E-mail updates
Follow on Twitter
Subscribe to RSSFrom NBC's Kevin Hurd
A new poll out today from Montana is a reminder of just how tight a contest the U.S. Senate race in Big Sky Country could be in 2012.
Incumbent Sen. John Tester (D) is in a statistical dead heat with at-large Rep. Denny Rehberg (R), with a slight 46%-45% edge in a Billings Gazette poll conducted by Mason-Dixon. The Montana Senate race is ranked No. 3 on First Read’s Top 10 Takeovers.
"Grass-roots organization and working on the ground will certainly be important,” Brad Coker, president of Mason-Dixon, told the Gazette. “It's one of the few races you'll see where both candidates already have a built-in statewide organization."
Both candidates have near-unanimous support from their respective parties. So, that 9% of undecideds are going to be crucial. "Independents make up a sizable voting bloc in Montana,” the Billings Gazette writes, “and their support can often spell the difference between victory and defeat in a close election."
Among independents, Tester got 49% to Rehberg’s 37%.
In 2006, Tester won narrowly over a flawed candidate. He defeated Conrad Burns (R) 49%-48%.
The poll of 625 registered voters was conducted last week and has a +/- 4% margin of error.
Leave a Comment:
Fr: In 2006, Tester won narrowly over a flawed candidate. He defeated Conrad Burns (R) 49%-48%.
If that's the case since the real grass roots not astroturfs are coming, the the Republican should be losing.
Democracy is the voice if the people and people wants jobs in lieu of corporations buying out politicians; most the GOP/T-baggers,
typo correction:
Democracy is the voice of the people and people want jobs in lieu of corporations buying out politicians; most the GOP/T-baggers.
"where are the jobs", the right-wingers used to post daily, after January 2009. Yes- "Where are the jobs", Mr Speaker? What about that 'mandate' from the American People we keep hearing about whenever the topic of discussion is the last November election??
Anyone?
For that matter, where's Weeper Boehner?
From Bev?
That's classic.
where's Weeper Boehner?
He out shopping for his Little Bo Peep Easter costume.
I heard last week that Congress worked 11 days in February. Even with a short month, that has to be a record for "not working." It seems the GOPTP House comes to work, votes for a CR budget to last a couple weeks then heads home until the next budget CR is needed to prevent a shutdown.
I heard last week that Congress worked 11 days in February. Even with a short month, that has to be a record for "not working."
The record for "not working" is held by Wisconsin Democrat union-poodle fleebaggers.
Rarely do I feel the need for brain bleach, but in this case ... LoL
You might want to read this before you make those kinds of unwarranted accusations. But then again, based on what I see out here every day, I doubt that bothers you in the slightest.
http://wispolitics.com/index.iml?Article=230054
But hey, Bobby, don't let a little truth get in the way of your biases and stereotypes.
drive-by-observer ""where are the jobs", the right-wingers used to post daily, after January 2009. Yes- "Where are the jobs", Mr Speaker? What about that 'mandate' from the American People we keep hearing about whenever the topic of discussion is the last November election?? Anyone?"
It takes 3 to "Tango" in government, and all of the bills passed so far by the Republicans that might help create jobs in the future are in Harry Reid's 'pocket', where good ol' Harry says they will never see the light of day in the Senate.
By the way - It's not the President that is able to "create jobs", but Congress, through controlling spending and passing legislation that stimulates business growth, so who controls Congress is what really counts. The President can only sign bills or veto them. Here is the record over the last 30 years based on which party controlled Congress;
When Democrats controlled Congress (12 years), 8,550,000 net jobs were created.
When Republicans controlled Congress (10 years), 23,239,000 net jobs were created.
When there was a 'split' Congress (8 years), 7,502,000 net jobs were created.
Hmmmmmmmmmmmm.
tester has not decided, by his voteing record, if he's a dem or a republican. right now i think he leans right and that will hurt him.
Feisty,
Where are the jobs?
A bunch are sitting on Obama's desk, in drawer, or somewhere in the Oval Office.
"In this increasingly interconnected and fiercely competitive world, our top priority has to be creating and sustaining new jobs and new opportunities for our people," the president wrote in USA Today last Thursday.
He has two completed free-trade treaties with Columbia and Panama that will create tens of thousands of US jobs.
Just waiting to be signed. Must not have gotten Union approval - Uh-Oh.
Isn't this the point of Obama's trip to Brazil (other than Michelle has needed a break) - jobs?
Hope he got Union pre-approval before going, (if that was really the reason for the trip).
"Isn't this the point of Obama's trip to Brazil (other than Michelle has needed a break)..."
Are you really that big of a jerk, or do you just play one on message boards?
Seriously Buzz - you had to ask? lol
They're under the desk, right next to the weapons of mass destruction.
Just like all those other trade deals (Nafta comes to mind along with created all those net jobs in the USA. Since China entered the WTO in 1999, our trade deficit has increased 1000 fold with that country. Meanwhile, China keeps an artificially low currency, environmental standards that are wrecking not just that country but all the countries around it and pay average wages that could not possibly support a family in the US above poverty wages.
The election is 20 months away so any polls right now tell us very little about what will happen next year. In November 2010, Scott Walker was elected Governor of Wisconsin; in January his poll numbers were positive and look where he is now, he's racing to the bottom and likely facing a recall. It's just too soon to know what will happen even in a few months let alone November 2012. T
Tester is a democrat in a red state which means he's a moderate. I have no problem with democrats who vote based on what their constituents support--that's what every legislator should do but I do think democrats like Tester need to do a better job educating their constituents as to the positives in particular legislation--it's that lack of understanding of facts that makes legislation unpopular.
Great post, Jody. A lot will happen between now and the election. And not everyone is as engaged as we political junkies are.
Tester won his first race in a red state as a Democrat and as a farmer on a family farm. He is a real farmer on a working farm and every break he gets in the Senate (and on some weekends too) he and his wife fly home to work their farm. I am no longer his constituent but I still get regular emails from him on legislation. I think he has done a good job of keeping constitutents informed on what is going on and why he votes the way he does. He votes for what he believes- not always Democrat and sometimes even Republican. I don't always agree with him, but I respect him. I have no respect for Denny Rehberg. Wouldn't vote for him in the House and sure wouldn't vote for him to be in the Senate. At least in the House they only get 2 years at a time to screw things up.
Tester is toast. He won a close race in 2006 only because he falsely claimed to be a moderate. All it will take is Montanans watching Barack Obama running for re-election in 2012.....it will remind them to vote Republican up and down the ticket.
He has proven himself to be just that. I think he will keep his seat. He is respected and well liked.
Democrats! You are asking about jobs? Seriously? When for the last three years the Dems and the Progressives and the Czars were closeted in the locked rooms of the Congress, none of you (benignly speaking respectfully) were asking about jobs. If I remember correctly. All I could hear was the daily the drumbeat of how the Bama will create trillions of jobs with his socialistic Bamacare. Day in , day out, night in ,night out Obama was beating the drum of his healthcare so much so it saturated the society, the life and the people of America. Daily the trumpets of Obama care was fed to the nation about how millions of jobs were to follow. I'm still laughing how Obama fooled you the Democrats and the People of the US.