat tougher race versus Walker. Forty-nine percent of likely Wisconsin voters would support Walker in a recall versus Falk, who would win 43 percent of the vote.
The Marquette poll also tested the general election matchup this fall between President Obama and Mitt romney. Obama leads at 51 percent of likely voters to Romney's 42 percent share.
The poll, conducted April 26-29, 2012, has a 3.8 percent margin of error for the full sample. Democratic primary voters had a margin of error is 4.7 percent, and the margin of error for "likely voters" is 4.2 percent.
Update: The most recent figures from NBC's ad-tracking sources indicate that Walker and supportive groups have spent a total of $16.6 million in favor of Walker, while Democratic and labor groups have spent $6.3 million.
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Here are some other fun facts from that Marquette poll:
But here's a not-so-fun fact:
Come on, people - get involved. Put up the lawn signs, sign the petitions, got to the rallies or protests. But please don't stop talking to each other. That's just wrong.
You said it, JoAnne. It's silly to stop talking to people because you disagreed over politics--it's politics, it's government and talking and disagreeing is a critical part of the process.
AH, those virtual POLLS...
And wow, if it isn't misleading GOP Big Money Ads, and phony-all-the-way with Walker and his recall.
During last year's recall election, GOP Wisconsin ran fake Democratic candidates to confuse democratic voters.
Is GOP still running those 6 fake Democrats still, this year?
Their idea is to push the May 8 and June 6 Walker Wisconsin recall election dates to the later date of June 5.
And according to election attorney Jeremy Levinson, it is illegal to falsify declaration of candidacy. Felony election fraud is punishable by up to 3.5 years in prison. And?
Some people are either afraid of offending others and some are afraid of the fringe wackos who think screaming, yelling and intimidation are going to change peoples minds.
I agree with you 100% JoAnne! Come on people get involved! Learn the facts and then decide! Don't sit on the sidelines.
I couldn't agree more JoAnne!
Sadly it is part of the right wing strategy - make the enviroment so toxic people don't want to get involved!
Silly Backhouse!
Rules don't apply to them dontcha know! Look at how many of Walker's minions are currently under investigation?
"Rules dont apply to them (republicans) dontcha know"
This coming from the woman who defends the Democratic establishment of Illinois who have no equal in electoral, fiscal and criminal fraud.
but that's right, keep talking and thinking you aren't toxic.
Isn't Feisty DumbFux telling everyone, "Can't we all just get along?" the same as being lectured about corruption by Nancy Pelosi?
.....or or being lectured about racism from Barakkkk Obummer? Beer Summit?
Keep walking girlfriend, nobody's buying your BS!
DumbFux
To quote Santorum, every time I see Scott Walker's face, I want to puke. Like Eric Cantor, he comes off like a smug little sh!t. I just want to biotch slap these guys in their sniveling little face with every self-serving lie they tell. The lies about job creation in Wisconsin alone are WTF?
Blogo is a good comparison when it comes to power and delusion. Scott Walker will go down one way or another, and I'm hoping for some jail time. All that outside money won't help you there Walker!
Elvis is tucked safely away at Club-Fed for the next 14 years! lol
Me too - crossed eyed @!$%#ing badger!
Progressives are the first to be disgusted by Blogo. Yet there's Scott Walker keeping the race close with lies and raising over 13 million, mostly from out of state. And then Chris Christie toes the Party line along with Flip Romney and the rest of the GOP/TP. They have NO standards, it's Party First every time.
As for right-wing voters, the only explanation I can think of is they're trapped in their Echo Chamber and Cone of Silence. Why anyone would reelect Walker after all the bait-and-switch damage he's done to Wisconsin is mind-bending.
I refuse to listen to the big union argument. All they want is to fool the citizens so they can get more tax payer cash for their bank accounts. And judging by the blind liberals on this website (from all over the country) they would prefer Wisconsin go back towards bankruptcy to align with their political beliefs.
If Walker is tied with one of several democratic challengers, he's got a problem once a single one is picked in the primary. That said, the recall election will be a battle and the results will likely be close. The interesting thing is even if Walker wins, he could end up like Rod Blagoyovich because there's a lot of illegal activities being investigated.
Jody, you appear to live in Iowa. Your disgust for Walker must lie in your delusion that Wisconsinites want to go bankrupt or you just hate Wisconsin and want to see them bankrupt. Either way it's a Wisconsin problem, not some issue liberal fools from Iowa need to concern themselves with.
I just can't think that Walker is this close in the polls. Are those voters smokin cheese curds?
The fact there are several democratic challengers probably explains it; the democrats are in different camps right now--well that and cheese curds.
Perhaps there are enough people in Wisconsin that appreciate not going bankrupt.
...but Scott Walker has the fund-raising advantage...$13 Million raised since January.
Two-thirds of the money was raised from out of state donors...I think it's great that all these people in all these other states have decided to make it rain in Wisconsin for Governor Walker.
(Does anyone else see the problem here?)
You bet.
Interesting article, Da Noid - if you follow one of the links, you get to see who some of Scott Walkers "friends" are. Hmmm..... why do the names Sheldon Adelson and Foster Friess sound so familiar? :)
http://www.jsonline.com/watchdog/dataondemand/137996288.html?appSession=76139847241634
Oh, and this was interesting, too:
"The four Democrats will be easily outspent by Walker, whose $25.3 million
raised was more than 12 times the $2 million raised by all four challengers
combined."
And yet the race is a statistical dead heat. As Mitt Romney could have told Walker, money really can't buy you love.
where do you think all those millions the big unions are blowing is coming from?
wake up liberal hypocrites.
I'm with opajack - I just can't believe the race is that close. I understand there's more than one Dem running, but what don't the people in Wisconsin get? Walker is a pure, out and out crook. If he wins, it will be a major blow to the Democratic Party, and not just in Wisconsin.
That's because you arent from Wisconsin and have no knowledge of the history of any of the characters involved on both sides, nor any insight into the issues that are peculiar to the state. But i think you're right, if he wins, it will be a blow to the democratic party nationwide, but dont worry, somehow it will get spun in the news that it was no big deal.
I wish New Jersey had recall elections. Christie would have been gone a year ago.
Youd appear to be in the minority
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-04-11/christie-s-approval-rating-rises-to-record-in-voter-poll.html
If you really don't like what Christie has done, is doing, and will continue to do, I'd advise you to move to one of those bastions of progressive thinking- Illinois, perhaps, or California, where the weather is better.
Actually, I wish all the progressives would move to those two states. Let them deal with the consequences of their addle pated thinking. A friend of mine just got an hysterical phone call from his daughter, who lives in the Mission district of San Feancisco. For those of you who are unaware, the Mission district is not, exactly, the area of the "1%"; in fact, it is an economically disadvantaged area.
It seems that as part of the May Day celebration, the Occupy idiots crossed the bridge, and doused every car they could with paint. My friend's daughter had just made the last payment on her car.
What a. Nice group of social misfits you people uphold.
Since Christie has taken office, he's laid off many police, firemen and teachers at a time when are economy is strugglng to recover. At the same time he was using the State Police helicopter to go back and forth to his son's baseball games. He cut state funding to the municipalities so all of our property taxes skyrised. He wants to use that money to give yet another tax break to millionaires. His administrator of transportation gave out fat contracts to cut the trees on the parkway as a first step of a program that doesn't have enough funding to go to step 2. He then spent money to put up ugly barbed wire fences to stop "terrorist" but now is going to spend more money to tear them down. And to top it all off, he evacuated 1 million people for a tropical storm. Name one thing good Christie has done for the state of New Jersey.
Jersey Michael: " Name one thing good Christie has done for the state of New Jersey"
Well, for one thing, he's really...umm... stepping up to the plate on that alleged incident of the state troopers escorting all those Lamborghinis and Porsches down the Garden State Parkway and weaving in and out of normal traffic at 110 miles an hour on the taxpayers dime:
"I just shook my head. What are you going to do. It's a completely ridiculous
story. Shouldn't have happened. Dumb thing to do, but let me assure you it's not the last dumb thing we'll see happen,"
Nor, the first, right Governor? Seems the same thing already happened before and Christie's all over it:
"But in a video from the 2010 rally posted to YouTube, the president of the car
dealership, Thomas Heffernan, describes the rally as a charity event and
suggests the State Police were officially involved in the caravan.
We start at the top of the Garden State Parkway and travel approximately 75 miles with state trooper guidance. Then we end up in Red Bank," Heffernan said in the video.
Christie said he had seen the video of the 2010 escort. "Who are those guys,
cackling," the governor said. "One of them saying this is the greatest day of my life. I feel so bad for him."
See? He "feels bad" - that's one good thing, isn't it? :)
http://www.nj.com/news/index.ssf/2012/04/second_state_trooper_suspended.html
[Name one thing good Christie has done for the state of New Jersey.]
In case you are new here, NoJo is a pathalogical liar who frequently leaves out relevent facts in her "stories"...she also cuts and pastes from emails, claiming it as her own. Oh, and she is hooked on dog meat...
My property taxes are down a few dollars for this year. That's one thing. He's forced town governments to stop wasting so much money by getting the cap in place- so if they want to exceed it, they need to go to the voters.
Funny. Most of them find a way to avoid that.
The governor does not lay off teacher, firefighters, or police- the towns do. If your town did, take it up with them. Bring with you a list of expenditures you'd rather have cut. You'd be surprised how many programs in the average town benefit a handful of people- mostly relations of the governing board.
Christie's almost 60% approval rating speaks for itself. You like runaway spending? Good for you. Move to Illinois or California. They need people who are willing to give all their earnings to the state government.
Oh, and Mickey? Still waiting for you to post the supposed email you saw of my post. Keep it up- I report all of your posts to me as inflammatory -
Because they are.
Keep stalking me, mouse. You only make yourself ridiculous.
[Keep it up- I report all of your posts to me as inflammatory -]
Ummm....woof?
There's your cue, liar...
just more blind hate from the left who don't know any better.
I live in New Jersey so it isn't blind hate. Governer Christie has me less safe and has damaged the education system in NJ all the while taking care of himself and his cronies. He has raised my property taxes so he can give another tax break to millionaires. I do know better and we can do a lot better than Christie.
It will really get interesting if a grand jury comes in before the recall. Walker might want to think about packing blankets and extra boxes.
Wouldn't it be great?
Wouldn't it be great if there was no such thing as a liberal fool or better yet, liberal hypocrisy?
Where is Bob from VA? Someone inform him that Willard is his name. Not Mitt, which is his middle name.
I dont get it either? Why is Walker dead even? Walker should not even be concidered! What a crook! I suppose they all are, but this one? What the hell is wrong with you Wisconsiners? Even I thought you were smarter than this? I guess I was wrong?
Christy, well what can one say about that porker? CROOK! That is what the whole GOTP clan are, CROOKS!!! Take every little thing they can, from those who can least afford it, and give it all to the rich. That makes perfect sence to them! And anyone who thinks the GOTP will back them, well, you are a Zombie!
The Dems are going to win alot of positions this year, thanks solely to the party of NO! Had they of worked with this President, instead of against him, this country would be growing economically! The party of hate-oops, NO, must GO!!!
The party of NO must GO!! (Repeat till NOv.)
Obama/biden 2012
just another liberal fool with absolutely no clue on the issues. hate republicans because they are told to.
funny how the want to recall walker, but they are doing the same cuts in liberal illinois
liberal illinois now is implementing scotts plan. he is right.
The unions/democrats will break any company or state that they can. They have no soul. The Union thought process is short-term and very self-serving. A majority of the country is praying for Walker and hope he can survive this witch hunt. Are there more people in Wisconsin who care about the future of the state and their children or are there more government leaches? This is the question..........
the one thing this poll dosnt tell you is most every dem will vote for who ever wins the primary, i want Falk but if barrett wins hes got my vote.. anyone is better than scott walker. aka gov john doe.. the poeple united will never be defeated!!
only in some sick twisted alec, tea party, koch bro's 1%er propaganda smear are unions a bad thing..private or public.. i think what the right fears in unions is simple..MONEY. union employees get paid a fair wage.. they dont want that. they want JOBS, they talk alot about creating jobs,, but the kind of jobs they want for the 99% is the miniumum wage jobs ,& if alec could pass a bill dropping the minimum wage lower i think they would..there voucher programs are more about destroying unions and less about whats best for our children..
by the way illinois knows this thats why they will be following our lead soon & taking to the streets.. you go illinois.. the workers of wisconsin have your back!
Why in the world would anyone vote for Walker? He lost -23,000 jobs when all of the remaining 49 states gained jobs?