First Thoughts: The silly season

We’ve entered the silly season… In fact, there have been three manufactured controversies in the past month (Etch A Sketch, hot mic, and Hilary Rosen)… What yesterday did teach us: It didn’t take much for conservatives to rally to Romney’s side… Team Obama’s not-so-good week… Romney calls Obama “incompetent” after North Korea’s “incompetent” missile launch… Romney addresses NRA at 2:20 pm ET, while Obama gives a speech in Tampa, FL at 1:20 pm ET and sits down for interview with Telemundo before departing to Colombia… Lugar gets Super PAC help… And “Meet” interviews Treasury Secretary Geithner.

*** The silly season: If this first week of the general election has taught us anything, this is going to be a long next six months. It started with the Obama White House and campaign hammering away at the "Buffett Rule," which was more of an effort to embarrass Mitt Romney (and his low effective tax rate) than a realistic policy proposal. And then on Wednesday and Thursday, the Romney campaign seized on comments by Hilary Rosen, a Democratic strategist with thin ties to the White House, who said that Ann Romney has never worked a day in her life. It was a manufactured controversy -- fueled by Twitter and social media -- because no serious political actor in this presidential contest is criticizing stay-at-home moms or the value of the work they do. In fact, Rosen was referring to the Romneys’ wealth, not Ann Romney’s decision to raise her five sons at home. While the two major parties are fundamentally divided (over taxes, entitlements, the role of government, and national security) and while so much is at stake (control of Washington, potentially two Supreme Court justices), we find ourselves smack-dab in the silly season.

*** Three manufactured controversies in the past month: Of course, manufactured controversies are nothing new in American politics. There was Nixon’s famous “Checkers” speech. Even four years ago, political observers were obsessing over Michelle Obama’s patriotism and John McCain’s seven homes. What is new, however, is how much faster and professionalized -- due to Twitter and the drive to make something go viral -- these manufactured controversies have become. Indeed, we’ve now seen three of them in the past 30 days: Etch A Sketch, hot mic, and Hilary Rosen. Now all three were related to a bigger issue or narrative (doubts about Romney’s true beliefs and ideology, conservative suspicions about Obama’s intentions, and a real gender gap in American politics). But, unfortunately, we talk about the manufactured controversy and not the real story here (that a general-election candidate always moves back to the center, that a president’s second term with no more elections on the horizon does give him more flexibility to do certain things, and that women do have real anxieties about the balance between working and raising a family). The fact is, these next few months before the conventions are probably going to be filled with these manufactured “shiny metal object” controversies because of what we noted -- just how professionalized both political parties are at creating them. And some in the media are easily susceptible to helping these manufactured controversies go viral because they are seen as simply “more interesting” than the serious “eat your vegetables”-like issues that divide the two parties.

Steven Senne / AP

Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney speaks with his wife Ann.

*** Rallying around Romney: Yesterday also taught us something else: Conservative elites are going to rally around Romney. They needed just the tiniest spark (Hilary Rosen) and they went into overdrive for Romney. It remains to be seen whether conservatives will stick around the former Massachusetts governor when the going gets tough -- that’s the true definition of a strong base (see African Americans for Obama, evangelical Christians for George W. Bush) -- but the folks in Boston have to be pleased with the past 24 hours. But today will be an interesting when Romney addresses the National Rifle Association’s conference in St. Louis at 2:20 pm ET. After all, it’s been well chronicled that Romney, who only became a “lifetime member” of the NRA in 2006, lacks a natural appeal with gun-rights groups, having supported some gun-control measures in the past. But so far this cycle, he’s avoided awkward missteps like in the ‘08 cycle, when he said (falsely) on Meet the Press that he’d been endorsed by the NRA, claimed to have been “a hunter pretty much all my life,” and the “Varmint” hunter press conference. By the way, expect a lot of anti-Obama chatter out of the NRA convention. While not surprising, do consider this so-called anti-gun president signed one of the largest expansions of rights for gun owners in recent history, allowing loaded guns to be carried in National Parks.

*** Team Obama’s not-so-good week: This was supposed to be a week when the White House and the Obama campaign focused on tax fairness and Mitt Romney’s wealth, punctuated by today’s release of Obama’s and Biden’s tax returns (more on that below). But the last seven days have been rough for Obama. There was last Friday’s disappointing jobs report (which led to a nervousness and recalibration on Wall Street and in the economic community in general), the rallying around Romney (due to Rick Santorum’s exit and the Hilary Rosen flap), and the Romney campaign’s success in manufacturing a distraction (when Romney was having a rough time erasing his gender gap). Even yesterday, one of Obama’s local TV interviews didn’t go so hot, with the RNC clipping this exchange. That said, it shouldn’t be lost that Obama has had a GREAT last three months -- with strong jobs numbers, the divisive GOP primary season, and the GOP’s focus on abortion and contraception. But the last seven days haven’t been as good for Team Obama, and these last 7 days constitute the first REAL week of the general election.

*** Obama campaign to urge Romney to release his tax returns: Speaking of tax returns, the Obamas and Bidens will release theirs today -- with a statement calling on Romney to do the same, the New York Times reports. “While Mr. Obama has long acknowledged being in the nation’s high-income echelon, thanks largely to sales of his best-selling books, he and his wife, Michelle, have paid an effective federal tax rate nearly twice that of Mr. Romney and his wife, Ann, according to tax returns released by both couples. The Obama campaign will post the 2011 tax return for the Obamas, as well as those dating back to 2000, on the campaign’s Web site, an official said. It will also post tax returns for Mr. Biden and his wife, Jill. In January, under intense pressure from his Republican rivals, Mr. Romney released his tax return for 2010, plus an estimate of his tax payment in 2011. But he has not released returns from earlier years, when he was governor of Massachusetts or a financial executive at Bain Capital.” Obama gives a speech in Tampa, FL at 1:20 pm ET and sits down for interview with Telemundo before departing to Colombia.

*** Romney calls Obama “incompetent” after North Korea’s “incompetent” missile launch: Last night, Romney released a statement criticizing Obama for North Korea’s failed missile launch. “President Obama sought to appease the regime with a food-aid deal that proved to be as naïve as it was short-lived. At the same time, he has cut critical U.S. missile defense programs and continues to underfund them. This incompetence from the Obama Administration has emboldened the North Korean regime and undermined the security of the United States and our allies.” Two things jump immediately to mind with this release: 1) Wasn’t the real incompetence was on North Korea’s side due to the failed launch and the nation squandering its chance at food aid? 2) The tone of this statement appears to reinforce a growing perception in serious foreign policy circles that Romney is willing to say anything, no matter how knee-jerk, to try to get an upper hand on these issues. What would Romney do when it comes to North Korea? Isn’t his criticism of Obama on North Korea also a criticism of  Bush’s handling of the country as well?

*** On the GOP trail, per NBC’s Adam Perez: As mentioned above, Romney speaks at the NRA conference in St. Louis at 2:20 pm ET, while Gingrich addresses it at 3:00 pm ET.

*** Veepstakes watch: NBC’s Jamie Novogrod reports on Rob Portman stumping last night for Romney in Pennsylvania: Portman began his academic-feeling speech with a lengthy tip of his hat to Santorum in an effort to nurture a spirit of party unity. But later, Rep. Marsha Blackburn (R-TN), the evening’s keynote speaker, seemed to resist Portman's entreaty, stopping short of rallying would-be Santorum voters behind Romney. “We’re going to have a presumptive nominee for 2012 really soon,” Blackburn said tepidly, per Novogrod.  Blackburn, in fact, did not mention Romney by name during her speech -- and only later, during an on-camera interview with NBC, did she say: “I will support our nominee.  We are moving to having that presumptive nominee, and it’s going to be Gov. Romney from what it appears, and I look forward to supporting the nominee.”

*** Lugar gets Super PAC help: Politico: “After massive ad buys against Indiana Sen. Richard Lugar by national conservative groups like the Club for Growth, the establishment cavalry is coming to his rescue, with the American Action Network launching a nearly $600,000 broadcast buy just in Indianapolis… The ad, called ‘Problems,’ is an ad slamming Lugar's primary opponent, state treasurer Richard Mourdock, accusing him of ‘receiving illegal tax breaks,’ and hitting his ‘failed stewardship’ of his government office, according to a release. The ad, which launches tomorrow on broadcast, will run through May 4. The cost of the flight is $590,000. There will also be a digital ad component, and a limited statewide mail buy, in the AAN campaign.”

*** On “Meet” this Sunday: On Sunday’s “Meet the Press,” NBC’s David Gregory will interview Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner and have a roundtable featuring Hilary Rosen, Michele Bachmann, NBC’s Savannah Guthrie, Harold Ford Jr., and Mike Murphy.

Countdown to the CT, DE, NY, PA, and RI primaries: 12 days
Countdown to Election Day: 208 days

Click here to sign up for First Read emails.
Text FIRST to 622639, to sign up for First Read alerts to your mobile phone.
Check us out on Facebook and also on Twitter. Follow us @chucktodd, @mmurraypolitics, @DomenicoNBC, @brookebrower

Discuss this post

Jump to discussion page: 1 ... 7 8 9

http://video.msnbc.msn.com/up-with-chris-hayes/47053808/#47053808

Video of Mitt Romney in January saying poor women who are at home caring for their children need to be sent to work. I guess the love for stay at home Moms only applies by income level. Ann Romney is rich, thus must be respected for her choice to stay at home. But poor women need not apply for that choice. The Etch a Sketch candidate strikes again.

    Reply#209 - Sun Apr 15, 2012 4:45 PM EDT

    I am pretty sure he was saying that they just may need something more than child raising just like his wife siad and all conservative women say. Isn't what you loser liberals have been saying all along? President Romney even said he would pay for them to get out and expand their experience.

      #209.1 - Mon Apr 16, 2012 9:02 PM EDT

      "President Romney"? LOL! President of what? The Billionaire Boys Club? President of the Etch-a Scetch Circle(jerk)...Okay....

      • 1 vote
      #209.2 - Tue Apr 17, 2012 12:12 PM EDT
      Reply

      Judging by the majority of posts here, it would appear that such diversionary tactics have accomplished their objective.

      The idea is to sufficiently distract the voting public to keep their eye off the ball. What is the ball? Power ... money and power. Keep everyone occupied wit silly partisan infighting, and hopefully almost no one will notice that we are all taking away your living ... your freedoms ... your Liberty, your financial security and the future of your children.

      The Democrats yell that the Republicans are the bad guys. The Republicans scream that the Democrats are the bad guys. Who is right? They both are right. The Democrats do want the Federal Government to control everything .. of course not the Republicans .. well except for the strict 'bible based' morality which they intend to enforce by rule of law. Both will tax us to death, regardless of what they tell you, for how else could it all be paid for? Make no mistake. Whichever bunch runs Washington, they will take more money and more power. They will never stop. You work for them now, not the other way around.You are giving them everything, and they are making you pay for it.

      They will take turns sitting in office and dividing the spoils and keep everyone fighting so long that by the time a sufficient number of the voting public notices, it will be too late to stop it. They are doing an excellent job, too. So which team are you rooting for? .... It does not matter, you are serving their purpose, and ensuring that your children will work for them as serfs, and their children. Just like the good old days. The terrible travesty is, that it may already be too late. I hope not for the sake of all.

        Reply#210 - Sun Apr 15, 2012 7:55 PM EDT

        Oh I'm sorry you conservative morons but I find the war on women the war against contraceptives, abortion and those who want to continue to deny people the right to marry who they want the worse offenders THE DEBT IS A MINOR ISSUE IT IS NOT THE END OF THE WORLD also most of the debt is caused by lack of REVENUE we need to fix our tax code to tax capital gains income as income it should not be treated any differently. Why shouldnt those with over a million dollars not pay a bit more? Does it not make sense to have those who can afford more to pay more? Also WE NEED health care reform the people who benifit from our current system are the insurance companies NOT the people of this country but the companies.

        • 2 votes
        Reply#211 - Sun Apr 15, 2012 10:14 PM EDT

        The war on women exists only in the mind of the liberals. Moderate republicans are not trying to deny women their privilege to what you speak of. Most of us are trying to reach a compromise to supporting something we definitely do not believe in.

        If you liberals want to use Margaret Sanger's (founder of Planned Parenthood) methods of eugenics to reduce the number of poor and disabled persons to a number you all think we can afford then go right ahead. Just don't ask the rest of us to pay for it.

        BTW, how many abortions do you think it will take before you can totally wipe out the poor?

          #211.1 - Mon Apr 16, 2012 9:08 PM EDT
          Reply

          Since Obama took office, it's been the "silly season" - heard a definition for the word PRODIGAL and I thought of Michelle - the definition is "RECKLESSLY EXTRAVAGANT" - FITS DOESN'T IT -

          also just saw a copy of Obama' birth certificate from API (African Press International)

          the paid Obama political bloggers are all over this site ---

            Reply#212 - Mon Apr 16, 2012 12:30 AM EDT

            nperk10195, ya I have to agree that the Republicans have been silly ever since Obama was elected.

              #212.1 - Mon Apr 16, 2012 1:31 AM EDT
              Reply

              Nobody's going to kid me that Mrs. Romney was a hard working housewife that cooked, kept house, washed Mitten's soiled under ware and in the meantime raised her family any more than he was mowing the lawn, raking leaves and pulling weeds in the yard. They had staff to do those things. The biggest decision she had to make each day was which Caddy she was going to drive to the beauty salon and he had to decide which mansion to live in next. And why not, they are rich aren't they? Anything else and they would be more stupid than they sound trying to convince anyone otherwise. Face it, they live in an entirely different world and have a heck of a lot to learn about the trials and tribulations of the average American citizen.

                Reply#213 - Mon Apr 16, 2012 12:46 AM EDT

                Mr. Romney seems to think that an endless barrage of malignant criticism of the President is going to turn the electorate away from the President and toward Mr. Romney. Mr. Romney's incessant bitching and whining is rather unmanly and disappointing from one who would be President

                  Reply#214 - Mon Apr 16, 2012 1:46 AM EDT

                  TOAD: "Manly" is just about the last adjective that comes to mind when thinking of Mittens. This creep was born with a broom up his ass. He reminds of a department store mannequin.

                    #214.1 - Mon Apr 16, 2012 9:30 PM EDT
                    Reply

                    Someone mentioned 'silly' earlier and Romney's about as silly as it can get. A few years ago I actually thought that he may be President someday. Wow, what the heck was I thinking. He's as phony as he's stiff and his wife knows as she said that they should unzip him. Yep, unzip old stiffy. Now I wonder how many lady's are waiting for that.. Well maybe there's hope for him yet as there are rumors of an etch-a-sketch moment but this dude is badly in need of a metamorphosis if he is going to get to first base. I think he could do better but it's just embarrassing to listen to him right now. All he needs now is Bachmann's endorsement.

                      Reply#215 - Mon Apr 16, 2012 4:45 AM EDT

                      All of this makes me just want to subscribe to Netflix or Blockbuster until December.

                        Reply#216 - Mon Apr 16, 2012 9:02 AM EDT
                        Jump to discussion page: 1 ... 7 8 9
                        You're in Easy Mode. If you prefer, you can use XHTML Mode instead.
                        As a new user, you may notice a few temporary content restrictions. Click here for more info.