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From NBC's Alexandra Moe
For all the talk of the Tea Party's strength - and there will certainly be a significant number of their candidates in Congress - just 32% of all Tea Party candidates who ran for Congress won and 61.4% lost this election. A few races remain too close to call.
In the Senate, 10 candidates backed by the Tea Party ran and at least five were successful. (Race in Alaska has not yet been called.)
In the House, 130 Tea Party-backed candidates ran, and just 40 so far have won.
Identifying Tea Party candidates is undoubtedly inexact. Our criteria, generally, was to include anyone who has either been backed by a Tea Party group or has identified themselves as a member of the Tea Party movement. Toward the end of this cycle, however, seemingly every Republican was trying to associate themselves this way. One left off the list was Dino Rossi, despite Jim DeMint endorsing him, since Tea Party groups backed Clint Didier in the primary.
A note to correct the record: After about 20 hours of crunching numbers, one of us on your First Read authors looked up at 4 am and heard MSNBC use a much higher number. We went back and checked, and the numbers are much lower. Here's a full list:
SENATE - 10 TOTAL
5 WON - 50% of Tea Party candidates won
PA- Pat Toomey
KY- Rand Paul
FL- Marco Rubio
WI- Ron Johnson
UT- Mike Lee
4 LOST - 40% of Tea Party candidates lost
DE- Christine O’Donnell
NV- Sharron Angle
WV- John Raese
CO- Ken Buck
1 UNDECIDED
AK- Joe Miller
_____________________
HOUSE - 130 TOTAL
40 WON - 31% of Tea Party candidates won
AR-1 Rick Crawford
AR-2 Tim Griffin
AZ-1 Paul Gosar
AZ-5 David Schweikert
FL-2 Steve Southerland
FL-22 Allen West
FL-24 Sandra Adams
GA-9 Tom Graves
ID-1 Raul Labrador
IL-10 Robert Dold
IL-11 Adam Kinzinger
IL-14 Randy Hultgren
IL-17 Bobby Schilling
IN-3 Marlin Stutzman
IN-9 Todd Young
LA-3 Jeff Landry
MI-1 Dan Benishek
MI-3 Justin Amash
MI-7 Tim Walberg
MN-6 Michelle Bachmann
MO-4 Vicky Hartzler
NC-2 Renee Ellmers
NH-1 Frank Guinta
NV-3 Joe Heck
NY-13 Michael Grimm
NY-20 Christopher Gibson
OH-1 Steve Chabot
OH-6 Bill Johnson
OH-15 Steven Stivers
OH-16 Jim Renacci
SC-1 Tim Scott
SC-3 Jeff Duncan
SC-4 Trey Gowdy
SC-5 Mick Mulvaney
TN-4 Scott DesJarlais
TX-17 Bill Flores
VA-9 H. Morgan Griffith
WI-7 Sean Duffy
WI-8 Reid Ribble
WV-1 David McKinley
82 LOST - 63% of Tea Party candidates lost
AR-4 Beth Anne Rankin
AZ-4 Janet Contreras
CA-5 Paul A. Smith
CA-6 Jim Judd
CA-7 Rick Tubbs
CA-8 John Dennis
CA-9 Gerald Hashimoto
CA-10 Gary Clift
CA-16 Daniel Sahagun
CA-18 Michael Berryhill
CA-23 Tom Watson
CA-27 Mark Reed
CA-29 John Colbert
CA-30 Charles Wilkerson
CA-37 Star Parker
CA-43 Scott Folkens
CA-47 Van Tran
CA-51 Nick Popaditch
CT-3 Jerry Labriola
DE-1 Glen Urquhart
FL-3 Michael Yost
GA-4 Lisbeth "Liz" Carter
GA-5 Fenn Little
HI-1Charles Djou
HI-2 John Willoughby
IL-5 David Ratowitz
IL-9 Joel Pollak
IL-12 Teri Newman
IN-1 Mark Leyva
IN-2 Jackie Walorski
KY-3 Todd Lally
MA-1 Bill Gunn
MA-2 Tom Wesley
MA-3 Marty Lamb
MA-4 Sean Bielat
MA-7 Gerry Dembrowski
MA-10 Jeff Perry
MD-4 Robert Broadus
MD-5 Charles Lollar
ME-2 Jason Levesque
MI-9 Rocky Raczkowski
MI-12 Don Volaric
MI-13 John Hauler
MI-15 Rob Steele
MO-3 Ed Martin
MO-5 Jacob Turk
MS-2 Bill Marcy
NC-4 William Lawson
NC-8 Harold Johnson
NC-11 Jeff Miller
NC-13 William Randall
NJ-1 Dale Glading
NJ-6 Anna Little
NJ-8 Roland Straten
NM-1 Jonathan Barela
NM-3 Tom Mullins
NY-2 John Gomez
NY-5 James Milano
NY-17 Anthony Mele
NY-21 Theodore Danz
NY-22 George Phillips
NY-27 Leonard Roberto
NY-28 Jill Rowland
OH-9 Rich Iott
OH-10 Peter Corrigan
OH-13 Tom Ganley
OH-17 Jim Graham
OR-3 Delia Lopez
OR-4 Art Robinson
PA-4 Keith Rothfus
PA-12 Tim Burns
PA-14 Melissa Haluszczak
SC-6 Jim Pratt
TN-9 Charlotte Bergmann
TX-20 Clayton Trotter
TX-25 Donna Campbell
TX-28 Bryan Underwood
TX-30 Stephen Broden
UT-2 Morgan Philpot
VA-3 Chuck Smith
VT-1 Paul Beaudry
WA-1 James Watkins
8 UNDECIDED
AZ-7 Ruth McClung
AZ-8 Jesse Kelly
CA- 11 David Harmer
IL-8 Joe Walsh
NY-25 Ann Marie Buerkle
TX-27 Blake Farenthold
VA-11 Keith Fimian
WA-2 John Koster
Leave a Comment:
By the time the next election cycle comes around, it will be abundantly clear to all that the Tea Party was a bunch of bigoted white haired old men and women who don't want to pay their fair share of taxes and only want entitlements for THEMSELVES. They'll barely be a footnote in the political lexicon. Basically just an example of the Peter Principle at work. A pathetic joke, likely to become synonymous with someone of below average intelligence.
it will be very clear that turning your country more brown and stupid is not the way to go,but i don`t care,i`ve lived my life with great family.
You are a racist idiot!!
Pjoi
Don't listen to hoceypuck, he probably comes from one of those secluded towns where all the people are related.. Wanna piss em off tell him you want to date his sister.. That'll get his blood boilin.. You see he didn't say family and friends.. A family that sleeps together stays together is their motto.. LOL
People like hockeypuck should go onto the list of terrorists investigated by the FBI , they are un-American and have no morals. We should all start treating these people like the terrorist they are. They are anti-American and do not accept the fiber of being a citizen of the UNITED STATES OF AMERICA. This ignorance would not be tolerated in any other industrialized country. Not sure what country would accept him but if he cannot accept our society he needs to go elsewhere.
Red Sparrow====Wow are you people out in left field. You children need to read some more history books. Start picking up on some real responsiblities to catch up with life, that you really know nothing about yet. Come back when your older and all grown up.
Ben, Really? You really should lay off the crack pipe.
Red Sparrow and pjoi, you are what you accuse others of.
The original poster is racist and ageist, if that poster didn't offend you the only reason you can have for accusing the next poster of being "racist" is because you are racist yourself.
Just 0% of Coffee Party candidates win.
Never heard of the Coffee Party? That's a shame.
"Just 32%"? Give us a break.
32% ???? Where did you guys learn your math? Casing out nines? Do ypou really thing you can get away with manipulating the nuimbers that way? Try being a gracious and INTELLIGENT looser!
check your math. and please show your work. : )
This is all sounding like a political economic argument.
As I predicted, the "Tea Party" expressed the voters dissatisfaction with both Bush and Obama and put pressure on the GOP. And sure, some won, and some lost. Which is a good thing. It fundamentally changes the debate. Politics is the one area where you can win by losing. You fundamentally shift the debate. Sure, we had some loons, like O'Donnell and Angle. Yet, considereing how loony and "Not-Ready-For Prime Time" Angle was, I'm surprised that race was that close. Considering who Reid beat, I wouldn't be all that happy.
As a Republican who has given up nights and weekends in the past to door knock and phone bank, I voted straight Libertarian last night to express my skepticism that the GOP "get's it".
Cicero
Hey author of this completely ridiculous article...If you were going for surgery and the doctor told you that you had a 32% chance of dying, would you be so Joe Cool then and tell everyone that, hey the Dr. told me that I JUST had a 32% chance of dying, or would you then be thinking that 32 is a high percentage?
the important thing is you wouldn't go bankrupt because of your surgery. thank God for Obama's Affordable Health Care Act.
You wouldn't go bankrupt??? This country is at the blink of bankruptcy. How can you spend money that you don't have and maintain solvent in the long run?? Before you comment, do you really think issues thru your mind?? or do you have a mind??
The health care act maybe the last straw on this camel's back.
Jase, as a doctor, I can tell you that there isn't one thing health care related you should be thanking obama for if you have a shred of self reliance in which case, yeah you may be thanking obama.
jtm,
Were you asking these same questions for the past 10 years or did you just start to question these things?
Aten,
I have been saying this for a long time. FYI, I am an Asian American, and I know a thing or two about savings and not spending with money you don't have.
Wait, if you die knowing there was a 32% chance, then your family can sue and live off the rest of us paying for it with high insurance rates to cover for the lawyers.
I make this point- If you are sick and without care will die, then why should you be able to sue the medical professionals who try to help you to the best of their ability if you don't get 100% well after their attempt to care for you?
Too many sue happy people wanting more than their fair share.
In my world I call them Democrats!
As for Jase up there, you are as ignorant as the people who put Obama in power. Affordable health care is an illusion to the working American, If you work you will still pay top dollar, if your a lazy free-loader you will get free care just as it has always been.
Alright JTM, as long as you are cognizant that both groups are causing the problem and not assigning the typical tax and spend liberal mantra.
Some one has to get things in line, maybe this will wake everyone up and be some catalyst for positive change.
Real health care reform would be awesome. I hope they use these opportunities to deal with the root causes that have allowed the system to get so out of whack.
Jase
How bout getting an education so that you can actually get a job that provides insurance? What a novel idea! As soon as your kind stops making excuses for lazy and pathetic behavior, you may be taken seriously.
I love the pictures on the web of mugshots where the perp is wearing an Obama t-shirt. Nice society you are promoting. I am still looking for the Bush perp mugshots.
Tea party = GOP
They trashed the Dem's like the Dem's trashed Repug's 2 years ago. It's a cycle, back and forth, it means nothing. No one has a congressional mandate for more than 2-4 years. Get over yourselves!
So...what's your point numbnut! You know you're coming off as a know nothing phucking idiot. Now, laugh at that one Moron!!!
When you think about it - a brand new political party on it's very first time out of the box - 32% of their candidates win - that's not bad at all! - but as usual the press likes to attack opponents of the liberals!
I was thinking the same thing Tricia. If it was a party with more liberal views that attached itself to the Dems and won the same percentage what do you think the Headline would read?------
"GiveMeMoreThanIDeserve Party wins big with 32%"
It was unbelieveable how the MSNBC "analysts" made fools of themselves in their childish comments and the outright vitriol hurled at people who have been duly elected by the people in their states and districts. MSNBC has no respect for the public or the democratic system. Fortunately only about two dozen people in the US saw their disgusting exhibition.
bitter little thing aren't ya?
Rivot...and what is the difference from the way foxnews hurls crap at the duely elected President of the United States?.
Jase,
You think everything is a game? You think everything is politics ? Do you know a lot of citizens are suffering today ??
Look into a mirror and you'll see why this country is in trouble.
Dah....! Tea Party is not a 3rd party so they were act7ually successful!
People keep saying that the Tea Party is doing so great for only being around for such a short time, and that is simply not true. Christine O'Donnell is a career Politician, only when she ran and lost before she ran as a Republican. I think there were something like 138 Tea Party Candidates running this election, all of them were on the Republican ticket. This just shows you how bad the Republican Party has been in recent years, they have to disguise themselves from their own voters just to win. The ideals of the so called Tea Party Movement basically always are the same as GOP's, the difference? The Tea Party chooses to nominate people who do not seem to be hampered by things like understanding the Constitution of the United States of America.
i suppose headlines like that are why people hate the mainstream parties and press. In reality, fifty per cent, maybe 60% of the tea party senate candidates won (6/10). Another near 40% won in the House. This is a near miraculous happening in the face of the two party behemoth. But for the headline, they had to put "just", lol.
I think the headline is for those of us who were concerned about the TeaParty nuts actually getting any real power and that didn't happen.......thankfully.
What exactly is a "tea party nuts" ?? Have you actually calm down and think this thru?? Smaller government, less spending, less tax... how "nut" is it??
jtm...I was so eager to respond to jase comment but saw you put exactly what I was going to say. I haven't the slightest clue why liberals need so much support getting through life from the government. You would think by now they would atleast admit they aren't as capable surviving life on their own as conservatives are for the most part. Why they consider self responsiblity/reliance and indepence a crazy idea will forever escape me. Too bad the liberals turned into a party of individuals who will do whatever they can to get what they don't deserve.
jtm,
If "smaller government, less spending, and less tax" was actually the exact thing we will get, then I don't think that many people would really be upset about it.
The problem is the other stuff. When people talk about seperation of church and state, roe v wade, evolution v creationism, etc, that is when people start to get turned off. You see, smaller government means much more hands off. It means the government doesn't help you when your down, but they also don't tell you what you can do in the privacy of your own home and they don't support "state sponsored" much of anything. The problem I see is, most of the people who are yelling about smaller government also want the government to do things like make abortion illegal again and in general make the worst parts of government bigger, while diminishing where government actually benefits people.
Fundamentally, this runs contrary to my view of the world. I am a fiscal conservative, but I am liberal on social issues. I am more fearful of my rights or other peoples rights being taken away or diminished by social conservatives than I am of people pretending to be fiscally responsible.
And yes, I said pretending. I will believe the fiscal responsibility thing when I actually see it. So far it is a unicorn on both sides of the aisle.
Mark D: perhaps because liberals aren't getting their fair share of the capitalist piggy pie?
Looks like all the chest beating and proclamations of "wait 'till November" turned out to be.................A tempest in a tea cup.
FYI, small minded leftist------ 60+seats gain. The people have spoken. They do not want Pelosi /Obama's agenda.
Really?? How come you didn't win the Senate??
Your proclamations of "wait till November" turned out to have a rather hollow ring to it. Don't you think?
Be sure to post a reply something like, "wait till 2012." hahahahaha
Wait until 2012.
ltcommander...are you insane? Your side just got a historical *ss kicking and you are going to try to spin it as though you were successful or somehow conservatives failed? Absolutely fascinating how crazy you liberals can be.
although the GOP was highly successful, the TP won a measely 32%. Seems like after having two years they should have won across the board if the electorate had emraced their message. Fail.
This kind of article by the liberal media is really the root of the problem of this country.Rather than keeping an eye on the elected officials and make sure they are doing the work for the prople, they write articles like this. Does it really matter if its 32%, 50% or 0%?? The well being of this country is at stake, the left are doing things that will guarantee the demise of this great nation, and this author sounds happy that "only" 32% are elected? What the hell is wrong with this Alexandra Moe person??
And the tea party is not really a political party, does she know that? Its the PEOPLE, we the PEOPLE.
Damn.
well ....now calm down there..........there's actually many of us out here that agree with the author.
Yup I know.. the left... That's why there is communism.
JTM,
We can disagree on how we get to a solution, but I think you have to step back and realize that approximately half of this country supports a path different than the one you might think is right.
Obama and the democrats are not trying to turn this country into soviet Russia. I am certain they believe the agenda they have followed was in the best interest of all Americans. Now, the execution of that agenda has been less than ideal and certainly there are quite a few missing links, but it is not fair to question the veracity of their love for this country and what they believe it stands for.
Just because we disagree on how to get there doesn't mean our destination is any different. A prosperous and healthy America where we can all dream the American dream. That seems like the goal to me. If the goal is different please inform me of what the goal is, i missed the memo.
Extremes are bad on either side, that's why most of us congregate some where around the middle.
JTM most of our founders were what a beck would call a socialist progressive, and definitely anti-christian. This includes Jefferson, Madison, Washington, Franklin, and Adams, for a start. Adam Smith, the father of capitalism, himself thought as a social democrat.
Garbage....absolute garbage.
Gault: care to compare quotes, anecdotes, political thought? I am a historian; what is your training, besides reading an obscure novel reserved for uneducated teens?
The day the Tea Party faithful stage a mass burning of their Medicare cards, and refuse their social security checks, I'll take them seriously.
It looks like MSNBC and most of the readers on this board have forgotten what a Democracy is about.
32% is gigantic. Think of it this way: if you want that 32% to support something, compromise has to happen. That's government of the people, by the people and for the people. Not of the elites, by the elites and for the elites.
So what if Palin runs in 2012 and loses? People will support her. If you want her to concede and endorse somebody else, that somebody else is going to have to compromise. In a sense, anybody that runs and gets votes can not possibly lose. The true losers are those who want to limit which names can ever show up on a ballot. That's an Iranian tactic and gaining much favor in places like California.
Pelosi didn't care about compromise. She locked out the rest of the world in closed door committees for legislative fiats that decided which bills ever got daylight on the House floor. If there was an obstructionist, she set a new standard. Pray that she hasn't set a new precedent. Otherwise, the idea of three branches of government has taken another blow towards its doom...by a truly fascist force.
JUST? Can you be any more transparent?
And regarding the lunatic references to Tea Party community organizers, that's not an exclusive term. The Reps and the Dems can claim many of their own.
Agree or disagree, we should admire the power of the people to hold government in check. Lest we forget, they work for us.
that is 32% this time around the next go around it will be 64%
oh sure more of the mantra, "wait till ...................." pathetic really.
if the TeaParty wants to be taken seriously they need to get with it on the social issues......ya know, clean up their act, loose the nutjobs, birthers, racists, etc., etc.. the Democratic party is a big tent but even we don't tolerate that fringe element embraced by the Tea P's. good try though. those nuts do have some vigor to them don't they?
You "the dems" don't tolerate anyone with an independent thought. EXAMPLE: Joe Lieberman.
with out Obama telling you Obots what to do you just stand around with your thumbs up your a$$. I don't think there is one democrat that has ever had an original thought. As far as the mantra goes wait till the next go around and you Dems will be on the outside looking in
Jase
I love that big tent of yours, murderers(Teddy), KKK(Bryd),etc. Well done! Where do I sign up to be such an outstanding Dem? How are they for social issues?
"JUST" 32%???? Not bad for a party that's less than 2 years old. How many Libertarian, American Independant, Green or Peace and Freedom candidates have EVER won? Just because Tea Party candidates weren't mainstream political, people were painting them as nut jos. Give 'em a chance and we'll see. Anyone who really believes they're the "lunatic fringe" needs to do some serious research and stop gettig their info from mainstream, state owned media outlets.
lunatic fringe absolutely.
yo Sharon...read "The Backlash" by Will Bunch.......plenty of great info on the TeaParty.
ltcommander...again, you are insane. 32% is fringe? God what is wrong with you people. If it weren't for vocalization, you liberals woulda been darwinized years ago.
"Just" 32%? From a party not even two years old? The jury is back: Msnbc and Alexandra Moe are liberal tools.
Well let's see, they only came into existence a year and a half ago. They were completely dismissed by both the establishment parties in the beginning. When it became clear they weren't going to fold, the establishment Republicans tried to marginalize them while the left turned on them with ridiculous, trumped up accusations of being racists, fascists, religious nut jobs, and on and on. Meanwhile, they stuck to their knitting as constitutionalists and brought forward a lot of candidates who share their values. They had a major influence on the primary elections and turned out many incumbents well before the general election, in which they presented a large number of candidates. Then they get a bunch of them elected against incumbent Democrats, and the media has to stoop to implying that somehow their influence was minimal, or that they didn't bring forward palatable candidates? Is anyone paying attention!? I guess it's going to take another major "shellacking" in 2012 to show them what is going on.
Reid bussed them in and bought them lunch. Is that a Democrat definition, free ride and free lunch?
(couldn't help myself...)
"Lies, damned lies and statistics" Typical of MSNBC you'd never see the title as 50% of Senate candidates backed byTea Party Wins sheesh... majority of those Tea Party backed candidates especially in the Blue states were going to lose anyway... the bigger TRUE story which MSNBC will not point out is that you had 10 potential senatorial and 130 Tea Party candidates that BEAT the established Repulican candidate in the FIRST PLACE. THAT is the true stats that everyone both Republican and Democrats should look at. I am not a Tea Party affiliate but I do know that WE THE PEOPLE will not put up with the $&!T from Congress anymore! Congress works for US the tax paying Americans.
32% would be more than Democrats won in my state - LOL - So, what was your point - I always vote on the issues, to heck with the party affiliation - tie breakers go against incumbents.
That's really a pretty good showing for the new kid on the block.
I really don't see a take home message... given locations of wins and loses, it appears that politics is still local. Unlike what many had predicted that this would sweep over like a tidal wave against the Democratic referendum, it really just comes down to the local voters.
I still don't think this carries over to 2012... too much can happen. I will take the more conservative stance to see how all these new players work out.