A race for the GOP presidential nomination that had seemed headed toward a quick conclusion just a week ago now seems more headed toward a protracted and expensive competition, thanks to Newt Gingrich's victory in Saturday's South Carolina primary.
Republicans in the Palmetto State dispatched the possibility of any tidy resolution to the primary campaign by handlng the former House speaker a 12-point victory over Mitt Romney, the former Massachusetts governor who had hoped to wrap up the nomination.
The candidates are now focused on Florida, which hosts a primary closed to Republican voters only on Jan. 31; the winner is awarded all of the Sunshine State’s delegates, but will also assume a degree of momentum from winning such a large contest in an important swing state.
"That’s the case you have to make in this contest – that you’re strong enough to compete in all of the states," said Kevin Madden, an adviser to the Romney campaign.
The contest in Florida is already shaping up to be an especially pointed one between Romney and Gingrich, the two of whom are already taking shots at each other at campaign events. They’ll confront each other directly at Monday evening’s NBC News/National Journal debate.
“What we know is that 75 percent of the party has consistently not wanted Mitt Romney,” said Rick Tyler, a former spokesman for Gingrich who now helps run a super PAC aiding the former speaker. “Here in Florida, because Rick Santorum has essentially collapsed and Ron Paul is not competing, it's essentially a two-way contest. All I need to do is align Newt Gingrich with that 75 percent and Mitt Romney with Charlie Crist.”
The Romney campaign had treated Florida as a firewall even before losing the South Carolina primary. Almost 200,000 early and absentee ballots, which are expected to favor Romney, have been cast. And the state favors organization and money, the latter of which the Romney campaign has, as evidenced by a $2.3 million broadcast buy made this week.
The dynamics of the Florida campaign could allow Gingrich, though, to rally dissatisfied conservatives behind his candidacy and ride momentum from South Carolina – where his candidacy was resurrected for the second time this cycle – to compete and even win in Florida.
Tyler said that he expects Gingrich to win Florida, but asserted victory there wasn’t critical to the ex-speaker’s hopes of winning the nomination.
That’s because of the way this year’s primary calendar is set up.
Beyond Florida, the campaign also enters relatively dormant phase with several smaller caucuses and primaries through early March, mostly in states advantageous to Romney.
Nevada, a state where Romney has previously campaigned and which has a sizable Mormon population, hosts its caucus on Feb. 4, and Colorado and Minnesota host subsequent caucuses on Feb. 7.
Those are the only contests until the end of the month, when Arizona and Michigan host primaries on Feb. 28. Romney has an advantage in Michigan, where he was raised and where his father served as governor. Washington state also hosts a March 3 caucus.
Texas Rep. Ron Paul is also concentrating his efforts on winning some of these caucuses, where his enthusiastic supporters typically play an outsized role in similar contests.
That means Gingrich’s next big opportunity could come on March 6, this year’s “Super Tuesday,” when 10 states hold their contests – putting a number of delegates in play. It’s the results from those contests which could provide the best glimpse of how long the primary campaign will last, and whether Romney or Gingrich can finally score a decisive knockout blow.
“I think it's very important,” Tyler said of March 6. “But I think if Newt performs well in Florida, he'll do very well on Super Tuesday.”
The 10 contests on that day could favor Gingrich, since a number of them are in southern or more conservative states whose voters might be more inclined to support him. Gingrich won't be on the ballot in one of the states, Virginia, where he failed to qualify.
For its part, the Romney campaign has always stressed the primacy of winning delegates, and has prepared for the possibility of a drawn-out primary against a conservative challenger.
“The campaign was built for a very competitive primary contest,” Madden said. “I think we’re prepared to go all the way.”


Newty forgot 2 mention he's a KKK member and Sen's Paul and Santorum havent found out yet they are a third party cause they work for the KKK(GOP is snitching by AUG.)
Have you ever considered kool-aid rehab??
You ever consider learning getting 5 senses and an education? Why did you think the GOP congress left after the inaguration and sent Sen McCain & Gov Palin to KKK HQ Evansville,KY in 2/2010? To activate the Tea Party.
yes please, funniest stuff going. whats a disgrace, is that this is the best they can do.
Hey lefties ..... it must be embarrasing when the goalie of the Boston Bruins didn't show up for your PR campaign with the champion Bruins. As a middle class American from Flint, MI ... he wasn't happy with your crap and lies, so he decided to forgo your invitation to the Whitehouse and stay home!!! And since your public approval rating is at a historic low .... how many people have to snub you before you understand that most people in the US really can't stand you??? OUCH!
TT is a GOP constituent, not a Third Party/KKK one?
Why should the dims care they are probrably at some $50,000 a plate wall street fundraiser right about now.
If you don't even know the goalies name why should anyone care and who are the Boston Bruins????
Santorum says there are Jihadists in Cuba ready to attack us if we legalize cigars and lift trade barriers. LOL.
What a Maroon.
This GOP race will not go on much longer, Romney will accept Obama's offer to be his running mate when he unloads the other fool.
Romnie says Obama failed in Afghanistan.??? What?
All this time I thought Obama put more boots on the ground there than Bush Baby and Halliburton ever did or even proposed since they were otherwise occupied in Iraq!!
i am a non-poliical republican. basically i am for increased taxes on the wealthy, a overhaul of the immigration policies of the nation, for example register all undocumented persons with the SSA and they pay taxes including fica and medicare and their employers the same; that would alleviate the financial short falls of SS and Medicare; limit all senators to two terms and reps to four. this would do away with, for the most part, professional politicians. expand the military to avoid calling up reservists and national guard to support active duty troops. a survey has shown that most of the casualties in Iraq and Afghanistan were reserve or guard called up to fill out the regular army units. a natioal energy policy to include neuclear, oil sand and shale, Alaaska oil reserves, deep water drilling in the gulf, and investing in wind, solar and other alternative form of energy. none of the candidates have ever brooched any of these topics.
It would make more sense to have gov't jobs along with private sector jobs to help lower the unemployment rate. If the GOP shrinks to a smaller gov't, that would put more public employee's without a job and make it more difficult to get a private sector job because now there are more individuals all fighting for the small percentage of private sector jobs that are available now. It does not make sense when the GOP's say we need to shrink our gov't because that just increases the unemployment rate because they will be cutting gov't employees out of their jobs. These Republican candidates are thinking backwards. They should stop talking about shrinking the Gov't and just focus on creating even more private sector jobs. The Florida crowd represents the real general US population because the audience seemed really bored with these GOP candidates. The other states these candidates ran debates in were slow country bumpkin's who are out of touch with the rest of the country. Florida is the land of the latino vote and they are not going for any of these GOP immigration policies.
Gary f and Laron,
Your comments came too late tonight, good as they were. Try posting again tomorrow, when the Vine is awake again!
Prolonged battle? I don't think so. It's Romney all the way. It always has been. If Gingrich had won Florida, there might have a been a battle. Now, it's over, as it should be.
Gingrich and Santorum are from the lunatic fringe and could never be elected. Gingrich has never even won a statewide office :) What a laugh! You can probably find a picture of Gingrich in some dictionary under the word 'crackpot'.
So it's Mr. Wall Street all the way, until he goes down in November. It would be nice if the electorate would hand the GOP a landslide defeat, but timidity will prevent it. The current GOP is based on lies and mindless militarism, Eight years of that pathology put us in a huge hole. Let's not do it again!