The midterms: The 'Barely True' campaign

The latest New York Times/CBS poll shows Republicans leading the generic ballot by six points among likely voters, 46%-40%. "Republicans have wiped out the advantage held by Democrats in recent election cycles among women, Roman Catholics, less affluent Americans and independents. All of those groups broke for Mr. Obama in 2008 and for Congressional Democrats when they grabbed both chambers from the Republicans four years ago, according to exit polls."

The "Barely True" Campaign: "After rating hundreds of claims in the 2010 election — from TV ads, debates, interviews and mailings -- we're giving an overall Truth-O-Meter rating to the campaign. We rate it 'Barely True,'" Politifact's Bill Adair says. "In a majority of claims checked this fall by PolitiFact and our eight state partners, we found a grain of truth, but it was exaggerated, twisted or distorted."

"Election Day is still five days off, but already Republican strategists are whispering that they outmaneuvered their Democratic counterparts," Stu Rothenberg writes in Roll Call, adding, "They hoped that buzz about increased GOP opportunities would create more fundraising opportunities, and they bet that increased opportunities would encourage a more aggressive approach by 'outside' Republican-leaning groups, some of which seemed more focused on Senate races. They have won their bet."

But he concludes: "Blame Obama, Pelosi, David Axelrod, Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner, former economics adviser Christina Romer and whoever else was involved in creating Democratic policy, but don't blame the DCCC and the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee for the House and Senate losses. And feel free to give the NRCC and the National Republican Senatorial Committee some credit, too."


ALASKA: "The Alaska Supreme Court late Wednesday blocked a lower court's order and ruled that voters at polling places may see a list of write-in candidates," AP writes. "The ruling was good news for the campaign of incumbent U.S. Sen. Lisa Murkowski."

ARIZONA: An NPR investigation finds that a private prison company with a business model to lock up illegal immigrants was instrumental in helping draft the Arizona immigration law. NPR writes, "[P]rison companies like this one had a plan -- a new business model to lock up illegal immigrants. And the plan became Arizona's immigration law. ... NPR spent the past several months analyzing hundreds of pages of campaign finance reports, lobbying documents and corporate records. What they show is a quiet, behind-the-scenes effort to help draft and pass Arizona Senate Bill 1070 by an industry that stands to benefit from it: the private prison industry. The law could send hundreds of thousands of illegal immigrants to prison in a way never done before. And it could mean hundreds of millions of dollars in profits to private prison companies responsible for housing them."

More: "According to Corrections Corporation of America reports reviewed by NPR, executives believe immigrant detention is their next big market. Last year, they wrote that they expect to bring in 'a significant portion of our revenues' from Immigration and Customs Enforcement, the agency that detains illegal immigrants."

CALIFORNIA: A new Field poll shows Jerry Brown (D) pulling away from Meg Whitman (R). He's up 10, 49%-39%.

COLORADO: "With the launch of two new TV ads against Republican Ken Buck in Colorado, the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee has topped $6 million in independent expenditures in the state," Roll Call writes.

FLORIDA: Quinnipiac has Alex Sink (D) leading Rick Scott (R) 45%-41%.

Quinnipiac also has Gov. Charlie Crist (I) gaining ground on Marco Rubio (R). Rubio leads 42%-35% with Kendrick Meek (D) getting just 15%.

In FL-25, a Sunshine State News poll (conducted by Voter Survey Service) shows David Rivera (R) leading Joe Garcia (D) just 44%-43.

NEVADA: "Nevada Republican Sharron Angle's new TV ad is racist, the head of Senate Democrats' campaign efforts charged," The Hill writes.

NEW HAMPSHIRE: In the Senate race, Paul Hodes (D) and Kelly Ayotte (R) debate tonight.

OHIO: "A Republican Congresswoman shocked teachers and students alike this month when she decided to talk about abortion to a classroom of 6-year-olds," the New York Daily News writes. "Rep. Jean Schmidt (R-OH) ventured into the age-inappropriate territory during a speech at a Cincinnati Catholic school, where she addressed a room of students ranging from first to eighth graders. 'Unexpectedly, towards the end of her address, Congresswoman Schmidt brought up the topic of abortion,' Prinicipal Dan Teller wrote in a letter to parents, obtained by Cincinnati's WLWT.com. 'Your children may come home with questions, especially if this is a topic that has not been broached in your home. ... She defined abortion as the taking of a child's life in the mother's womb,' Teller wrote in the letter. 'She indicated that abortion involves the killing of a child before it is born.'"

PENNSYLVANIA: A Muhlenberg Tracking poll shows Pat Toomey (R) pulling away, up 48-40%, over Joe Sestak (D).

RHODE ISLAND: Politico reports that Bill Clinton will stump with Frank "Shove It" Caprio (D).

A Quest Research poll shows "Caprio seems to have lost support since telling the president to take his endorsement and 'shove it.'" The poll showed Lincoln Chafee (I) leading 35%-28% over Republican John Robitaille. Caprio gets 25%.

Discuss this post

"Blame Obama, Pelosi, David Axelrod, Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner"

___________________________________________________________________

That is a pretty good start naming the culprits still in the process of destroying our country

  • 1 vote
Reply#1 - Thu Oct 28, 2010 10:18 AM EDT

I'm still pretty busy blaming those actually responsible - bonner, mccain (you know he is one of those career politians, yes indeed he is), both bushes, rove, dickie boy, lier lamar and corkscrew. Once those jokers are gone our government will be a true republic/democracy not a Thoracracy.

By the way - the repugnants only have a 6 point generic lead, not exactly a blow out now is it? Perhaps the good working people of this nation are finally catching on to the destruction of repugnants and teabaggers regarding those of us who work for a living and realize the ubber wealthy do not give a tinklers damn about anyone not in their financial class.

  • 1 vote
Reply#2 - Thu Oct 28, 2010 11:14 AM EDT

The clock is ticking.

Not long now and the emergency break will be put on this run-a-way bus and you sheep who post in here on a daily basis cant do a thing but blow hot air to one another. Thank god for that!

  • 6 votes
Reply#3 - Thu Oct 28, 2010 11:48 AM EDT

Can't let Republicans take the wheel again folks. They spike their slurpees with moonshine and drive off cliffs every time they get behind the wheel.

Everyone get out and vote. Its important. We still have lots of work to do. The days of golf playing and tanning need to be kept at a minimum and if you let Boehner take over as the Speaker.....

VOTE VOTE VOTE

.

  • 1 vote
Reply#4 - Thu Oct 28, 2010 11:53 AM EDT

Most recognize that political reform is a real need and that to have any success it is necessary to get money out of politics. The problem is that the politicians and the money people won’t ever just give up the control and the advantages afforded them with the present system ... so it really is up to the voters.

Recently (10/21/2010) the news announced that Karl Rove, with several ‘fat cats’ and ‘big money’ individuals, were now pouring money, $1M individual donations as well as $250M totals, into shadow groups who would flood the air waves with advertisements favoring Republican and Tea Party candidates who will pursue their interests. They really don’t want representatives who are concerned about the people, they just want ‘puppets’ who will do as directed. The problem doesn’t get any worse then that and, as we saw in 2000 and 2004, those efforts produce results that are not in the best interests of the people (who they consider only ‘pawns’ to be manipulated). The supreme court’s recent ruling has facilitated these efforts and no standing politician has ever given political reform more than lip service as the problem continues unabated. The abusers become more arrogant and even ‘cocky’ as they feel they can have what they want by just spending whatever they need to, to con and to manipulate public opinion and to just insultingly take the public for granted.

If the voters want to prompt and initiate a reform mentality, they can do so by having the huge amounts of money being spent be wasted, by having the manipulative efforts fail, by knocking the ‘cockiness’ out of the abusers and by refusing to be taken for granted. The Tea Party has the right idea but just the wrong cause as is proven by who created the movement, who strongly supports it, providing the vast amounts of money and as is evidenced in the ‘puppet’ candidates chosen. The problem with the Tea Party Movement is that they are really being conned, manipulated and used more than anyone else. No, the voters need to recognize the con being perpetrated, the money being spent and where it is coming from, the arrogance and offensive ‘cockiness’ of those boldly taking the people for granted and then be insulted and refuse to be duped, refuse to be used and to be given only deceptive rhetoric.

The Democrats need to improve and to listen to all of the people but the people need to recognize that currently they are the better opportunity with the Republicans totally focused on their political ambitions and only on the select few who ‘pull their strings’. It is obvious that the Republicans want to return to more of the same (Bush-Cheney style) which cost us so much and totally concentrated on benefit for only Special Interests and the select few (the money), while giving the majority nothing but apathy, the costs and an abundance of subterfuge. Who believes that if the Republicans (regular and Tea Party alike) are successful that after repealing the changes made, they then would honestly work at making the changes needed - it would obviously be against everything they have done to date and definitely not what their ‘puppet masters’ want. What the people need to do is to pressure the Democrats to do better and to firmly reject the Republicans (including the Tea Party (camouflaged) Republicans). Possibly then the politicians will see that the voters have real control and can’t just be manipulated and used and in 2012 they all would be focused on the people’s best interests and give us real choice.

    Reply#5 - Thu Oct 28, 2010 12:10 PM EDT

     I have a proposal:  No money from anyone (including canidates).  TV, newspapers and other news media provide the outlets for ads, etc. for free.  They can write off  the cost of the ads ONLY if they offer the same amount of time for EVERY candidate running for that position.  Therefore, the Independents have as great a chance at the the positions as the Democrats and Republicans.  This would avoid the the illusion of "buying" elections.

      Reply#6 - Thu Oct 28, 2010 1:38 PM EDT

      o...m...g...

      "Unexpectedly, towards the end of her address, (to an audience of 6-14 yr-olds,) Congresswoman (Jean) Schmidt (R-OH) brought up the topic of abortion," Prinicipal Dan Teller wrote in a letter to parents, obtained by Cincinnati's WLWT.com. "Your children may come home with questions, especially if this is a topic that has not been broached in your home. ... She defined abortion as the taking of a child's life in the mother's womb," Teller wrote in the letter. "She indicated that abortion involves the killing of a child before it is born."

      poor principal! POOR PARENTS !!! POOR SIX YEAR OLDS !!! This woman needs to be removed from office, Ohio-an's. If only there were a convenient way to do that, coming up in the next week or so...

      • 1 vote
      Reply#7 - Thu Oct 28, 2010 1:49 PM EDT

      It is like they speak before thinking.,,over and over and over again!

      • 1 vote
      #7.1 - Thu Oct 28, 2010 2:00 PM EDT

      But it's OK for the teachers to tell the students the abortion is OK?

        #7.2 - Thu Oct 28, 2010 2:19 PM EDT

        Pretty sure abortion IS NOT taught in a classroom, hahaha

        • 1 vote
        #7.3 - Thu Oct 28, 2010 4:22 PM EDT

        But it is wrong...

          #7.4 - Thu Oct 28, 2010 4:32 PM EDT

          Pretty sure the information about how to get an abortion is. I have seen it posted in the schools. Semantics or doing an "end around" on the issue is what IS taught.

            #7.5 - Thu Oct 28, 2010 4:39 PM EDT

            Tracy1973 (not AT ALL an ironic year (same as Roe v Wade) to have in your name, lol!): Regarding your 2nd post, you shouldn't use words you can't define (semantic). How do I know you can't? By looking at your first post:

            But it's OK for the teachers to tell the students the abortion is OK?

            Hell no, IT IS NOT OK TO TALK TO MY 6yr. old daughter about abortion... FROM EITHER SIDE OF THE ISSUE.

            Difference is, (as usual, when dealing with you masterminds on the right), the one I cited actually HAPPENED. Your's is a semantic argument, about a hypothetical situation.

            • 1 vote
            #7.6 - Thu Oct 28, 2010 6:38 PM EDT

            A hypothetical situation? I know from first hand experience that MY 8 year old has been given information from her school about abortion services eventhough on the poster it didn't mention the word "abortion". The one I cited actually happened at my daughter's school so do give me your OPINION about what you think semantics mean. We all agree they shouldn't be a teaching abortion from either side of the issue in school, but when they put information in the hallway about abortion services, my daughter, but maybe not your kid, is going to ask questions about what the poster was talking about.

            http://mw2.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/semantics

            b : the language used (as in advertising or political propaganda) to achieve a desired effect on an audience especially through the use of words with novel or dual meanings

            Next time you want to challenge someone about what they are talking about I suggest you get the facts first or stick to debates with your 6 year old.

              #7.7 - Fri Oct 29, 2010 11:18 AM EDT

              congratulations Tracy - you can google that definition with the best of 'em! My definition, in the context of a public policy debate, (and off the top of my head) would be : "inherently deceptive or diversionary communication, concentrating on the specific language used, instead of addressing the OBVIOUS meaning or intent of the opposing argument." For example, I don't think any rational person would look at my original post in this thread and think, "That guy's OK with teachers talking to 6 yr. olds about abortions !!!"

              and frankly, if "the facts" you refer to include your 8 yr. old receiving abortion lit at school, (even from a poster), and someone at the administrative level was not IMMEDIATELY FIRED, then you have no one to blame but yourselves.

              • 1 vote
              #7.8 - Fri Oct 29, 2010 2:16 PM EDT
              Reply

              To funny, I have watched the exact same BS with every election for 50 years, Republicans are way ahead, Republicans will take over the Government, Republicans will reverse all Democratic agendas, etc etc etc

              Wait until the actual vote comes in and watch Republicans cry FOUL!!!!

                Reply#8 - Thu Oct 28, 2010 4:21 PM EDT

                Lets mention the huge bills that have been passed in the last two years. The billions of dollars that have been wasted on so called shovel ready jobs. That was the bone he thru to us for getting back to work. Of course it was used to pay down the states debt. How once again when the Democrats are in charge of the bank book they go nuts. But never like this. Signing bills they haven't read or understand. Jumping into situations that none has the skill or knowledge to handle. We the majority out here in the real world are standing up and making a huge mistake start to fade away. The inexperience our president has shown along with a cabinet that is on an agenda all there own should be a lesson on how not to run a Government.

                  Reply#9 - Thu Oct 28, 2010 5:43 PM EDT
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