It’s a swing state that’s been the site of many down-to-the-wire elections, and a new poll indicates that the Senate race in Pennsylvania might be no exception.
The Susquehanna Polling & Research survey conducted for the Pittsburgh Tribune-Review poll shows Democrat Joe Sestak within the margin of error in the race against Republican Pat Toomey for the seat that Republican-turned-Democrat Sen. Arlen Specter held for 30 years.
The poll found Sestak trailing Toomey 42 percent to 45 percent. The margin of error is 3.5 percent.
Sestak, who defeated Specter in the May 18 primary, is winning about 40 percent of Independents, according to the survey, compared to 30 percent who support Toomey. About one in 10 voters are undecided.
Toomey has consistently led in most polls since the primary. A recent CNN/Time poll gave Toomey an edge of 5 points in the race, while Franklin & Marshall College’s poll put the spread at nine last week.
NBC News rates this race a toss-up.


It is okay for Sestak anyway you look at it since he'll get a job in the administration if he loses. Oh wait, that offer may have been rescinded. Bye Bye Joe!
Seriously, do you not think that the Bush administration and every other dem and repub administration has not offered people jobs. Oh, wait, that's right--these things are only relevant when pushed by FOX and republicans.
Lighten up Jody. It was Sestak that brought it up in the first place, not a repub. Maybe you should take a few minutes off to look for your sense of humor. It might be right under you desk.
Aren't you clever, kirby, oh so clever. Your comment says more about you than me; can't answer the question so make it personal. My sense of humor is fine, thank you very much.
Who shat in everyone's Cornflakes this morning?
I'll say again Jody, lighten up. Of course the repubs have offered jobs and of course the dems have. It wasn't Fox (which I seldom watch, thank you) that brought the job up , it was Sestak. And it isn't relevant then and it isn't relevant now and that is why I was joking about it.
Blutto done it.
kirby in idaho I'll say again Jody, lighten up.
What's relevant is that the Republicans want to make a federal case of this -- literally. Congressman Issa plans on deluging the administration with subpoenas if the Republicans get control of Congress, and the offer made to Sestak for an UNPAID position is high up on his list of nontroversies he hopes to use to shut down the government.
BTW: When this nontroversy first surfaced, it was pointed out that Ronald Reagan's political operative had said that a PAID job position in the Reagan administration to keep a crazy Republican Senator from a hopeless run for a second term.
Thank you, Houston, well said.
If it is irrelevant, why is Rep Daryl Issa planning to investigate it? He tried to obtain White House e-mails that he had no right to see from Google but they refused--if a foreign country had tried that stunt, there would be outrage from Issa but in his pin-headed world, it is just politics.
kirby. Perhaps you find it funny but I do not. Sestak answered a question from the media and the right went crazy.
I find the issue with Sestak and political manuvering to keep old Arlen in office funny, yes. Issa isn't going to do anything because he knows the wheel spins both ways and he is just politically posturing.
If Issa isn't doing anything about it, why did he try to obtain WH e-mails illegally?
Jody,
He didn't get them illegally, he wants to investigate the "illegal" e-mails sent out by Obama's health Czar.
I am involved in that race for Sestak and I wish this was right, but that's not the mood or the most recent polling
The suffolk poll has a 5pt spread...
BOSTON – With five weeks until the general election, Pennsylvania is leaning Republican, as GOP gubernatorial candidate Tom Corbett (47 percent) leads his Democratic rival Dan Onorato (40 percent), while Republican Senate candidate Pat Toomey (45 percent) clings to a five point lead over Democrat Joe Sestak (40 percent), according to the latest Suffolk University poll.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2010/Suffolk_PA_Sen_Gov_928.htm
He's down 6.5 in the RCP aggregate and the internals are not great eiither...
but I hope your selective reading and wishful thinking are more accurate than the apparent reality on the ground...
There's still a month to go and Sestak is a good closer.
Which is it, dangerfield? Are you a New York Democrat who attended Charlie Rangel's primary victory party or a Pennsylvania Democrat involved in the Sestak race?
Or just a troll looking for attention?
Or just a troll looking for attention?
You mean like this one from you? You may be aware that YOUR POST is by definition a TROLL...
One who purposely and deliberately (that purpose usually being self-amusement) starts an argument in a manner which attacks others on a forum without in any way listening to the arguments proposed by his or her peers. He will spark of such an argument via the use of ad hominem attacks
http://www.urbandictionary.com/define.php?term=troll
I contribute to many democratic candidates in my home state and in several other states. You can do that when you grow up, you know.
I help raise funds for local candidates but Joe Sestak and Bryan Lenz are friends of mine. I know it must be confusing for you to hold your unfocused adolescent anger at me and the bewildering concept of contributing across state lines in your mind at the same time, and I apologize.
So thanks for the question, er TROLL...and as always thanks for playing!
I will expect another unsolicited troll when you have time to forget this little paddling...:)
OUCH!
Dangerfield:
Tell Joe I said "howdy" next time you see him. And I'll tell Barack what a big fan of his you are the next time we're shooting some hoops together.
That too, is a troll, and that makes you, Houston!...
just a troll looking for attention?
it's obvious you have some kind of crush here, why else would you stalk and troll so many of my posts? It isn't that I'm not flattered, I just feel bad about how upset you seem to be after each of our little encounters...
You really want to be my Wylie Coyote?
OK...
cause you just went off the cliff...again...:)
Beep Beep!
Dangerfield, You seem to have trouble deciding where your loyalties should be? hmmm Or are you just playing the field?
Gingerbread Mamma
Dangerfield, You seem to have trouble deciding where your loyalties should be? hmmm Or are you just playing the field?
Based on what?
attacks from trolls?
Who are you to question my loyalties?
I would really appreciate an answer.
So make that three trolls...:(
You just have to love the credibility of the poll chosen for this headline.
Susquehanna Polling & Research survey conducted for the Pittsburgh Tribune-Review
I think I agree with dangerfield. Perhaps this one has a bit more wishful thinking.
The reason is pretty obvious, Dangerfield -- you're a cheap date. You always seem to take the bait.
I think that makes Gingerbread Mamma right.
The only poll that counts is election day. I see a lot of bitter lefties here that will even more bitter in a few weeks. Calling people in the tea party tea baggers is a hoot. I guess that makes the lefties tea bags. Enjoy the hot bath. LOL
Doing a little projection there, dangerfield? All I did was point out your inconsistencies in your posts and asked for clarification. Then I asked a question that could be deductively derived from those inconsistencies. And then you went 'BOOM!' and got all defensive. Seems I must have hit a nerve. Good, because as far as I'm concerned you are a phony and I do not believe a word you say. You are like a toy I take out and play with just to see your reaction and you never fail to deliver.
Bob, you are definitely projecting. I am not bitter. It seems the right, however, is VERY bitter having lost in 2006 and 2008. And from the way the polls are trending, it looks like you definitely won't be taking the house this year. 4 weeks in politics is a veeeeerrrrry long time and those polls just keep on moving against you. It is especially satisfying to see all of the Republican candidates self-destructing lately. Oh, btw, it was the TEA Partiers that named themselves as that name.
The RCP average is skewed by Rasmussen. Maybe Rasmussen's still as good an indicator as they were and maybe even they'll swing Sestak's way in time, but that's the big part of the average spread right now.
I was born, raised and lived in western Pennsylvania for 35 years. I just don't see Club For Growth types getting over in Philadelphia and Pittsburgh. Too blue and too blue collar. Gotta figure that, if you comb through Toomey's speeches and writing, they'll be enough there to sink him in PA.
So help me God, if you kids don't stop yelling, I will turn this blog AROUND and take us all STRAIGHT back home!
Awwww, but daaad, he started it!
This isn't a close race. Just the MSM trying to do anything possible to influence the election. I am sure you can find a poll that will tell you its gotten closer but Toomey continues to pull away. Sestak has a better chance of getting Obummer impeached than he does at winning this election.
That's it, blame the MSM--they're responsible for all the democrats winning in 2006 and 2008--voters had nothing to do with. We Iowans take our caucus seriously, we do not pay attention to what the media says--we make up our own minds based on the candidates. If we had listened to the media, Clinton would be president but we did not. Sarah Palin was an awful VP candidate but she says it is the media that made her look bad--no, she did that herself.
I wonder if all the Doom Bringers will be here after November elections.
Which ones?....
I have a Skaven Doom Wheel. Does that count?
For Gods sake ED, I don't know what that is either. I truly am beyond hope.
one post over everyone's head another under the radar...I'd call that a good day's work ED
and Yes...it does:)
Score. I was about to sing the Doom Song, too.
Could you just hum a few bars?
Only if everyone on the board acknowledges me as their Tallest.
Well, I am good with it if everyone else is.
Looks like that sofa king guy is on the loose again....
Witch-doctor-Billy.com is more comfortable working with chicken.
Momentum, momentum, momentum Democrats remember momentum, momentum, momentum.
Remember, remember, the 2nd of November?
Something tells me this one will be unforgettable, E.D.
3-5 point margin of error, Sestak and Toomey are pretty much in a dead heat. 30 days is an eternity, the more voters start focusing on what the GOP represents, their Pledge to America which was short on detail and long on Reagan, the better chance Sestak has of winning. I would not be surprised if he does.
Tonight is the FEC quarterly filing date for contributions...send a buck or 2 to Joes Sestak and my buddy Bryan Lentz...please!
I got two solicitation emails as I was typing this...
The only polls I trust close about six pm on 2 Nov until you have that one then it's all hot air and supposition.
But enough about Pat Toomey!!
Sestak will win in Pennsylvania...I don't have any doubts...never have...
Democratic enthusiasm is increasing as we get closer to election day. Republican enthusiasm is already very high, so it can't really go up that much. As Dem enthusiam increases, so will their standing in the polls, which further feeds enthusiasm. Also, because Republicans have been very enthusiastic this past year, they don't make up a majority of the undecided voters, the Dems make up that majority, so there is a lot of room to grow.
Most current doomsday predictions for the Dems have the Republicans barely taking control of the house, and getting 49 seats in the senate. As this enthusiam gap closes, the worst case scenarios will look much better for the Dems.
My guestimate is that the Dems will retain 54 Senate seats and 235 House seats. Less than current levels, but still a vote of support from the nation that we want the Progressive movement to continue.
If the GOP is so confident then why are they threatening people and coming unglued so much their are about six or seven that seam to want to self destruct right now!!! and Palin is going around in a daze feeling out her chances to be President, it doesn't seam like she is even thinking about the mid- terms!!!
You dems and libs better order your PROZAC now.. I think the masin stream media, of all sorts NY Times, NBC, MSNBC, CBS, ABC, CNN, & the other propagandists for the worst president since JIMMY CARTER, have already placed their orders. Don't wait until the last minute, there's a LIMITED SUPPLY OF THESE MODD ENHANCING DRUGS, since Obama's Healthcare Plan is kicking in and their prices are going to be set by the govt.
Or you could migrate to another socialist utopia...say Venezuela...just a thought
We've3 got someplace you can go, where it's warm (to put it mildly) all the time!
Is Sestak running on the major achievements of his party? The Healthcare disaster? Or the Major energy tax? or the other monumental achievements of this Congress...seems they all developed amnesia about what they did while they were there this year...Any idea why that is ???
Don-907787,
F.Y.I....this Congress and our President has accomplished a list of MAJOR achievements regardless to whether MSM or any of the clowns on the right gives him and them credit for them...the PEOPLE that cast the votes do...
The fist inactment of HCR has already started and I don't see any DEAD "Granny's"...the so called monster that you all hoped you created in HCR is actually what many Americans are happy about...
The ONLY people that are buying into HCR being BAD is REPUBLICANS and media pundits...
Actually...in the State of Alabama...our Democratic Congressman lost his bid for governor because he DIDN'T support the President with HCR...
Dems that are refusing to run on it in my opinion are receiving the wrong advice and polls that are fake...but if they choose to follow those things and not the TRUE feelings of their constituents...I count it as their loss...
We vote for people in this state that STAND UP and stand firm on the will of the people...there are MANY Republicans in ALABAMA that support HCR...they can't repeal it...President Obama will veto any thing that comes across his desk asking for it...
Why Reps are lying to constituents about doing so is a pack of lies...
The first part of ObozoCare is kicking in and people don't like it. They have already seen their HC rates go up and their benefits go down. Obozo will veto the attempt to overturn HC but the Repubs will be able to defund ObozoCare. Defunding is the same tactic that was used to get us out of Vietnam so it can be a very effective tool. For the next 2 years we will spend our time defunding the Obama agenda and then begin repealing things in 2013.
Gee thanks for rubber stamping what many voters suspect that an election placing Republicans back in power will accomplish! We appreciate your arrogance! lol!!
What you've posted is exactly what we don't want...why you all have been the Party of NO for almost two years already...you've pissed us off because you've harmed the American people that you've hurt...
We shall see come November...won't we? And BTW...the benefits that are now available in HCR hasn't been publicized in Republican "poor" states to constituents that need them...your party has kept silent...
Mr. President and Democrats...please run advertising notifying people of the benefits that are available under HCR...
The polls are closing up...and that is in only two weeks...I am an independant and would never vote for a repub...not when they say they are going to do the same ole things..I want to know why is it ok now if they do...but two years ago it wasnt...and Sarah Palin as president....yep...the country will be in wars all over the place...amongst other stupid stuff...this woman is an idiot..a pathological liar..and it seems the people she backed are liars also...no wonder they got her endorsement...tells one something...all the repubs will do if they do get control is absolutely nothing...they will do investigation upon investigation just to get back at the dems for winning two years ago...and just how does this help the country in the next two years for jobs...etc.....yep vote GOP and see how many games they play while doing nothing....and I mean nothing for the country. Wake up America...yep let's let Sarah Palin be president and go back to the puritan days...people telling us what to do with their bodies...in their bedrooms, etc.
Linda,
Excellent posting and I'm sure you're echoing the thoughts of many other independents...
The problem with this Republican Party is that they haven't owned their fiasco, they're lying about the economy and the fact that this country is fairing much better under this administration (especially behind what they left us) in so much that they've stolen ideas for their "so called" pledge to America , they've been the party of NO, they've filibustered more times than any other in the history of their "man made rule" and they have placed our nation in grater danger by attempting to undermine the president both nationally and internationally...
Linda,
So basically why don't you just say you're a Democrat?
"...I am an independant and would never vote for a repub"