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The midterms: Anti-incumbent mood

"Members of Congress face the most anti-incumbent electorate since 1994, with less than a third of all voters saying they are inclined to support their representatives in November, according to a new Washington Post-ABC News poll. Dissatisfaction is widespread, crossing party lines, ideologies and virtually all groups of voters. Less than a quarter of independents and just three in 10 Republicans say they're leaning toward backing an incumbent this fall. Even among Democrats, who control the House, the Senate and the White House, opinion is evenly divided on the question."

More: "Still, for President Obama and his party, there are some positive signs in the poll. The public trusts Democrats more than Republicans to handle the major problems facing the country by a double-digit margin, giving Democrats a bigger lead than they held two months ago, when Congress was engaged in the long endgame over divisive health-care legislation. A majority continues to see Obama as 'just about right' ideologically, despite repeated GOP efforts to define the president as outside the mainstream."

"DNC Chairman Tim Kaine is laying out his party's strategy for the fall elections in an appearance at the Christian Science Monitor lunch today," Politico reports. "In the longest section of his remarks, Kaine will say Democrats plan to make the campaign not a simple referendum on the president's policies, but 'a clear choice between continued progress and a return to the failed policies that created the biggest period of economic decline since the Great Depression.'" 
FLORIDA: "Gov. Charlie Crist told reporters today he'd make his decision on whether to run for U.S. Senate as an independent by Thursday -- a day before the deadline to make the switch," the Florida Sun-Sentinel reports.

HAWAII: "National Republicans are taking a page from Senate Republicans' successful playbook in Massachusetts by appearing to keep out of the upcoming House special election in Hawaii," Roll Call reports. "In traditionally Democratic states such as Hawaii and Massachusetts, visible intervention from the national GOP doesn't help candidates like Honolulu City Councilman Charles Djou (R), who is waging a competitive campaign in the free-for-all May 22 special election in a district that gave President Barack Obama 70 percent of the vote two years ago."

ILLINOIS: Before embattled Senate candidate Alexi Giannoulias appears with President Obama in Quincy, IL, the Cook Political Report moves the race from Tossup to the more competitive Lean Republican. "Now that Broadway has failed -- a failure that will cost the FDIC an estimated $394 million -- its impact on Giannoulias' campaign is enormous, and it is entirely possible that the fallout could force him from the race," the Cook Report writes. 

MASSACHUSETTS: "Republican Charles D. Baker is campaigning for governor as a fiscal hard-liner, repeatedly attacking Governor Deval Patrick and Democrats in the Legislature for raising taxes and showing little discipline on spending," the Boston Globe writes before adding, "But Baker's own experience in the public and private sectors -- as a one-term selectman in Swampscott, as the state's top budget official, and as the chief executive of a major health insurer -- muddies his critique. In all three roles, Baker either relied on new revenue to balance the books or had the luxury of a booming economy, obviating the need for drastic cuts." 
"State Treasurer Timothy P. Cahill, targeted in a hard-hitting ad campaign by a national Republican group, blamed the attacks squarely on his Republican gubernatorial rival, Charles D. Baker, who he said is resorting to negative tactics to prop up his flailing campaign," the Boston Globe reports. The ads are being run by the Republican Governors Association.

MISSOURI: Robin Carnahan will appear with Obama when he tours an ethanol plant in Macon, MO. "Carnahan plans to use the event to talk about jobs for Missouri," the AP reports.

NORTH CAROLINA: Secretary of State Elaine Marshall, who is running for Senate, releases her first campaign ad playing up her experience and "guts." 
PENNSYLVANIA: On the one-year anniversary of Specter's party switch, challenger Joe Sestak will speak in Washington and hit him on that and " 'set the record straight' about his time in the Navy," PoliticsPA reports.  
Actor Michael J. Fox cuts a campaign spot for Specter, praising his work on behalf of medical research funding.