Michigan Sen. Debbie Stabenow comfortably leads her Republican challenger who ran a racially-charged ad in his campaign, according to the new NBC News/Marist poll released Wednesday.
Stabenow, a two-term incumbent whom Republicans had believed was vulnerable this cycle in the economically-challenged state, leads former Rep. Pete Hoekstra by 21 points among registered voters, according to the new polling data.
If the election between Stabenow and Hoekstra were held today, 53 percent of registered voters said they would elect Stabenow to a third term, while 32 percent would support Hoekstra. Fifteen percent of Michigan voters said they were undecided.
The numbers, while coming at an early point in the campaign, reflect an uphill climb for Hoekstra, whom Republicans had hoped would offer their best shot to unseat Stabenow. A former committee chairman during his time in Congress, Hoekstra had fallen short in his gubernatorial bid in 2010 after losing in the Republican primary. But the GOP's success as a whole statewide that year had stoked optimism about their chances to beat Stabenow, a senior Senate Democrat and chairwoman of the chamber's agriculture committee.
Hoekstra's disadvantage may well reflect a degree of fallout related to an ad run by his campaign in Michigan on Super Bowl Sunday. The Republican candidate took fire for racial overtones in the ad, which depicts an Asian woman speaking in broken English, facetiously thanking Stabenow for spending policies which, the ad contends, help China.
Hoekstra's campaign, which had initially stood by the ad, has now scrubbed it from its YouTube page and has taken down a related website.
NBC News and Marist also tested a Senate matchup in the border state of Arizona. Republican Rep. Jeff Flake, a darling of fiscal conservatives, leads Democratic challenger Richard Carmona, the former U.S. Surgeon General.
Forty-two percent of registered Arizona voters said they would support Flake if the election were held today, versus 29 percent who would vote for Carmona; 28 percent of Arizonans said they were undecided.
Both Flake and Carmona are running to succeed retiring Sen. Jon Kyl, the No. 2 Senate Republican.
The polls of Arizona and Michigan were each conducted Feb. 19-20, The sample of registered voters in Michigan has a 1.8 percent margin of error, and the sample of Arizona registered voters has a 2 percent margin of error.


Yeah! The Michigan voters are not all half baked., they know what is best for them.
Gingerbread Mamma,
Agree !!!
In a new poll just released today, President Obama leads Romney in Michigan by 18 points (51-33) and leads Santorum by 26 points (55-29).
http://decoded.nationaljournal.com/2012/02/romney-in-a-michigan-rut.php
They sure do, right gang.
Yeah, Michigan. Let's see - a state dependent on the auto industry and home to the fine and totally bankrupt city of Detroit.
But it gets better right? Now that gas is headed to $5.00 per gallon we are seeing the fruition of the democrats wishes.
They keep saying we must be weaned off oil, it's dirty and imported from people that hate us. Chu said in '09 we needed to get gas at Europe prices and of course Obama said our energy costs would skyrocket under his leadership.
Oh and they big brained libbies even devised a system to specifically inflate the cost of fossil fuels. You know so all us ignorant clingers would get off the dirty stuff and into some shiny Volts and Karma.
Mission accomplished. Too bad Michigan and everywhere else is going to implode.
Yep, gas is over $4.25 here and it's headed you all's way. I hope you enjoy it as much as we do. And do be sure to thank the dems - they are doing just what they said they wanted.
Hurts, don't it?
But at least you're happy and that's the important part.
Won't hurt half as bad as continuing to sell out to the arabs and clowns like Chavez to get our oil. Guy's like you can't see past their wallet Spanky. Being short sighted is what got us into the mess we're in, not Obama. There are lots of folks that want it all fixed, but only as long as they do not have to contribute themselves. It's never worked that way and isn't likely to start now. Gas should go up, so far up that it becomes worth it to you to retrofit your vehicle to run on natural gas. So far up that it becomes another space race to get natural gas available at every service station in the country. Then we can start walking the talk. We can never fix our economy as long as we keep exporting money to oil producing states. We cannot drill enough here to help ourselves as it just goes out of the country to line someone's pockets. We have to get off of it, and yeah, it's going to hurt. It always does when you wound yourself being greedy.
I would like to thank the Tea Party for endorsing any and every moron they can find. Job well done!
Short sighted?
Huh, well let's see he has dumped a ton of cash into Solyndra, Fisker and other Green projects. I'm sure all that stuffs going to pan out any time now, right?
Funny part is - you know who went all in on the green energy thing-y? Germany.
See if you can guess what they are doing with all that crap now?
But hey, although I do hate paying all the extra money at the pump it is always nice to have less traffic. Sucks for all them poor folk the dems are always talking about, but those are the very people who get wrecked by 'skyrocketing' energy costs, so I assume the dems don't really care about them.
And that's just a shame, right Amused?
Unfortunately, this is the same mind set in Michigan that continues to give us Dingell, Conyers and Levin.
Hate gas prices? Republican governors want to raise gas taxes in some states. The state taxes add to the price we pay at the pump. Where's your outrage?
DCIA- for the record, that plan is being floated in Michigan and I am squarely against it. I will not vote for anyone that signs up for thie bill being proposed.
I think, in the end, Snyder will not sign it. But he's not a politician and isn't worried about being re-elected. So we'll have to see.
With states looking anywhere and everywhere to replace lost revenue, they won't fight too hard to lower gas prices. Which brings up another point...
There are more than 3 times the drilling rigs in operation today than Jan. 2008 and we are producing more oil than we have in the last eight years... so why is gas so high?
Take a look at Brazil and what they have accomplished Spanky, refill your glass of whine and come back and talk to me. We cannot have a conversation if you're going to cherry pick failures. Nothing new ever happens without a few failures first, and yes, those failures cost money. We lost a few moon rockets as well, but now everyone get's to drink Tang and have pens that can write upside down. <humor> You get the just of it. It's not a political thing Spanky,it is a survival thing. The sooner you folks on the the right figure that out, the better of we'll all be, and the closer we come to devising a solution that works for most people. Or not, and we can just keep whining about gas prices and waiting for cheep oil to fall from the sky or something.
King, because all of that new oil was exported. It's one reason why lots of people are not big fans of the KeystoneXL. It is just America providing a way for Canadians to get their oil out to be refined in Europe and South America. There will be little if any gain for the US and lots of risk. These things have to be thought through and "drill baby drill" isn't thinking.
Amused In The Midwest
Wishful thinking on your part in regards to Spanky sitting around long enough. He usually just posts questions and then flies off in search of Amy.
Amused in the Midwest...
Where the heck is that button to fan you? GREAT POST!! (and good humor too)
Amused, yeah I know what's going on with oil being produced here. At least there are Americans being employed. And no amount of drilling or production will change the price of a barrell of oil. I was kinda hoping that Spanky, WCA or one of their type would admit that. Don't know why, know it's never gonna happen. Nicely put in your post. I don't know why someone is so dead set against this country trying something new. I thought that's what we were good at.
Clean up America and vote for anyone other than a Republican.
Obama / Biden 2012
with our new pub gov. destroying our state, it should be a democratic sweep!
Not sure what you mean that Snyder is destroying MI. His approval ratings are on the upswing. He inherited a big mess from decades of Democratic ruin.
Well, Pike Lake, I'll ask you just like I asked White Collar Auto and Jolly, how do you like Synder so far? And has your town and those you voted for been disenfranchised yet? Got your voter id in order?
The GOP finally finds a good tax: on the poor
Joanne Bump, a senior policy analyst with the Michigan League for Human Services has a terrifying new report out titled “Tax Changes Hit Low-Income Families the Hardest”. The report is HERE (pdf) with an Executive Summary HERE (pdf).Last year the Michigan Republicans passed a budget that lowers business taxes by $1.6 billion and increases individual income taxes by $1.4 billion.
http://bloggingformichigan.com/2012/02/03/the-tax-timebomb-that-explodes-in-michigan-in-2012-is-much-worse-than-you-thought/
Snyder and the Republican Legislature have, in one year, put Michigan back on track.
After 8 years of Granholms FAILED leadership, Snyder is the right man for the job.
If Obama would follow Snyders Business friendly agenda, the country would be on the right track.
Sorry Cynthia, you quoted from an opinion piece with suspect numbers.
The State of Michigan does not collect Tax Rates. It collects Dollars and the highest paid continue to carry the burden of the poor decisions of Granholm.
If it weren't for those Higher paid taxpayers, the City of Detroit would have long ago ceased to exist.
Hell, even the Liberal Detroit Free Press is giving the guy his due.
CP, I like Snyder so far, as do a rising amount of people like I said. From the Detroit News last week:
"The state budget is balanced, ahead of schedule. Revenue to the state treasury is rising. More than $5 billion in long-term liabilities have been removed from the state's balance sheet. A new contract with state employees, including UAW members, is being hailed by both sides as fair to public-sector workers and responsible to taxpayers.
The private sector last year created more than 80,000 jobs across the state, 76,000 vacancies remain unfilled and the unemployment rate is dropping. Detroit's automakers and their suppliers are adding jobs, many of them union jobs or high-paying technical ones.
State-based companies are upping the amount of goods and services they purchase from suppliers based in Michigan. Home sales and median prices are rising. And the city of Detroit, despite deepening financial troubles, is becoming a hub for high-tech employment and start-up ventures."
As far as voter ID, I've always showed my driver's license at the voting booth. What is wrong with showing a picture ID to prove you are who you are and are eligible to vote? Michigan gives FREE ID to low-income people and seniors.
Sounds like that state budget was balanced by taxing a whole lot of people, Pike.
What does "more than $5 billion in long-term liabilities removed from state's balance sheet" really mean?
You don't just say abra-cadabra and it's magically gone and creditors repaid or committments honored.
Maybe Michigan
confiscatedsold off a few parks or towns. After all, they do have to pay those city managers they installed....they seem to be "missing" a few judges and police departments, too. And we must have those charter schools to indoctrinate the little ones, too. Smaller government and all, you know.Cynthia, care to back that statement up with any facts?
The liabilities were in the new contracts with state employees.
Similar to the liabilities that General Motors took off their books in the Bankruptcy/Bailouts that you are all so proud of.
Oh, there's more to it than that, WCA. Let's start with this one.
http://www.thenation.com/article/166297/scandal-michigans-emergency-managers
Michigan illegally liquidating community assets. http://maddowblog.msnbc.msn.com/_news/2012/02/13/10398925-the-silencing-of-benton-harbor-michigan
A Democrat, Chris Johnson, scored an unexpected victory in a special election last week in Maine, which gives one hope of a sea change in 2012. I heard pundits try to explain his victory by saying he got an early start, going door to door, talking to voters, but even the Republican he defeated, who was better-known and well-liked, called the election a referendum on the tea party policies currently in sway in Augusta.
http://bangordailynews.com/2012/02/14/news/augusta/democrat-wins-lincoln-county-senate-seat/
Amy - I did so enjoy your comments last Monday [2/13] over at The Hill. You remember about how awesome Obama was and how you'd walk over coals for him?
Man, the people over there sure are different than here, right? You got at least 20 comments every single one asking if you were completely crazy.
Amy dear, best stick to the warm cozy confines of MSNBC.
Can we get rid of Snowe and Collins? Do we have someone good running against Snowe?
Spanky, news flash. Alot of people love Obama. I've never posted on the Hill.
Tommy,
Olympia Snowe may face a challenge from the right in her primary.
She remains extremely popular across the state.
I've heard of two Democrats who may challenge her. (In contrast to the national campaigns, the state one is taking forever to come together.) You can bet I'll keep you informed!
A vote for any republican is a vote to take your rights away.
Republicans in power are passing laws to keep voters from having the right to vote.
Republicans in power are voting to end abortions as if our country was run by a church like Iran.
Republicans in power are forcing women to undergo a procedures equal to rape for their church.
Republicans in power are trying to kill unions.
Republicans in power are trying to make birth control illegal.
Republicans in power are trying to raise taxes on the poor and middle class to pay for tax cuts for the rich like Romney.
Republicans in power want to kill social security and medicare so they can lower taxes on the rich 1%.
Republicans in power are trying to make a miscarriage a murder investigation.
Yes republicans are always trying to take your rights away and then have the nerve to call it freedom.
American First
Yesterday, the Republican-majority legislature in my state revoked the right of workers at the DeCosta egg farm in Maine to unionize. The bill passed strictly along Party lines. Even Republican voters in the state are appalled by this action.
http://bangordailynews.com/2012/02/21/news/state/maine-bill-removes-union-rights-for-egg-workers/?ref=regionstate
Funny thing about raising taxes, my fine libbie friends.
Take a look at what just happened in the UK when they tried to jack up taxes on the rich to 50%.
Too funny.
And of course there are examples here, like in the great state of Illinois and Cali. Totally doomed by out of control pension costs.
So Amy - you better get on trying to 'spike' you pension. apparently that's what all the cool kids do just before they retire.
It's really sad Amy. TeaPeople have to demonize a group that they conclude leans democratic.
I found it astounding that during their CPAC meeting they kept making reference to the NFL, SuperBowl. Those multi-millionnaire union members gave them NO pause!...but for the union workers on main street, oh NO!
You got it GT-######, a big "L" for Liars, Losers!
I know this is way too far in the past for you to bring into your current thinking, Spanky.
But remember when President Clinton raised taxes and we were starting to pay down the deficit. Do you remember how low unemployment was in those days? Raising taxes did not kill our country or jobs in fact we were better off than we had been in years.
The fact of the matter is that raising taxes worked for our country and the republicans are bound and determined to never let that happen again. When the republicans signed a pledge to assist Norquist in his goal of destroying America from within the republicans vowed never to raise taxes again.
Raising taxes saved American and the republicans don't ever want to do that again. As you can see the republicans are no longer interested in jobs they are only interested in overturning Roe v Wade for the church. Good thing a separation of church and state were written in the constitution to prevent such a willful disregard of people's individual rights.
Now if only the republicans believed in the constitution.
Since it's Ash Wednesday, will we see the signs on the foreheads of Santorum or Gingrich?
NOT!
Chilled - Yes! A Big CAPITAL "L"
I wonder how many times during the debate we will hear the name Ronald Reagan? Am guessing 25.
Newt the historian does not live in the present....he only remembers 30+ years ago. Why won't anyone reference Dubya?.........nevermind!
Stabenow leading Hoekstra? How is that possible considering the BRILLIANT ad that Hoekstra ran during the Super Bowl?
Reactionary and racist is mostly limited to the Grand Rapids, Michigan environ. Even there, Republican destruction of GMC and Chrysler would have had grave economic consequences. With a right wing governor and legislature, Michigan has already had the bitter taste of right wing big government and fascist control. In spite of high evangelical influence among conservative Republicans, (West Michigan has two parties, Republican conservatives and Republican right wing radicals) the trend has been to follow Jesus, but ignore what he said and its relevance to political issues. Among some, the Sermon on the Mount in the vernacular would be termed a liberal/communist manifesto.
The Michigan right wing lunatics blew up the Oklahoma city Federal Building, but overall, it is not a red state like the old segregationist, racist, Bible thumping, reactionary, anti-government south. The Hastings Michigan branch of the KKK was more about religious prejudice than racial hatred in its day. Roman Catholics, Mormons, and others had more to fear than blacks. But, Grand Rapids is still the most segregated city, perhaps in the nation.
Polls of "registered voters" show a much better result for Democrats.
Polls of "likely voters" show more realistic numbers. Guess which type of poll good old Obama poodle NBC uses?
"Jeff Flake, a darling of fiscal conservatives"
Stop with the condescending 'darling'! NBC would never call a liberal a 'darling" of Big Government.
Finally, one of the biggest pork Senators (Republican Kyl) in American history will leave Washington.