Stu Rothenberg unveils his dangerous dozen House seats: LA-2 (Cao), DE-AL (Castle-open, running for Senate), LA-3 (Melancon-open, running for Senate), VA-5 (Perriello), MD-1 (Kratovil), KS-3 (Moore-open, retiring), OH-1 (Driehaus-rematch), OH-15 (Kilroy-rematch), FL-8 (Grayson), NM-2 (Teague), NH-2 (Hodes-running for Senate), NY-23 (Owens).
Dems have the money advantage so far. "The Democratic National Committee, along with the fundraising arm for House Democrats, outraised Republican committees last month. Overall, all Democratic committees ended October with nearly $38.8 million cash on hand, compared with $21.3 million for Republicans," USA Today reports. "The Senate Republican fundraising arm was the sole committee to raise more than the Democrats in October, but the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee ended the month with $11.3 million cash on hand, compared with $5.9 million for the National Republican Senatorial Committee."
CONNECTICUT: If Tom Foley decides to dive into the governor's race, "what once was a flood of would-be challengers to incumbent Democratic U.S. Sen. Christopher J. Dodd has now evaporated into what is essentially a two-person race -- former Congressman Rob Simmons versus millionaire former WWE Wrestling CEO Linda McMahon," the Norwich Bulletin writes.
FLORIDA: The St. Petersburg Times notes that Charlie Crist, once dubbed "Governor Green," has put environmental issues on the backburner since entering the Senate race against a more conservative opponent. "Once Crist became a Senate candidate, his opponent in the Republican primary, former House Speaker Rubio, painted Crist's environmental moves as a liability among the right wing."
ILLINOIS: The Chicago Tribune reports that state treasurer Alexi Giannoulias (D) "released his tax returns the day before Thanksgiving, when fewer people are likely to notice," after facing criticism from Democratic opponent David Hoffman for receiving large payouts from his family's struggling Broadway Bank. According to the returns, "Giannoulias' portion of those payouts totaled $2.5 million -- $1 million of which he has said went to pay income taxes. The campaign has noted that Giannoulias didn't have a say in whether to sell the shares because he divested himself of his voting shares when he was elected treasurer."
KENTUCKY: The New York Times profiles Rand Paul, son of Ron, calling him a "serious challenger in the race to succeed Senator Jim Bunning. Capitalizing on a hearty distrust of government and an anti-Republican-establishment fervor among conservatives, he has used the Internet to raise more than $1.3 million since he began his campaign in August."
MASSACHUSETTS: The Boston Globe on Sunday endorsed longshot Alan Khazei for the Massachusetts Senate seat: "With high hopes, the Globe endorses Alan Khazei, the prime mover behind national-service policies, as Massachusetts' best chance to produce another great senator."
Michael Dukakis, the former Democratic presidential nominee and governor, endorsed Capuano.
"With only 15 weeks between Kennedy's death in late August and next week's special primary, the compressed election calendar forced the campaigns to quickly cobble together a ground game," the Boston Globe writes. "Each campaign is throwing significant resources into voter-identification efforts because in low-turnout races, the effect of an efficient field organization can be magnified."
NEW YORK: "Mayor Bloomberg's 2009 campaign spending of more than $102 million to win a third term shatters a record previously set by ... Mayor Bloomberg," The New York Daily News reports. That comes out to about $175 per vote.
TEXAS: Senator Kay Bailey Hutchison, already embroiled in a fierce gubernatorial primary fight with Gov. Rick Perry, said her opponent "talks like a conservative, but governs like a liberal" on a public affairs television show yesterday. "During the TV appearance," the Houston Chronicle says, "the senator criticized the governor for supporting the Wall Street bailout proposed by former President Bush in 2008 -- a financial rescue package she voted for… Hutchison now says she regrets her vote, which she called a "mistake."
Sen. John Cornyn, chairman of the National Republican Senatorial Committee, said of Hutchison's decision to stay in the Senate through the March primary: "It's better for Texas for her to stay and fight these fights," Cornyn said during his weekly news conference."