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Subscribe to RSSWith about four weeks until the first Republican presidential nominating contest, former House Speaker Newt Gingrich has surged to the lead in Iowa and has climbed nearly 20 percentage points in New Hampshire since October, according to new NBC News-Marist polls.
Meanwhile, former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney has seen his support drop in both states.
In Iowa, which holds its caucuses on Jan. 3, Gingrich gets the support of 26 percent of likely caucus-goers (including those leaning towards a candidate) -- a 21-point jump since October.
Read the NBC News-Marist poll Iowa Annotated Questionnaire
He’s followed by Romney at 18 percent (an eight-point decline), Texas Rep. Ron Paul at 17 percent (a five-point increase), Herman Cain at 9 percent (an 11-point drop) and Texas Gov. Rick Perry at 9 percent (a two-point dip). No other Republican presidential candidate gets more than 5 percent support among likely caucus-goers.
With Cain’s decision to suspend his campaign -- which he announced on Saturday -- a reallocation of his supporters’ second-choice picks puts Gingrich ahead of the Iowa horse race with 28 percent; Paul and Romney are tied at 19 percent; and Perry lands at 10 percent. (The NBC-Marist polls were conducted before Cain suspended his campaign.)
Among all Republican respondents in Iowa, the breakdown is Gingrich with 25 percent, Romney at 18 percent and Paul at 16 percent.
Romney still leads in New Hampshire
In New Hampshire, which holds its primary on Jan. 10, Romney continues to lead, getting the support of 39 percent of likely GOP primary voters. But that’s a six-point decline since October.
Romney is followed in the Granite State by Gingrich at 23 percent (a 19-point gain), Paul at 16 percent (a three-point increase), and former Utah Gov. Huntsman at 9 percent (a four-point jump). No other Republican candidate gets more than 3 percent support.
Read the NBC News-Marist poll New Hampshire Annotated Questionnaire
The decision by Cain -- who is at 2 percent support in New Hampshire -- to suspend his campaign doesn’t change the race there all that much: Romney stays at 39 percent, while Gingrich moves one point to 24 percent.
Among all New Hampshire Republicans, the breakdown is Romney with 40 percent, Gingrich with 21 percent, Paul with 16 percent, and Huntsman at 10 percent.
What’s hurting Romney
What appears to be hurting Romney: perceptions of his ideology and his record as Massachusetts governor.
A combined 71 percent of likely Republican caucus-goers in Iowa, as well as a combined 71 percent of likely GOP primary voters in New Hampshire, view Romney as either “moderate” or “liberal.”
Among Iowa Republicans identifying with the Tea Party -- who make up about half of all likely caucus-goers -- Gingrich leads Romney, 32 percent to 11 percent. And among Tea Party Republicans in New Hampshire, Gingrich and Romney are tied at 33 percent each.
What’s more, 63 percent of likely Iowa caucus-goers and 60 percent of likely New Hampshire primary voters say it’s unacceptable if a presidential candidate supports an individual health-care mandate (as Romney helped enact in Massachusetts).
By comparison, 47 percent of likely Iowa caucus-goers and 41 percent of likely New Hampshire primary voters say it’s unacceptable if a candidate favors some sort of limited legalization -- or “amnesty” -- for illegal immigrants living in the United States (as Gingrich has suggested he supports).
Measuring Obama
Turning to the general election in Iowa and New Hampshire, President Barack Obama’s approval rating remains underwater in both states.
Forty-three percent of registered voters in Iowa approve of his job performance, which is up one point from October. In New Hampshire, 40 percent of registered voters approve of his job performance, up two points.
Yet -- with one exception -- he leads all GOP challengers in hypothetical match-ups in the Hawkeye State. He’s ahead of Romney by seven points among registered voters (46 percent to 39 percent), Gingrich by 10 points (47 percent to 37 percent) and Perry by 11 points (48 percent to 37 percent).
The one exception: Paul ties him at 42 percent for each.
In New Hampshire, Romney leads Obama by three points (46 percent to 43 percent), although that’s down from Romney’s nine-point advantage in October.
But Obama leads all other Republicans in the state -- Paul (by two points), Gingrich (by 10) and Perry (by 15).
The Iowa NBC-Marist survey was conducted Nov. 27-29 of 2,896 registered voters (margin of error of plus-minus 1.8 percentage points) 916 Republicans (plus-minus 3.2 percentage points) and 425 likely GOP caucus-goers (plus-minus 4.8 percentage points.
The New Hampshire poll was conducted Nov. 28-30 of 2,263 registered voters (plus-minus 2.1 percentage points), 967 total Republicans (plus-minus 3.2 percentage points) and 696 likely GOP primary voters (plus-minus 3.7 percentage points).
Mark Murray covers politics for NBC News.
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Cmon people. Newt is a good guy BUT he is part of the problem. Sure he sounds good and is a very very smart historian but look at what he has done and said in his past comments in his career and he is NO diffrent from the ones that R in there right now. There has to be someone that can lead us into victory. I have watched Newt and he does one thing and says another. Could he be a counterfit Conservative. Everyone needs to look deep into Mr Gingrich..I will not be duked this time around because we can NOT afford it...We are looing at ALL candidates still he not made up our minds who to support..++++++++++ Newt was fr the TARP bnk bailouts before he was against them sound like something you heard before..Heck I like Newt but just can not support him right now. Look hard at his record NOT by the words he uses.
I am truly amazed at the support for Obama. Would you let the kid working at Mc Donald's run this country? That is exactly what you Obama supporters have done. You ordered a quarter pounder with cheese and fries; but instead got the kids meal by mistake. I would also remind you that your Democratic congress took control in 2006; where by shortly thereafter you started to see the downfall of the American Economy. The same Democratic congress that allowed Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac make bad home loans to those who could not afford them. The same Democratic Congress after the Bailouts; still allowed Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to continue to make those same bad loans. You or I can't just go out and print money; but this administration had done it many times over; and we are paying for it with high unemployment numbers and No Recovery. The real number for those unemployed stands at 16%; not the 8.7% who are filing. You see there are many out there who have given up looking and also those thrown out of the roles of the unemployed; because they have exhausted their 99 weeks of unemployment. All I can tell you is that I had a job under every Republican President since Richard Nixon. I was Unemployed once under Jimmy Carter and now under Barrack Obama. In both cases you Democrats ran some unknown with no experience of running anything let alone our Great Nation. You can have your Barney Franks; Nancy Pelosis; Harry Rieds; Joe Bidens; and Barrack Obamas. I will stick with those who support and defend the Constitution.
Stop blaming others for your job loss, if you were not such a lazy Republican supporter, you would be able to start your own company employing hundreds of your kind! LOL BTW, you might benefit by going back over that history you promote.
Uninformed Right-wing tactics:
1) Hyperbole. Lots of use of the words "always" and "never."
2) It's all President Obama's fault.
3) Rinse & repeat.
Angry, call your doc. I think your meds need adjusting.
Sorry veteran ... you're lost in a world of fantasy thinking.
President Obama is a former United States Senator, a university professor specializing in constitutional law, and a respected community advocate in his own home district. He's the most respectable, morally upright person to be President in many, many years.
angry veteran- I've been saying the same thing since 2008 when I questioned why people would hire a pool boy to fix their roof (of course I got called a racist for it though I still don't understand why) I like your McDonald's analogy better (it'll keep you from getting called a racist....maybe?)
Oh, but Porter, you miss the entire point! He is BLACK! And we all know they are of lesser intelligence! (I hope you get the sarcasm)
Sorry, SGFwhatever, you have not evolved past the racism yet, keep trying.
It doesn't matter, Obama will win against anyone. There is no other candidate out there that's going to give us the 1%'s money... and I, for one, could really use it.
I've got rent, car payment, utilities, credit card bills, and on and on... The 1%ers stole that money with their tricky wall street stuff that no one understands, and by advertising things I want, but can't afford, so I had no chaice but to borrow money to get it... I need My President, to take their ill gotten gains away from them and give it to all the people like me who could really use it.
Vote Obama - vote for freedom from the oppressors who have forced you to borrow more then you can afford to repay... Together we can take down all those wealthy corporations and the landowners and the lawyers and everyone else who has too much money for that matter!!!
Either this post is out of control tongue-in-cheek, or you my son are truly crazy.
You mispelled your name. It should be "Disgusting Conservative".
Bart is right on target. The 1% are getting richer and richer on the backs of stupid poor people. Obama's main failure was his failure to put politics first so he could actually pass the laws that would benefit us all. (Well ... all except the 1%. And even they would benefit from a stronger, better country to live in.)
The real point is HOW they got to be in the 1% in the first place. The rich are not paying the poor in a way that is equal to their contribution in generating that wealth. And that is why the poor are getting poorer and the economy is not rebounding. PLAIN AND SIMPLE!
Why should we expect the billionaires to voluntarily become just plain old multimillionaires just because they got caught with their dirty little fists in the cash drawer? Take them out behind the barn and give them the punishment they deserve! Take their blood money away from them and make them hammer rocks for the rest of their lives. To many Americans, greed has become OK and must be put back into perspective.
The rumor has been promoted that we are losing our freedom, the reality is that the ultra wealthy are afraid they will lose their freedom to steal.
Newt? Are you kidding me. The "Right" went bonkers on Mr. Bill's moral indiscretons. Now they want to back a guy with tons of immoral baggage: an affair with one of his students, later marrying her; leaving cancer-striken wife II on her deathbed; now a third marriage to a young campaign worker. He says he make $60K per speech because he's a celebrity, not because former Speaker of the House and can peddle favors. The guy is a newt and slimey, stinky salamander. I'm no fan of Obama, but I must point out to you Right-wing Moralists that Newt is NOT what your moral compasses should ppoint too. Find a better choice, please.
Americans today, now have their backs to the wall, WE THE PEOPLE, need a change from the
atypical two party paradigm that has besieged Washington
since the inception of The Federal Reserve System, in 1913. Clearly, Ron Paul
will be the Next President.
Simply and honestly,
Dr. Paul is simply reminding us of our God given rights
that we were born with as Human Beings,
hence thereby requiring from our virtues within each of our souls, prudent
clarity, and focus in our logic, by:
the size of over bloated government,,
the rancid pork barrel infestation of lobbying for political favors within the beltway,
an over 5 billion dollar a year activity.
our global military presence (and the exorbitant billions of spending that
go with it),
constitutional redressing of States rights.
return of the gold and silver backed dollar.
elimination of worthless printing of
the present inflated fiat Federal Reserve Currency.
the illegal presence of the neither Federal , which there are no reserves,
because they print currency out of thin air then bill the taxpayer for it,
to END THE FEDERAL RESERVE BANK !!!
Now we have a serial adulterer. Don't the Republicans have anything better? The fact that Newt married them and bought then pricey jewels changes nothing. He has the moral character of a stray dog.
Yes we need a moral president like Kennedy or Clinton!!
Who, at least, remained married to the same woman.
Remember the Newt-tron bomb? It obliterated all the people but left the buildings and infrastructure intact.
He needs to remember that as he sells out to those corporation who will back him because they can count on their investment paying off...............those corporations still need people to market to.
This country can not survive 4 more years of the clown called Obama. He is not experienced, not a leader, and is self serving.
Newt in 2012 the only one who has the experience to run this country and to put it above the 3rd world status that Osama Obama put us in. No more Obama.
If you do not vote then shut up the rest of us will choose for you.
just bob - Give us some facts, not "FOX facts" on your socilaist view of the current president. I agree that Newt is the experienced insider that the GOP wants, but would not be the tea partys choice, so will the tea party vote for Newt? Not likely.
Bob, where did you find that information? For almost a year, which party has control of the house? Who has the check book for the govt? It's the HOUSE, and it's controlled by tea baggers. Now who is spending all that money, and with who's approval?
The only experience Newt has is to cheat on wife's, how many wives did he cheat on. Hey, Clinton, Edwards, Kennedy and yes, Ronnie Raygun only cheated on one wife. Same as Cain, and the ex governor of South Carolina, who was out walking on the Appalachian trail.
Too bad those wives didn't have a tube of super glue handy, and used the whole tube on them. Wake up women, your hubby cheats, the dollar store sells super glue.
If there is anything President Obama is, it's not "self serving". President Obama has sacrificed his popularity with his own "base" by putting the interest of the country first and short-term politics last.
(Exactly the opposite of Republicans, and most Democrats too, in Congress.)
The American
people had best wake up when it comes to voting in their reps. This is a
diabolic and spiteful development. The government can very very easily trim the
budget simply by closing down just a portion of the 900 ineffective military
bases that we have policing imaginary enemies globally, when the real enemy is
our economic responsibility, or lack of, that is. To you understand that on top
of the military bases, we build schools and fire houses in the remotest Kush mountains,
in all the provinces, in all the countries that we've been in, not ruling out
Libya either.
They never
mention about touching the Billions and billions that go un accounted at the
pentagon or in any of the above programs, including the gigantic QU1 and QE2
programs. and their satanic order now wants to punish it's own. in spite of
easy fixes by shutting down some pork programs and military curtailment.
Remember this when it comes time to vote.
So Joe Lieberman,
Schumer and Obama claim that the elderly and the poor must go without and
suffer, but the kids in Iraq get a new school, Iraq gets an embassy bigger than
the Vatican, brand new and paid for by our taxes, Israel gets their 9 billion a
year, and so on and so on.....
Hey, Like Ron Paul said, Just close the 900 Military
bases overseas and that would add trillions to our needs coffers.
By the way, a sleezball terrorist has more of a choice
than a millionaire. What do I mean by that? Well, The sleezball terrorist
actually has more of a choice than most Americans. They can, either blow away a
Humvee with a rocket Propelled grenade Launcher, or they can drop it into the
sand, go to their local airport, get on a plane and come to the USA, and the
liberal bleeding heart Democrats will make sure that they will get job hiring
preference over qualified American unemployed citizens. So, let me ask you, how
much does our military presence at these 900 military bases help us?
Neither Perry nor Obama are confronting the real issues
that are gnawing away at our American way of life and economy. The media is
behind the grandstanding of this Texas tough guy because at the end of the day,
he will do Geithner and Bernake’s bidding, just like Obama did, and America
will continue to suffer, as our currency becomes more worthless and jobs become
even more sparse..
Try to stay focused on things that really matter, because
the media, unfortunately, is not going to televise and support the true
candidate that can save us from this greedy global peril that we, as Americans
are about to embark upon if we don’t put the right man in office, who will work
on the issues that effect us directly, and as most of you know, that man is Ron
Paul.
RON Paul 2012
Its a statement on where we are as a country when the leading candidate has cheated on 3 wives, taken monies from the very organizations he accused others of taking money from and is in general an ass. I don't blame him, we are so screwed up we keep making him relevant.
...Mich 90...140 bills have been dumped in reed's lap by congresss dealing with jobs and debt, all sponsored by repubs. he has chosen to burry them in his desk drawer...not to mention he had control in2009 to accomplish both job improvement and the debt crisis...pelosi and he chose to wait until after mid terms...shame on him and obama...they made their bed...
All thse bills focus on deregulation and more oil drilling.
Fact: We are pulling more oil from the earth now than any time in last decade. But the oil companies have been shedding tens of thousands of jobs.
Fact: We need stronger regulation not less. Have you been paying attention to Wall Street's illegal BS that past 6 years?
What REAL jobs bills have the good ol boys produced?
Bp: Who told you that, Liar Rush?
*
Hey, bp, do some research, OK? Simply spewing rightie-talking-points is pretty lame.
There have been more Republican-sponsored bills than that since the Repubs recaptured the House. Unfortunately, none of them deal with job creation. Here's how they break down (as of October 2011):
44 Abortion
99 Religion
71 Family relationships
36 Marriage
67 Anti-gun control
522 Taxation (lots of breaks for 1%ers)
445 Calls for government investigations.
Wow...what great work. At least "In God We Trust" is safe.
This is what we need. A man who's ego can't fit into the White House.
This man has changed positions as much as the man with no soul. But becuase he uses big words, his dumb followers don't notice.
If his would be voters would actually google his past stances on most issues, they would see he is not only a man who has no convictions just like MR but much worse because he has no morales.
The pillsbury sourdough boy single handedly caused most of the chaos and vitriol in the House. If you are old enough to remember before him the parties routinely worked out deals.
He knew that without being evil and maniacal, the good ol boys would never have the House. He caused all sorts of chaos and here we are.
Now we have people willing to look past his ethics violations, evil misdeeds (this man got a bj from ANOTHER MANS WIFE while his kids were about 50 ft away), multiple affairs, lies, changes of stance all the time, and fraudulent business dealings.
What idiot would vote for scum like this. I say stick with Huntsman.
A-men rtaylor.
Newt is a stupid person's idea of what a smart person is like.
The symbol of a depraved America!
Here the Repubs go again with another flawed candidate. A lover of the Military Industrial complex and the Jewish Lobby. Newt (Line my pockets with $$$$$) from my contacts in Gov't. But thats OK, if he's nominated and elected we'll probably be in a war with Iran and gasoline we'll be 7.00 a gallon. Maybe we can get chickenhawk Cheney to serve in a suicide Bn.
What is wrong with you people??? Newt Gingrich is one of the same in a long line of cookie-cutter establishment candidates. Do you not remember how he helped get NAFTA and GATT pushed through? The reason more Americans than ever are out of work and our society is crumbling. He is for the NWO, not a constitutional America. Read his foreword for the book "Creating a New Civilization. Ron Paul may not be perfect but he is the ONLY choice so far in the upcoming election. Wake up now, it will probably be your last chance.
I am not thrilled with Newts stance on immigration or his relationship with those corrupt GSE Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac but he is better than the vacationer we we have now.
Vacationer? At the 3 year mark Obama has taken way less vacations than the "frat Boy. GOOGLE IT!!!
I am sure Obama needs his vacations just look at all the leadership he demonstrated in cutting government expenditures.
Newt is EVIL... EVIL I say... so is everyone else running for president except Obama.
If you want an Evil president who will sacrifice your children to the devil and have you beaten senseless twice a week, vote for everyone else... If you want to live in luxery off the ill gotten gains the wall streeters stole from you by making you buy things you don't really need, Vote for Obama.... The choice is clear... your children murdered or Obama..
what does your heart tell you to do?
Yeah, I'm sure a lot of voters who voted for Obama and are disappointed that we didn't get the "change" we wanted are going to go back and vote for the very ideology they opposed in 2008-sarcasm.
Romney is struggling because he comes across as a dick, period. Of course so does Gingrich AND he is an extemist. I generally ridicule "liberal media" theories but IF the mainstream media really had a liberal bias, ignoring Huntsman as they have is a great strategy because he is the only republican running who has a chance of beating Obama.
I personally feel as if Obama is the lesser evil among everyone but........
Huntsman should be the pick. He would probably beat the POTUS.
The media is only following what the right wing uninformed half wit base is doing. They all ignore Huntsman so why cover him?
This is not a liberal media thing, its a Huntsman is too articulate and rationale for the wingnuts thing!!!
rtaylor,
I completely agree with you. I think Huntsman is probably the most intelligent, worldly, knowledgable Republican candidate on the dais. That is also the very reason he probably doesn't stand a chance to win the nomination.
Unfortunately, the Repubs tend to shy away from those attributes since they have sold their soul to the TP hardcore right-wingnuts.
And, that's what will cost the Repubs the election in 2011...the election is theirs to lose, and from the looks of it, they're doing a great job of it.
GuessWhat ...
But there is another option ...
http://porterrockwell.newsvine.com/_news/2011/11/15/8820495-inevitable-romney
This fellow was a sinking joke as a candidate just the other day, now he's surging in your polls...he's the same @$$hole...what's wrong w/ you folks?
O'Dumbo, Look in the mirror. I've had a job since I'm 13. Lazy? You on the other hand never had a real job and that's why you don't have a real plan. Who'd you blame today you imposter?????
Nick..from the logic of your post, I would guess you're still working that same job, too.
Just a little exercise in research will reveal that your "jobless Obama" rant is an absolute lie. But, you knew that. I suspect you just like to see your name on the screen.
You should really find a new right-wing talking point to spew.
No matter what your political persuasion, one has to admit Gingrich can "fire 'em back" at the debate moderators, interviewers, and the like. I'm not a big fan, but what the heck? Country's going down the tubes with the current administration in charge. Hell, I'd even consider R. Paul if his position on foreign policy wasn't so ridiculous.
Face it - Romney is the nominee ! It's been decided. Now get in line and shut up - because you don't have a say.
Sincerely-
Mark Avellian
"PulSamsara" finally a Romney supporter- I agree Mitt will be the one - the 1% want him and they want to be rid of the Tea Party. He will clean house when elected and the Demos won't be the only ones out in the street looking in!
Rule ...
Not quite. You're forgetting some things ...
http://porterrockwell.newsvine.com/_news/2011/11/15/8820495-inevitable-romney
Bring on the Newt the wife cheater or Mitt the sell out. Obama will wipe the floor with either one. You'll see. :)
Obama/Biden2012, Clinton/Warren 2016-2024
Obama/Biden in 2012? Won't have to worry about the 2016 election, 'cause there won't be a United States of America left.
No, it's good we had a Democratic President in 2008 or we would be the U.S.of china.
DisgustedConservative,
Probably not one you would recognize...with a fairer tax burden, more jobs, protection of the environment, Social Security, universal heathcare, and programs for the poor. Oh, I almost forgot...a right-wingnut movement in the trash heap.
Oh, wait a minute...that's a good thing!
Not only are the republicans on Capitol Hill confused, but now some of the American people are. First they don't like Newt and now they do. They just want power and don't care who the republican is. This is so sad. I don’t think that any of them are looking at what the republicans really want for the American people. Some say President Obama did not jump start jobs. So let’s look at what happen when the republicans promised a few months ago, that they would jump starts jobs if we elect them. They said the American people have spoken. Now they are in and have fights and vote down jump starting jobs. Now they want control of the White House. Why? So every American will be on welfare or die. No jobs, no healthcare. If people had jobs they could purchase their own healthcare. It’s so sad that 23 states now refuse to let black voters, vote. They cannot get an ID and college students who have been in school for two years must go back home to vote and not vote in the state they live in. Maryland is still fighting about the robo calls and the republicans. It’s still in court. Ohio has dropped some of their case against the republicans and their wrong doing. So sad that republicans are paying people to vote for them. If you don’t, then you will not have a job. What is this world coming to. The republicans front runners all have women problems. Now Trump wants back in. The man who scams the government every year. His wives never have to pay taxes for the first seven years. Will he send them back home also? Instead of looking at the good rich life, how about helping the American people who are not rich.
Newt is REPUGNANT.
Newt is a man with a nice smile and a very evil and corrupt mind.
Let us not forget that in many ways Newt is responsible for John Boehner being where he is today.
That alone should disqualify him from being a candidate in a normal world.
I can tell you where John Boehner is, up the a$$ of His Corporate Masters.
Interesting thread! I made a prediction a month ago. We'll see how well it holds up.
http://porterrockwell.newsvine.com/_news/2011/11/15/8820495-inevitable-romney