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The midterms: Senate map pretty much set

“Now that Super Duper Tuesday has come and gone, the 2010 Senate landscape is all but set,” Roll Call’s McArdle writes. “Except for a pair of competitive primaries in New Hampshire and Colorado and a runoff in North Carolina, we know who most of the players will be and where the battles will take place in the fight for control of the Senate this cycle. Ten or 11 Democratic seats are in play this fall, compared with just five or six for the GOP. That means Senate Republicans would need close to a clean sweep to gain a 51-seat majority. While that still appears to be a tall order, the GOP clearly has the opportunity to make significant gains in the Senate.”

Using examples of “outsider candidates” like Idaho’s Raul Labrador, Pennsylvania’s Joe Sestak and Nevada’s Sharron Angle as examples, the Washington Post points out that “as they prepare their general election campaigns against well-financed and well-prepared opponents, some outsider candidates -- who made their names denouncing Washington's professional political class -- are quietly looking to insider political consultants, fundraisers and admakers for help.”

ARKANSAS: The Arkansas News notes Sen. Blanche Lincoln’s strategic campaigning shift as she gears up for a general election battle with Rep. John Boozman. Having run radio ads featuring President Obama in the primary election, Lincoln is now “describing herself in interviews as a moderate and stressing that she would disagree with Obama when necessary.”



CALIFORNIA: Republican Senate nominee Carly Fiorina called negative comments about Democratic Sen. Barbara Boxer’s hair “petty and superficial,” and directed most of her comments on Fox News Sunday to Boxer’ Congressional record, CQ writes.

FLORIDA: The AP: “Boxer Mike Tyson was the best man at his wedding. Hollywood madam Heidi Fleiss lived in his guest house. And the television ads for Jeff Greene's out-of-nowhere bid for Florida's Senate seat are financed by a fortune made from betting on the fall of the housing market. Too much baggage for a candidate? Not for Greene in an antiestablishment year that has been a boon to political outsiders. A recent poll finds the Palm Beach billionaire has spent his way into a near tie with Rep. Kendrick Meek, who has been in the race for the Democratic nomination for months.”

NEVADA: Republican Senate nominee Sharron Angle is coming to Washington, D.C. this week to meet with top Republican strategists, The Hill reports, in order to balance “the appeal of an authentic, outsider candidate while getting assistance from the National Republican Senatorial Committee and the party’s Washington leadership.” But if Angle and the NRSC don’t see eye-to-eye, “the committee has other options it can exploit against Reid. Sources tell The Hill that the NRSC’s independent expenditure (IE) effort, which is being run by veteran strategist Mike DuHaime, will be focused on Nevada.”

“Although Angle is revamping her grass-roots campaign with the help of national Republican Party leaders… she said she's not about to remake herself into a moderate as November nears,” the Las Vegas Review Journal writes.

Sen. Harry Reid’s campaign put out an ad Friday slamming Sharron Angle’s beliefs in eliminating Social Security and Medicare, featuring an announcer asking, “what’s next?”

The Las Vegas Sun encapsulates the two groups Reid must win over in order to win re-election: “he must strike the right balance, shoring up the liberals who think he hasn’t pushed hard enough on key issues such as health care and immigration reform while winning over independents who think Obama administration initiatives such as the stimulus package have gone too far.”

SOUTH CAROLINA: Obama adviser David Axelrod questioned the legitimacy of Democratic Senate candidate Alvin Greene.

Lt. Gov. Andre Bauer endorsed Rep. Gresham Barrett in the Republican gubernatorial runoff, the Spartanburg Herald Journal reports.

And the New York Times profiles Nikki Haley.