
Robert F. Bukaty / AP
Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney speaks at a caucus, Saturday, Feb. 11, 2012, in Portland, Maine.
Romney survives over the weekend by winning Maine caucuses and CPAC straw poll… His struggle so far: an “excitement deficit”… Breaking down the 18 different contests over a 15-day period… Paul campaign disputes Romney’s Maine victory… How to judge the White House’s birth-control compromise: If we’re still talking about it this week (and so far today, it isn’t a topic of conversation)… And Obama to discuss his budget at 11:00 am ET in Northern Virginia.
*** Didn’t we almost have it all? Perhaps the best way to view Mitt Romney’s weekend is that he survived. He couldn’t afford to lose the Maine caucuses (and have the storyline exist that he lost four-straight contests). He couldn’t fare poorly in the CPAC straw poll (especially after his “severely conservative” line). And guess what: He won both. They weren’t impressive victories, and they both had their controversies -- a Maine county postponed its caucus, while Rick Santorum accused the Romney camp of rigging the straw poll (but isn’t that exactly what a straw poll is?) But both events showed that they can win, even when it isn’t pretty. And that very well might be the theme of Romney’s entire primary fight: winning ugly. Still, a win is a win…
*** So (not) emotional: On Sunday, the New York Times’ Frank Bruni did a good job of summing up why Romney is struggling, even when he wins: His candidacy has an “excitement deficit.” Bruni writes, “It’s hard to find a single Republican, including those most solidly behind him, who demonstrates true passion for him or can do even a persuasive pantomime of it. They call him effective, not inspirational. They praise his competence, not his charisma. He doesn’t exert any sort of gravitational pull on his party. There’s no full swoon.” He concludes, “Almost all of the presidents elected over recent decades have been propelled by pockets of intense enthusiasm, which can paper over so many specific political predicaments and eclipse tensions with the base. They were saviors before they were disappointments, not disappointments right out of the gate. And almost all of them had something solid — a resonant personal story or an outsize personality or a bold vision — for admirers to latch onto. Romney wafts through a voter’s fingers, a puff of presidential-looking air.”
*** All at once: Looking ahead in the GOP primary race, there will be 18 different contests over a 15-day period. And here’s a good way to score their outcome: If Romney isn’t the guy with the most combined delegates, then we may very well be headed for a brokered convention. Here are 18 contests in 15 days:
Tuesday, Feb. 28: Michigan (primary), Arizona (primary)
Saturday, Mar. 3: Washington (caucus)
Tuesday, Mar. 6: (Super Tuesday): Alaska (caucus), Georgia (primary), Idaho (caucus), Massachusetts (primary), North Dakota (caucus), Ohio (primary), Oklahoma (primary), Tennessee (primary), Vermont (primary), Virginia (primary), Wyoming (caucus)
Saturday, Mar. 10: Kansas (caucus)
Tuesday, Mar. 13: Alabama (primary), Hawaii (caucus), Mississippi (primary)
GOP candidate Rick Santorum says he is focusing on a "two-person race" with Mitt Romney as Sarah Palin is speaking out to question Romney's conservative credentials. NBC's Peter Alexander reports.
*** I want to dance with somebody: Given all of these different contests, here’s an early look where the individual campaigns plan to spend their time. Romney: Arizona on Monday; Michigan on Wednesday and Thursday; Idaho on Friday; and Utah on Saturday. Santorum: Washington state on Monday (same day same-sex marriage gets signed into law in that state); Idaho on Tuesday; and Michigan on Thursday. Gingrich: California (which doesn’t hold its contest until June 5) from Monday through Thursday; and Georgia on Friday. Indeed, don’t lose sight on Gingrich’s disappearing schedule. Gingrich seems to be in a SERIOUS cash crunch given he’s spending his ENTIRE week, basically, fundraising.
*** How will I know (if Romney really won Maine)? What is it with the Republican Party and its caucuses? First was the controversy over the Iowa results -- with the state party saying that Romney came out on top only to later reverse course and declare Santorum the winner. Next was Nevada, which held its caucuses at different times and with one special caucus site forcing participants to sign a legal declaration under the penalty of perjury that they couldn’t attend earlier caucuses because of their religious beliefs. And then on Saturday, one Maine county (Washington County) postponed its caucus -- due to snow -- until Feb. 18, which allowed the Paul campaign to cry foul and make the case it could have won if there hadn’t been a postponement. By the way, Ron Paul still hasn’t won a single contest so far...
*** My love is your love: In Maine (without the results from Washington County), turnout was up slightly (2.6%) from 2008 -- 5,585 people voted this year in the weeklong caucuses, up from 5,446 in 2008. But even though Romney won, that turnout increase appeared driven by Paul supporters. Romney got 23% fewer votes (2,190 votes versus 2,826), and Paul doubled his 2008 showing (1,996 votes, up 100% from 999 in 2008). There's also been a big difference between Romney's turnout in the first four contests and the last four. Overall, the frontrunner's seen a 14% increase in the number of people voting for him this year than in 2008. But in the first four highly contested contests, where Romney and his Super PAC spent millions of dollars in advertising promoting himself and attacking others, Romney's turnout was up 38%. But in the last four, his turnout is down 60%.
*** On the trail: Gingrich holds a Hispanic leadership event in California… Romney is in Arizona, where he attends a get-out-the-vote rally in Mesa… And Santorum holds a rally in Tacoma, WA.
*** It’s not right, but it’s OK: Maybe the best way to judge if the White House’s compromise/accommodation on birth control was a success is if the issue is still a topic of conversation this week. And so far, it isn’t. (However, 42 conservative leaders say they’re opening a “united front to battle Obama” on this issue.) Indeed, it’s doubtful the issue will have any impact on November’s presidential contest. But don’t be surprised if it plays a role in some of the Senate contests, especially in the Midwest (Missouri, Ohio, Wisconsin.). Tough for the cultural wedge issues to stay top of mind in a presidential. But down the ballot? Different story.
*** Same script, different cast: All presidential budgets are political documents, and the one President Obama will unveil today -- in a presidential year -- is no different. The New York Times: “In his budget Mr. Obama again will commit to $4 trillion in deficit reduction over 10 years, including $1.5 trillion in tax revenue from the wealthy and from closing some corporate tax breaks, and reductions in spending for a range of programs, including the military, Medicare, farm subsidies and federal pensions. But Republicans are sure to criticize the president’s proposals as heavy on gimmickry and double-counting, and reject his proposed tax increases. For all the debate over deficits, Mr. Obama on Monday will highlight spending increases and tax cuts that he seeks, which are popular despite their impact on the federal debt.” He will discuss his budget at 11:00 am ET at Northern Virginia Community College in Annandale, VA. Bottom line on this budget: Thanks to some spending caps and other agreements from previous showdowns, this is a document designed for the presidential campaign -- Obama is emphasizing his spending priorities (coupled with some familiar tax policy) hoping to have THAT conversation with swing voters. So where does he start? In a swing state at a community college. This is a page, frankly, ripped from the Clinton playbook of the ‘90s.
Countdown to Super Tuesday: 22 days
Countdown to Election Day: 267 days
Click here to sign up for First Read emails.
Text FIRST to 622639, to sign up for First Read alerts to your mobile phone.
Check us out on Facebook and also on Twitter. Follow us @chucktodd, @mmurraypolitics, @DomenicoNBC, @brookebrower


After loosing his senate position Rick Santorum earned millions of dollars including payments from a lobbying firm, an energy company engaged in controversial practice which pollutes ground water and endangers the public and a hospital conglomerate that was sued for allegedly defrauding the federal government. Santorum was a board of director for Universal Health Services which illegally billed the federal government. UHS paid $27.5 million dollars to settle the suite. Innocent children of a Pennsylvania public school district were deprived of valuable school funds when Santorum refused to pay the $100,000 education bill he owned to the school district. Watch the youtube video type in Rick Santorum Who is he Walmart. "Rick Santorum Who Is He" and The Santorum Connection.
@US Honor I am not a fan of Santorum but I bet he knows the difference between "loosing" and "losing".
ksw...spelling ???? Really !!! I thenk ther ar mor impotent things thean smelchek.....CARP !!!
Just when I think this cant get any funnier......it does!
I was just watching Sarah Palin on the Today Show. You know, I believe that she is a genuinely nasty person. Throughout my career I have been taught how to be successful. I have been taught habits that will make me more effective. She knows none of it - and sadly her audience is as nasty as she is.
I don't often say this about someone, but Sarah Palin is one horrible person.
But non the less very dangerous.
She isn't a very nasty person at all. Of course the people on the left think anyone is nasty if they disagree with them. So much for tolerance.
GVC - No kidding Sister Sarah is horrible? Yep she is
The GOP is about to grasp defeat from the certain jaws of victory. Romney is the only candidate who can win the support of independents. Santorum’s evangelical following may excite a few Republicans but will never have enough support to win. There are not enough registered aliens in outer space to elect Newt or Ron Paul. We need someone with executive and business experience to fix the mess our country is in. The true conservative and our only hope to unseat Obama, which is our ultimate goal is Mitt. Here’s an example of his ‘take charge’ leadership and integrity: http://www.snopes.com/politics/romney/search.asp
If beating Obama isn’t enough to excite the base, then prepare to hand him 4 more years.
backfire---The American are never going to elect a person who tried to hide money in off shore banks along side Dictators and Criminal Leaders.
Yes we will! Paxil is the word of the day!
The happiest guy in the country right now has got to be G. W. Bush. Compared to this group he looks intelligent, principled, dignified, and presidential. Who would've believed it.
Ron--I ll accept presidential
Romney is still claiming that he will "turn the economy around". That, as of nearly two years ago, means reversing the recovery. So far Republicans have been content to bury traditional jobs legislation and keep unemployment higher and slower to improve.
In November, Republicans should be laid off by the voters so they can experience the same conditions as their constituents. Of course, they would leave office with full wallets and government pensions. It is a good time to cut costs for pensions when politicians are so incredibly unproductive. Paying them for not working is the opposite treatment they want to give unemployed citizens.
From CPAC:
A liberal, a moderate, a conservative, and a right winger walk into a bar. The bartender looks up and says, "Hi, Mitt".
hey, romney wins in maine as he won in iowa???? the gop has some pi..ed off voters who aren't going to be counted?
5000 people voted? out of a population of 3.5 million?
well, if you can't win it, you have to buy it!
Seems to me President Obama won the contraseption argument. The only ones keeping the story alive is the media and loud mouthed Republican pundits. The important thing here is woman can have access to birth control if they want it. We had better be careful though, the republicans will do anything and ever thing to buy, cheat, and steal there way into the white house and then our bedrooms.
I personally dont care to know what goes on in your bedroom. I however do not want to pay for your birth control.
They are prolific with their propaganda but words are cheap and without guarantees; only actions clearly indicate their real identity, loyalty and commitment. For the last twelve years the Republican Party has made their total loyalty to “the few” (1%), and their real identity as “puppets” for the influential, powerful and extremely wealthy, who strongly support them and who “pull their strings”, and their stubborn commitment to their political ambitions above all else, no matter what the cost to the majority (99%), crystal clear. Bush-Cheney proved beyond any doubt that the “trickle down” theory is a total fraud only making the wealthy wealthier and soliciting political support. Throughout that process and ever since the Republican / Tea Party has arrogantly demonstrated their total fixation on their political goals, obnoxiously without conscience or any responsible concern, by always faulting and blocking any real efforts and belligerently withholding all bipartisan cooperation, with their self-serving full intention to continue the problems and to gain political advantage. They even have aggressively coerced and intimidated their own to assure complete unity and to effectively squelch individual consciences. With their abundant funds, including but not limited to the SuperPacs, they seek to scare, intimidate and to appeal to people’s biases, prejudices, loyalties and emotions, using words like “socialism”, “liberal”, “big government” and “deficit” as negatives and words like “conservative”, “constitutional” and “small government” as positives ... but the history of their actions shows only a performance that concentrates on their interests and those interests of “the few”.
It has been said that the current Republican Party, with their being totally owned and controlled by “the money”, is completely incapable of ever responsibly governing. It would seem that their actions over the last twelve years have done nothing but substantiate that and their propaganda as being empty and totally misleading. While there is merit in cutting government spending, reducing the deficit and achieving “smaller government”, those things won’t solve the existing problems as they didn’t cause the problems ... rather all of the problems were created in the repeated exploitation by the advantaged few, encouraged by a co-responsible permissive government that takes care of “the few” who provide the money, power and influence to buy and control those “puppet” politicians. To ever return to “more of the same”, Bush-Cheney style, would be to continue that mentality and the drastic costs to the majority.
The guy wins two and still gets beatup by Obama supporters in the press!! I hope you all get the bigot, Santourm, as your President!!
Are you appealing to Santorums bigots?
ROMNEY .......AN "OUTSIDER" ???????????????????
What Romney meant to say was....
"While the American economy continued the Bush slide, while we were fighting two unfunded wars, and while our debt and our deficit continued to climb, putting America in peril, MY MONEY was outside the country in banks in Switzerland and the Bahamas. That's why I consider myself an outsider."
Ya really...He is SEVERELY Mitt !!!!
Ronewt Romtorum...there..they all get to be the nominee....
I don't know why progressives shy away from the term "class warfare." The 1% declared war on me about 20 years ago, and Mitt and his ilk have had their hands in my pocket ever since. I hope we're at war, 'ause I want some reparations. I want my money back.
sign me up !!!
A study of our history shows that this has been going on since the beginning of the republic. Mark Twain said, "There once was a politician who kept his hands in his own pockets, but that was long ago and in some foreign country."
Doesn't make it right, but it does make it old.
If the Catholic Bishops really want to ban birth control they can start in Italy where the Holy Father holds sway and leave American women alone.
If birth control were banned in America tomorrow there would be rioting in the streets.
yeah where was the church when the priests were raping the altar boys...funny how they get a voice when they want to spew about women
I thought the GOP was focusing on jobs and the debt? Why are they harping on nonsense like birth control and abortion? The overwhelming majority of American women use some form of birth control. That's not going to change. The right to choose is a settled issue. Most people do not want to make it illegal. I'm sick of these non-issues being trumpeted by far-right politicians.
Their playing wackamole with Obama....Its all they got !!!!!
Thats why they will loose, they can't stay on subject. They really have nothing else to talk about. They cant talk about defence, this President got American enemy #1. They can't talk about jobs, a lot of american jobs are coming home. They can't talk about the economy, things are getting better everyday. They really have no place else to go. The right wing are not creative enough to have an agenda, not this bunch anyway...thats sad....really, really sad.
Its official in Washington State !!!!! Gay people can be happy too !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Mitt has a long hard row to hoe. He has huge advantages in Arizona and Michigan. Yet, you get that feeling that if he wins, he'll barely shave by Santorum. If he falters in Michigan, it is very likely he won't be the nominee. A loss in his native state with a huge advantage in money and organization means that he is just too weak to limp home. Also, I find Amy's comments on the first page very important. The media was all over Al Gore's "disconnect." But Al seems all warm and fuzzy compared to Mitt. And Al seems much smarter (or at least much more content driven). Santorum believes rape victims should toughen up and bear the child, dislikes contraception and hates gays. But that is not a problem for the tiny Republican primary electorate. He's their type of guy.
If Mitt loses in Michigan,Sarah Palin will be the GOP nominee....
maybe she can see russia from there too!!!! GOD i wish she would just go away and fade into the last frontier up there
Go ahead, Dummies, elect the Mexican corporate puppet or one of the other corporate puppets! IF YOU THINK YOUR GAS PRICES ARE HIGH NOW, JUST WAIT! The oil corporate thieves will double the cost if one of their puppets get in! Wake up, American People of the United States! Aren't you tired of being lead to bread crumbs for you and your families? IT'S TIME FOR CHANGE, AND THAT TIME IS NOW!! NOT LATER, BUT RIGHT NOW!! CORPORATES, IT'S TIME TO GIVE BACK TO THE AMERICAN PEOPLE! We made you successful, NOW IT'S YOUR TURN TO GIVE BACK!!! ENOUGH IS ENOUGH!!
I really hope the Republicans make the contraception issue a "major crusade" - it will be the final nail in their coffin. Are they really that stupid? I agree with the comment that Obama is helping them paint themselves in to a corner. I wouldn't be surprised if this whole contraception controversy turns out to be a brilliant exercise the President skillfully planned. First, he takes the stand that all women should be able to get birth control, regardless of their employer's religion and then finds a way to appease the Catholic church while maintaining women's rights and shows his ability to compromise. Not willing to give Obama any credit for doing what's fair, they now get themselves in a frenzy and want to launch a "major crusade" (to benefit whom, exactly?). This will only blow up in their faces - intelligent people will see this for what it is and will vote accordingly. With each passing day, the Republicans are self inflicting mortal wounds on themselves, and it seems (incredibly) the only one of them that realizes this is Palin!
PALIN/HANK Jr. 2012 !!!!!! Haaaaaaaaaaa!!!!!!!!!!!!
lmao.....good joke
lets see, he won? less than 5000 people voted and this is a "win"? i have no clue what is in the kool-aid the GOP is drinking but if the bozos they have running are the best they got......and it appears it is since the other bozos-boehner, cantor and mcconnell are stuck in washington.
these bunch of losers are just that....romney rated 47th for creating jobs when he was gov'r of Mass, Santorum is as corrupt as they come (read read read) and Newt, well it's just a matter of time before wife 3 will be booted for a younger model......
and i have a front row seat to this comedy!
Rather than more negative ads, romney should transform himself and reappear to the far right of santorum. For instance, santorum has 7 kids and wants the population of the planet to approach 300B in 80 years up from 7B today. Romney needs 25 kids like bachman.
A moderate, a liberal, and a conservative walked into a bar.
The bartender said, "Hi Mitt!"
I'd like to take a moment to thank Dan Savage and his definition of "santorum". How can you read a headline like "Santorum surges and now ties Mitt" without thinking....EEWWWW!!!!! YUCK!!!!
If I ever read "Santorum Squeeks Out a Victory" I'm just going to cry.......
The headlines and the subheads of this article are in VERY poor taste, given the news of Whitney Houston and the content of this article. I am very disappointed in MSNBC for this tacky "tribute", if it is even meant to be that.
THIS IS MY FIRST AND PROBABLY LAST ENTRY ON ANY FORUM LIKE THIS.
Lets see; if I am a social moderate (I believe we all have to pitch in and help those people who cannot help themselves- but NOT those people who will not help themselves!, and I know that is a hard line to draw, but I am willing to yield on doing so), then I am accused by the right as being socialistic, and by the left as being racist and guilty of class warfare.
If I am a fiscal conservative that believes we should never spend more than we have, and SHOULD spend marginally less than we have, then I am called by the left as a heartless and cruel person with no sensitivity to the needs of others, and by the right as being to pragmatic (aka John Paul)--that we should spend more on our military so we can prop up regimes around the world.
If I believe there is little the government can do for me that I cannot do better myself, I am labeled as a capitalist pig by the OWS group, yet if I simply ask the goverment to enforce the immigration laws we have already on the books, I am labled as being soft on illegals or too hard on illegals depending on who is listening.
It seems in these days of extremes, it is truly difficult to be a moderate in anything and not be pilloried by both the left and right---well I am tired of this, as I believe the large majority of our political "middle" is, and I see no candidate from the Republicans and certainly no candidate named President Obama who seems to care about me and others like me.
Makes me want to pick and leave--Australia and New Zealand look pretty good to me, because neither the Democratic leaders, NOR the Republican leaders have the moral courage to actually do something about the unsustainble situation we are in now--it is just going to get worse!
Or, like me you could become a militant moderate.
Aw Hawkeye - as an ex-pat you will not be happy in Australia - too many poisonous creatures that kill - however New Zealand has NONE
Try Costa Rica - can get your teeth done almost free - yet big drug cartels invading
Ya know Hawkeye you can run but you can't hide - "This land is your land"